基于改进灰色系统模型的滑坡变形预测

结合茅坪滑坡实测位移数据建立预测模型,通过与传统模型对比,分析了传统灰色预测模型的不足,运用数值积分和最小二乘法分别对背景值和初始值进行修正,改进后的模型预测更加有效。     

指数函数a、b参数确定的加权最小二乘拟合法

地表移动预计中指数函数法下沉公式y(x)=ω_(max)exp[-a(x/L)]为一非线性方程。为了确定参数a、b,常用的方法是对上式取两次对数,然后利用一组实际观测值按最小二乘法求出a、b[1]。由此求得的参数不是直接观测值y(x)最小二乘解,而是变量lg(-lg((y(x))/(ω_(max)))的最小二乘解。文献[2]、[3]都曾指出了这一点,这是一个非线性方程最小二乘拟合的普遍问题。用数值方法求解非线性方程的参数值是一种十分有效而又可靠的手段,它能得出参数的最优值。但是数值方法对计算工具的要求较高,就目前我国大多数矿山的实际情况而言,使用数值方法尚受到一定的限制。为此,本文提出了一种加权解算法,能求出十     

基于整体最小二乘法的GPS地质高程拟合研究

在测绘领域,关于整体最小二乘法的应用研究刚刚开始,受到众多学者的关注,如何提高测量数据处理的精确度与稳定性是目前面临的根本任务,将整体最小二乘法应用于GPS高程的拟合中,对拟合函数进行参数求解,并且该方法解算结果与传统最小二乘法解算结果进行对比分析,研究得出:模型以二次曲面模型为依据,对测量数据进行计算,计算结果与传统的最小二乘法相比,整体最小二乘法建立的模型更加合理、更加严密;对具体数据进行算例解算分析,并应用于平面模型与曲面模型中,然后通过整体最小二乘法与传统最小二乘法进行对比分析,采用整体最小二乘法进行GPS高程拟合得到的拟合结果更加贴近实际情况、更加准确。     

多项型指数曲线模型在路基沉降预测分析中的应用

针对指数曲线模型在表述路基沉降规律方面存在的不足,提出一种多项型指数曲线模型。对不同的沉降-时间数据列只需调整指数曲线模型项数便可取得理想拟合预测效果。先采用非线性最小二乘法估算模型的参数范围,再用遗传算法求最优值。工程实例表明:多项型指数曲线模型具有较高的预测精度;优于传统指数模型、双曲线模型、星野模型及灰色理论模型等;具有借鉴意义。     

基于补偿最小二乘的AR(p)模型在变形监测中的应用

处理时间序列常用的模型AR(p)模型,它的核心是求取模型的参数。传统的参数求取方法忽略了模型误差的影响,为了顾及模型误差的影响,该文引入了半参数补偿最小二乘方法,将模型误差用非参数来加以弥补,提高了模型的精度。对比最小二乘方法、总体最小二乘方法和补偿最小二乘方法对时间序列的分析和预报结果。实验表明,补偿最小二乘方法所建立的模型对时间序列的分析和预报效果最好。     

融合多源求参结果的开采沉陷稳健预计方法

为了克服单一求参模型由于求参结果不可靠、不精准造成的开采沉陷预计结果不稳健问题,重点研究了融合多源求参模型参数的开采沉陷稳健预计方法,并基于最小二乘原理推导了通用模型,构建了基于融合模矢法、遗传算法和模拟退火求参结果的开采沉陷预计新模型,并对模型的可行性进行了模拟实验验证。实验结果表明:新模型下沉预计误差及水平移动预计误差明显优于基于单一模矢法、遗传算法、模拟退火法反演的参数的下沉预计误差;融合多源求参模型参数的开采沉陷稳健预计方法具有一定抗差能力。     

基于参数辨识法的异步电动机故障诊断

参数辨识法是异步电动机在线故障诊断的有效方法。根据定子电压、电流数据,采用递推最小二乘算法,计算电动机参数,在线辨识电动机故障,并讨论渐消记忆递推最小二乘法中遗忘因子对参数辨识的影响。鉴于模型的复杂性,用灰色系统观点线性化异步电动机模型,使参数快速收敛,但参数缺乏明确的物理含义。从电动机内部电磁关系入手,建立鼠笼异步电动机旋转坐标系电磁模型,消除磁链变量,避免磁链观测,达到故障诊断的目的。     

基于LSSVM优化的Kriging方法预测煤厚变化研究

针对普通Kriging插值方法中变差函数模型参数求解难、模型选择具有主观性、并不一定能选出最优变差函数模型的局限性,将最小二乘支持向量机与Kriging方法结合起来,利用最小二乘支持向量机较强的非线性回归能力从实际数据中重构变差函数。为了评价该方法的插值精度,将它和传统普通Kriging插值方法相比较,并利用研究区实际煤层厚度数据进行了验证。     

半参数估计用于分离系统误差的试验研究

介绍了半参数模型估计原理,探讨了半参数模型在测量系统误差分离方面相对于传统最小二乘估计的比较优势,并通过MATLAB模拟试验,验证了在含有系统误差的测量平差中,半参数估计结果明显优于传统最小二乘估计结果。     

一种改进的神经元网络及学习算法

本文提出一种改进的神经网络结构,它由线性网络和多层前向网络两部分组成。线性网络部分的参数采用递推最小二乘法辨识,多层前向网络的权值和阈值采用ＢＰ算法学习。由于线性网络的引入及递推最小二乘法的使用,大大提高了网络的学习速度。此外,该网络结构也为基于神经网络模型控制器的设计的简化提供了条件。     

Current situation and future trend of China rare earth luminescent material industry

<正>Rare earth luminescent material is one of the most important application sectors of rare earths.China enjoys the exceptional advantage to develop rare earth luminescent material for its abundant rare earth resources.After several decades'endeavor,China's rare earth luminescent material industry,headed by rare earth phosphor for lamp and LED and high efficient rare earth energy-saving light source,has been gradually developed into a scale industry.China has become a major production base of rare earth phosphor for lamps and rare earth     

China rare earth market review

正June 1~10,2014Rare earth market remained weak.Quoted price of rare earth products was similar to that in May.There was no sign of recovery in downstream market.The market of NdFeB magnetic materials and phosphor was depressed.Catalyst,polishing powder and ceramic industries remained inactive.Demand from downstream industry was soft.Consumers purchased on their needs.Suppliers had strong intention to sell.Prices of rare earth products     

Annual Report analysis of Chinese rare earth-related listed companies in 2013

<正>Chinese rare earth-related listed companies have published their 2013 annual reports.It can be understood from their reports that production and operation activities of Chinese rare earth-related companies were still heavily affected by macro economy and industrial policies.They basically followed the steps of national economy.In 2013,world economy recovered slowly but the economy     

Market opportunities and challenges for rare earth polishing powder

正1.Status of rare earth polishing powder Rare earth polishing powder with high content of cerium oxide began to replace iron oxide for glass polishing and became one of the key materials in glass polishing process since 1940.Compared with traditional iron oxide,rare earth polishing powder has many advantages,such as fast polishing rate,high polishing quality and long service life.It can achieve good surface quality and improve operation conditions.For example,in lens polishing,the polishing work that cerium     

Baotou Research Institute of Rare Earths developed a new RE alloy preparation technology

正Pyrometallurgy Laboratory of Baotou Research Institute of Rare Earths had independently developed a new preparation technology of rare earth alloy for NdFeB.The alloy can remarkably enhance the coercivity of NdFeB magnet but also evidently reduce the production cost of the magnet.The new master alloy was prepared in the kA pilot-scale electrolytic cell by the independent technology.The rare earth master alloy can be used as the raw material for NdFeB.Compared     

矿用防爆轴流对旋主要通风机叶片ANSYS模态分析及应用

高效节能矿用防爆对旋主要通风机的叶片是主要通风机运行的关键部件,叶片在运行时不断受到气流的作用力,从而使叶片产生振动,当叶片振动的频率与叶片的固有频率接近时,容易产生共振从而导致叶片的断裂。一旦叶片断裂时,对主要通风机的安全运行产生致命的影响,从而导致矿山、化工等企业发生重大事故,将会产生不可估量的损失。基于有限元分析软件ANSYS,对高效节能矿用防爆轴流对旋主要通风机叶片进行模态分析及产生对应的六阶模态频率,对主要通风机叶片的运行频率、固有频率及产生的共振问题进行了原理分析,并且解决了叶片频率共振的问题,从而为主要通风机叶片结构设计提供理论依据,并对主要通风机叶片的安全运行提供保障。     

2013 NdFeB export analysis

<正>China totally exported nearly 24,000 tonsof NdFeB products during 201 3,including 18,825 tons of permanent magnet,valued USD 1.34 billion at an average price of 71.4 USD/kg;3,277 tons of NdFeB magnetic powder,valued USD 1 01 million at an average price of 30.9 USD/kg;1,334 tons of strip casting ribbon,with total export value of USD 74million at an average price of 55.3 USD/kg;and 586     

Market and recycling of NiMH battery

<正>Market status and future trend of NiMH battery1.Global market of small NiMH battery Global market size of small NiMH batteries declined year on year since 2011.The trend will continue to 2018,at the rate of 5%to 10%annually.Demand for small NiMH batteries will be stable gradually.Many electrical apparatuses are powered by the built-in lithium battery today,which is the main reason for the shrunk market of small NiMH batteries.But,for some products,small NiMH     

China rare earth market review

正September 1-10,2014 Affected by the National Day holiday,rare earth transaction was stagnant and the market showed a weak steady state.As there was no good news for downstream market,some products with flat demand would likely rally slightly for some time to     

唐口煤矿深部复杂开采工作面瓦斯分源涌出规律研究

研究工作面瓦斯涌出规律对工作面瓦斯治理有重要意义。为了得到唐口煤矿深部3号煤层复杂开采条件下工作面回采时期瓦斯涌出时空演化规律,选取6304工作面作为对象,采用实测方法研究6304工作面瓦斯涌出规律。结果表明:6304工作面瓦斯涌出量为6.534 m³/min,其中煤壁占34.27%,落煤占29.62%,采空区占36.11%;沿工作面倾向由低到高,瓦斯浓度整体为上升趋势,其中1—76号架工作面瓦斯浓度小于0.20%,76—102号架瓦斯浓度上升明显,最大为0.387%;上隅角的后部采空区是工作面的瓦斯主要涌出源,上隅角1号测点瓦斯浓度0.78%,上隅角周边3号、5号、7号、8号、9号测点瓦斯浓度平均为0.643%;周期来压时,上隅角瓦斯相对平时较高。研究为针对性的瓦斯分源监控与灾害防治提供基础。