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Using the Monte Carlo method and physiologically based pharmacokinetic modeling, an occupational inhalation exposure to trichloroethylene consisting of 7 h of exposure per day for 5 days was simulated in populations of men and women of 5000 individuals each. The endpoint of concern for occupational exposure was drowsiness. The toxicologic condition leading to drowsiness was assumed to be high levels of both trichloroethanol and trichloroethylene. Therefore, the output of the simulation or dose metric was the maximum value of the sum of the concentration of trichloroethylene in blood and the concentration of trichloroethanol within its volume of distribution occurring within 1 week of exposure. The distributions of the dose metric in the simulated populations were lognormal. To protect 99% of a worker population, a concentration of 30 ppm over a 7-h period of the work day should not be exceeded. Subjecting a susceptible individual (the 99th percentile of the dose metric) to 200 ppm (the ACGIH short-term exposure limit or STEL) for 15 min twice a day over a work week necessitates a 2.5-h rest in fresh air following the STEL exposure to allow the blood concentrations of trichloroethylene and trichloroethanol to drop to levels that would not cause drowsiness. Both the OSHA PEL and the ACGIH TLV are greater than the value of 30 ppm derived here. As well as suggesting a new occupational guidance value, this study provides an example of this method of guidance value derivation.  相似文献   

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《Acta Metallurgica》1985,33(2):185-189
The Monte Carlo simulation method is employed to determine the Cowley-Warren short range order parameters for the first twelve nearest-neighbor shells on the Ising model relevant to CuAu. The Monte Carlo results are used to determine the free parameter in a mean-field-like class of theories described by Clapp and Moss. The ability of these theories to predict ratios between pair potentials is tested with our results. In addition, evidence of a region of heterophase fluctuations is presented in agreement with X-ray diffuse scattering measurements on Cu3Au.  相似文献   

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