| 高速公路社会效益的系统动力学评价 ——以吉茶高速公路为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 邹苏华,刘睿劼,张智慧. 高速公路社会效益的系统动力学评价 ——以吉茶高速公路为例[J]. 工程管理学报, 2011, 0(5): 512-516 |
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| 作者姓名： | 邹苏华 刘睿劼 张智慧 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 湖南省交通厅造价站， 2,3. 清华大学 建设管理系 |
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| 摘 要： | 交通基础设施是区域经济发展的重要条件，吉茶高速公路作为湖南省湘西州的重点工程，对于湘西州的未来发展有着重要意义。为了全面评价吉茶高速公路的社会效益，弥补现有评价方法在衡量高速公路区域经济拉动作用上的不足，引入系统动力学评价方法，建立区域经济发展与交通运输体系的系统动力学模型，通过对有无吉茶高速公路的不同情况进行模拟计算，得到两种情况下2012~2032 年的湘西州GDP 差值，并以此反映吉茶高速公路的社会效益。评价结果显示吉茶高速公路能稳定地使湘西州经济增长1%~2%，具有长期的区域经济拉动作用。
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| 关 键 词： | 高速公路 社会效益 系统动力学 区域经济 |
Social Benefit Assessment of Highway Based on System Dynamics Method:A Case Study of Jicha Highway |
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| ZOU Su-hua,LIU Rui-jie,ZHANG Zhi-hui. Social Benefit Assessment of Highway Based on System Dynamics Method:A Case Study of Jicha Highway[J]. Journal of Engineering Management, 2011, 0(5): 512-516 |
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| Authors: | ZOU Su-hua LIU Rui-jie ZHANG Zhi-hui |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Department of Transportation of Hunan Province， 2,3. Department of Construction Management， Tsinghua University |
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| Abstract: | Transportation infrastructure is a primary factor stimulating regional economy development. As the pilot infrastructure project in Xiangxi City，Hunan Province，Jicha Highway is playing a significant role in its development. To make up for the deficiency of current assessment methods in measuring the pull effect of highway on regional economy，the method of system dynamics is adopted. The system dynamics model between regional economy development and transportation system is built. By stimulating and calculating the GDP difference values of Xiangxi City of year 2012~2032，social benefit of Jicha Highway is manifested as that it could stably promote regional economy development by 1%~2%. |
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| Keywords: | highway social benefit system dynamics method regional economy |
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