| 基于层次分析法的区域电能替代技术选择研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 王延杰,徐国智. 基于层次分析法的区域电能替代技术选择研究[J]. 南方能源建设, 2018, 5(4): 44-49. DOI: 10.16516/j.gedi.issn2095-8676.2018.04.006 |
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| 作者姓名： | 王延杰 徐国智 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.国电华研电力科技有限公司，广州 510075 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国南方电网有限责任公司科技项目“南方区域电能替代潜力分析及措施研究” |
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| 摘 要： | [目的] 电能替代是促进新能源消纳、提升能源利用效率、提高电能占终端能源消费比重等问题的有效解决措施，因此选择适合地区特点的电能替代技术并加以实施显得至关重要。 [方法] 通过研究电能替代技术，梳理各领域潜在的电能替代技术，提出了一种基于地区适用性、经济性和推广难度的评价体系，并应用改进的层次分析法(IAHP)确定各指标权重系数。 [结果] 针对南方某区域进行分析验证建立的模型，结果表明:模型分析结果与实际情况相符合，说明了本模型的正确性与合理性；其次，模型排除了人为干预因素以及提供了一个科学的方法论，能实际指导地区电能替代发展。 [结论] 通过实际算例分析，所建立的体系对电能替代技术实施具有一定的指导意义。
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| 关 键 词： | 电能替代 新能源消纳 能源利用效率 层次分析法 |
| 收稿时间： | 2018-02-28 |
Research on Alternatives of Regional Electric Energy Based on Analytic Hierarchy Process |
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| Affiliation: | 1.HY Power Technology Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510075, China |
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| Abstract: | [Introduction] Energy alternatives is an effective measure to promote new energy consumption, improve energy efficiency, and increase the proportion of electricity in terminal energy consumption, it is crucial that rationally select technology of energy alternatives and implement it. [Method] This paper proposed an evaluation system based on regional applicability, economy and popularization difficulty, and the improved analytic hierarchy process(IAHP)was applied to determine the weight coefficient of each index. [Results] Finally, the model is verified by researching object in a southern region. The results show that the model analysis results are consistent with the actual situation, indicating the correctness and rationality of the model. Secondly, the model excludes human intervention factors and provides a scientific methodology, which can actually guide the regional electric energy replacement development. [Conclusion] At the same time, this paper put forward measures to promote the development of energy alternatives, combining the precedence order conclusion and its technology. |
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