An EWMA Solution to Detect Shifts in a Bernoulli Process in an Out‐of‐control Environment

The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) control chart has mainly been used to monitor continuous data, usually under the normality assumption. In addition, a number of EWMA control charts have been proposed for Poisson data. Here, however, we suggest applying the EWMA to hypergeometric data originating from a multivariate Bernoulli process. The problem studied in this paper concerns the wear‐out of electronics testers resulting in unnecessary and costly reparations of electronic units. Assuming that the testing process is in statistical control, although the quality of the tested units is not, we can detect the wear‐out of a tester by finding assignable causes of variation in that tester. This reasoning forms the basis of a new EWMA procedure designed to detect shifts in a Bernoulli process in an out‐of‐control environment. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Economic designs of constrained EWMA and combined EWMA-X¯ control schemes

This research presents a comparison between the cost performance of the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) and the combined EWMA-x¯ control chart schemes. In particular, we explore the impact of constraining the in-control average run length on the optimal cost performance of both schemes. Methodologically, we incorporate traditional expected cost models and study the robustness of the two approaches. In general, there appears to be minimal motivation to combine the use of both charts within the same application. The cost model for the combined chart is not a well-behaved function, and yields varying optimal parameters when the in-control average run length is constrained.     

Exponentially weighted control charts to monitor multivariate process variability for high dimensions

Multivariate monitoring of industrial or clinical procedures often involves more than three correlated quality characteristics and the status of the process is judged using a sample of size one. Majority of existing control charts for monitoring process variability for individual observations are capable of monitoring up to three characteristics. One of the hurdles in designing optimal control charts for large dimension data is the enormous computing resources and time that is required by simulation algorithm to estimate the charts parameters. This paper proposes a novel algorithm based on Parallelised Monte Carlo simulation to improve the ability of the Multivariate Exponentially Weighted Mean Squared Deviation and Multivariate Exponentially Weighted Moving Variance charts to monitor process variability for high dimensions in a computationally efficient way. Different techniques have been deployed to reduce computing space and execution time. The optimal control limits (L) to detect small, medium and large shifts in the covariance matrix of up to 15 characteristics are provided. Furthermore, utilising the large number of optimal L values generated by the algorithm enabled authors to develop exponential decay functions to predict L values. This eliminates the need for further execution of the parallelised Monte Carlo simulation.     

Joint Monitoring of Process Mean and Variability with a Single Moving Average Control Chart

Memory based control charts are developed as alternatives to the Shewhart charts for the detection of small sustaining process shifts. Among the widely used memory control charts are the EWMA (Exponentially Weighted Moving Average), CUSUM (Cumulative Sum), and moving average schemes. Relative to the CUSUM chart, the EWMA and moving average charts are quite basic. The EWMA chart uses a weighted average as the chart statistic while the time-weighted moving average chart is based on unweighted moving average. The moving average statistic of width w is simply the average of the w most recent observations. In this article, the use of one moving average control chart to monitor both process mean and variability. This new moving average chart is efficient in detecting both increases and decreases in mean and/or variability.     

Monitoring the coefficient of variation using a variable parameters chart

This article is the first of its kind which proposes a Variable Parameters (VP) chart to monitor the coefficient of variation (CV). Formulae for various performance measures and the algorithms to optimize these performance measures are proposed. The VP CV chart consistently outperforms the five alternative CV charts in the literature, for all shift sizes. Compared to the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) CV² chart, the VP CV chart outperforms it for moderate and large shift sizes, while for small shift sizes, the EWMA CV² chart outperforms the VP CV chart. Subsequently, the VP CV chart is implemented on an industrial example.     

A side-sensitive synthetic coefficient of variation chart

Control charts for monitoring the coefficient of variation (γ) are useful for processes with an inconsistent mean (μ) and a standard deviation (σ) which changes with μ, by monitoring the consistency in the ratio σ over μ. The synthetic-γ chart is one of the charts proposed to monitor γ, and its attractiveness lie in waiting until a second point to fall outside the control limits before a decision is made. However, existing synthetic-γ charts do not differentiate between the points falling outside the upper control limit (UCL) and lower control limit (LCL). Hence, this paper proposes a side-sensitive synthetic-γ chart, where successive nonconforming samples must either fall above the UCL or below the LCL. Formulae to compute the average run length (ARL), the standard deviation of the run length (SDRL) and expected average run length (EARL) are derived using the Markov chain approach, and the algorithms to obtain the optimal charting parameters are proposed. Subsequently, the optimal charting parameters, ARL, SDRL and EARL values for various numerical examples are shown. Comparisons show that the side-sensitive synthetic-γ chart consistently outperforms the existing synthetic-γ chart, especially for small shifts. The proposed chart also consistently outperforms the Shewhart-γ chart, while showing comparable or better performance than the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) chart for most shift sizes, except for very small shifts. Finally, this paper shows the implementation of the proposed chart on an industrial example.     

EWMA Control Chart for Poisson–Exponential Lifetime Distribution Under Type I Censoring

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts are widely used for the detection of small shifts as opposed to Shewhart charts, which are commonly used for the detection of large‐size shifts in a process. Many interesting features of EWMA charts are available in literature mainly for complete data. This study intends to investigate the EWMA control charts under Type‐I censoring for Poisson–exponential distributed lifetimes. The two commonly used sampling schemes, that is, simple random sampling and rank set sampling, are used in this study. The monitoring of mean level shifts using censored data is of a great interest in many applied problems. The idea of conditional expected values is employed in the monitoring of small mean level shifts in the current study. The performance of the EWMA charts is evaluated using the average run length extra quadratic loss and performance comparison index measures. The optimum sample‐size comparisons for the specified and unspecified parameter are also part of this study. Moreover, an illustrative example and a case study for practical considerations are also discussed. It is observed that varying censoring rates affect the performance of the chart depending upon the type of sampling scheme and the amount of shifts. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Run length quantiles of EWMA control charts monitoring normal mean or/and variance

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts are well-established devices for monitoring process stability. Typically, control charts are evaluated by considering their Average Run Length (ARL), that is the expected number of observations or samples until the chart signals. Because of the limitations of an average, various papers also dealt with the run length distribution and quantiles. Going beyond these papers, we develop algorithms for and evaluate the quantile performance of EWMA control charts with variance adjusted control limits and with fast initial response features, of EWMA charts based on the sample variance, and of EWMA charts simultaneously monitoring mean and variance. Additionally, for the mean charts we consider medium, late and very late process changes and their impact on appropriately conditioned run length quantiles. It is demonstrated that considering run length quantiles can protect from constructing distorted EWMA designs while optimising their zero-state ARL performance. The implementation of all the considered measures in the R package ‘spc’ allows any control chart user to consider EWMA schemes from the run length quantile prospective in an easy way.     

A Flexible and Generalized Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Count Data

The Conway–Maxwell–Poisson distribution can be used to model under‐dispersed or over‐dispersed count data. This study proposes a flexible and generalized attribute exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA), namely GEWMA, control chart for monitoring count data. The proposed EWMA chart is based on the Conway–Maxwell–Poisson distribution. The performance of the proposed chart is evaluated in terms of run length (RL) characteristics such as average RL, median RL, and standard deviation of the RL distribution. The average RL of the proposed GEWMA chart is compared with Sellers chart. The sensitivity of the standard Poisson EWMA (PEWMA) chart is also studied and compared with the proposed GEWMA chart for under‐dispersed or over‐dispersed data. It has been observed that the PEWMA chart is very sensitive for under‐dispersed or over‐dispersed data while the proposed GEWMA is very robust. Finally, the generalization of the proposed chart to the Bernoulli EWMA, PEWMA, and geometric EWMA charts is also studied using someone simulated data sets. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A New Synthetic Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring Process Dispersion

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts have been widely recognized as a potentially powerful process monitoring tool of the statistical process control because of their excellent speed in detecting small to moderate shifts in the process parameters. Recently, new EWMA and synthetic control charts have been proposed based on the best linear unbiased estimator of the scale parameter using ordered ranked set sampling (ORSS) scheme, named EWMA‐ORSS and synthetic‐ORSS charts, respectively. In this paper, we extend the work and propose a new synthetic EWMA (SynEWMA) control chart for monitoring the process dispersion using ORSS, named SynEWMA‐ORSS chart. The SynEWMA‐ORSS chart is an integration of the EWMA‐ORSS chart and the conforming run length chart. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations are used to estimate the run length performances of the proposed control chart. A comprehensive comparison of the run length performances of the proposed and the existing powerful control charts reveals that the SynEWMA‐ORSS chart outperforms the synthetic‐R, synthetic‐S, synthetic‐D, synthetic‐ORSS, CUSUM‐R, CUSUM‐S, CUSUM‐ln S², EWMA‐ln S² and EWMA‐ORSS charts when detecting small shifts in the process dispersion. A similar trend is observed when the proposed control chart is constructed under imperfect rankings. An application to a real data is also provided to demonstrate the implementation and application of the proposed control chart. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Improved CUSUM monitoring of Markov counting process with frequent zeros

There has been a growing interest in monitoring processes featuring serial dependence and zero inflation. The phenomenon of excessive zeros often occurs in count time series because of the advancement of quality in manufacturing process. In this study, we propose three control charts, such as the cumulative sum chart with delay rule (CUSUM‐DR), conforming run length (CRL)‐CUSUM chart, and combined Shewhart CRL‐CUSUM chart, to enhance the performance of monitoring Markov counting processes with excessive zeros. Numerical experiments are conducted based on integer‐valued autoregressive time series models, for example, zero‐inflated Poisson INAR and INARCH, to evaluate the performance of the proposed charts designed for the detection of mean increase. A real example is also illustrated to demonstrate the usability of our proposed charts.     

M‐ATTRIVAR: An attribute‐variable chart to monitor multivariate process means

In this paper, an attribute‐variable control chart, namely, M‐ATTRIVAR, is introduced to monitor possible shifts in a vector of means. The monitoring starts using an attribute chart (classifying the units as approved or not using a gauge) and continues in such a way until a warning signal is given, shifting the control to a variable chart for the next sampling. If the variable chart does not confirm the warning, the monitoring returns to an attribute control. Otherwise, the monitoring remains with the variable chart. Whenever any of the charts (attribute or variable) signals an alarm, the control scheme triggers an alarm. The main advantage of this new proposal is the possibility of judging the state of the process only by the attribute chart most of the time (normally more economical and faster). The performance of the M‐ATTRIVAR control chart is compared versus the main competitor (T² control chart) in terms of performance detection (out‐of‐control average run length) but also economically (average sampling cost). The M‐ATTRIVAR is always cheaper than T², and in many scenarios, it detects quicker process shifts than the T² control chart. A numerical example illustrates a practical situation.     

A New Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring Process Dispersion

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts have been widely recognized as an advanced statistical process monitoring tool due to their excellent performance in detecting small to moderate shifts in process parameters. In this paper, we propose a new EWMA control chart for monitoring the process dispersion based on the best linear unbiased absolute estimator (BLUAE) obtained under paired ranked set sampling (PRSS) scheme, which we name EWMA‐PRSS chart. The performance of the EWMA‐PRSS chart is evaluated in terms of the average run length and standard deviation of run length, estimated using Monte Carlo simulations. These control charts are compared with their existing counterparts for detecting both increases and decreases in the process dispersion. It is observed that the proposed EWMA‐PRSS chart performs uniformly better than the EWMA dispersion charts based on simple random sampling and ranked set sampling (RSS) schemes. We also construct an EWMA chart based on imperfect PRSS (IPRSS) scheme, named EWMA‐IPRSS chart, for detecting overall changes in the process variability. It turns out that, with reasonable assumptions, the EWMA‐IPRSS chart outperforms the existing EWMA dispersion charts. A real data set is used to explain the construction and operation of the proposed EWMA‐PRSS chart. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Multiple Attribute Control Charts with False Discovery Rate Control

The statistical cumulative sum (CUSUM) chart is a powerful tool for monitoring the attribute quality variable in manufacturing industry. In this article, we studied the multiplicity problem caused by simultaneously monitoring more than one attribute quality variable. Multiple binomial and Poisson CUSUM charts incorporating a multiple hypothesis testing technique known as false discovery rate control were proposed. The procedures for establishing the new control schemes were presented, and the performance of the new methods was evaluated using Monte Carlo simulation. The approximation methods for obtaining the p‐values of the CUSUM statistics for conducting the new control schemes were also provided and evaluated. The new methods were also illustrated with a real example. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Multivariate multiple sampling charts

A new multivariate statistical process control scheme, the Multivariate Multiple Sampling (MMS) control chart scheme, is proposed in this paper. A MMS chart is a multivariate extension of a double sampling X-bar control chart with at least two sampling stages. In the paper, a statistical design optimization procedure to design the MMS chart is presented and the performance of the MMS chart is investigated. The statistical efficiency in terms of average run length of the MMS chart is compared with that of the Hotelling chart both with and without variable sampling schemes, a multivariate CUMulative SUM (CUSUM) chart, and a multivariate Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) chart. The ability of the MMS chart to handle the worst-case scenario is also investigated and compared with that of the multivariate EWMA and CUSUM charts. The results of the investigation show that even with only two sampling stages, the MMS chart provides an improvement in efficiency in detecting small shifts over the Hotelling chart without variable sampling schemes. When the number of sampling stages is equal to two, the MMS chart is better in detecting large shifts and the multivariate EWMA and CUSUM charts are better in detecting relatively small shifts. As the number of sampling stages is increased beyond two, the improvement in sensitivity of the MMS chart in detecting the small shifts increases. When the number of sampling stages ≥3, the MMS chart begins to give a better performance than a Hotelling chart with a variable sampling scheme for small shifts and is also better than a multivariate EWMA chart for both small and large shifts. As the number of sampling stages ≥4, the MMS chart begins to give a better performance than a multivariate CUSUM chart for both small and large shifts. The results of the investigation also show that the MMS chart outperforms the multivariate EWMA and CUSUM charts in the worst-case scenario situation.     

New Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Charts for Monitoring Process Dispersion

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts have received considerable attention for detecting small changes in the process mean or the process variability. Several EWMA control charts are constructed using logarithmic and normalizing transformations on unbiased sample variance for monitoring changes in the process dispersion. In this paper, we propose new EWMA control charts for monitoring process dispersion based on the best linear unbiased absolute estimators obtained under simple random sampling (SRS) and ranked set sampling (RSS) schemes, named EWMA‐SRS and EWMA‐RSS control charts. The performance of the proposed EWMA control charts is evaluated in terms of the average run length and standard deviation of run length, estimated by using Monte Carlo simulations. The proposed EWMA control charts are then compared with their existing counterparts for detecting increases and decreases in the process dispersion. It turns out that the EWMA‐RSS control chart performs uniformly better than its analogues for detecting overall changes in process dispersion. Moreover, the EWMA‐SRS chart significantly outperforms the existing EWMA charts for detecting increases in process variability. A real data set is also used to explain the construction and operations of the proposed EWMA control charts. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An EWMA-based process mean estimator with dynamic tuning capability

In this paper, we focus on the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) process mean estimator and its application to process adjustment. A novel dynamic-tuning EWMA estimator is proposed that has the capability of adjusting the control parameter dynamically in response to the underlying process random shifts. The current run's process mean is estimated using the EWMA equation and the newly adjusted control parameter. It is shown that the proposed estimator is very easy to implement and effective under many disturbance situations. Both industrial field data and Monte Carlo simulations are used to validate its performance.     

New Synthetic Control Charts for Monitoring Process Mean and Process Dispersion

A statistical quality control chart is widely recognized as a potentially powerful tool that is frequently used in many manufacturing and service industries to monitor the quality of the product or manufacturing processes. In this paper, we propose new synthetic control charts for monitoring the process mean and the process dispersion. The proposed synthetic charts are based on ranked set sampling (RSS), median RSS (MRSS), and ordered RSS (ORSS) schemes, named synthetic‐RSS, synthetic‐MRSS, and synthetic‐ORSS charts, respectively. Average run lengths are used to evaluate the performances of the control charts. It is found that the synthetic‐RSS and synthetic‐MRSS mean charts perform uniformly better than the Shewhart mean chart based on simple random sampling (Shewhart‐SRS), synthetic‐SRS, double sampling‐SRS, Shewhart‐RSS, and Shewhart‐MRSS mean charts. The proposed synthetic charts generally outperform the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart based on SRS in the detection of large mean shifts. We also compare the performance of the synthetic‐ORSS dispersion chart with the existing powerful dispersion charts. It turns out that the synthetic‐ORSS chart also performs uniformly better than the Shewhart‐R, Shewhart‐S, synthetic‐R, synthetic‐S, synthetic‐D, cumulative sum (CUSUM) ln S², CUSUM‐R, CUSUM‐S, EWMA‐ln S², and change point CUSUM charts for detecting increases in the process dispersion. A similar trend is observed when the proposed synthetic charts are constructed under imperfect RSS schemes. Illustrative examples are used to demonstrate the implementation of the proposed synthetic charts. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Change Point Estimation in the Mean of Multivariate Linear Profiles with No Change Type Assumption via Dynamic Linear Model

Change point estimation is a useful concept that helps quality engineers to effectively search for assignable causes and improve quality of the process or product. In this paper, the maximum likelihood approach is developed to estimate change point in the mean of multivariate linear profiles in Phase II. After the change point, parameters are estimated through filtering and smoothing approaches in dynamic linear model. The proposed change point estimator can be applied without any prior knowledge about the change type against existing estimators which assume change type is known in advance. Besides, sporadic change point can be identified as well. Simulation results show the effectiveness of the proposed estimators to estimate step, drift and monotonic, as well as sporadic changes in small to large shifts. In addition, effect of different values of the Multivariate Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (MEWMA) control chart smoothing coefficient on the performance of the proposed estimator is investigated presenting that the smoothing estimator has more uniform performance. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Statistically constrained economic design of the multivariate exponentially weighted moving average control chart

This paper shows that economic statistical design can provide for better statistical properties without significantly increasing optimal total costs. Cost comparisons between optimal economic statistical designs and optimal economic designs show no significant cost increases. The average run length (ARL) constraints added by economic statistical design significantly improve the statistical properties of the control chart scheme. False alarm frequency is limited while keeping good shift detection characteristics. In addition, the Multivariate Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (MEWMA) control schemes performed better from the cost standpoint than the benchmark pure statistical design—the Hotelling T² control chart. This improvement held for unconstrained and constrained designs. Finally, cost comparisons at small values of n showed significant advantage for the MEWMA schemes. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.