| Logistic水泥产需预测模型的研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 高云.Logistic水泥产需预测模型的研究[J].中国建材科技,1991(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 高云 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国建筑材料科学研究院建材院水泥所 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文通过阐述Logistic预测模型运用于水泥产量与消费量预测中的参数估计及其优化方法,揭示我国水泥产量与消费量的增长规律,运用计算机来构造适合我国水泥产量与消费量预测的Logistic曲线模型,预测到2000年我国水泥的产量与消费量。
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| 关 键 词： | 预测 Logistic曲线 统计 水泥产量 消费量 优化 |
STUDY ON LOGISTIC CURVE MODEL FOR FORECASTING DEMANDED QUANTITY OF CEMENT IN CHINA |
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| Gao Yun.STUDY ON LOGISTIC CURVE MODEL FOR FORECASTING DEMANDED QUANTITY OF CEMENT IN CHINA[J].China Building Materials Science & Technology,1991(1). |
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| Authors: | Gao Yun |
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| Affiliation: | China Building Materials Academy |
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| Abstract: | the principle and structure of the Logistic model was analyzed to reveal the trend of annual increasement in production quantity and consumption quantity of cement in China. By means of nonlinear optimization method and using computer, the optimum parameteres of the model was estimated. The logistic curve model with these parameteres was used to forecast the demanded quantity of cement in China up to the year of 2000. |
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| Keywords: | Forecast Logistic curve Statistics Demanded Quantity Nonlinear Oplimization |
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