Genetic parameters for a multiple-trait multiple-lactation random regression test-day model in Italian Holsteins

The objectives of this study were to estimate variance components for test-day milk, fat, and protein yields and average daily SCS in 3 subsets of Italian Holsteins using a multiple-trait, multiple-lactation random regression test-day animal model and to determine whether a genetic heterogeneous variance adjustment was necessary. Data were test-day yields of milk, fat, and protein and SCS (on a log₂ scale) from the first 3 lactations of Italian Holsteins collected from 1992 to 2002. The 3 subsets of data included 1) a random sample of Holsteins from all herds in Italy, 2) a random sample of Holsteins from herds using a minimum of 75% foreign sires, and 3) a random sample of Holsteins from herds using a maximum of 25% foreign sires. Estimations of variances and covariances for this model were achieved by Bayesian methods using the Gibbs sampler. Estimated 305-d genetic, permanent environmental, and residual variance was higher in herds using a minimum of 75% foreign sires compared with herds using a maximum of 25% foreign sires. Estimated average daily heritability of milk, fat, and protein yields did not differ among subsets. Heritability of SCS in the first lactation differed slightly among subsets and was estimated to be the highest in herds with a maximum of 25% foreign sire use (0.19 ± 0.01). Genetic correlations across lactations for milk, fat, and protein yields were similar among subsets. Genetic correlations across lactations for SCS were 0.03 to 0.08 higher in herds using a minimum of 75% or a maximum of 25% foreign sires, compared with herds randomly sampled from the entire population. Results indicate that adjustment for heterogeneous variance at the genetic level based on the percentage of foreign sire use should not be necessary with a multiple-trait random regression test-day animal model in Italy.     

Genetic parameters for tunisian holsteins using a test-day random regression model

Genetic parameters of milk, fat, and protein yields were estimated in the first 3 lactations for registered Tunisian Holsteins. Data included 140,187; 97,404; and 62,221 test-day production records collected on 22,538; 15,257; and 9,722 first-, second-, and third-parity cows, respectively. Records were of cows calving from 1992 to 2004 in 96 herds. (Co)variance components were estimated by Bayesian methods and a 3-trait-3-lactation random regression model. Gibbs sampling was used to obtain posterior distributions. The model included herd × test date, age × season of calving × stage of lactation [classes of 25 days in milk (DIM)], production sector × stage of lactation (classes of 5 DIM) as fixed effects, and random regression coefficients for additive genetic, permanent environmental, and herd-year of calving effects, which were defined as modified constant, linear, and quadratic Legendre coefficients. Heritability estimates for 305-d milk, fat and protein yields were moderate (0.12 to 0.18) and in the same range of parameters estimated in management systems with low to medium production levels. Heritabilities of test-day milk and protein yields for selected DIM were higher in the middle than at the beginning or the end of lactation. Inversely, heritabilities of fat yield were high at the peripheries of lactation. Genetic correlations among 305-d yield traits ranged from 0.50 to 0.86. The largest genetic correlation was observed between the first and second lactation, potentially due to the limited expression of genetic potential of superior cows in later lactations. Results suggested a lack of adaptation under the local management and climatic conditions. Results should be useful to implement a BLUP evaluation for the Tunisian cow population; however, results also indicated that further research focused on data quality might be needed.     

Genetic parameters for functional traits in dairy cattle from daily random regression models

The objective of the research was to estimate genetic parameters, such as heritabilities and genetic correlations, using daily test day data for milk yield (MY), milking speed (MS), dry matter intake (DMI), and body weight (BW) using random regression methodology. Data were from first lactation dairy cows (n = 320) from the Chamau research farm of the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Switzerland over the period from April 1994 to 2004. All traits were recorded daily using automated machines. Estimated heritabilities (h²) varied from 0.18 to 0.30 (mean h² = 0.24) for MY, 0.003 to 0.098 (mean h² = 0.03) for MS, 0.22 to 0.53 (mean h² = 0.43) for BW, and 0.12 to 0.34 (mean h² = 0.23) for DMI. A permanent environmental effect was included in both the univariate and bivariate models, but was assumed constant in estimating some genetic correlations because of convergence problems. Estimated genetic correlations varied from 0.31 to 0.41 between MY and MS, from −0.47 to 0.29 between MY and DMI, from −0.60 to 0.54 between MY and BW, from 0.17 to 0.26 between MS and DMI, from −0.18 to 0.25 between MS and BW, and from −0.89 to 0.29 between DMI and BW. Genetic correlations for MY, MS, DMI, and BW from calving to midlactation decreased similarly to 0.40, 0.36, 0.14, and 0.36 and, at the end of the lactation, decreased to −0.06, 0.23, −0.07, and 0.09, respectively. Daily genetic variance-covariance of many functional traits are reported for the first time and will be useful when constructing selection indexes for more than one trait based on longitudinal genetic parameters.     

Comparison of random regression test-day models for Polish Black and White cattle

Test-day milk yields of first-lactation Black and White cows were used to select the model for routine genetic evaluation of dairy cattle in Poland. The population of Polish Black and White cows is characterized by small herd size, low level of production, and relatively early peak of lactation. Several random regression models for first-lactation milk yield were initially compared using the “percentage of squared bias” criterion and the correlations between true and predicted breeding values. Models with random herd-test-date effects, fixed age-season and herd-year curves, and random additive genetic and permanent environmental curves (Legendre polynomials of different orders were used for all regressions) were chosen for further studies. Additional comparisons included analyses of the residuals and shapes of variance curves in days in milk. The low production level and early peak of lactation of the breed required the use of Legendre polynomials of order 5 to describe age-season lactation curves. For the other curves, Legendre polynomials of order 3 satisfactorily described daily milk yield variation. Fitting third-order polynomials for the permanent environmental effect made it possible to adequately account for heterogeneous residual variance at different stages of lactation.     

Short communication: Genetic parameters of production traits in Chinese Holsteins using a random regression test-day model

The objective of this study was to estimate genetic parameters of production traits in the first 3 parities in Chinese Holsteins. Data were a random sample of complete herds (109,005 test-day records of 9,706 cows from 54 herds) extracted from the original data set, which included 362,304 test-day records of 30,942 Holstein cows from 105 herds. A test-day animal model with multiple-trait random regression and the Gibbs sampling method were used for parameter estimation. Regression curves were modeled using Legendre polynomials of order 4. The multiple-trait analysis included milk, fat, and protein yield, and somatic cell score (SCS). Average daily heritabilities ranged between 0.222 and 0.346 for the yield traits and between 0.092 and 0.187 for SCS. Heritabilities were higher in the third lactation for all traits. Within-parity genetic correlations were very high among the yield traits (>0.806) and were close to zero between SCS and yield traits, especially for first-parity cows. Results were similar to previous literature estimates from studies that used the same model as applied to this study. The estimates found in this study will be used to perform breeding value estimation for national genetic evaluations in Chinese Holsteins.     

Genetic analysis of somatic cell score in Norwegian cattle using random regression test-day models

The dataset used in this analysis contained a total of 341,736 test-day observations of somatic cell scores from 77,110 primiparous daughters of 1965 Norwegian Cattle sires. Initial analyses, using simple random regression models without genetic effects, indicated that use of homogeneous residual variance was appropriate. Further analyses were carried out by use of a repeatability model and 12 random regression sire models. Legendre polynomials of varying order were used to model both permanent environmental and sire effects, as did the Wilmink function, the Lidauer-M?ntysaari function, and the Ali-Schaeffer function. For all these models, heritability estimates were lowest at the beginning (0.05 to 0.07) and higher at the end (0.09 to 0.12) of lactation. Genetic correlations between somatic cell scores early and late in lactation were moderate to high (0.38 to 0.71), whereas genetic correlations for adjacent DIM were near unity. Models were compared based on likelihood ratio tests, Bayesian information criterion, Akaike information criterion, residual variance, and predictive ability. Based on prediction of randomly excluded observations, models with 4 coefficients for permanent environmental effect were preferred over simpler models. More highly parameterized models did not substantially increase predictive ability. Evaluation of the different model selection criteria indicated that a reduced order of fit for sire effects was desireable. Models with zeroth- or first-order of fit for sire effects and higher order of fit for permanent environmental effects probably underestimated sire variance. The chosen model had Legendre polynomials with 3 coefficients for sire, and 4 coefficients for permanent environmental effects. For this model, trajectories of sire variance and heritability were similar assuming either homogeneous or heterogeneous residual variance structure.     

Genetic parameters for test-day electrical conductivity of milk for first-lactation cows from random regression models

Electrical conductivity (EC) of milk has been introduced as an indicator trait for mastitis during the last few decades. The correlation of EC to mastitis, easy access to EC data, and the low cost of recording are properties that make EC a good indicator trait for mastitis. In this study, EC was measured daily during the lactation and available from 2101 first-lactation Holstein cows in 8 herds in the United States. Data were analyzed with an animal model that included herd-test-day, age at calving and days in milk (DIM) as fixed effects, and random additive genetic and permanent environmental effects. A repeatability model and 5 random regression (RR) models with increasing order of Legendre polynomials were used. The goodness of fit for the different models was evaluated based on several tests. Our results indicate that the best model was a RR model with a fourth-order Legendre polynomial for both additive genetic and permanent environmental effects. Heritability estimates obtained with this model were from 0.26 to 0.36. Due to the relatively high heritability obtained for EC of milk, EC might be a potential indicator trait to use in a breeding program designed to reduce the incidence of mastitis.     

Modeling lactation curves and estimation of genetic parameters for first lactation test-day records of French Holstein cows

Several functions were used to model the fixed part of the lactation curve and genetic parameters of milk test-day records to estimate using French Holstein data. Parametric curves (Legendre polynomials, Ali-Schaeffer curve, Wilmink curve), fixed classes curves (5-d classes), and regression splines were tested. The latter were appealing because they adjusted the data well, were relatively insensitive to outliers, were flexible, and resulted in smooth curves without requiring the estimation of a large number of parameters. Genetic parameters were estimated with an Average Information REML algorithm where the average information matrix and the first derivatives of the likelihood functions were pooled over 10 samples. This approach made it possible to handle larger data sets. The residual variance was modeled as a quadratic function of days in milk. Quartic Legendre polynomials were used to estimate (co)variances of random effects. The estimates were within the range of most other studies. The greatest genetic variance was in the middle of the lactation while residual and permanent environmental variances mostly decreased during the lactation. The resulting heritability ranged from 0.15 to 0.40. The genetic correlation between the extreme parts of the lactation was 0.35 but genetic correlations were higher than 0.90 for a large part of the lactation. The use of the pooling approach resulted in smaller standard errors for the genetic parameters when compared to those obtained with a single sample.     

Prediction accuracies and genetic parameters for test-day traits from genomic and pedigree-based random regression models with or without heat stress interactions

The aim of this study was to compare genetic (co)variance components and prediction accuracies of breeding values from genomic random regression models (gRRM) and pedigree-based random regression models (pRRM), both defined with or without an additional environmental gradient. The used gradient was a temperature-humidity index (THI), considered in statistical models to investigate possible genotype by environment (G×E) interactions. Data included 106,505 test-day records for milk yield (MY) and 106,274 test-day records for somatic cell score (SCS) from 12,331 genotyped Holstein Friesian daughters of 522 genotyped sires. After single nucleotide polymorphism quality control, all genotyped animals had 40,468 single nucleotide polymorphism markers. Test-day traits from recording years 2010 to 2015 were merged with temperature and humidity data from the nearest weather station. In this regard, 58 large-scale farms from the German federal states of Berlin-Brandenburg and Mecklenburg-West Pomerania were allocated to 31 weather stations. For models with a THI gradient, additive genetic variances and heritabilities for MY showed larger fluctuations in dependency of DIM and THI than for SCS. For both traits, heritabilities were smaller from the gRRM compared with estimates from the pRRM. Milk yield showed considerably larger G×E interactions than SCS. In genomic models including a THI gradient, genetic correlations between different DIM × THI combinations ranged from 0.26 to 0.94 for MY. For SCS, the lowest genetic correlation was 0.78, estimated between SCS from the last DIM class and the highest THI class. In addition, for THI × THI combinations, genetic correlations were smaller for MY compared with SCS. A 5-fold cross-validation was used to assess prediction accuracies from 4 different models. The 4 different models were gRRM and pRRM, both modeled with or without G×E interactions. Prediction accuracy was the correlation between breeding values for the prediction data set (i.e., excluding the phenotypic records from this data set) with respective breeding values considering all phenotypic information. Prediction accuracies for sires and for their daughters were largest for the gRRM considering G×E interactions. Such modeling with 2 covariates, DIM and THI, also allowed accurate predictions of genetic values at specific DIM. In comparison with a pRRM, the effect of a gRRM with G×E interactions on gain in prediction accuracies was stronger for daughters than for sires. In conclusion, we found stronger effect of THI alterations on genetic parameter estimates for MY than for SCS. Hence, gRRM considering THI especially contributed to gain in prediction accuracies for MY.     

Genetic parameter estimation for milk yield over multiple parities and various lengths of lactation in Danish Jerseys by random regression models

The objectives of this study were to test for heterogeneity of genetic and environmental variance among completed and extended records from different lactations or different days in milk (DIM) and to build a model that accounts for this heterogeneity. A total of 147,457 305-d milk yield records from Danish Jersey cows calving between 1984 and early 1999 from two regions of Denmark were used in this study. Results showed that DIM and parity influenced parameters estimated from an animal model with repeated records. Therefore, the data were analyzed using random-regression models that allow the covariance between measurements to change gradually with DIM and parity. Random regressions were fitted for additive genetic effects and permanent environmental effects using second- or third-order normalized Legendre polynomials for DIM and parity. Variances of random-regression coefficients associated with all orders of the polynomials were significant. Based on these parameter estimates, a covariance function (CF) was defined. The CF showed that the heritability decreases over parities, but within each parity heritability increases with DIM, whereas variance of permanent environmental effects increases over parities and decreases with DIM. Generally, genetic correlations were higher between records with similar DIM and parity. The results indicate that there are problems with the extension procedure used to predict 305-d milk yields. Using the covariance functions estimated in this study, breeding values could be predicted that take into account the covariance structure between records from different parities and different DIM.     

Genetic analysis of milk production traits of polish black and white cattle using large-scale random regression test-day models

Genetic parameters for milk, fat, and protein yield and persistency in the first 3 lactations of Polish Black and White cattle were estimated. A multiple-lactation model was applied with random herd-test-day effect, fixed regressions for herd-year and age-season of calving, and random regressions for the additive genetic and permanent environmental effects. Three data sets with slightly different edits on minimal number of days in milk and the size of herd-year class were used. Each subset included more than 0.5 million test-day records and more than 58,000 cows. Estimates of covariance components and genetic parameters for each trait were obtained by Bayesian methods using the Gibbs sampler. Due to the large size and a good structure of the data, no differences in estimates were found when additional criteria for record selection were applied. More than 95% of the genetic variance for all traits and lactations was explained by the first 2 principal components, which were associated with the mean yield and lactation persistency. Heritabilities of 305-d milk yield in the first 3 lactations (0.18, 0.16, 0.17) were lower than those for fat (0.12, 0.11, 0.12) and protein (0.13, 0.14, 0.15). Estimates of daily heritabilities increased in general with days in milk for all traits and lactations, with no apparent abnormalities at the beginning or end of lactation. Genetic correlations between yields in different lactations ranged from 0.74 (fat yield in lactations 1 and 3) to 0.89 (milk yield in lactations 2 and 3). Persistency of lactation was defined as the linear regression coefficient of the lactation curve. Heritability of persistency increased with lactation number for all traits and genetic correlations between persistency in different lactations were smaller than those for 305d yield. Persistency was not genetically correlated with the total yield in lactation.     

Genetic line comparisons and genetic parameters for endoparasite infections and test-day milk production traits

Keeping dairy cows in grassland systems relies on detailed analyses of genetic resistance against endoparasite infections, including between- and within-breed genetic evaluations. The objectives of this study were (1) to compare different Black and White dairy cattle selection lines for endoparasite infections and (2) the estimation of genetic (co)variance components for endoparasite and test-day milk production traits within the Black and White cattle population. A total of 2,006 fecal samples were taken during 2 farm visits in summer and autumn 2015 from 1,166 cows kept in 17 small- and medium-scale organic and conventional German grassland farms. Fecal egg counts were determined for gastrointestinal nematodes (FEC-GIN) and flukes (FEC-FLU), and fecal larvae counts for the bovine lungworm Dictyocaulus viviparus (FLC-DV). The lowest values for gastrointestinal nematode infections were identified for genetic lines adopted to pasture-based production systems, especially selection lines from New Zealand. Heritabilities were low for FEC-GIN (0.05–0.06 ± 0.04) and FLC-DV (0.05 ± 0.04), but moderate for FEC-FLU (0.33 ± 0.06). Almost identical heritabilities were estimated for different endoparasite trait transformations (log-transformation, square root). The genetic correlation between FEC-GIN and FLC-DV was 1.00 ± 0.60, slightly negative between FEC-GIN and FEC-FLU (?0.10 ± 0.27), and close to zero between FLC-DV and FEC-FLU (0.03 ± 0.30). Random regression test-day models on a continuous time scale [days in milk (DIM)] were applied to estimate genetic relationships between endoparasite and longitudinal test-day production traits. Genetic correlations were negative between FEC-GIN and milk yield (MY) until DIM 85, and between FEC-FLU and MY until DIM 215. Genetic correlations between FLC-DV and MY were negative throughout lactation, indicating improved disease resistance for high-productivity cows. Genetic relationships between FEC-GIN and FEC-FLU with milk protein content were negative for all DIM. Apart from the very early and very late lactation stage, genetic correlations between FEC-GIN and milk fat content were negative, whereas they were positive for FEC-FLU. Genetic correlations between FEC-GIN and somatic cell score were positive, indicating similar genetic mechanisms for susceptibility to udder and endoparasite infections. The moderate heritabilities for FEC-FLU suggest inclusion of FEC-FLU into overall organic dairy cattle breeding goals to achieve long-term selection response for disease resistance.     

Genetic parameters for first and second lactation milk yields of Polish black and white cattle with random regression test-day models

Single- and two-trait random regression models were applied to estimate variance components of test-day records of milk, fat, and protein yields in the first and second lactation of Polish Black and White cattle. The model included fixed herd test-day effect, three covariates to describe lactation curve nested within age-season classes, and random regressions for additive genetic and permanent environmental effects. In two-parity models, each parity was treated as a separate trait. For milk and the two-parity model, heritabilities were in the range of 0.14 to 0.19 throughout first lactation and 0.10 to 0.16 throughout second lactation. For fat, heritabilities were within 0.11 to 0.16 and 0.11 to 0.22 throughout first and second lactations, respectively. For protein in the two-parity model, heritabilities were within 0.10 to 0.15 throughout most of first lactation and within 0.06 to 0.15 throughout the most of second lactation. For milk, genetic correlations between the first and second parities were 0.6 at the beginning of the lactation, rising to 0.9 in the middle, and 0.8 at the end of the lactation. For fat, the corresponding correlations were 0.6, 0.8, and 0.7, respectively, and for protein were 0.6, 0.8, and 0.8, respectively. Heritability estimates for all traits were flatter for the two-parity model. Relatively smooth genetic and permanent environmental variances with the two-parity model indicated that large swings of heritabilities could be artifacts of single-trait random regression models. High correlations between most of test day records across lactations suggested that a repeatability model could be considered as an alternative to a multiple-trait model to analyze multiple parities.     

Estimates of genetic parameters for single- and multiple-country test-day models

Single- and multiple-country random regression models were applied to estimate genetic parameters for first-lactation test-day milk yield of cows from four countries: Australia, Canada, Italy, and New Zealand. Selected countries represented a wide range of production systems and environments. Milk production in Canada and Italy is based mainly on intensive management systems, while Australia and New Zealand are largely based on rotational grazing. Legendre polynomials with five coefficients were used to model genetic and environmental lactation curves. Covariance components of lactation curve coefficients within and across countries, and selected functions of those, were estimated by Bayesian methods with Gibbs sampling, on selected subsets of data. Countries differed in both phenotypic and genetic parameters of lactation curves between d 5 and 305 of lactation. Principal component analysis of single-trait genetic and environmental covariance matrices showed, however, that the pattern of variability in test-day milk yield was very similar between countries. General level of milk production in lactation and persistency components accounted for more than 90% of the total variance. Estimated genetic correlations between countries for total yield in lactation ranged from 0.65 (Italy and New Zealand) to 0.83 (Australia and New Zealand), indicating a possibility of genotype by environment interaction for some pairs of countries.     

Derivation and calculation of approximate reliabilities and daughter yield-deviations of a random regression test-day model for genetic evaluation of dairy cattle

Test-day milk, fat, protein yield, and somatic cell score (SCS) were analyzed separately using data from the first 3 lactations and a random regression model. Data used in the model were from Austria, Germany, and Luxembourg and from Holstein, Red, and Jersey dairy cattle. For reliability approximation, a multiple-trait effective daughter contribution (MTEDC) method was developed under general multiple trait models, including random regression test-day models, by extending the single-trait daughter equivalents concept. The MTEDC was applied to the very large dairy population, with about 15.5 million animals. The calculation of reliabilities required less computer memory than the corresponding iteration program and a significantly lower computing time equivalent to 24 rounds of iteration. A formula for daughter-yield deviations was derived for bulls under multiple-trait models. Reliability associated with daughter-yield deviations was approximated using the MTEDC method. Both the daughter-yield deviation formula and associated reliability method were verified in a simulation study using the random regression test-day model. Correlations of lactation daughter-yield deviations with estimated breeding values calculated from a routine genetic evaluation were 0.996 for all bulls and 0.95 for young bulls having only daughters with short lactations.     

Short communication: Optimal random regression models for milk production in dairy cattle

Legendre polynomials of orders 3 to 8 in random regression models (RRM) for first-lactation milk production in Canadian Holsteins were compared statistically to determine the best model. Twenty-six RRM were compared using LP of order 5 for the phenotypic age-season groupings. Variance components of RRM were estimated using Bayesian estimation via Gibbs sampling. Several statistical criteria for model comparison were used including the total residual variance, the log likelihood function, Akaike's information criterion, the Bayesian information criterion, Bayes factors, an information-theoretic measure of model complexity, and the percentage relative reduction in complexity. The residual variance always picks the model with the most parameters. The log likelihood and information-theoretic measure picked the model with order 5 for additive genetic effects and order 7 for permanent environmental effects. The currently used model in Canada (order 5 for both additive and permanent environmental effects) was not the best for any single criterion, but was optimal when considering all criteria.     

Assessment of homogeneity vs. heterogeneity of residual variance in random regression test-day models in a Bayesian analysis

Test-day first-lactation milk yields from Holstein cows were analyzed with a set of random regression models based on Legendre polynomials of varying order on additive genetic and permanent environmental effects. Homogeneity and heterogeneity of residual variance, assuming three and 30 arbitrary measurement error classes of different length were considered. Unknown parameters were estimated within a Bayesian framework. Bayes factors and a checking function for the cross-validation predictive densities of the data were the tools chosen for selecting among competing models. Residual variances obtained from 30 arbitrary intervals were nearly constant between d 70 and 300 and tended to increase towards the extremes of the lactation, especially at the onset. In early lactation, the temporary measurement errors were found to be larger and highly variable. A high order of the regression submodels employed for modeling the permanent environmental deviations tended to strongly correct the heterogeneity of the residual variance. Accordingly, the assumption of homogeneity of residual variance was the most plausible specification under both comparison criteria when the number of random regression coefficients was set to five. Otherwise, the heterogeneity assumption, using three or 30 error classes, was better supported, depending on the criterion and on the order of the submodel fitted for the permanent environmental effect.     

Random regression test-day models with residuals following a Student's-t distribution

First-lactation milk yield test-day records of Canadian Holsteins were analyzed by single-trait random regression test-day models that assumed normal or Student's-t distribution for residuals. Objectives were to test the performance of the robust statistical models that use heavy-tailed distributions for the residual effect. Models fitted were: Gaussian, Student's-t, and Student's-t with fixed number of degrees of freedom (equal to 5, 15, 30, 100 or 1000) for the t distribution. Bayesian methods with Gibbs sampling were used to make inferences about overall model plausibility through Bayes factors, posterior means for covariance components, estimated breeding values for regression coefficients, solutions for permanent environmental regressions, and residuals of the models. Bayes factors favored Student's-t model with the posterior mean of degrees of freedom equal to 2.4 over all other models, indicating very strong departure from normality. Number of outliers in Student's-t model was reduced by 35% in comparison with the Gaussian model. Differences in covariance components for regression coefficients between models were small, and rankings of animals based on additive genetic merit for the first two regression coefficients (total yield and persistency) were similar. Results from the Gaussian and Student's-t models with fixed degrees of freedom become more alike (smaller departures from normality for Student's-t models) with increasing number of degrees of freedom for the t-distributions. For any pair of Student's-t models, the one with the smaller number of degrees of freedom for the t-distribution was shown to be superior. Similarly, number of outliers increased with increasing degrees of freedom for the t distribution.     

Validation of single-step genomic BLUP random regression test-day models and SNP effects analysis on milk yield in French Saanen goats

The shape of the lactation curve is linked to an animal's health, feed requirements, and milk production throughout the year. Random regression models (RRM) are widely used for genetic evaluation of total milk production throughout the lactation and for milk yield persistency. Genomic information used with the single-step genomic BLUP method (ssGBLUP) substantially improves the accuracy of genomic prediction of breeding values in the main dairy cattle breeds. The aim of this study was to implement an RRM using ssGBLUP for milk yield in Saanen dairy goats in France. The data set consisted of 7,904,246 test-day records from 1,308,307 lactations of Saanen goats collected in France between 2000 and 2017. The performance of this type of evaluation was assessed by applying a validation step with data targeting candidate bucks. The model was compared with a nongenomic evaluation and a traditional evaluation that use cumulated performance throughout the lactation model (LM). The incorporation of genomic information increased correlations between daughter yield deviations (DYD) and estimated breeding values (EBV) obtained with a partial data set for candidate bucks. The LM and the RRM had similar correlation between DYD and EBV. However, the RRM reduced overestimation of EBV and improved the slope of the regression of DYD on EBV obtained at birth. This study shows that a genomic evaluation from a ssGBLUP RRM is possible in dairy goats in France and that RRM performance is comparable to a LM but with the additional benefit of a genomic evaluation of persistency. Variance of adjacent SNPs was studied with LM and RRM following the ssGBLUP. Both approaches converged on approximately the same regions explaining more than 1% of total variance. Regions associated with persistency were also found.     

Prediction of daily milk, fat, and protein production by a random regression test-day model

Test-day genetic evaluation models have many advantages compared with those based on 305-d lactations; however, the possible use of test-day model (TDM) results for herd management purposes has not been emphasized. The aim of this paper was to study the ability of a TDM to predict production for the next test day and for the entire lactation. Predictions of future production and detection of outliers are important factors for herd management (e.g., detection of health and management problems and compliance with quota). Because it is not possible to predict the herd-test-day (HTD) effect per se, the fixed HTD effect was split into 3 new effects: a fixed herd-test month-period effect, a fixed herd-year effect, and a random HTD effect. These new effects allow the prediction of future production for improvement of herd management. Predicted test-day yields were compared with observed yields, and the mean prediction error computed across herds was found to be close to zero. Predictions of performance records at the herd level were even more precise. Discarding herds enrolled in milk recording for <1 yr and animals with very few tests in the evaluation file improved correlations between predicted and observed yields at the next test day (correlation of 0.864 for milk in first-lactation cows as compared with a correlation of 0.821 with no records eliminated). Correlations with the observed 305-d production ranged from 0.575 to 1 for predictions based on 0 to 10 test-day records, respectively. Similar results were found for second and third lactation records for milk and milk components. These findings demonstrate the predictive ability of a TDM.