Optimization of an atmospheric air volumetric central receiver system: Impact of solar multiple,storage capacity and control strategy

Portugal has a high potential for concentrated solar power and namely for atmospheric air volumetric central receiver systems (CRS). The solar multiple and storage capacity have a significant impact on the power plant levelized electricity cost (LEC) and their optimization and adequate control strategy can save significant capital for the investors. The optimized proposed volumetric central receiver system showed good performance and economical indicators.For Faro conditions, the best 4 MW_e power plant configuration was obtained for a 1.25 solar multiple and a 2 h storage. Applying control strategy #1 (CS#1) the power plant LEC is 0.234 €/kWh with a capital investment (CAPEX) of € 22.3 million. The capital invested has an internal rate of return (IRR) of 9.8%, with a payback time of 14 years and a net present value (NPV) of € 7.9 million (considering an average annual inflation of 4%). In the case of better economical indicators, the power plant investment can have positive contours, with an NPV close to € 13 million (annual average inflation of 2%) and the payback shortened to 13 years.     

基于CDM的农村沼气项目经济评价

以电、石油液化气、标准煤为参考燃料,对农村户用沼气池建设进行经济评价,结果表明,在没有CDM项目支持的情况下,一个8 m3的农村户用沼气池的建设项目,其财务净现值为-470.20元,投资回收期为8.18年,财务内部收益率为4.79%,是一个没有经济吸引力的项目;如果得到CDM项目支持,其财务净现值为315.27元,投资回收期为6.09年,财务内部收益率为13.24%,高于12%的农业行业基准收益率,具有一定盈利能力,在经济财务上是可行的.     

Techno-economics of novel refueling stations based on ammonia-to-hydrogen route and SOFC technology

This paper presents the economic assessment of novel refueling stations, in which through advanced and high efficiency technologies, the polygeneration of more energy services like hydrogen, electricity and heat is carried out on-site.The architecture of these polygeneration plants is realized with a modular structure, organized in more sections.The primary energy source is ammonia that represents an interesting fuel for producing more energy streams. The ammonia feeds directly the SOFC that is able to co-generate simultaneously electricity and hydrogen by coupling a high efficiency energy system with hydrogen chemical storage.Two system configurations have been proposed considering different design concepts: in the first case (Concept_1) the plant is sized for producing 100 kg/day of hydrogen and the power section is sized also for self-sustaining the plant electric power consumption, while in the second one (Concept_2) the plant is sized for producing 100 kg/day of hydrogen and the power section is sized for self-sustaining the plant electric power consumption and for generating 50 kW for the DC fast charging.The economic analysis has been carried out in the current and target scenarios, by evaluating, the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH), the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE), the Profitability Index (PI), Internal rate of Return (IRR) and the Discounted Payback Period (DPP).Results have highlighted that the values of the LCOH, for the proposed configurations and economic scenarios, are in the range 6–10 €/kg and the values of the LCOE range from 0.447 €/kWh to 0.242 €/kWh.In terms of PI and IRR, the best performance is achieved in the Concept_1 for the current scenario (1.89 and 8.0%, respectively). On the contrary, in the target scenario, thanks to a drastic costs reduction the co-production of hydrogen and electricity as useful outputs, becomes the best choice from all economic indexes and parameters considered.     

Sustainability of hydrogen refuelling stations for trains using electrolysers

Hydrogen has the potential to become a powerful energy vector with different applications in many sectors (industrial, residential, transportation and other applications) as it offers a clean, sustainable, and flexible alternative. Hydrogen trains use compressed hydrogen as fuel to generate electricity using a hybrid system (combining fuel cell and batteries) to power traction motors and auxiliaries. This hydrogen trains are fuelled with hydrogen at the central train depot, like diesel locomotives. The main goal of this paper is to perform a techno-economic analysis for a hydrogen refuelling stations using on-site production, based on PEM electrolyser technology in order to supply hydrogen to a 20 hydrogen-powered trains captive fleet. A sensitivity analysis on the main parameters will be performed as well, in order to acquire the knowledge required to take any decisions on implementation regarding electricity cost, hydrogen selling price, number of operation hours and number of trains for the captive fleet.The main methodology considers the evaluation of the project based on the Net Present Value calculation and the sensitivity analysis through standard method using Oracle Crystal Ball. The main result shows that the use of hydrogen as an alternative fuel for trains is a sustainable and profitable solution from the economic, environmental and safety points of view.The economic analysis concludes with the need to negotiate an electricity cost lower than 50 €/MWh, in order to be able to establish the hydrogen selling price at a rate higher than 4.5€/kg. The number of operating hours should be higher than 4800 h per year, and the electrolyser system capacity (or hydrogen refuelling station capacity) should be greater than 3.5 MW in order to reach a Net Present Value of 7,115,391 € with a Return of Investment set to 9 years. The result of the multiparametric sensitivity analysis for the Net Present Value (NPV) shows an 85.6% certainty that the project will have a positive result (i.e. profitability) (NPV> 0). The two main variables with the largest impact on Net Present Value are the electrolyser capacity (or hydrogen refuelling station capacity) and the hydrogen selling price. Moreover, a margin of improvement (higher NPV) could be reached with the monetization of the heat, oxygen by-product and CO₂ emission reduction.     

Feed-in tariff design for domestic scale grid-connected PV systems using high resolution household electricity demand data

The advent of large samples of smart metering data allows policymakers to design Feed-in Tariffs which are more targeted and efficient. This paper presents a methodology which uses these data to design FITs for domestic scale grid-connected PV systems in Ireland. A sample of 2551 household electricity demand data collected at 1/2-hourly intervals, electricity output from a 2.82 kW_p PV system over the same time interval as well as PV system costs and electricity tariffs were used to determine the required FIT to make it worthwhile for the households to invest in the PV system. The methodology shows that it is possible to design single, multiple and continuous FITs. Continuous FITs are the most efficient and result in no overcompensation to the housholder while single and multiple FITs are less efficient since they result in different levels of overcompensation. In the PV case study considered, it was shown that the use of three FITs (0.3170, 0.3315 and 0.3475 €/kW h) resulted in a 59.6% reduction in overcompensation compared to a single FIT of 0.3475 €/kW h; assuming immediate and complete uptake of the technology, this would result in NPV savings of over €597 m to the Irish government over a 25 year lifetime.     

Economic assessment of membrane-assisted autothermal reforming for cost effective hydrogen production with CO2 capture

A recent techno-economic study (Spallina et al., Energy Conversion and Management 120: p. 257–273) showed that the membrane assisted chemical looping reforming (MA-CLR) technology can produce H₂ with integrated CO₂ capture at costs below that of conventional steam methane reforming. A key technical challenge related to MA-CLR is the achievement of reliable solids circulation between the air and fuel reactors at large scale under the high (>50 bar) operating pressures required for optimal performance. This work therefore presents process modelling and economic assessments of a simplified alternative; membrane assisted autothermal reforming (MA-ATR), that inherently avoids this technical challenge. The novelty of MA-ATR lies in replacing the MA-CLR air reactor with an air separation unit (ASU), thus avoiding the need for oxygen carrier circulation. The economic assessment found that H₂ production from MA-ATR is only 1.5% more expensive than MA-CLR in the base case. The calculated cost of hydrogen (compressed to 150 bar) in the base case was 1.55 €/kg with a natural gas price of €6/GJ and an electricity price of €60/MWh. Both concepts show continued performance improvements with an increase in reactor pressure and temperature, while an optimum cost is achieved at about 2 bar H₂ permeate pressure. Sensitivities to other variables such as financing costs, membrane costs, fuel and electricity prices are similar between MA-ATR and MA-CLR. Natural gas prices represent the most important sensitivity, while the sensitivity to membrane costs is relatively small at high reactor pressures. MA-ATR therefore appears to be a promising alternative to achieve competitive H₂ production with CO₂ capture if technical challenges significantly delay scale-up and deployment of MA-CLR technology. The key technical demonstration required before further MA-ATR scale-up is membrane longevity under the high reactor pressures and temperatures required to minimize the cost of hydrogen.     

Conceptual design of a Ca–Cu chemical looping process for hydrogen production in integrated steelworks

A novel configuration of the Ca–Cu looping process is proposed for the production of a H₂-enriched fuel gas by means of the sorption enhanced water gas shift (SEWGS) of blast furnace gas (BFG) in steel mills. CO₂ is simultaneously removed from the gas using a CaO-based sorbent. A Cu/CuO chemical loop supplies the energy required for the regeneration of the sorbent via the exothermic reduction of CuO with coke oven gas (GOG). The process is carried out in an arrangement of interconnected fluidized-bed reactors operating at atmospheric pressure, which allows for a solids' segregation step to be introduced that will reduce significantly the solid circulation between reactors A reference case study is presented, where the SEWGS is operated at 600 °C and the regeneration of the sorbent at 870 °C. About 27% of the BFG can be decarbonized in the SEWGS reactor producing 110 Nm³ of H₂ per tonne of steel. A CO₂ capture ratio of 31% with respect to the total carbon emissions in the steel mill can be achieved. More than 60% of the thermal input can be recovered as high-temperature heat, which could be efficiently recovered for producing electricity.     

Fuel cell electric vehicle as a power plant: Fully renewable integrated transport and energy system design and analysis for smart city areas

Reliable and affordable future zero emission power, heat and transport systems require efficient and versatile energy storage and distribution systems. This paper answers the question whether for city areas, solar and wind electricity together with fuel cell electric vehicles as energy generators and distributors and hydrogen as energy carrier, can provide a 100% renewable, reliable and cost effective energy system, for power, heat, and transport. A smart city area is designed and dimensioned based on European statistics. Technological and cost data is collected of all system components, using existing technologies and well-documented projections, for a Near Future and Mid Century scenario. An energy balance and cost analysis is performed. The smart city area can be balanced requiring 20% of the car fleet to be fuel cell vehicles in a Mid Century scenario. The system levelized cost in the Mid Century scenario is 0.09 €/kWh for electricity, 2.4 €/kg for hydrogen and specific energy cost for passenger cars is 0.02 €/km. These results compare favorably with other studies describing fully renewable power, heat and transport systems.     

Techno-economic evaluation of hydrogen refueling stations with liquid or gaseous stored hydrogen

In this study, different hydrogen refueling station (HRS) architectures are analyzed energetically as well as economically for 2015 and 2050. For the energetic evaluation, the model published in Bauer et al. [1] is used and norm-fitting fuelings according to SAE J2601 [2] are applied. This model is extended to include an economic evaluation. The compressor (gaseous hydrogen) resp. pump (liquid hydrogen) throughput and maximum pressures and volumes of the cascaded high-pressure storage system vessels are dimensioned in a way to minimize lifecycle costs, including depreciation, capital commitment and electricity costs. Various station capacity sizes are derived and energy consumption is calculated for different ambient temperatures and different station utilizations. Investment costs and costs per fueling mass are calculated based on different station utilizations and an ambient temperature of +12 °C. In case of gaseous trucked-in hydrogen, a comparison between 5 MPa and 20 MPa low-pressure storage is conducted. For all station configurations and sizes, a medium-voltage grid connection is applied if the power load exceeds a certain limit. For stations with on-site production, the electric power load of the hydrogen production device (electrolyzer or gas reformer) is taken into account in terms of power load. Costs and energy consumption attributed to the production device are not considered in this study due to comparability to other station concepts. Therefore, grid connection costs are allocated to the fueling station part excluding the production device. The operational strategy of the production device is also considered as energy consumption of the subsequent compressor or pump and the required low-pressure storage are affected by it. All station concepts, liquid truck-supplied hydrogen as well as stations with gaseous truck-supplied or on-site produced hydrogen show a considerable cost reduction potential. Long-term specific hydrogen costs of large stations (6 dispensers) are 0.63 €/kg – 0.76 €/kg (dependent on configuration) for stations with gaseous stored hydrogen and 0.18 €/kg for stations with liquid stored hydrogen. The study focuses only on the refueling station and does not allow a statement about the overall cost-effectiveness of different pathways.     

Natural gas exergy recovery powering distributed hydrogen production

Natural gas transmission systems often involve a pressure reduction process that does not make use of the mechanical exergy available in the gas. A moderate fraction of this work potential can be extracted using turbo-machinery. This paper quantifies the energy that can be extracted from various pressure reduction facilities using an expander coupled to an electric generator. Produced electricity can either be routed back into the electric distribution grid or used to produce small amounts of hydrogen. A problem with this process is the variable nature of the gas flow rate entering the facility. For the pressure reduction station data used in this study, the gas flow rate may drop to below one quarter of the peak, reducing the efficiency and production rates of the coupled components. A model has been created to analyze these seasonal variations and to produce generalized functions that allow the hydrogen production potential of any pressure reduction facility to be approximated. If the coupled technologies operate at their assumed peak efficiencies, then electricity can be extracted from the pressure reduction with 75% exergetic efficiency and hydrogen can be produced with 45% exergetic efficiency.     

Technical,economic, and regulatory analysis of the implementation of micro-cogeneration technology in the Brazilian manufacturing sector

Small-scale distributed power generation offers environmental benefits through the improvement of global energy efficiency, in addition to increasing the reliability of the power supply. In this study, the technical and economic viability of the implementation of micro-cogeneration technology in the manufacturing sector was studied in light of the Brazilian regulatory situation. The thermal efficiency potential for the manufacturing sector is introduced for further exploration by decision-makers. This study also investigated the behavior of micro-cogeneration in distributed generation through the Brazilian Energy Compensation System. The technical viability was studied by simulating a Brayton cycle with the operation parameters of a 100 kW micro-turbine. This simulation allowed an estimation of the avoided cost of natural gas compared to an industrial process without cogeneration. Rate projections were performed by linear regression during the system’s depreciation period. The economic evaluation was performed using the following indicators: net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), and discounted payback. Finally, a sensitivity study was performed to project how the micro-cogeneration efficiency and the Brazilian regulations can address future variations of natural gas and electricity rates. Given the conditions of this study, the increase in energy prices favors micro-cogeneration; however, the economic viability is affected if the system operates below 70% of heat use in industrial processes, which reduces the effect of public policies toward the incentive to cogenerate.     

Life cycle energy and environmental analysis of a microgrid power pavilion

Microgrids—generating systems incorporating multiple distributed generator sets linked together to provide local electricity and heat—are one possible alterative to the existing centralized energy system. Potential advantages of microgrids include flexibility in fuel supply options, the ability to limit emissions of greenhouse gases, and energy efficiency improvements through combined heat and power (CHP) applications. As a case study in microgrid performance, this analysis uses a life cycle assessment approach to evaluate the energy and emissions performance of the NextEnergy microgrid Power Pavilion in Detroit, Michigan and a reference conventional system. The microgrid includes generator sets fueled by solar energy, hydrogen, and natural gas. Hydrogen fuel is sourced from both a natural gas steam reforming operation and as a by‐product of a chlorine production operation. The chlorine plant receives electricity exclusively from a hydropower generating station. Results indicate that the use of this microgrid offers a total energy reduction potential of up to 38%, while reductions in non‐renewable energy use could reach 51%. Similarly, emissions of CO₂, a key global warming gas, can be reduced by as much as 60% relative to conventional heat and power systems. Hydrogen fuels are shown to provide a net energy and emissions benefit relative to natural gas only when sourced primarily from the chlorine plant. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Biomass and central receiver system (CRS) hybridization: Volumetric air CRS and integration of a biomass waste direct burning boiler on steam cycle

Concentrated solar power (CSP) plants generate an almost continuous flow of fully dispatchable “renewable” electricity and can replace the present fossil fuel power plants for base load electricity generation. Nevertheless, actual CSP plants have moderate electricity costs, in most cases quite low capacity factors and transient problems due to high inertia. Hybridization can help solve these problems and, if done with the integration of forest waste biomass, the “renewable” goal can be maintained, with positive impact on forest fire reduction. Local conditions, resources and feed in tariffs have great impact on the economical and technical evaluation of hybrid solutions; one of the premium European locations for this type of power plants is the Portuguese Algarve region.Due to the concept innovation level, conservative approaches were considered to be the best solutions. In this perspective, for a lower capital investment 4 MWe power plant scale, the best technical/economical solution is the hybrid CRS/biomass power plant HVIB3S4s with CS3 control strategy. It results in a levelized electricity cost (LEC) of 0.146 €/kWh, with higher efficiency and capacity factor than a conventional 4 MWe CRS. A larger 10 MWe hybrid power plant HVIB3S10s could generate electricity with positive economical indicators (LEC of 0.108 €/kWh and IRR of 11.0%), with twice the annual efficiency (feedstock to electricity) and lower costs than a conventional 4 MWe CRS. It would also lead to a 17% reduction in biomass consumption (approximately 12,000 tons less per year) when compared with a typical 10 MWe biomass power plant – FRB10; this would be significant in the case of continuous biomass price increase.     

A comparative analysis of energy and CO2 taxes on the primary energy mix for electricity generation

In many countries, economies are moving towards internalization of external costs of greenhouse‐gas (GHG) emissions. This can best be achieved by either imposing additional taxes or by using an emission‐permit‐trading scheme. The electricity sector is under scrutiny in the allocation of emission‐reduction objectives, not only because it is a large homogeneous target, but also because of the obvious emission‐reduction potential by decreasing power generation based on carbon‐intensive fuels. In this paper, we discuss the impact of a primary‐energy tax and a CO₂ tax on the dispatching strategy in power generation. In a case study for the Belgian power‐generating context, several tax levels are investigated and the impact on the optimal dispatch is simulated. The impact of the taxes on the power demand or on the investment strategies is not considered. As a conclusion, we find that a CO₂ tax is more effective than a primary‐energy tax. Both taxes accomplish an increased generation efficiency in the form of a promotion of combined‐cycle gas‐fired units over coal‐fired units. The CO₂ tax adds an incentive for fuel switching which can be achieved by altering the merit order of power plants or by switching to a fuel with a lower carbon content within a plant. For the CO₂ tax, 13 €/tonCO₂ is withheld as the optimal value which results in an emission reduction of 13% of the electricity‐related GHG emissions in the Belgian power context of 2000. A tax higher than 13 €/tonCO₂ does not contribute to the further reduction of GHGs. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Pure hydrogen co-production by membrane technology in an IGCC power plant with carbon capture

The CO₂ capture in Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle (IGCC) plants causes a significant increase of the cost of electricity (COE) and thus determines high CO₂ mitigation cost (cost per ton of avoided CO₂ emissions). In this work the economic sustainability of the co-production of pure hydrogen in addition to the electricity production was assessed by detailed process simulations and a techno-economic analysis. To produce pure hydrogen a Water Gas Shift reactor and a Selexol^® process was combined with H₂ selective palladium membranes. This innovative process section was compared with the more conventional Pressure Swing Adsorption in order to produce amount of pure hydrogen up to 20% of the total hydrogen available in the syngas.Assuming for a base case a hydrogen selling price of 3 €/kg and a palladium membrane cost of 9200 €/m², a cost of electricity (COE) of 64 €/MWh and a mitigation cost of 20 €/ton_CO2 were obtained for 90% captured CO₂ and 10% hydrogen recovery. An increase of the hydrogen recovery up to 20% determines a reduction of the COE and of the mitigation cost to 50 €/MWh and 5 €/ton_CO2, respectively. A sensitivity analysis showed that even a 50% increase of cost of the membrane per unit surface could determine a COE increase of only about 10% and a maximum increase of the mitigation cost of further 5 €/ton_CO2.     

Wind energy assessment and wind farm simulation in Triunfo – Pernambuco,Brazil

This paper presents a wind energy assessment and a wind farm simulation in the city of Triunfo in the state of Pernambuco in the northeast region of Brazil. The wind data were obtained from the SONDA (Sistema de Organização Nacional de Dados Ambientais) project’s meteor station (wind speed, wind direction and temperature) at both heights of 50 m during a period of time of 30 months. The Triunfo wind characterization and wind power potential assessment study shows an average wind speed (V) of 11.27 m/s (predominant Southeast wind direction), an average wind power density (P/A_T) of 1.672 W/m² and Weibull parameters shape (K) and scale (A) respectively equal to 2.0 and 12.7 m/s. Those values demonstrate an important wind potential in this region for future wind farm prospection. The wind farm (TRI) was simulated by using 850 kW wind turbines given a total of 20 MW installed. The simulated results show(s) an AEP (annual energy produced) of 111.4 GWh, a capacity factor (C_f) of 62% and a total of 5.462 h of operation by year (full load hours). The economical simulated results show(s) a Pay-back of 3 years Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of 47% and Net Present Value (NPV) of 85.506 k€ (both in a period of time of 20 years).     

Thermo-economic analysis for the optimal conceptual design of biomass gasification energy conversion systems

This study addresses the thermo-economic assessment of a mid-scale (20 MW_th,wood) wood gasification, gas cleaning and energy conversion process, with particular attention given to electricity generation costs and tar control. Product distributions were estimated with a parametric stoichiometric equilibrium model calibrated using atmospheric air gasification data. A multi-objective optimisation problem was defined for a superstructure of alternative energy flow diagrams for each processing step. The trade-off between total investment costs and the exergy efficiency of electricity production was obtained, and analysed to identify operating conditions that minimise tar formation to prevent equipment fouling. The use of air, oxygen or steam fluidised bed gasifiers, closed coupled to an internal combustion engine combined cycle (ICE-CC) requiring cold gas cleaning, or gas turbine combined cycle (GT-CC) requiring hot gas cleaning have been considered. The operating conditions that maximise ICE-CC efficiency with cold gas cleaning (low pressure and high temperatures) also favour minimal tar formation. For GT-CC tar concentrations are higher, but this should not be of concern provided that hot gas cleaning can effectively prevent tar condensation. The trade-off appears to be optimal for steam gasification, with minimal specific costs of 2.1 €/W_e for GT-CC, and 2.7 €/W_e for ICE-CC. However, further calibration of the reaction model is still needed to properly assess product formation for other oxidants than air, and to properly take account of the impact of pressure on product distributions. For air gasification, the minimal specific cost of GT-CC is 2.5 €/W_e, and that of ICE-CC 3.1 €/W_e.     

Fossil fuel reduction potential in Germany's transport sector by wind-to-hydrogen

Wind-to-hydrogen (WH) is a promising option for reducing greenhouse gas emissions in the transport sector. Therefore, the reduction potential of fossil fuels by WH was estimated taking meteorological, geographical, and technical constraints into account. The wind resource estimation is based on the application of the high-resolution (200 m × 200 m) wind speed-wind shear model (WSWS). Together with the power curves of the six most frequently installed wind turbines in 2017, WSWS was used to assess Germany's technical wind energy potential. The WH and fossil fuel reduction potentials were calculated based on proton exchange membrane electrolysis. Results from the wind resource assessment demonstrate that in addition to the currently realized wind energy (89 TWh/yr in 2017), which is directly used for electricity generation, Germany's technical onshore potential for WH is 780 TWh/yr. This amount of renewable energy available for WH could replace 80.1% of the fossil fuels currently used in the transport sector.     

Technical demand response potentials of the integrated steelmaking site of Tata Steel in IJmuiden

Power generation from intermittent renewable energy sources in northwest Europe is expected to increase significantly in the next 20 years. This reduces the predictability of electricity generation and increases the need for flexibility in electricity demand. Data on demand response (DR) capacities of electricity-intensive consumers is limited for most countries. In this paper, we evaluate the DR potential that can be provided to the Dutch national grid by the integrated steelmaking site of Tata Steel in IJmuiden (TSIJ). TSIJ generates electricity from its works arising gases (WAGs). The DR potentials are evaluated by using a linear optimisation model that calculates the optimal allocation of WAGs of TSIJ in case of a call for DR by the transmission system operator. The optimisation is done subject to the technical constraints of the WAG distribution network, WAG storage capacities, the on-site demand for WAGs and the ramp-up rate of the power plant that runs on WAGs. Results show that TSIJ can supply 10 MW for two programme time units (equal to 15-min period in the Netherlands) of positive DR capacity (demand reduction) with an availability rate of 97%. This is not sufficient for participating in the current emergency capacity programs in the Netherlands, which require at least 20 MW for longer than one programme time unit. Tata Steel can provide 20 MW DR capacity with an availability rate of 65%. The negative DR capacity (demand increase) of Tata Steel in IJmuiden is found to be 20 MW supplied for three programme time units and four programme time units with doubling of blast furnace gas storage capacities.     

Sizing and operating power-to-gas systems to absorb excess renewable electricity

Various configurations of power-to-gas system are investigated as a means for capturing excess wind power in the Emden region of Germany and transferring it to the natural gas grid or local biogas-CHP plant. Consideration is given to producing and injecting low concentration hydrogen admixtures, synthetic methane, or hydrogen/synthetic methane mixtures. Predictions based on time series data for wind generation and electricity demand indicate that excess renewable electricity levels will reach about 40 MW and 45 GW h per annum by 2020, and that it is desirable to achieve a progression in power-to-gas capacity in the preceding period. The findings are indicative for regions transitioning from medium to high renewable power penetrations. To capture an increasing proportion of the growing amount of excess renewable electricity, the following recommendations are made: implement a 4 MW hydrogen admixture plant and hydrogen buffer of 600 kg in 2018; then in 2020, implement a 17 MW hybrid system for injecting hydrogen and synthetic methane (with a hydrogen storage capacity of at least 400 kg) in conjunction with a bio-methane injection plant. The 17 MW plant will capture 68% of the available excess renewable electricity in 2020, by offering an availability to the electricity grid operator of >97% and contributing 19.1 GW h of ‘green’ gas to the gas grid.