基于前景理论的风险型混合模糊多准则群决策

针对准则值为模糊数的风险型多准则群决策问题,提出一种基于前景理论的多准则群决策方法.首先运用方差分析原理构建群决策参考点;然后分析区间数、三角模糊数、梯形模糊数等无量纲化方法,给出各类模糊数的价值函数计算方法,并提出群体信息集成决策步骤;最后通过算例表明所提出方法的有效性和可行性.     

基于语言评价和前景理论的多准则决策方法

针对风险决策问题,提出一种基于语言评价和前景理论的多准则决策方法．该方法首先将基于语言信息的决策矩阵转化为基于区间数的决策矩阵,并定义一个区间数之间的差函数,给出各准则的参考点,得到前景结果矩阵;然后,通过价值函数和决策权重函数计算方案在各准则下的前景值,并通过加权平均获得方案的前景值;最后,根据前景值的大小给每个方案排序并得到最优方案．实例分析结果表明了该方法的可行性．

     

基于前景理论和VIKOR的风险型模糊多准则决策方法

针对准则值均为模糊数的风险型多准则决策问题,提出一种基于前景理论和VIKOR的多准则决策方法。首先,进行区间数、三角模糊数、梯形模糊数、直觉模糊数和语言值的无量纲化处理;然后,基于各个准则各种状态下各个方案的准则值排序,确定中位数参考点以及各个方案在各个准则下的综合前景值;接着,基于前景价值矩阵,给出基于VIKOR的扩展方法;最后,通过具体实例验证了所提出方法的有效性和可行性。     

一种基于前景随机占优准则的随机多属性决策方法

针对属性值为随机变量的随机多属性决策问题,提出一种决策分析方法.该方法将决策者的行为因素引入随机多属性决策,将具有随机变量的决策矩阵转化为关于参考点的收益和损失矩阵,依据前景随机占优准则判断并确定两两方案之间比较所具有的占优关系,并构建相应的前景随机占优关系矩阵.在此基础上,运用PROMETHEE Ⅱ方法得到了方案的排序结果.通过一个算例验证了所提出方法的可行性和有效性.     

基于前景理论的信息不完全的模糊多准则决策方法

针对准则权重不完全确定且方案的准则值为梯形模糊数的多准则决策问题,提出一种基于前景理论的模糊多准则决策方法.该方法将决策者的风险心理因素引入多准则决策,根据前景理论及模糊数距离公式,定义梯形模糊数的前景价值函数,并以此构建方案综合前景值最大化的非线性规划模型,求解模型得出最优权向量,最终确定出方案的排序.最后通过实例说明了该方法的有效性和可行性.     

基于前景理论和统计推断的区间数多准则决策方法

针对准则权重不完全确定且准则值为区间数的多准则群决策问题,提出一种基于前景理论的多准则决策方法。基于统计推断原理,以各准则下的方案值为样本推断其发生的概率,进而确定期望值参考点。基于区间数可能度确定价值函数,以方案区分度最大为目标构建非线性优化模型并确定方案排序。最后,通过实例分析表明了所提出方法的有效性和可行性。     

基于改进前景理论的直觉模糊随机多准则决策方法

针对方案准则值为直觉模糊数、准则权重信息部分已知的随机多准则决策问题,提出一种基于改进前景理论的决策分析方法.首先,定义一个新的记分函数,据此可将直觉模糊数转化为实数.其次,考虑到决策者并非完全理性及决策者风险态度的差异性,将决策者分为保守型、 中间型及冒险型,引入改进前景理论,根据不同决策者类型调整参数,构建改进前景决策矩阵.再次,建立以准则值总差异最大化且准则权重差异最小化为目标的非线性二次偏差优化定权模型,计算准则权重.进而,结合改进前景决策矩阵及准则权重计算各方案的综合效用值,并以此确定方案的顺序排列.最后,通过算例验证所提出直觉模糊随机多准则决策方法的有效性和合理性.     

基于直觉语言集结算子的多准则决策方法

定义了直觉语言数及其运算法则、期望值、得分函数和精确函数以及直觉语言加权算术平均算子和加权几何平均算子.针对准则值为直觉语言数的多准则决策问题,提出了一种基于直觉语言集结算子的决策方法.该方法利用集结算子对准则进行集成,得到再方案的综合直觉语言数,通过比较各方案综合直觉语言数的得分函数值和精确函数值得到方案集的排序.实例分析表明了该方法的有效性和可行性.     

一种多准则纯语言群决策方法

针对权系数信息和方案的准则值为确定语言等级,或位于两个语言等级之间,甚至缺失的群决策问题,提出一种新的决策方法.该方法利用证据推理算法对准则权系数和方案值在准则下进行群体集成,采用二元语义对方案进行语言集结,并用方案与理想方案的二元语义间距离和群体集成信息等构建非线性规划模型,使用遗传算法求解优化模型,进而得到方案的排序.最后通过实例说明该方法的可行性和有效性.     

基于证据理论和前景理论的犹豫-直觉模糊语言多准则决策方法

在犹豫模糊语言和直觉模糊语言的基础上,提出一种新的犹豫-直觉模糊语言集,并定义得分函数、精确函数和Hamming距离公式.针对准则值为犹豫-直觉模糊语言的不确定多准则决策问题,构建基于证据理论和前景理论的拓展型VIKOR方法.该决策方法利用证据理论处理自然状态发生的概率未知的不确定状况,应用前景理论刻画人在做决策时的有限理性行为,使决策结果更能反映实际情况.最后,通过算例表明了所提出方法的有效性和可行性.     

基于前景理论的毕达哥拉斯二元语义PROMETHEE决策方法

针对属性值为毕达哥拉斯二元语义数(P2TLN)的多属性决策问题,考虑到决策者的有限理性行为,提出基于前景理论的偏好顺序结构排序法(PROMETHEE)的决策方法。首先,介绍毕达哥拉斯二元语义集的相关概念,并对现有P2TLN的距离进行改进,提出一种基于得分函数和精确函数的P2TLN距离,并证明其性质;其次,为体现决策者在比较决策信息时的风险偏好,利用前景价值函数构造P2TLN的优先函数,并以此对方案进行两两比较,从而计算各方案的净流量,进而对各方案进行排序。最后,通过物流公司的评估实例说明所提方法的可行性和有效性。     

Multiple attribute decision making considering aspiration-levels: A method based on prospect theory

In this paper, a method based on prospect theory is proposed to solve the multiple attribute decision making (MADM) problem considering aspiration-levels of attributes, where attribute values and aspiration-levels are represented in two different formats: crisp numbers and interval numbers. According to the idea of prospect theory, aspiration-levels are firstly regarded as the reference points, and the four possible types for comparing an attribute value with an aspiration-level are described. Then, for all possible cases of the four types, the calculation formulae of gains and losses of alternatives concerning attributes are given. By calculating gain and loss of each alternative, a gain matrix and a loss matrix are constructed, respectively. Further, using the value function proposed in prospect theory and the simple additive weighting method, the overall prospect value of each alternative is calculated. Based on the obtained overall prospect values, a ranking of alternatives can be determined. Finally, a numerical example is used to illustrate the use of the proposed method.     

Consensus building in multiperson decision making with heterogeneous preference representation structures: A perspective based on prospect theory

Multiperson decision making (MPDM) models with heterogeneous preference representation structures have initiated by Chiclana et al. In this study, we propose a novel framework for MPDM problems with heterogeneous preference representation structures. This framework takes the decision makers’ psychological behaviors into consideration and is based on the prospect theory, which is one of the most influential psychological behavior decision theories. In this framework, the heterogeneous preference representation structures are all transformed into preference orderings. The preference-approval structures are introduced to determine the reference points in prospect theory, and then the prospect value function is used to obtain individual and collective prospect values. Finally, based on the prospect values and preference-approval structures, we propose the two-step feedback adjustment rules, which will adjust both the preference evaluations and the preference-approval information, to help the decision makers reach higher consensus degree. Further, we find that there are two significant observations in this framework: (1) the uses of different reference points will yield different outputs of the selection process in MPDM; (2) compared with only adjusting the preference evaluations in the existing studies, the pace of consensus reaching will be accelerated in adjusting both the preference evaluations and the preference-approval information.     

基于前景理论的交互式群组风险决策方法

为了克服现有方法因立论假设过于理想而存在决策结果的科学性和满意性较差以及决策过程效率低下等缺陷,基于前景理论构建了能够吸纳多种模糊信息且能从中识别有效前景的优选模型及判别定理,并针对结果价值的交互学习提出了具有收敛性的交互式决策方法。数值模拟分析表明,所提出的方法既能反映群组成员风险偏好,保证决策结果具有科学性、满意性,又能平衡信息完善程度与其获取成本之间的矛盾关系,保证决策过程具有有效性和可行性。     

Adaptive linguistic weighted aggregation operators for multi-criteria decision making

In this paper, we propose new aggregation operators for multi-criteria decision making under linguistic settings. The proposed operators are based on two sets of criteria weights. Besides the primary conventional criteria weights, we introduce a method to deduce secondary criteria weights from the criteria evaluations, which reflect the role of the different criteria in discriminating among the alternatives. The properties of the proposed operators are investigated. An approach for the application of the said operators in a group multi-criteria decision making problem is presented. Following the same, the proposed operators are applied in a case study on supplier selection. The empirical validation of the proposed operators is performed on a set of 12 real datasets.Note: All usages of he, him, his in the paper, also refer to she, and her.     

一种基于二元语义的混合型多属性决策方法

针对指标权重未知的混合型多属性决策问题,提出一种基于二元语义的决策方法.首先,定义了语言评价变量与三角模糊数的转化规则和二元语义之间的距离,给出了不同类型指标数据与二元语义的转化;然后,利用与正理想解灰色关联度偏差最小原理,确定了属性的指标权重,并利用二元语义加权算术平均值对方案进行排序;最后,通过应用案例说明了所提方法的决策步骤,并与TOPSIS方法进行了比较,表明了所提方法的有效性和优越性.     

Group decision making based on multiple types of linguistic preference relations

In this paper, we investigate group decision making problems with multiple types of linguistic preference relations. The paper has two parts with similar structures. In the first part, we transform the uncertain additive linguistic preference relations into the expected additive linguistic preference relations, and present a procedure for group decision making based on multiple types of additive linguistic preference relations. By using the deviation measures between additive linguistic preference relations, we give some straightforward formulas to determine the weights of decision makers, and propose a method to reach consensus among the individual preferences and the group’s opinion. In the second part, we extend the above results to group decision making based on multiple types of multiplicative linguistic preference relations, and finally, a practical example is given to illustrate the application of the results.     

A method for multiple attribute decision making with incomplete weight information in linguistic setting

The aim of this paper is to investigate the multiple attribute decision making problems with linguistic information, in which the information about attribute weights is incompletely known, and the attribute values take the form of linguistic variables. We first introduce some approaches to obtaining the weight information of attributes, and then establish an optimization model based on the ideal point of attribute values, by which the attribute weights can be determined. For the special situations where the information about attribute weights is completely unknown, we establish another optimization model. By solving this model, we get a simple and exact formula, which can be used to determine the attribute weights. We utilize the numerical weighting linguistic average (NWLA) operator to aggregate the linguistic variables corresponding to each alternative, and then rank the alternatives by means of the aggregated linguistic information. Finally, the developed method is applied to the ranking and selection of propulsion/manoeuvring system of a double-ended passenger ferry.     

基于前景理论的具有指标期望的多指标决策方法

针对决策者给出单一与组合指标期望情形的多指标决策问题, 提出一种基于前景理论的决策分析方法. 首先, 依据前景理论将决策者给出的指标期望视为参照点, 分别计算各方案针对各单一与各组合指标期望的前景价值,并构建各方案的综合前景价值向量; 然后, 将原始决策问题转化为相应的广义优序模糊约束满意问题(GPFCSP), 进而计算各方案针对相应推理准则的总体满意度, 并据此对各方案进行排序; 最后, 通过算例表明了该方法的可行性.