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基于GMDH因果关系的软件缺陷预测模型
引用本文:张德平,刘国强,张柯. 基于GMDH因果关系的软件缺陷预测模型[J]. 计算机科学, 2016, 43(7): 171-176
作者姓名:张德平  刘国强  张柯
作者单位:南京航空航天大学计算机科学与技术学院 南京210016,南京航空航天大学计算机科学与技术学院 南京210016,南京航空航天大学计算机科学与技术学院 南京210016
基金项目:本文受中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(NS2014072)资助
摘    要:软件缺陷预测是软件可靠性研究的一个重要方向。基于自组织数据挖掘(GMDH)网络与因果关系检验理论提出了一种软件缺陷预测模型,借鉴Granger检验思想,利用GMDH网络选择与软件失效具有因果关系的度量指标,建立软件缺陷预测模型。该方法从复杂系统建模角度研究软件度量指标与软件缺陷之间的因果关系,可以检验多变量之间在非线性意义上的因果关系。最后基于两组真实软件失效数据集,将所提出的方法与基于Granger因果检验的软件缺陷预测模型进行比较分析。结果表明,基于GMDH因果关系的软件缺陷预测模型比Granger因果检验方法具有更为显著的预测效果。

关 键 词:软件缺陷  因果关系  软件度量  GMDH网络  Granger检验
收稿时间:2015-05-19
修稿时间:2015-08-22

Software Defect Prediction Model Based on GMDH Causal Relationship
ZHANG De-ping,LIU Guo-qiang and ZHANG Ke. Software Defect Prediction Model Based on GMDH Causal Relationship[J]. Computer Science, 2016, 43(7): 171-176
Authors:ZHANG De-ping  LIU Guo-qiang  ZHANG Ke
Affiliation:College of Computer Science and Technology,Nanjing University of Aeronautics & Astronautics,Nanjing 210016,China,College of Computer Science and Technology,Nanjing University of Aeronautics & Astronautics,Nanjing 210016,China and College of Computer Science and Technology,Nanjing University of Aeronautics & Astronautics,Nanjing 210016,China
Abstract:Software defect prediction is an important aspect in the field of software reliability research.In this paper,we presented a software defect prediction model based on GMDH networks and causal test theory.The model selects the software metrics with the defect causal relationship by learning Granger test ideas and uses the GMDH network which can check the non-linear causality between multiple factors of software defect.Finally,based on two real software failure data sets,we designed an experiment to compare the proposed method with the Granger test software defect prediction model.The experiment results show that the proposed model is more effective and efficient than Granger test software defect prediction model.
Keywords:Software defect  Causal relationship  Software metrics  GMDH network  Granger test
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