Assessing Assessment: Can the Expected Effects of the St. Marys River Sea Lamprey Control Strategy Be Detected?

In 1997 the Great Lakes Fishery Commission approved a 5-year (1998 to 2002) control strategy to reduce sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus) production in the St. Marys River, the primary source of parasitic sea lampreys in northern Lake Huron. An assessment plan was developed to measure the success of the control strategy and decide on subsequent control efforts. The expected effects of the St. Marys River control strategy are described, the assessments in place to measure these effects are outlined, and the ability of these assessments to detect the expected effects are quantified. Several expected changes were predicted to be detectable: abundance of parasitic-phase sea lampreys and annual mortality of lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush) by 2001, abundance of spawning-phase sea lampreys by 2002, and relative return rates of lake trout and sea lamprey wounding rates on lake trout by 2005. Designing an effective assessment program to quantify the consequences of fishery management actions is a critical, but often overlooked ingredient of sound fisheries management.     

Evaluating the growth potential of sea lampreys (Petromyzon marinus) feeding on siscowet lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush) in Lake Superior

Differences in the preferred thermal habitat of Lake Superior lake trout morphotypes create alternative growth scenarios for parasitic sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus) attached to lake trout hosts. Siscowet lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush) inhabit deep, consistently cold water (4-6 °C) and are more abundant than lean lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush) which occupy temperatures between 8 and 12 °C during summer thermal stratification. Using bioenergetics models we contrasted the growth potential of sea lampreys attached to siscowet and lean lake trout to determine how host temperature influences the growth and ultimate size of adult sea lamprey. Sea lampreys simulated under the thermal regime of siscowets are capable of reaching sizes within the range of adult sea lamprey sizes observed in Lake Superior tributaries. High lamprey wounding rates on siscowets suggest siscowets are important lamprey hosts. In addition, siscowets have higher survival rates from lamprey attacks than those observed for lean lake trout which raises the prospect that siscowets serve as a buffer to predation on more commercially desirable hosts such as lean lake trout, and could serve to subsidize lamprey growth.     

Spatial and Ontogenetic Variability of Sea Lamprey Diets in Lake Superior

Invasive sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus) remain an important source of fish mortality in the Laurentian Great Lakes, yet assessing their impact is hindered by lack of quantitative diet information. We examined nitrogen and carbon stable isotope ratios (δ¹⁵N and δ¹³C) of sea lamprey and host species in six ecoregions of Lake Superior, mainly in 2002–2004. Data implied that most sea lamprey fed primarily on upper trophic level species, including forms of lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush). However, in Ontario waters, particularly semi-enclosed Black Bay, sea lamprey relied heavily on lower trophic levels, such as coregonines (Coregonus spp.) and suckers (Catostomus spp.). Sea lamprey δ¹⁵N and δ¹³C generally increased with sea lamprey size, implying dependence on higher trophic levels later in life. Most parasitic sea lamprey that we captured were attached to either lean lake trout (35% of observed attachments), lake whitefish (Coregonus clupeaformis; 25%), or cisco (C. artedii; 25%); the latter sea lamprey were typically < 15 g. Survey- and fishery-dependent wounding rate data compiled from 1986–2005 suggest that lean and siscowet lake trout were selectively parasitized by sea lamprey, which is consistent with our stable isotope data. Our results largely support the notion that lake trout are the principal host species in Lake Superior. However, stable isotope evidence that sea lamprey feed at lower trophic levels in some regions argues for comprehensive monitoring of sea lamprey impacts throughout the fish community in systems that sea lamprey have invaded.     

In Situ Determination of the Annual Thermal Habitat Use by Lake Trout (Salvelinus namaycush) in Lake Huron

Records of the temperatures occupied by 33 lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush) at large in Lake Huron were obtained for up to 14 months per fish, at 75-minute intervals, from surgically implanted archival temperature tags. The dataset covered nearly three years, from October 1998 to June 2001, and included 160,000 observations. The objectives of the tagging were to obtain temperature data to refine bioenergetics models of sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus) predation on lake trout, and compare the temperatures occupied by strains of lake trout stocked in Lake Huron. The seasonal, thermal-use profiles of lake trout followed the general warming and cooling pattern of Lake Huron. During periods when the zone of surface water mixing extended below the depth range occupied by lake trout, variability among individual fish and strains was low and followed surface temperature. However, during the period of summer stratification, the average temperatures occupied varied substantially among individual fish and strains. Strains originating from the upper Great Lakes (Lake Superior and Lewis Lake, WY) occupied similar temperatures. Between June and mid August, upper Great Lakes lake trout typically occupied water several degrees warmer than that occupied by lake trout of Finger Lakes, New York origin. Most of the lake trout occupied summer temperatures lower than the preferred temperatures suggested by laboratory studies. In October, all strains occupied water as warm or warmer than that occupied in summer, which may partially explain the higher lethality of sea lamprey attacks during October.     

Seasonal Patterns in Growth,Blood Consumption,and Effects on Hosts by Parasitic-Phase Sea Lampreys in the Great Lakes: An Individual-Based Model Approach

An individual-based model (IBM) was developed for sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus) populations in the Laurentian Great Lakes. The IBM was then calibrated to observed growth, by season, for sea lampreys in northern Lake Huron under two different water temperature regimes: a regime experienced by Seneca-strain lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush) and a regime experienced by Marquettestrain lake trout. Modeling results indicated that seasonal blood consumption under the Seneca regime was very similar to that under the Marquette regime. Simulated mortality of lake trout directly due to blood removal by sea lampreys occurred at nearly twice the rate during August and September under the Marquette regime than under the Seneca regime. However, cumulative sea lamprey-induced mortality on lake trout over the entire duration of the sea lamprey's parasitic phase was only 7% higher for the Marquette regime compared with the Seneca regime. Thus, these modeling results indicated that the strain composition of the host (lake trout) population was not important in determining total number of lake trout deaths or total blood consumption attributable to the sea lamprey population, given the sea lamprey growth pattern. Regardless of water temperature regime, both blood consumption rate by sea lampreys and rate of sea lamprey-induced mortality on lake trout peaked in late October. Elevated blood consumption in late October appeared to be unrelated to changes in water temperature. The IBM approach should prove useful in optimizing control of sea lampreys in the Laurentian Great Lakes.     

Evaluation of sea lamprey-associated mortality sources on a generalized lake sturgeon population in the Great Lakes

Lake sturgeon populations in the Laurentian Great Lakes experience two age-specific mortality sources influenced by the sea lamprey Petromyzon marinus control program: lampricide (TFM) exposure-induced mortality on age-0 fish and sea lamprey predation on sub-adults (ages 7–24). We used a generic age-structured population model to show that although lampricide-induced mortality on age-0 lake sturgeon can limit attainable population abundance, sea lamprey predation on sub-adult lake sturgeon may have a greater influence. Under base conditions, adult lake sturgeon populations increased by 5.7% in the absence of TFM toxicity if there was no change in predation; whereas, a 13% increase in predation removed this effect, and a doubling of sea lamprey predation led to a 32% decrease in adult lake sturgeon. Our estimates of lake sturgeon abundance were highly dependent on the values of life history and mortality parameters, but the relative impacts of ceasing TFM treatment and increasing predation were robust given a status quo level of predation. The status quo predation was based on sea lamprey wounding on lake sturgeon, and improvements in this information would help better define tradeoffs between the mortality sources for specific systems. Reduction or elimination of TFM toxicity on larval lake sturgeon, while maintaining TFM toxicity on larval sea lamprey, can promote lake sturgeon restoration and minimize negative impacts on other fish community members.     

In situ assessment of lampricide toxicity to age-0 lake sturgeon

The lampricides 3-trifluoromethyl-4-nitrophenol (TFM) and 2′, 5-dichloro-4′-nitrosalicylanilide (niclosamide) are used to control sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus), an invasive species in the Great Lakes. Age-0 lake sturgeon (Acipenser fulvescens), a species of conservation concern, share similar stream habitats with larval sea lampreys and these streams can be targeted for lampricide applications on a 3- to 5-year cycle. Previous laboratory research found that lake sturgeon smaller than 100 mm could be susceptible to lampricide treatments. We conducted stream-side toxicity (bioassay) and in situ studies in conjunction with 10 lampricide applications in nine Great Lakes tributaries to determine whether sea lamprey treatments could result in in situ age-0 lake sturgeon mortality, and developed a logistic model to help predict lake sturgeon survival during future treatments. In the bioassays the observed concentrations where no lake sturgeon mortality occurred (no observable effect concentration, NOEC) were at or greater than the observed sea lamprey minimum lethal concentration (MLC or LC99) in 7 of 10 tests. We found that the mean in situ survival of age-0 lake sturgeon during 10 lampricide applications was 80%, with a range of 45–100% survival within streams. Modeling indicated that in age-0 lake sturgeon survival was negatively correlated with absolute TFM concentration and stream alkalinity, and positively correlated with stream pH and temperature. Overall survival was higher than expected based on previous research, and we expect that these data will help managers with decisions on the trade-offs between sea lamprey control and the effect on stream-specific populations of age-0 lake sturgeon.     

Lake charr (Salvelinus namaycush) clotting response may act as a plasma biomarker of sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus) parasitism: Implications for management and wound assessment

Sea lampreys (Petromyzon marinus) have decimated the Great Lakes fisheries over the past century, and their control is central to protecting native fish populations. Wounding data collected from host fish, including classifying wounds as Type A (penetrating the integument) or Type B (superficial), is an integral part of sea lamprey monitoring efforts and helps inform management decisions; however, wound assessment is subjective and error-prone. This study aimed to determine if protein biomarkers of parasitism could be quantified in host fish plasma to serve as a potential objective aide in current wound assessment practices. Male siscowet lake charr (Salvelinus namaycush) were parasitized in a lab setting for four days, after which the sea lamprey was removed, host blood was collected, and the wound Type recorded. A second blood sample was collected from host fish with Type A wounds 7 months later. The plasma proteome was quantified using iTRAQ, and the relative abundances of 169 proteins were compared between parasitized and non-parasitized control fish. Three functional classes of proteins were modified by sea lamprey parasitism: immune response, lipid transport, and blood coagulation. A major finding was evidence of a concerted anticoagulation response in fish with Type A wounds, including changes in protein components and regulators of fibrin clot formation, some of which did not fully recover within 7 months. A modified clotting assay yielded a smaller thrombin-induced fibrin clot from parasitized fish, supporting the proteomic results. Therefore, measuring blood clottability could improve sea lamprey damage estimates by providing a more objective and quantitative index of parasitism than is offered by wounding data alone.     

Survey of Siscowet Lake Trout at Their Maximum Depth in Lake Superior

The siscowet Salvelinus namaycush is a deepwater morphotype of lake trout in Lake Superior. As part of a standardized lake-wide survey in 2006 to assess siscowet populations, bottom-set, multi-mesh gill nets were fished at 36.6 m depth intervals from near shore areas to the deepest waters in south-central Lake Superior. Siscowet length distributions, diet compositions, and sea lamprey wounding rates were compared for three depth zones: shallow (< 200 m), deep (200–394 m), and deepest (395–399 m). There were 39 siscowets collected in proximity to Lake Superior's greatest recorded depth of 405 m. To our knowledge, this is the greatest depth that fish have been collected in the Great Lakes. Higher proportions of siscowets ≤ 500 mm were caught in the shallow zone compared to deeper zones. Deepwater sculpins were the dominant prey for small siscowets (< 600 mm) across all depth zones. The diet of large siscowets (≥ 600 mm) among all depth zones comprised mostly of coregonines and burbot Lota lota. Terrestrial insects were observed in the diet of siscowets in all depth zones, indicating migration to the surface. Type A sea lamprey wounding rates were higher for large (≥ 600 mm) than small siscowets among all depth zones. The highest wounding rate was observed on large siscowets in the deep zone. Recent work indicates that siscowets are the most abundant lake trout form and this research indicates that siscowets use the maximum depths of Lake Superior.     

The Sea Lamprey in Lake Erie: a Case History

Sea lampreys (Petromyzon marinus), first reported in Lake Erie in 1921, emigrated from Lake Ontario via the Welland Canal. It was not until the advent of pollution abatement, stream rehabilitation, and salmonid enhancement programs that sea lampreys proliferated. The Great Lakes Fishery Commission (GLFC), in co-operation with state, provincial, and federal fisheries agencies, implemented an integrated sea lamprey management (IMSL) plan for Lake Erie in 1986. Suppression of sea lampreys was nearly immediate, as indicated by declining larval-, parasitic-, and spawning-phase abundance, while survival of lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush) was markedly improved. Consistent with their vision statement, the GLFC began reducing lampricide use by the mid-1990s, while increasing reliance on alternative control methodologies. Reduction of treatment effort coincided with the development of new lampricide application techniques and treatment selection criteria, in addition to heightened regional concern for the impact of lampricide on non-target species. Subsequently, Lake Erie's sea lamprey numbers have rebounded, and marking rates on lake trout have approached pre-control levels. It is hypothesized that Lake Erie's rising abundance is primarily fuelled by untreated and residual larval populations, although some migration of parasitic-phase sea lampreys from Lake Huron is suspected. Model simulations infer that treatment effort on Lake Erie was sub-optimal from 1995 to 1998. Beginning in 1999, the GLFC enhanced measures to identify and control sources of sea lampreys. Based on historical abundance patterns and model results, it is anticipated that intensified management in Lake Erie will reduce sea lamprey numbers and provide an opportunity for lake trout restoration.     

Classifying Sea Lamprey Marks on Great Lakes Lake Trout: Observer Agreement,Evidence on Healing Times between Classes,and Recommendations for Reporting of Marking Statistics

In 1997 and 1998 two workshops were held to evaluate how consistent observers were at classifying sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus) marks on Great Lakes lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush) as described in the King classification system. Two trials were held at each workshop, with group discussion between trials. Variation in counting and classifying marks was considerable, such that reporting rates for A1–A3 marks varied two to three-fold among observers of the same lake trout. Observer variation was greater for classification of healing or healed marks than for fresh marks. The workshops highlighted, as causes for inconsistent mark classification, both departures from the accepted protocol for classifying marks by some agencies, and differences in how sliding and multiple marks were interpreted. Group discussions led to greater agreement in classifying marks. We recommend ways to improve the reliability of marking statistics, including the use of a dichotomous key to classify marks. Laboratory data show that healing times of marks on lake trout were much longer at 4°C and 1°C than at 10°C and varied greatly among individuals. Reported A1–A3 and B1–B3 marks observed in late summer and fall collections likely result from a mixture of attacks by two year classes of sea lamprey. It is likely that a substantial but highly uncertain proportion of attacks that occur in late summer and fall lead to marks that are classified as A1–A3 the next spring. We recommend additional research on mark stage duration.     

A 90-year record of lake whitefish Coregonus clupeaformis abundances in Michigan waters of the upper Laurentian Great Lakes

Fishery managers throughout the upper Laurentian Great Lakes are currently faced with a two-decade decline in abundance and harvest of lake whitefish Coregonus clupeaformis stocks. We used multivariate auto-regressive state-space (MARSS) models to develop long-term (90-year; 1929–2018) time-series of lake whitefish relative abundance based on commercial catch-per-effort (CPE) data for 13 statistical districts in State of Michigan waters, including 1836 and 1842 Treaty ceded waters, of Lakes Superior, Michigan, and Huron. CPE time-series were used to estimate historical baseline conditions, which were compared to more recent conditions, specifically with reference to select regulatory, environmental, and ecological conditions in each lake and fishing intensity. Population growth rates suggested that lake whitefish stocks responded: (1) negatively to high levels of harvest and expansion of sea lamprey Petromyzon marinus populations during the early-1900s; (2) positively to commercial fishery regulation and sea lamprey control during the late-1950s and early-1960s; and (3) negatively to establishment of dreissenid mussels Dreissena spp. in Lakes Michigan and Huron by 2005 and the recent period of low productivity in all three lakes since the mid- to late-2000s. When placed in a historical context, the most recent (2011–2018) lake whitefish abundances are low, intermediate, and high in 31 %, 46 %, and 23 % of all districts examined. Although environmental and ecological conditions likely drove recent declines, correlation analysis suggested that higher levels of fishing intensity were associated with greater district-specific declines in abundance during the last two decades (1999–2016), a period characterized by lower overall productivity and limited recruitment in most lake whitefish stocks.     

Sea lamprey wounding in Canadian waters of Lake Huron from 2000 to 2009: Temporal changes differ among regions

Lake Huron has undergone a number of substantial changes in recent years, including changes to management of the parasitic sea lamprey, Petromyzon marinus. While control strategies of lamprey involving lampricides have had some success, lamprey spawning in St. Marys River has been a major and persistent problem and has led to intensified treatment beginning in 1998. The objective of our study was to broadly examine lamprey spatial wounding dynamics of lake whitefish (Coregonus clupeaformis) and lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush) within the Canadian waters of Lake Huron from 2000 to 2009. Temporal trends were evident and these differed among regions (North Channel, northern Main Basin, southern Main Basin, northern Georgian Bay, and southern Georgian Bay). There was a monotonic annual increase in probability of wounding for both lake trout and lake whitefish in three of the five regions, with high increases seen in both northern and southern Georgian Bay. The increases in three of the five regions are unexpected given the ongoing treatment of St. Marys River.     

Movement of Sea Lamprey in the Lake Champlain Basin

Sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus) are a nuisance aquatic species in the Great Lakes and Lake Champlain that have devastated native fish populations and hampered the restoration of sport fisheries. This study examined inter-basin movement of sea lamprey in Lake Champlain to identify tributaries that contribute parasitic-phase sea lamprey and provide information for prioritizing those tributaries for sea lamprey control. A total of 4,125 recently metamorphosed sea lamprey was captured in tributaries to Lake Champlain and marked using coded wire tags between the fall of 2001 and winter 2003. These sea lamprey migrated to the lake to prey on salmonids and other fishes and returned to tributaries to spawn about 12–18 months after migration. We recaptured 6 tagged sea lamprey from the lake from spring 2002 through winter 2004, and 35 from tributaries in spring 2003 and 2004. We noted no apparent trends in movement among basins. Sea lamprey were collected at distances up to 64 km from their natal tributaries. Tributary contributions of parasites were significantly different from expectations in the 2002 parasitic-phase cohort (χ² = 9.668, p < 0.011, 3 df), suggesting differential survival rates among out-migrating transformers from different tributaries. Estimates of the lake-wide out-migrating transformer population for the 2002 and 2003 parasitic-phase cohorts were 269,139 ± 55,610 (SD) and 111,807 ± 23,511 (SD). Results from this study suggest that sea lamprey movement is not inhibited by causeways dividing sub-basins, but movement among sub-basins is somewhat constrained. This indicates that management efforts to control sea lamprey should continue to treat the lake as a single system.     

By-catch in the Saginaw Bay,Lake Huron commercial trap net fishery

This study provides species-specific catch and baseline mortality estimates of non-target species (by-catch) for the Saginaw Bay, Lake Huron commercial trap net fishery. By-catch can represent a significant mortality source that is often unknown. By-catch and by-catch mortality rates in the Saginaw Bay commercial trap net fishery, which primarily targets lake whitefish (Coregonus clupeaformis), yellow perch (Perca flavescens), and channel catfish (Ictalurus punctatus), are currently unknown. From May through August 2010, we observed onboard commercial trap net vessels and took species-specific counts of by-catch and estimated initial by-catch mortality (i.e., morbid or floating fish). The high levels of walleye (Sander vitreus) catch and mortality observed within inner Saginaw Bay have not been previously documented in the Laurentian Great Lakes. Walleye by-catch averaged 127.3 individuals per trap net lift and 42% of those caught were morbid. The levels of lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush) catch observed were within the range observed in previous studies, but mortality (percent) was higher than has been previously observed. Lake trout by-catch averaged 39.4 individuals per lift and 39.2% of those were morbid. Through the use of generalized linear models, this analysis also indicated factors that most influenced catch of non-target species including time of year and soak time (i.e., time interval between trap net lifts). Surface water temperature and trap net depth most influenced mortality. These results may inform fishers and fisheries managers and highlight the need for comprehensive by-catch monitoring throughout the Great Lakes.     

Factors affecting recruitment dynamics of Great Lakes sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus) populations

Knowledge of stock–recruitment dynamics is as important for control of pest species such as the sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus) as it is for sustainable harvest management of exploited fish species. A better understanding of spatial and temporal variation in recruitment of pest populations may inform managers on where and when to effectively apply different control methods. Sea lamprey stock–recruitment data combined from streams across the Great Lakes basin into a Ricker stock–recruitment model indicated both compensation (density-dependent survival) and a large amount of density-independent recruitment variation. We evaluated the use of a mixed-effects model to look at common year effects and stream-level variables that could affect productivity and growing season length, with the objective of identifying factors that may explain this density-independent variation in recruitment. After selecting the “best model”, we tested factors that might affect recruitment variation, using a Great Lakes dataset comprising 97 stream–years. Lake Superior tributaries, streams with larger numbers of lamprey competitors, and streams regularly requiring lampricide treatment showed significantly higher recruitment. Alkalinity and thermal regulation did not affect the observed recruitment pattern among streams. In four long-term study streams we observed significant variation among streams, tested as a fixed effect, but no evidence suggested a common pattern of variation among years. Differences in recruitment among streams were consistent with evidence of quality of spawning and larval habitat among streams. Our findings suggest that management models should account for differences in recruitment dynamics among sea lamprey-producing streams, but not common year effects.     

Influence of lake levels on water extent,interspersion, and marsh birds in Great Lakes coastal wetlands

Coastal wetlands in the Laurentian Great Lakes undergo frequent, sometimes dramatic, physical changes at varying spatial and temporal scales. Changes in lake levels and the juxtaposition of vegetation and open water greatly influence biota that use coastal wetlands. Several regional studies have shown that changes in vegetation and lake levels lead to predictable changes in the composition of coastal wetland bird communities. We report new findings of wetland bird community changes at a broader scale, covering the entire Great Lakes basin. Our results indicate that water extent and interspersion increased in coastal wetlands across the Great Lakes between low (2013) and high (2018) lake-level years, although variation in the magnitude of change occurred within and among lakes. Increases in water extent and interspersion resulted in a general increase in marsh-obligate and marsh-facultative bird species richness. Species like American bittern (Botaurus lentiginosus), common gallinule (Gallinula galeata), American coot (Fulica americana), sora (Porzana carolina), Virginia rail (Rallus limicola), and pied-billed grebe (Podilymbus podiceps) were significantly more abundant during high water years. Lakes Huron and Michigan showed the greatest increase in water extent and interspersion among the five Great Lakes while Lake Michigan showed the greatest increase in marsh-obligate bird species richness. These results reinforce the idea that effective management, restoration, and assessment of wetlands must account for fluctuations in lake levels. Although high lake levels generally provide the most favorable conditions for wetland bird species, variation in lake levels and bird species assemblages create ecosystems that are both spatially and temporally dynamic.     

Variability in sea lamprey fatty acid profiles indicates a range of host species utilization in Lake Michigan

Despite being a “top predator”/parasite in the Great Lakes, knowledge of sea lamprey feeding ecology remains hindered by methodological constraints. Particularly, our knowledge of sea lamprey dietary habits is likely biased as it relies primarily on wounding rates of commercially and recreationally caught fish. Biochemical methods provide a means to extract diet information from sea lamprey themselves, and therefore provide a more objective assessment of sea lamprey feeding ecology. Of particular interest is the use of fatty acid profiles to qualitatively describe foraging patterns of sea lamprey. Adult sea lamprey were captured throughout the Lake Michigan basin during spring spawning migrations into rivers, and muscle tissues were analyzed for fatty acid profiles. Exploratory multivariate analyses were used to investigate variation in fatty acid profiles among captured individuals and to compare these to profiles of potential host species. In general, we noted a large variability in fatty acid profiles suggesting a broad spectrum of host species targeted by sea lamprey. Comparing sea lamprey fatty acid profiles with published data on host species, we concluded that sea lamprey feed on a wide variety of host species.     

An evaluation of statistical methods for estimating abundances of migrating adult sea lamprey

We evaluated statistical methods for estimating abundances of adult sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus) migrating in Great Lakes tributaries. The sea lamprey is the target of a basin-wide, bi-national control program. Abundance estimates from mark-recapture data are used to evaluate program success and the efficiency of sea lamprey trapping. Recent tracking studies suggested the mark-recapture estimates of abundance could be biased. We compared four estimators of abundance using stratified (weekly) mark-recapture data for 19?years of trapping in the St. Marys River. Abundances from the pooled Petersen estimator were similar to abundances from the stratified Schaefer and stratified Petersen estimators, but substantially lower than abundances from a stratified Bayesian P-spline estimator. In simulations of virtual populations, pooled Petersen and Bayesian P-spline estimates were similar across a range of conditions where catchability differed between marked and unmarked lamprey and changed over the trapping season, with one exception. Abundances from the Bayesian P-spline estimator were strongly positively biased when catchability of marked lamprey increased over the season, while catchability of unmarked lamprey did not. Estimates from both estimators were negatively biased when lamprey displayed consistent individual differences in catchability and positively biased when a proportion of marked lamprey fell back. Discrepancies between mark-recapture and tracking studies cannot be reconciled by the choice of abundance estimator, but could be an outcome of bias due to individual differences in catchability. Sea lamprey managers could also switch from the stratified Schaefer to the pooled Petersen estimator to simplify field operations without losing accuracy and precision.     

Predation on emergent lake trout fry in Lake Champlain

The rehabilitation of extirpated lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush) in the Great Lakes and Lake Champlain has been hindered by various biological and physiological impediments. Efforts to restore a lake trout fishery to Lake Champlain include hatchery stocking and sea lamprey control. Despite these management actions, there is little evidence of recruitment of naturally-produced fish in annual fall assessments. Spawning occurs at multiple sites lake-wide in Lake Champlain, with extremely high egg and fry densities, yet sampling for juvenile lake trout has only yielded fin-clipped fish. To investigate this recruitment bottleneck, we assessed predation pressure by epi-benthic fish on emergent fry on two spawning reefs and the subsequent survival and dispersal of fry in potential nursery areas. Epi-benthic predators were sampled with 2-h gillnet sets at two small, shallow sites in Lake Champlain throughout the 24-h cycle, with an emphasis on dusk and dawn hours. In total, we documented seven different species that had consumed fry, with consumption rates from 1 to 17 fry per stomach. Rock bass and yellow perch dominated the near-shore fish community and were the most common fry predators. Predator presence and consumption of fry was highest between 19:00 and 07:00. Predators only consumed fry when fry relative abundance was above a threshold of 1 fry trap^− 1 day^− 1. We used an otter trawl to sample for post-emergent fry adjacent to the reef, but did not capture any age-0 lake trout. Due to the observed predation pressure by multiple littoral, species on shallow spawning reefs, lake trout restoration may be more successful at deep, offshore sites.