| 基于GIS的区域滑坡危险性预测方法与初步应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 单新建,叶洪,李焯芬,陈国光.基于GIS的区域滑坡危险性预测方法与初步应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2002,21(10):1507-1514. |
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| 作者姓名： | 单新建 叶洪 李焯芬 陈国光 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国地震局地质研究所,中国地震局构造物理开放实研室,北京,100029
2. 香港大学土木工程系,香港 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(49802027)。 |
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| 摘 要： | 在GIS平台上，将多元空间信息统计分析方法与非线性统计预测方法相结合，在充分考虑滑坡与各环境因子之间的统计相关性和位置相关性的基础上，研究了滑坡与环境因子之间定量关系的表示方法，建立了单因子分析，多因子分析、整组性分析和多元空间信息的非线性预测模型，在理论基础上，选取香港大屿山岛中部作为试验研究区，利用环境因子进行区域滑坡危险性预测，经实际资料检验表明，该模型可获取较高的预测精度，具有极大的应用潜力。
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| 关 键 词： | GIS 区域滑坡 非线性 预测模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-6915(2002)10-1507-08 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年4月4日 |
PREDICTION METHOD OF DANGEROUS AREAS OF REGIONAL LANDSLIDE BASED ON GIS AND ITS APPLICATION |
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| Shan Xinjian,Ye Hong,Lee C F,Chen Guoguang.PREDICTION METHOD OF DANGEROUS AREAS OF REGIONAL LANDSLIDE BASED ON GIS AND ITS APPLICATION[J].Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering,2002,21(10):1507-1514. |
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| Authors: | Shan Xinjian Ye Hong Lee C F Chen Guoguang |
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| Affiliation: | Shan Xinjian1,Ye Hong1,Lee C F2,Chen Guoguang1 |
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| Abstract: | On the platform of GIS,the multi-factor spatial information analysis method and non-linear prediction method are combined. The statistics relationships among landslides and environmental factors are analyzed. The single factor analysis model,multi-factor analysis model,clustering analysis and non-linear prediction model are set up. On the basis of above research,the middle part of Lantau Island in Hong Kong is selected as experimental studying area,the dangerous landslide areas are predicted based on environmental factors. The map of regional landslide evaluation in the middle part of Lantau Island is obtained. The results show that the proposed model is of enough precision to offer important scientific basis for studying of dangerous areas of regional landslide and disasters of landslide. |
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| Keywords: | GIS regional landslide non-linear prediction |
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