Meningococcal disease in England and Wales: 1995

The number of laboratory confirmed cases of meningococcal infection in England and Wales rose in 1995 for the first time since 1990. Culture confirmed cases rose to 1459, an increase of 29% over the 1994 total, due largely to increased disease activity in the last quarter of 1995. Cases diagnosed by non-culture methods totalled 431, giving a total of 1890 laboratory confirmed cases. Notifications reported to the Office of Population Censuses and Surveys also increased to a similar extent. Northern regions generally had higher rates of disease activity and greater increases in rates. Meningococcal disease caused by serogroup C strains accounted for the main increase in culture confirmed cases and made up 32% of the total in 1995. Disease caused by C2a strains showed a particularly large increase. A change in the age distribution was noted with a greater proportion of patients in older age groups. Among group B isolates, B4 P1.4 strains continued to be identified most commonly.     

Patterns of mortality among Bangladeshis in England and Wales

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the patterns of mortality among Bangladeshis living in England and Wales. METHODS: An analysis of national mortality data, classified by country of birth, for the latest period (1988-1992), using the method of indirect standardization for deriving standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) with the age- and sex-specific rates for England and Wales as the standard (= 100). The SMRs were derived for Bangladeshi-born men and women aged 20-69 years for major disease entities. RESULTS: The mortality among Bangladeshi men was significantly higher (SMR 118 and 95% CI 111-126) than the levels prevalent in England and Wales. In contrast, the mortality among Bangladeshi women was significantly lower (SMR 71 and 95% CI 61-82). The cancer mortality overall was lower than expected in both sexes, with the exception of cancer of the liver and gall bladder. The mortality from breast cancer (SMR 16 and 95% CI 6-34) and cervical cancer (SMR 51 and 95% CI 14-131) was lower than expected. Bangladeshi men experienced high mortality from diabetes (SMR 685 and 95% CI 529-874), coronary heart disease (SMR 148 and 95% CI 134-163) and cerebrovascular disease (SMR 267 and 95% CI 222-319); they also experienced excess deaths from cirrhosis of the liver (SMR 254 and 95% CI 175-357). CONCLUSIONS: The findings establish significant variations in the recent health experiences of Bangladeshi men living in England and Wales, posing a major challenge for purchasers of care. If the Health of the Nation strategy is to ensure that equity in health and health care is to apply to all those living in this country, the Bangladeshi population needs special targeting.     

Influenza surveillance in England and Wales: October 1995 to June 1996

This report summarises information collected for the surveillance of influenza virus infection in England and Wales from October 1995 to June 1996 (weeks 40/95 to 25/96). Total respiratory disease' activity, as reported by the Birmingham Research Unit of the Royal College of General Practitioners, rose to peaks in weeks 48/95, 51/95, and 01/96. The first peak coincided with a peak in "influenza and flu-like illness'. The subsequent peaks were accounted for by an increase in reports of acute bronchitis, including bronchiolitis, and may have been associated with the annual rise in infections with respiratory syncytial virus. Influenza A virus was responsible for most infections, with moderate activity occurring in the early part of the winter, peaking in December (week 48/95). Influenza A subtype H3N2 predominated until week 07/96, after which subtype H1N1 accounted for most infections. Influenza activity was first seen in central and northern England, followed by the south of England, Wales, and Scotland. Circulating influenza viruses were antigenically similar to the components of the 1995/96 vaccine. International surveillance during 1995/96 has led to a different H3N2 component being included in the influenza vaccine recommended for 1996/97.     

Tuberculosis mortality in England and Wales during 1982-1992: its association with poverty, ethnicity and AIDS

A linear DNA with partial sequence redundancy can be recircularized in cells by either nonhomologous end joining (NEJ) or by homologous recombination (HR). We have studied the relative contributions of these processes in zygotes or early embryos of species that serve as model organisms for developmental genetics. Thus, we have microinjected a linearized plasmid substrate into zygotes of zebrafish (Danio rerio) or into the posterior end of Drosophila melanogaster early embryos before pole cell formation. Similar to the situation observed previously in Xenopus zygotes/early embryos, we detected a large preponderance of DNA-end joining over homologous recombination. A comparison of end-joined junctions revealed that from the three species tested, zebrafish introduced the least number of sequence distortions upon DNA-end joining, while Drosophila produced the largest deletions (average 14 bp) with occasional nucleotide patch insertions, reminiscent of the N nucleotides at V(D)J junctions in mammalian immune receptor genes. Double-strand gap repair by homologous sequences ('homologous recombination') involving a bimolecular reaction was readily detectable in both zebrafish and Drosophila. This involved specifically designed recombination substrates consisting of a mutagenized linear plasmid and DNA fragments carrying the wild-type sequence. Our results show that the basic machinery for homologous recombination is present at early developmental stages of these two genetic model organisms. However, it seems that for any experimental exploitation, such as targeted gene disruption, one would have to inhibit or bypass the overwhelming DNA-end joining activity.     

Results from the 1995 survey of prevalent clinically diagnosed HIV infection in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland

Health districts in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland were surveyed in 1996 to collect summary information about people with diagnosed HIV infection who received care under the statutory services in 1995. The survey provided demographic and epidemiological information about the prevalent caseload by area of residence, and the extent to which patients with diagnosed HIV infection travelled to obtain care related to it. A total of 13362 people with diagnosed HIV infection were reported to be resident and treated in England, Wales, or Northern Ireland in 1995. Forty-four per cent of these were treated outside the health district where they lived, with regional specialist centres attracting patients from wider areas. At least 13% received care from more than one treatment centre. This national survey of prevalent diagnosed HIV infections provided public health specialists with information relevant to their own localities without compromising confidentiality. This information complements surveillance data from confidential AIDS case diagnosis reports, laboratory reports of HIV infections, and the unlinked anonymous HIV prevalence monitoring programme, all of which contribute to the assessment and projection of demands on health and social services, and provide evidence on which to develop and direct national and local health campaigns.     

Trends in eye cancer mortality among adults in the USA and England and Wales

Trends in eye cancer mortality are presented for the USA and England and Wales during the period 1955-89. Mortality rates have fallen by 58% in the USA during this period. The fall in mortality is paralleled by an equal fall in incidence rates in the USA. In England and Wales, mortality rates and incidence rates have remained relatively constant during the last three decades. The explanation for these differences between the USA and England and Wales is unknown.     

Vero cytotoxin-producing Escherichia coli O157 outbreaks in England and Wales, 1995: phenotypic methods and genotypic subtyping

Vero cytotoxin-producing Escherichia coli O157 belonging to four phage types (PTs) caused 11 outbreaks of infection in England and Wales in 1995. Outbreak strains of different PTs were distinguishable by DNA-based methods. Pulsed-field gel electrophoresis best discriminated among strains belonging to the same PT, distinguishing six of the seven PT2 outbreak strains and both PT49 outbreak strains.     

Why is mortality higher in poorer areas and in more northern areas of England and Wales?

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To identify and quantify the factors responsible for the differences in mortality between affluent and deprived areas, the north and the south, and urban and rural areas in England and Wales. DESIGN: A multiple Poisson regression analysis of cause specific mortality in the 403 local authority districts, each classified by deprivation (using the Jarman Index), latitude (from 50 degrees to 55 degrees north) and urbanisation, adjusting for age, sex, and proportion of ethnic minorities. SETTING: England and Wales 1992. MAIN RESULTS: All cause mortality was 15% higher in the districts comprising the most compared with the least deprived tenth of the population, 23% higher in the most northern (55 degrees) than in the most southern (50 degrees) districts, and 4% higher in metropolitan (within large cities) than rural districts. Nationally these differences were associated with 40,000, 65,000, and 15,000 excess deaths respectively. More than two thirds of the overall excess mortality with deprivation, latitude, and urbanisation was from three diseases--ischaemic heart disease, lung cancer, and chronic bronchitis and emphysema. The excess mortality from these and other diseases closely matched that predicted from differences according to deprivation and latitude in smoking, heavy alcohol consumption, Helicobacter pylori infection, and temperature, and thus could be attributed to these causes. About 85% of the overall excess mortality with deprivation was attributable to heavier smoking and 6% to heavier alcohol consumption, but diet varied little. Deaths more directly related to deprivation (such as those caused by H pylori infection, drug misuse, psychoses) accounted for an estimated 12% of the excess deaths, but variation in provision and uptake of healthcare services only 1%. The direct effects of deprivation are more strongly related to morbidity than mortality. Of the difference in mortality with latitude, about 45% was attributable to differences in smoking, and 25% to climate (mainly the association of cardiovascular and respiratory disease with cold). The differences with urbanisation were mainly because of smoking. CONCLUSIONS: Differences in the prevalence of smoking account for much of the variation in mortality between areas. Alcohol accounts for some, diet little. The more direct material effect of deprivation contributes to the variation in mortality but is particularly important with respect to differences in morbidity.     

Poisoning mortality, 1985-1995

Poisoning was reported as the underlying cause of death for 18,549 people in the United States in 1995 and was ranked as the third leading cause of injury mortality, following deaths from motor vehicle traffic injuries and firearm injuries. Poisoning was the leading cause of injury death for people ages 35 to 44 years. Poisoning death rates were higher in 1995 than in any previous year since at least 1979. From 1990 to 1995, the age-adjusted rate of death from poisoning increased 25%; all of the increase was associated with drugs. About three-fourths of poisoning deaths (77%) in 1995 were caused by drugs. The age-adjusted rate of drug-related poisoning deaths for males (7.2 per 100,000) in 1995 was more than twice that for females (3.0 per 100,000). From 1985 to 1995, poisoning death rates for males ages 35-54 years nearly doubled to 20.4 per 100,000, and the drug-related poisoning death rate for males ages 35-54 years nearly tripled, reaching 16.1 per 100,000. From 1990 to 1995, death rates associated with opiates and cocaine more than doubled among males ages 35-54 years. The numbers of opiate and cocaine poisoning deaths for 1995 more than doubled when all multiple cause of death codes were examined instead of only the underlying cause of death codes.     

Trends in suicide in England and Wales, 1982-96

This article, the first of two, updates previous analyses of suicides published in Population Trends. Suicide trends in England and Wales are analysed by age and sex. Analyses by method and occupation suggest a link between suicide rates and easy access to effective means of committing suicide. The steadily growing number of cars with catalytic converters may go some way to explain the decreasing suicide rates from 'other gas poisoning' for both men and women since the early 1990s. Indeed, it may also explain to some extent the decline in overall suicide rates for men since this time.     

Population density and cancer mortality by gender and age in England and Wales and the Western World 1963-93

Usually, it is the purpose of a clinical trial to demonstrate the superiority of a (new) treatment in comparison to another treatment with regard to a well-defined criterion of efficacy. However, other aspects rather than improved efficacy might be regarded as advantages of a new therapy, i.e. less or less severe adverse events, a more simple applicability, or a lower price. In this case, it may be sufficient to show a "comparable" efficacy (therapeutic equivalence). Unfortunately, equivalence studies can lead to severe problems of interpretation in case of insufficient methodological planning. In general, more detailed information must be available in advance compared to the common (superiority) trials. Very carefully designed trials are necessary to evaluate the therapeutic equivalence of treatments.     

Nosocomial Legionnaires' disease in England and Wales, 1980-92

Two hundred and eighteen nosocomial cases of Legionnaires' disease with 68 deaths were reported to the National Surveillance Scheme for Legionnaires Disease between 1980 and 1992, representing 15% of the reported infections acquired in England and Wales. Twenty-two nosocomial outbreaks accounted for 135 (62%) of these cases, the remainder occurring as single cases either in hospitals where other single cases or outbreaks had been reported in different years or as 'sporadic' cases in hospitals from which no other cases were reported. A clinical history prior to onset of Legionnaires' disease was available for 124 patients, 61 of whom had undergone recent transplant therapy or were immunosuppressed for other reasons. Sixty cases (27%) were diagnosed by culture of the organism and isolates from 56 patients were typed; 25 (42%) were non L. pneumophila serogroup 1 infections. Methods for prevention and control of nosocomial outbreaks are discussed, in particular the susceptibility to Legionnaires' disease of certain groups of hospital patients.     

Trends in mortality from tuberculosis in England and Wales: effect of age on deaths from non-respiratory disease

BACKGROUND: Although mortality from tuberculosis has continued to fall in recent years, there has been little change in the case fatality rate for tuberculosis over the same period. This has previously been shown to be due to the increasing proportion of cases of tuberculosis occurring in the elderly. Tuberculosis mortality and case fatality were therefore analysed to determine if this disappointing trend in case fatality rate has occurred from disease in all or only certain sites. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of the tuberculosis mortality and case fatality rates in England and Wales for the period 1972-92 was carried out. The average annual percentage change in tuberculosis was calculated for each disease site and by age group and the results were compared. RESULTS: The analysis showed that, although the mortality rate fell steadily by 5.6% per annum, the case fatality rate decreased by only 0.9% (95% CI -1.7 to -0.1) per annum. The case fatality rate for respiratory and central nervous system disease declined, but no decline in tuberculosis at "other" sites was observed (1.01% (+2.2 to -0.2) for all age groups combined). In the group aged 75 and over, however, the proportion of deaths due to disease at other sites increased by 3.2% (2.2 to 4.3) per annum whilst in the other age groups the mortality rate declined. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis suggests that clinicians may be becoming less able to recognise non-respiratory presentations of tuberculosis, particularly in the elderly, and underlines the need to consider tuberculosis as a diagnosis to avoid delay in treatment.     

PHLS mycobacteriology reference services in England and Wales

Tuberculosis (TB) is the most important cause of infectious disease in the world, with eight million new cases and three million deaths each year. The increasing incidence of TB in the developed and the developing world, increasing drug resistance, and the occurrence of nosocomial outbreaks of drug sensitive as well as drug resistant TB has led the PHLS to establish TB as a priority area. This article reviews the enhanced reference services for mycobacteriology provided by the PHLS in England and Wales. These include microscopy and culture on solid and liquid media, rapid culture systems, identification of mycobacteria using macroscopic, microscopic, growth, and biochemical characteristics, and molecular DNA analysis. The Mycobacterium Reference Unit (MRU) provides rapid molecular DNA amplification techniques to identify Mycobacterium tuberculosis in specimens. All four PHLS Regional Centres test isolates for drug susceptibility. This work is quality controlled by MRU, which is one of the World Health Organisation's reference centres for global surveillance on drug resistance in tuberculosis. National data on drug resistance are collated through 'Mycobnet', a surveillance scheme run through the collaboration of PHLS and other UK reference centres and the PHLS Communicable Disease Surveillance Centre.     

Excess mortality among blacks and whites in the United States

BACKGROUND: Although the general relations between race, socioeconomic status, and mortality in the United States are well known, specific patterns of excess mortality are not well understood. METHODS: Using standard demographic techniques, we analyzed death certificates and census data and made sex-specific population-level estimates of the 1990 death rates for people 15 to 64 years of age. We studied mortality among blacks in selected areas of New York City, Detroit, Los Angeles, and Alabama (in one area of persistent poverty and one higher-income area each) and among whites in areas of New York City, metropolitan Detroit, Kentucky, and Alabama (one area of poverty and one higher-income area each). Sixteen areas were studied in all. RESULTS: When they were compared with the nationwide age-standardized annual death rate for whites, the death rates for both sexes in each of the poverty areas were excessive, especially among blacks (standardized mortality ratios for men and women in Harlem, 4.11 and 3.38; in Watts, 2.92 and 2.60; in central Detroit, 2.79 and 2.58; and in the Black Belt area of Alabama, 1.81 and 1.89). Boys in Harlem who reached the age of 15 had a 37 percent chance of surviving to the age of 65; for girls, the likelihood was 65 percent. Of the higher-income black areas studied, Queens--Bronx had the income level most similar to that of whites and the lowest standardized mortality ratio (men, 1.18; women, 1.08). Of the areas where poor whites were studied, Detroit had the highest standardized mortality ratios (men, 2.01; women, 1.90). On the Lower East Side of Manhattan, in Appalachia, and in Northeast Alabama, the ratios for whites were below the national average for blacks (men, 1.90; women, 1.95). CONCLUSIONS: Although differences in mortality rates before the age of 65 between advantaged and disadvantaged groups in the United States are sometimes vast, there are important differences among impoverished communities in patterns of excess mortality.     

Birth statistics: recent trends in England and Wales

This article summarises recent trends in birth statistics in England and Wales. Particular attention is given to the characteristics of conceptions in 1996 and births in 1997, the latest years for which figures are available. The article examines changes in the number of births outside marriage, the age women become mothers and the number of women expected to remain childless throughout their lives. It also analyses differences in the timing of childbearing between women from different social classes or living in different regions of the UK. Finally it describes changes in the overall and underage conception rates between 1995 and 1996.     

Sexually transmitted diseases among teenagers in England and Wales

A profile of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) and HIV infections among teenagers in England and Wales was obtained from reports of newly diagnosed STDs among teenagers attending genitourinary medicine (GUM) clinics in 1995, laboratory reports of newly diagnosed HIV infections between 1985 when reporting began and the end of 1995, and the prevalence of HIV (unlinked anonymous programme) among teenagers attending genitourinary medicine clinics and antenatal clinics in 1994 and 1995. STD reports were analysed by sex, age group, and place of residence of patients--whether in the NHS Thames regions or elsewhere in England and Wales. High rates of STDs were reported in teenagers, particularly in girls. The incidences of gonorrhoea, chlamydia infection, and first attack genital wart infections were higher in teenage girls than in any other age group. Boys under 16 years of age had substantially higher rates of infection with all STDs in the Thames regions than elsewhere. Rates of gonorrhoea in teenagers of both sexes in the Thames regions were more than twice those in the rest of the country. Infection rates for genital herpes, and chlamydia in girls, were also higher in the Thames regions, although the geographical differences were less marked. The seroprevalence of HIV among heterosexual teenagers was very low. In contrast, 226 HIV infections among teenage boys had probably been acquired through sexual intercourse with other males. Unlinked anonymous testing revealed HIV antibody in 7.5% of routinely collected serology specimens taken from teenage homosexual or bisexual males attending GUM clinics in London. The high rates of STDs among teenage girls and all teenagers in the Thames regions make these groups a high priority for sexual health promotion, with special consideration given to homo/bisexual male teenagers. Detailed surveillance of risk factors for STDs, and further studies of teenage sexual behaviour will help to effectively target resources to improve the sexual health of teenagers in England and Wales.     

A retrospective survey of clusters of meningococcal disease in England and Wales, 1993 to 1995: estimated risks of further cases in household and educational settings

Information about the epidemiology of meningococcal disease case clusters and the risk of further cases is sparse. Data on clusters in household and educational settings from 1 January 1993 to 31 March 1995 was requested from consultants in communicable disease control in England and Wales through a retrospective postal survey. Ninety-three per cent (122/131) responded. Of the 114 cases in 45 reported clusters, 77 (67.5%) were microbiologically confirmed. The case fatality rate in index cases was higher than in associated cases (18.2% vs 4.5%; p = 0.02). Five out of 11 clusters in household settings consisted only of index and co-primary cases. No further cases occurred within two weeks after giving chemoprophylaxis to household contacts. The relative risks of further cases in the week after the index case arose were estimated to be 1200 for contacts in the household, 160 in secondary schools, 60 in primary schools, 1.8 in universities/colleges, and 0 in nurseries. Between seven and 30 days the relative risks were lower; 150 in households, and between 0 and 13 in all other settings. Beyond 30 days, the relative risk in the household setting was 8 and lower than this in all other settings. The absolute risk of further cases in the month following the index case was calculated as 210 per 100,000 in household members, 7-10/10(5) in pupils at the same school, and 0.6/10(5) in students at the same university or college. The current policy in England and Wales to recommend chemoprophylaxis for household members may prevent half of the further cases in this setting. Raised awareness may have contributed to the lower case fatality rate among household contacts who developed meningococcal disease, but the number of co-primary cases observed should prompt urgent enquiries about current illness in household contacts of index cases. The relative risk of further cases in preschool groups was low and apparently unaffected by changes in chemoprophylactic policy. The relative risk in school settings was raised in the month following a case, but the absolute risk was still low. Further study to quantify the risk in university settings is needed.     

Cytomegalovirus infection in England and Wales: 1992 and 1993

Cytomegalovirus causes illness through primary infection but also remains latent within the host and may be reactivated, especially if immunity is impaired. We have examined reports of cytomegalovirus infection from laboratories in England and Wales received by the PHLS Communicable Disease Surveillance Centre in 1992 and 1993. A total of 2938 reports were received, and 103 people had recurrent infections within the study period. The age distribution had peaks in infants (< 1 year of age) and in people aged 25 to 34 years. In almost a half of the patients (1371; 49%) factors were reported that indicated impaired immunity. Eighty-three of the 103 with recurrent infection (81%) were also reported to have impaired immunity. Children under 5 years accounted for 18% (543/2938) of reports. There were 930 reports of infections in people over 5 years of age who were not reported as immunocompromised. The data presented confirm that cytomegalovirus causes substantial morbidity in young children and people with impaired immunity. Cytomegalovirus infection causes considerable morbidity, especially hepatic, in patients whose immunity is thought to be normal.     

Climate change and the incidence of food poisoning in England and Wales

A study was undertaken to determine the susceptibility or resistance of 9 outbred experimental or commercial poultry lines to Salmonella enteritidis PT4. Young chicks were inoculated either intramuscularly or orally just after hatching. After intramuscular challenge the lines could be divided into susceptible lines (LD 50% < or = 10(2) Salmonella per animal), intermediate lines (LD 50% about 10(4) Salmonella) and resistant lines (LD 50% > 10(5) Salmonella). The results obtained after oral challenge confirmed these 3 groups for both mortality rates and the probability of the presence of salmonellae in the spleen and liver. There was no difference between lines concerning caecal carriage.