Automated Statistical Analysis in Stochastic Project Scheduling Simulation

This paper describes a stochastic simulation-based scheduling system (S3) that: (1) integrates the deterministic critical path method (CPM), the probabilistic program evaluation and review technique (PERT), and the stochastic discrete event simulation (DES) approaches into a single system and lets the scheduler make an informed decision as to which method is better suited to the company’s risk-taking culture; (2) automatically determines the minimum number of simulation runs in DES mode and therefore optimizes the simulation process; and (3) provides a terminal method that tests the statistical significance of the differences between simulations, hence eliminating outliers and therefore increasing the accuracy of the DES process. The system is based on an earlier version of the system called stochastic project scheduling simulation and makes use of all the capabilities of this system. The study is of value to practitioners because S3 produces a realistic prediction of the probability of completing a project in a specified time. The study is also of relevance to researchers in that it allows researchers to compare the outcome of CPM, PERT, and DES under different conditions such as different variability or skewness in the activity duration data, the configuration of the network, or the distribution of the activity durations.     

Methodology for Integrated Risk Management and Proactive Scheduling of Construction Projects

An integrated methodology is developed for planning construction projects under uncertainty. The methodology relies on a computer supported risk management system that allows for the identification, analysis, and quantification of the major risk factors and the derivation of their probability of occurrence and their impact on the duration of the project activities. Using project management estimates of the marginal cost of activity starting time disruptions, a heuristic procedure is used to develop a stable proactive baseline schedule that is sufficiently protected against the anticipated disruptions that may occur during project execution and that exhibits acceptable makespan performance. We illustrate the application of the methodology on a real life construction project and demonstrate that our proactive scheduler generates baseline schedules that outperform the schedules generated by commercial software packages in terms of robustness and timely project completion probability.     

Improving Employees’ Work-Life Balance in the Construction Industry: Project Alliance Case Study

Work-life conflict has a damaging effect on job satisfaction, organizational commitment, productivity turnover, and absenteeism. On an individual level, work-life conflict is associated with employee burnout, mental health issues, substance abuse, and diminished family functioning. Thus, work-life balance is an important issue to the construction industry, in terms of both organizational effectiveness and occupational health. Long and inflexible work hours are the most consistent predictor of work-life conflict among construction employees, particularly those working on-site or in a project office. There is considerable resistance to the adoption of new ways of scheduling work within the industry. This paper describes the post hoc evaluation of a compressed work week (reducing the length of the working week, but increasing the length of the working day) in a case study project alliance in Queensland, Australia. Quantitative and qualitative data are presented to demonstrate the beneficial impact of the initiative on employees’ work-life balance. The evaluation provides prima facie evidence that alternative work schedules can improve construction employees’ work-life balance, creating benefits for construction employees and organizations. The paper concludes that project alliances provide an ideal environment in which work-life balance initiatives can help to create high-performance work systems in the construction sector.     

Comparison of Linear Scheduling Model and Repetitive Scheduling Method

Various linear scheduling techniques have been proposed over the years. The limitations on these techniques have been the inability to determine critical activities. Contractors and departments of transportation have identified this need. Recently two different methods have been proposed—the linear scheduling model and the repetitive scheduling method. This paper discusses basic linear scheduling techniques and then the calculation of critical activities of basic linear scheduling elements using the two methods. The results of the two techniques are compared.     

Permutation-Based Particle Swarm Optimization for Resource-Constrained Project Scheduling

In the light of particle swarm optimization (PSO) which utilizes both local and global experiences during search process, a permutation-based scheme for the resource-constrained project scheduling problem (RCPSP) is presented. In order to handle the permutation-feasibility and precedence-constraint problems when updating the particle-represented sequence or solution for the RCPSP, a hybrid particle-updating mechanism incorporated with a partially mapped crossover of a genetic algorithm and a definition of an activity-move-range is developed. The particle-represented sequence should be transformed to a schedule (including start times and resource assignments for all activities) through a serial method and accordingly evaluated against the objective of minimizing project duration. Experimental analyses are presented to investigate the performances of the permutation-based PSO. The study aims at providing an alternative for solving the RCPSP in the construction field by utilizing the advantages of PSO.     

Integrated Electronic Commerce Model for the Construction Industry

The construction industry has been relentlessly searching for technology solutions to enhance its productivity and efficiency. This paper presents an investigation that was conducted to obtain an overview of the current situation of electronic commerce applications using Internet and web-based technologies for the construction industry. A conceptual model named Integrated Electronic Commerce Model for the construction industry is proposed in this paper. Based on this model, construction project scheduling process and its related business activities at the industry and enterprise levels are analyzed to compare the interaction and integration of construction processes, in the electronic commerce environment versus those in the traditional environment.     

Simulation Model to Forecast Project Completion Time

Project cost is most sensitive to its schedule. The construction project environment comprising dynamic, uncertain, but predictable, variables such as weather, space congestion, workmen absenteeism, etc., is changing continuously, affecting activity durations. The reliability of project duration forecast can be enhanced by an explicit analysis to determine the variation in activity durations caused by the dynamic variables. A computer model is used to simulate the expected occurrence of the uncertainty variables. From the information that is collected normally for a progress update of the tactical plan and by simulating the project environment, the combined impact of the uncertainty variables is predicted for each progress period. By incorporating the combined impact in the duration estimates of each activity, the new activity duration distribution is generated. From these activity duration distributions, the probability of achieving the original project completion time and of completing the project at any other time is computed.     

Analysis of Factors Influencing Productivity Using Craftsmen Questionnaires: Case Study in a Chilean Construction Company

Improvement of productivity in construction has been a major industry challenge, given its high impact on project results. It has received increased attention from construction researchers promoting different enhancement actions, since analyzing factors affecting labor productivity is an instrumental part in this process. This paper focuses on identifying and understanding the productivity factors affecting projects in a Chilean construction company on the basis of questionnaires administered to both direct workers and midlevel employees. Analysis of the questionnaire results helped to determine organizational and managerial weaknesses and facilitated comparison of the findings with previous productivity studies. The results proved to be useful in developing recommendations for productivity improvements. The main findings indicate that the critical areas affecting construction productivity were related to materials, tools, rework, equipment, truck availability, and the workers’ motivational dynamics. These results are similar to those obtained in previous studies in the United States and in Chile. Salary expectations were found to be the main reason for turnover in the studied company, which was an aspect not mentioned in previous studies. Finally, additional analyses seem to show that some factors affecting productivity are common to construction projects across boundaries, therefore validating data aggregation and the possibility of learning from experiences in different locations and even separated in time of occurrence.     

Fast and Accurate Risk Evaluation for Scheduling Large-Scale Construction Projects

This paper presents the development of a novel probabilistic scheduling model that enables fast and accurate risk evaluation for large-scale construction projects. The model is designed to overcome the limitations of existing probabilistic scheduling methods, including the inaccuracy of the program evaluation and review technique (PERT) and the long computational time of the Monte Carlo simulation method. The model consists of three main modules: PERT model; fast and accurate multivariate normal integral method; and a newly developed approximation method. The new approximation method is designed to focus the risk analysis on the most significant paths in the project network by identifying and removing insignificant paths that are either highly correlated or have high probability of completion time. The performance of the new model is analyzed using an application example. The results of this analysis illustrate that the new model was able to reduce the computational time for a large-scale construction project by more than 94% while keeping the error of its probability estimates to less than 3%, compared with Monte Carlo Simulation methods.     

Project Scheduling Using Fuzzy Set Concepts

Probabilistic methods are being used increasingly in construction engineering. However, when a parameter is expressed in linguistic rather than mathematical terms, classical probability theory fails to incorporate the information. The linguistic variables can be translated into mathematical measures using fuzzy set and system theory. A construction management problem, i.e., estimation of the duration of an activity, is solved using this theory. In order to implement the proposed technique, various membership functions need to be estimated using judgment or with the assistance of experts. The proposed technique is not sensitive to small variations in the membership values. This is a very desirable property. However, the method is sensitive to the choice of the fuzzy relations. The uncertainty in the fuzzy relations can be modeled along with other sources of uncertainty. The mean and variance of the parameters involved in the problem under consideration are estimated here using a new method. The method maximizes the product of the sum of the membership associations for a certain frequency of occurrence and the corresponding frequency of occurrence. One of the main advantages of the proposed technique is that it can be easily implemented in existing computer programs for project scheduling.     

Integrated Project Delivery Case Study: Guidelines for Drafting Partnering Contract

This paper presents a case study through which a multinational contracting firm aimed to introduce integrated project delivery through strategic partnering into its industry operations. The study reports on a research carried out by the author on behalf of the firm to set out series of principles and guidelines to consider when drafting a standard partnering contract whereby the owner, contractor, suppliers, and manufacturers collaboratively work together under the same terms and conditions. A partnering contract would never, on its own, change the culture and environment of the construction process and thus, strategic partnering should be promoted not only at project specific activities but at all organizational activities. Based on this project, the paper presents a list of ten managerial and contractual issues to promote strategic partnering. The author hopes that the results of this case study would foster legal professionals toward drafting a modern partnering contract, which should help in developing a more effective and efficient contracting environment.     

Activity Object-Oriented Simulation Strategy for Modeling Construction Operations

The application of an object-oriented (OO) approach including the OO modeling concept and the OO programming mechanisms to develop an activity object-oriented (AOO) simulation strategy for modeling construction operations is introduced. After discussing simulation strategies generally used for construction simulation and analyzing the problems related to the simulation strategies, the AOO simulation strategy that guides modeling or controls simulation experiments for construction simulation is introduced. The AOO simulation strategy considers activities to be objects and is able to overcome some pitfalls that result from other general simulation strategies. In addition, the AOO graphical modeling interface associated with the AOO simulation strategy is described. Finally, comparisons of the graphical model or the simulation results of the AOO simulation system with other simulation tools are illustrated.     

Optimal Project Organizational Structure for Construction Management

This study relies on the trend model to investigate various modes of coordination among team members of construction projects. According to the project network developed based on the characteristics of a project, the trend model establishes an activity relationship matrix (ARM) to identify the activity relationships within the construction process. ARM is used to construct an organizational structure for project management and a communication resistance matrix that shows the efficiency of communication and coordination among the members of the project team. To evaluate various organizational structures and their coordination efficiencies, this study utilizes the analytical hierarchy process to quantify the strength of an organizational structure and identify the optimal structure for project management. Through quantitative modeling of communication efficiency among organizational team members, an objective function for calculating the total resistance index is used to determine the optimal organizational structure available to execute the project. This study demonstrates how the trend model may be applied in the future for evaluating the coordination efficiencies of various organizational structures.     

Permutation-Based Elitist Genetic Algorithm for Optimization of Large-Sized Resource-Constrained Project Scheduling

The resource-constrained project scheduling problem (RCPSP) has received the attention of many researchers because its general model can be used in a wide variety of construction planning and scheduling applications. The exact procedures and priority-rule-based heuristics fail to search for the optimum solution to the RCPSP of large-sized project networks in a reasonable amount of time for successful application in practice. This paper presents a permutation-based elitist genetic algorithm for solving the problem in order to fulfill the lack of an efficient optimal solution algorithm for project networks with 60 activities or more as well as to overcome the drawback of the exact solution approaches for large-sized project networks. The proposed algorithm employs the elitist strategy to preserve the best individual solution for the next generation so the improved solution can be obtained. A random number generator that provides and examines precedence feasible individuals is developed. A serial schedule generation scheme for the permutation-based decoding is applied to generate a feasible solution to the problem. Computational experiments using a set of standard test problems are presented to demonstrate the performance and accuracy of the proposed algorithm.     

Efficient Repetitive Scheduling for High-Rise Construction

A new scheduling and cost optimization model for high-rise construction is presented in this paper. The model has been formulated with a unique representation of the activities that form the building’s structural core, which need to be dealt with carefully to avoid scheduling errors. In addition, the model has been formulated incorporating: (1) the logical relationships within each floor and among floors of varying sizes; (2) work continuity and crew synchronization; (3) optional estimates and seasonal productivity factors; (4) prespecified deadline, work interruptions, and resource constraints; and (5) a genetic algorithms-based cost optimization that determines the combination of construction methods, number of crews, and work interruptions that meet schedule constraints. A computer prototype was then developed to demonstrate the model’s usefulness on a case study high-rise project. The model is useful to both researchers and practitioners as it better suits the environment of high-rise construction, avoids scheduling errors, optimizes cost, and provides a legible presentation of resource assignments and progress data.     

Integrated Schedule and Cost Model for Repetitive Construction Process

Several efforts have been made by many researchers to develop a model for schedule and cost integration in construction projects, but it is difficult to integrate and manage schedule and cost in an actual construction site using such a model. The integrated schedule and cost model developed in this study (1) enables the planning and control of repetitive construction processes and (2) can be used by a project manager in an actual construction site. Furthermore, an integrated schedule and cost model for the core wall construction, which is an important repetitive process in the recently booming high-rise building construction in terms of scheduling, was developed using the integration model developed in this study. It is expected that the integrated schedule and cost model developed can allow project managers to integrate the schedule and cost of repetitive construction processes more effectively and support the project managers’ decision-making.     

Integrating Construction Operation and Context in Large-Scale Construction Using Hybrid Computer Simulation

This research proposes a hybrid simulation approach based upon the principles of system dynamics (SD) and discrete event simulation (DES), which facilitates a better understanding of complex interactions among various processes in large-scale construction. The significance of the construction context that interacts with construction operations is highlighted, and a hybrid SD-DES approach is proposed as a means to capture the feedback between the two. In particular, this paper focuses on how to seamlessly integrate SD and DES within the framework of a modeling perspective. For the purpose of substantiating the discussion, a pipeline installation process is modeled using the proposed hybrid approach, with specific consideration given to how the approach can serve to address complex interactions between operation and context.     

Construction Process Reengineering by Integrating Lean Principles and Computer Simulation Techniques

A construction process reengineering framework and its corresponding methodologies have been developed by integrating lean principles and computer simulation techniques. Instead of classifying activities into value-adding and non-value-adding activities, or into conversion and flow activities as is common in lean production practices, this framework classifies activities into main and supportive activities and/or into normal and interactive activities. This classification makes it more effective in modeling the construction workflow and reengineering the construction process. It also avoids the confusion of the classification of activities into value-adding and non-value-adding activities encountered in the construction industry. In addition, computer simulation techniques are incorporated into the framework to virtually simulate and assess the efficiency and effectiveness of the reengineered construction process that is achieved based on lean principles. Simulation makes it easier to quantify and assess the effectiveness and efficiency of the reengineered construction process.     

Site Management of Work-in-Process Buffers to Enhance Project Performance Using the Reliable Commitment Model: Case Study

Buffers have been commonly used as a production strategy to protect construction processes from the negative impact of variability. Construction practitioners and researchers have proposed several buffering approaches for different production situations and contexts. However, these solutions have been impractical for managing buffers. To overcome this, this study proposes a new site methodology for managing work-in-process (WIP) buffer in repetitive projects, on the basis of the reliable commitment model (RCM). RCM is a decision-making tool based on lean principles, which uses statistical models to develop more reliable work plans at the operational level. RCM helps to manage WIP buffer in work plans by using site information and planning reliability indicators that result in improved project performance, such as labor productivity and process progress. A repetitive building project was used as a case study. The main finding was that labor productivity, process progress, and waiting times improved when using larger WIP buffers than those typically used among crews. This shows the potential of RCM as a practical tool to manage WIP buffer sizes and to promote the use of lean production strategies at the operational level.