| GFS预报在大伙房水库分级利用方式中的应用 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 梁国华,习树峰,王国利,王本德,董霞.GFS预报在大伙房水库分级利用方式中的应用[J].水电能源科学,2009,27(2). |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 梁国华 习树峰 王国利 王本德 董霞 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 大连理工大学土木水利学院,辽宁,大连,116024 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 国家科技支撑基金，国家自然科学基金 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 以综合利用水库群工程为背景,分析了美国全球预报系(GFS)发布的降雨预报信息利用方式及其可利用性,进而对大伙房流域2001～2007年17场洪水后未来10 d的预报降雨量和实际降雨量进行分析比较.结果表明,雨后大伙房水库流域GFS降雨预报信息精度更高,结合短期降雨可用于水库群调度决策.
|
| 关 键 词： | GFS降雨预报 数值预报 分级利用方式 概率分布 |
Study on Grading Utilization Modes of Forecast Information Provided by Global Forecasting System in Dahuofang Reservoir |
| |
| LIANG Guohua XI Shufeng WANG Guoli WANG Bende DONG Xia.Study on Grading Utilization Modes of Forecast Information Provided by Global Forecasting System in Dahuofang Reservoir[J].International Journal Hydroelectric Energy,2009,27(2). |
| |
| Authors: | LIANG Guohua XI Shufeng WANG Guoli WANG Bende DONG Xia |
| |
| Affiliation: | School of Civil and Hydraulic Engineering;Dalian University of Technology;Dalian 116024;China |
| |
| Abstract: | Based on the background of comprehensive utilization reservoir group project,the paper analyzes the grading utilization modes and availability of rainfall forecast information which provided by the Global Forecast System(GFS).Comparing and analyzing next ten days forecasting precipitation and actual precipitation after 17 flood from 2001 to 2007 in Dahuofang watershed,the result shows that GFS rainfall forecast information after heavy rain has high accuracy in Dahuofang reservoir watershed,and it can be use... |
| |
| Keywords: | GFS rainfall forecast numerical forecast staged utilization mode probability distribution |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
