Assessment of nitrogen fertilization for the CO2 balance during the production of poplar and rye

This study was designed to consider all nitrogen fertilizer-related effects on crop production and emission of greenhouse gases on loamy sandy soils in Germany over a period of nine years (1999–2007). In order to set up a CO₂ balance for the production of energy crops, different nitrogen pathways were investigated, such as direct N₂O emissions from the soil and indirect emissions related to NO₃ leaching and fertilizer production. Fluxes of N₂O were measured in an experimental field using closed chambers. Poplar (Populus maximowiczii × P. nigra) and rye (Secale cereale L.) as one perennial and one annual crop were fertilized at rates of 0 kg N ha^?1 yr^?1, 75 kg N ha^?1 yr^?1 and 150 kg N ha^?1 yr^?1. The mean N₂O emissions from the soil ranged between 0.5 kg N ha^?1 yr^?1 and 2.5 kg N ha^?1 yr^?1 depending on fertilization rate, crop variety and year. The CO₂ fixed in the biomass of energy crops is reduced by up to 16% if direct N₂O emissions from soil and indirect N₂O emissions from NO₃ leaching and fertilizer production are included. Taking into account the main greenhouse gas emissions, which derive from the production and the use of N fertilizer, the growth of poplar and rye may replace the global warming potential of fossil fuels by up to 17.7 t CO₂ ha^?1 yr^?1 and 12.1 t CO₂ ha^?1 yr^?1, respectively.     

Co-benefits of utilizing logging residues for bioenergy production: The case for East Texas,USA

This study evaluated the co-benefits associated with the utilization of logging residues for electricity production in East Texas, USA. The benefits evaluated included the value of CO₂ emissions displaced due to substituting logging residues for coal in power generation, reductions in site preparation costs during forest regeneration, and creation of jobs and income in local communities. Based on the 2004 Forest Inventory Analysis data and a 70% biomass recovery rate, annual recoverable logging residues in East Texas were estimated at 1.3 Mt (dry). These residues, if used for electricity production, would displace about 2.44 Mt of CO₂, valued at some 9M$ at the current CO₂ price traded at the Chicago Climate Exchange (accounting for about 2% of the stumpage value). Removing logging residues would also save $200–250 ha⁻¹ in site preparation costs. In addition, input–output modeling revealed that logging residue procurement and electricity generation together would have a stronger ripple effect on employment than on output or value-added, with about 1340 new jobs created and 215M$ in value-added generated annually. These results offer new insights into the cost-competitiveness of forest biomass and bioenergy production.     

Effect of biomass species and plant size on cellulosic ethanol: A comparative process and economic analysis

The effects of five different biomass species and their chemical composition on the overall process efficiency and economic performance considering feedstock availability and feedstock costs to manufacture ethanol from lignocellulose were studied. First is a comparison of ethanol production and excess electricity generated between different biomass species. Results show that, at the same feedstock rate of 2000 Mg day^?1, aspen wood has larger ethanol production than switchgrass, hybrid poplar and corn stover, while the excess electricity generated is as follows in increasing order: aspen < corn stover < hybrid poplar/switchgrass. Second, our results show that the ethanol production is largely linear with holocellulose (cellulose plus hemicellulose) composition of the various biomass species. However, the relationship between excess electricity generated and non-holocellulose combustible component is nonlinear. Last, on environmental performance, it is found that the water losses per unit ethanol production are in the following order: aspen wood < corn stover < hybrid poplar < switchgrass. While corn stover is a potential feedstock to produce cellulosic ethanol with the lowest ethanol production cost at the present time, hybrid poplar and switchgrass are the two promising future energy crops.The effects of plant size analysis showed that the estimated feedstock delivered costs, ethanol production, excess electricity generated and solid and gaseous waste emissions all increase with plant size for the various biomass species. The ethanol production costs decrease with the increase in plant size with optimal plant sizes for corn stover in the range from 2000 dry Mg day^?1 to 4000 dry Mg day^?1.     

Economics of switchgrass and miscanthus relative to coal as feedstock for generating electricity

Switchgrass (Panicum virgatum) serves as a model dedicated energy crop in the U.S.A. Miscanthus (Miscanthus x giganteus) has served a similar role in Europe. This study was conducted to determine the most economical species, harvest frequency, and carbon tax required for either of the two candidate feedstocks to be an economically viable alternative for cofiring with coal for electricity generation. Biomass yield and energy content data were obtained from a field experiment conducted near Stillwater, Oklahoma, U.S.A., in which both grasses were established in 2002. Plots were split to enable two harvest treatments (once and twice yr^?1). The switchgrass variety ‘Alamo’, with a single annual post-senescence harvest, produced more biomass (15.87 Mg ha^?1 yr^?1) than miscanthus (12.39 Mg ha^?1 yr^?1) and more energy (249.6 million kJ ha^?1 yr^?1 versus 199.7 million kJ ha^?1 yr^?1 for miscanthus). For the average yields obtained, the estimated cost to produce and deliver biomass an average distance of 50 km was $43.9 Mg^?1 for switchgrass and $51.7 Mg^?1 for miscanthus. Given a delivered coal price of $39.76 Mg^?1 and average energy content, a carbon tax of $7 Mg^?1 CO₂ would be required for switchgrass to be economically competitive. For the location and the environmental conditions that prevailed during the experiment, switchgrass with one harvest per year produced greater yields at a lower cost than miscanthus. In the absence of government intervention such as requiring biomass use or instituting a carbon tax, biomass is not an economically competitive feedstock for electricity generation in the region studied.     

Modeling California policy impacts on greenhouse gas emissions

This paper examines policy and technology scenarios in California, emphasizing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in 2020 and 2030. Using CALGAPS, a new, validated model simulating GHG and criteria pollutant emissions in California from 2010 to 2050, four scenarios were developed: Committed Policies (S1), Uncommitted Policies (S2), Potential Policy and Technology Futures (S3), and Counterfactual (S0), which omits all GHG policies. Forty-nine individual policies were represented. For S1–S3, GHG emissions fall below the AB 32 policy 2020 target [427 million metric tons CO₂ equivalent (MtCO₂e) yr⁻¹], indicating that committed policies may be sufficient to meet mandated reductions. In 2030, emissions span 211–428 MtCO₂e yr⁻¹, suggesting that policy choices made today can strongly affect outcomes over the next two decades. Long-term (2050) emissions were all well above the target set by Executive Order S-3-05 (85 MtCO₂e yr⁻¹); additional policies or technology development (beyond the study scope) are likely needed to achieve this objective. Cumulative emissions suggest a different outcome, however: due to early emissions reductions, S3 achieves lower cumulative emissions in 2050 than a pathway that linearly reduces emissions between 2020 and 2050 policy targets. Sensitivity analysis provided quantification of individual policy GHG emissions reduction benefits.     

Mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions by adopting anaerobic digestion technology on dairy,sow and pig farms in Finland

The impact of anaerobic digestion (AD) technology on mitigating greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from manure management on typical dairy, sow and pig farms in Finland was compared. Firstly, the total annual GHG emissions from the farms were calculated using IPCC guidelines for a similar slurry type manure management system. Secondly, laboratory-scale experiments were conducted to estimate methane (CH₄) potentials and process parameters for semi-continuous digestion of manures. Finally, the obtained experimental data were used to evaluate the potential renewable energy production and subsequently, the possible GHG emissions that could be avoided through adoption of AD technology on the studied farms. Results showed that enteric fermentation (CH₄) and manure management (CH₄ and N₂O) accounted for 231.3, 32.3 and 18.3 Mg of CO₂ eq. yr^?1 on dairy, sow and pig farms, respectively. With the existing farm data and experimental methane yields, an estimated renewable energy of 115.2, 36.3 and 79.5 MWh of heat yr^?1 and 62.8, 21.8 and 47.7 MWh of electricity yr^?1 could be generated in a CHP plant on these farms respectively. The total GHG emissions that could be offset on the studied dairy cow, sow and pig farms were 177, 87.7 and 125.6 Mg of CO₂ eq. yr^?1, respectively. The impact of AD technology on mitigating GHG emissions was mainly through replaced fossil fuel consumption followed by reduced emissions due to reduced fertilizer use and production, and from manure management.     

Feasibility assessment of poplar bioenergy systems in the Southern Europe

A detailed reliability assessment of bioenergy production systems based on poplar cultivation was made. The aim of this assessment was to demonstrate the Economic feasibility of implementing poplar biomass production for power generation in Spain. The assessment considers the following chain of energy generation: cultivation and harvesting, and transportation and electricity generation in biomass power plants (10, 25 and 50 MW). Twelve scenarios were analysed in accordance with the following: two harvesting methods (high density packed stems and chip production in the field), two crop distributions around the power plant and three power plant sizes. The results show that the cost of biomass delivered at power plant ranges from 18.65 to 23.96 € Mg^?1 dry basis. According to power plant size, net profits range from 3 to 22 million € per yr.Sensibility analyses applied to capital cost at the power plant and to biomass production in the field demonstrate that they do not affect the feasibility of these systems. Reliability is improved if benefits through selling CO₂ emission credits are taken into account.This study clears up the Economic uncertainty of poplar biomass energy systems that already has been accepted as environmentally friendlier and as offering better energetic performance.     

Decomposition analysis of CO2 emissions from electricity generation in China

Electricity generation in China mainly depends on coal and its products, which has led to the increase in CO₂ emissions. This paper intends to analyze the current status of CO₂ emissions from electricity generation in China during the period 1991–2009, and apply the logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) technique to find the nature of the factors influencing the changes in CO₂ emissions. The main results as follows: (1) CO₂ emission from electricity generation has increased from 530.96 Mt in 1991 to 2393.02 Mt in 2009, following an annual growth rate of 8.72%. Coal products is the main fuel type for thermal power generation, which accounts for more than 90% CO₂ emissions from electricity generation. (2) This paper also presents CO₂ emissions factor of electricity consumption, which help calculate CO₂ emission from final electricity consumption. (3) In China, the economic activity effect is the most important contributor to increase CO₂ emissions from electricity generation, but the electricity generation efficiency effect plays the dominant role in decreasing CO₂ emissions.     

Net carbon dioxide emissions from alternative firewood-production systems in Australia

The use of firewood for domestic heating has the potential to reduce fossil-fuel use and associated CO₂ emissions. The level of possible reductions depends upon the extent to which firewood off-sets the use of fossil fuels, the efficiency with which wood is burnt, and use of fossil fuels for collection and transport of firewood. Plantations grown for firewood also have a cost of emissions associated with their establishment. Applying the FullCAM model and additional calculations, these factors were examined for various management scenarios under three contrasting firewood production systems (native woodland, sustainably managed native forest, and newly established plantations) in low-medium rainfall (600–800 mm) regions of south-eastern Australia. Estimates of carbon dioxide emissions per unit of heat energy produced for all scenarios were lower than for non-renewable energy sources (which generally emit about 0.3–1.0 kg CO₂ kWh⁻¹). Amongst the scenarios, emissions were greatest when wood was periodically collected from dead wood in woodlands (0.11 kg CO₂ kWh⁻¹), and was much lower when obtained from harvest residues and dead wood in native forests (<0.03 kg CO₂ kWh⁻¹). When wood was obtained from plantations established on previously cleared agricultural land, use of firewood led to carbon sequestration equivalent to −0.06 kg CO₂ kWh⁻¹ for firewood obtained from a coppiced plantation, and −0.17 kg CO₂ kWh⁻¹ for firewood collected from thinnings, slash and other residue in a plantation grown for sawlog production. An uncertainty analysis, where inputs and assumptions were varied in relation to a plausible range of management practices, identified the most important influencing factors and an expected range in predicted net amount of CO₂ emitted per unit of heat energy produced from burning firewood.     

Performance of simulated flexible integrated gasification polygeneration facilities,Part B: Economic evaluation.

This paper investigates the economics of integrated gasification polygeneration (IG-PG) facilities and assesses under which market conditions flexible facilities outperform static facilities. In this study, the facilities use Eucalyptus wood pellets (EP), torrefied wood pellets (TOPS) and Illinois #6 coal as feedstock to produce electricity, FT-liquids, methanol and urea. All facilities incorporate CCS. The findings show production costs from static IG-PG facilities ranging between 12 and 21 €/GJ using coal, 19–33 €/GJ using TOPS and 22–38 €/GJ using EP, which is above the average market prices. IG-PG facilities can become competitive if capital costs drop by 10%–27% for coal based facilities. Biomass based facilities will need lower biomass pellet prices or higher CO₂ credit prices. Biomass becomes competitive with coal at a CO₂ credit price of 50–55 €/t CO₂. Variations in feedstock, CO₂ credit and electricity prices can be offset by operating a feedstock flexible IG-PG facility, which can switch between coal and TOPS, thereby altering its electricity production. The additional investment is around 0.5% of the capital costs of a dedicated coal based IG-PG facility. At 30 €/t CO₂, TOPS will be the preferred feedstock for 95% of the time at a feedstock price of 5.7 €/GJ. At these conditions, FT-liquids (gasoline/diesel) can be produced for 15.8 €/GJ (116 $/bbl). Historic records show price variations between 5.7 and 7.3 €/GJ for biomass pellet, 1.0–5.6 €/GJ for coal and 0–32 €/t CO₂. Within these price ranges, coal is generally the preferred feedstock, but occasionally biomass is preferred. Lower biomass prices will increase the frequency of switching feedstock preference from coal to biomass, raising the desire for flexibility. Of the three investigated chemicals, an IG-PG facility producing FT-liquids benefits the most from flexibility. Our study suggests that if the uncertainty in commodity prices is high, a small additional investment can make flexible IG-PG facilities attractive.     

Implementation of an UASB anaerobic digester at bagasse-based pulp and paper industry

Upflow anaerobic sludge blanket (UASB) reactor was installed to replace the conventional anaerobic lagoon treating bagasse wash wastewater from agro-based pulp and paper mill, to generate bio-energy and to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The plant was designed to treat 12 ML d⁻¹ of wastewater having two 5 ML capacity reactors, 5.75 kg COD m⁻³ d⁻¹ organic loading rate and 20 h hydraulic retention time. In the plant 80–85% COD reduction was achieved with biogas production factor of 520 L kg⁻¹ COD reduced. In 11 months 4.4 million m³ of biogas was generated from bagasse wash wastewater utilizing UASB process. Utilization of the biogas in the Lime Kiln saved 2.14 ML of furnace oil in 9 months. Besides significant economic benefits, furnace oil saving reduced 6.4 Gg CO₂ emission from fossil fuel and conversion of the anaerobic lagoon into anaerobic reactor reduced 2.1 Gg methane emission which is equal to 43.8 Gg of CO₂.     

CO2 emission and avoidance in mobile applications

The present paper analyzes the CO₂ emissions from mobile communications and portable wireless electronic devices in the Korea environment. The quantitative and qualitative contributions to CO₂ emission reduction of the substitution of renewable energy for traditional electricity as the power supply in these devices are also investigated.Firstly, the national CO₂ emission coefficient is temporarily estimated as 0.504 tCO₂/MWh, which can be regarded as the basis for calculating CO₂ emissions in mobile devices. The total annual CO₂ emissions from mobile devices is calculated as approximately 1.4 million tons, comprising 0.3 million tCO₂ for portable wireless electronic devices and 1.1 million tCO₂ for electric equipment required for mobile communication service.If renewable energy sources are substituted for traditional electricity sources in the supply for mobile devices, solar cell and wind turbine systems can reduce CO₂ emissions by about 87% and 97%, respectively. However, the use of fuel cell systems will only slightly reduce the CO₂ emissions. However, the use of the direct methanol fuel cell system can release 8% more CO₂ emissions than that emitted by using traditional electricity sources.     

Exploration of regional and global cost–supply curves of biomass energy from short-rotation crops at abandoned cropland and rest land under four IPCC SRES land-use scenarios

We explored the production cost of energy crops at abandoned agricultural land and at rest land at a regional and a global level to the year 2050 using four different land-use scenarios. The estimations were based on grid cell data on the productivity of short-rotation crops on the available land over time and assumptions regarding the capital and the labour input required to reach these productivity levels. It was concluded that large amounts of grown biomass at abandoned agricultural land and rest land, 130–270 EJ yr^?1 (about 40–70% of the present energy consumption) may be produced at costs below $2 GJ^?1 by 2050 (present lower limit of cost of coal). Interesting regions because of their low production cost and significant potentials are the Former USSR, Oceania, Eastern and Western Africa and East Asia. Such low costs presume significant land productivity improvements over time and cost reductions due to learning and capital-labour substitution. An assessment of biomass fuel cost, using the primary biomass energy costs, showed that the future costs of biomass liquid fuels may be in the same order of the present diesel production costs, although this may change in the long term. Biomass-derived electricity costs are at present slightly higher than electricity baseload costs and may directly compete with estimated future production costs of fossil fuel electricity with CO₂ sequestration. The present world electricity consumption of around 20 PWh yr^?1 may be generated in 2050 at costs below $45 MWh^?1 in A1 and B1 and below $55 MWh^?1 in A2 and B2. At costs of $60 MWh^?1, about 18 (A2) to 53 (A1) PWh yr^?1 can be produced.     

Assessment of cleaner electricity generation technologies for net CO2 mitigation in Thailand

The choice of electricity generation technologies not only directly affects the amount of CO₂ emission from the power sector, but also indirectly affects the economy-wide CO₂ emission. It is because electricity is the basic requirement of economic sectors and final consumptions within the economy. In Thailand, although the power development plan (PDP) has been planned for the committed capacity to meet the future electricity demand, there are some undecided electricity generation technologies that will be studied for technological options. The economy-wide CO₂ mitigations between selecting cleaner power generation options instead of pulverized coal-thermal technology of the undecided capacity are assessed by energy input–output analysis (IOA). The decomposition of IOA presents the fuel-mix effect, input structural effect, and final demand effect by the change in technology of the undecided capacity. The cleaner technologies include biomass power generation, hydroelectricity and integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC). Results of the analyses show that if the conventional pulverized coal technology is selected in the undecided capacity, the economy-wide CO₂ emission would be increased from 223 million ton in 2006 to 406 million ton in 2016. Renewable technology presents better mitigation option for replacement of conventional pulverized coal technology than the cleaner coal technology. The major contributor of CO₂ mitigation in cleaner coal technology is the fuel mix effect due to higher conversion efficiency. The demand effect is the major contributor of CO₂ mitigation in the biomass and hydro cases. The embedded emission in construction of power plant contributes to higher CO₂ emission.     

Short-rotation forestry of birch,maple, poplar and willow in Flanders (Belgium) II. Energy production and CO2 emission reduction potential

Belgium, being an EU country, has committed itself to a 7.5% reduction of greenhouse gas emissions during the first commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol. Within this framework, the Flemish government aims at reaching a share of 6% of renewable electricity in the total electricity production by 2010. In this work, the biomass production of birch, maple, poplar and willow in a short-rotation forestry (SRF) plantation after a 4-year growth period served as the base to calculate the amount of (electrical) energy that could be produced by this type of bioenergy crop in Flanders. The maximum amount of electricity that could be provided by SRF biomass was estimated at 72.9 GWh_e year⁻¹, which only accounts for 0.16% of the total electricity production in this region. Although the energy output was rather low, the bioenergy production process under consideration appeared to be more energy efficient than energy production processes based on fossil fuels. The high efficiency of birch compared to the other species was mainly due to the high calorific value of the birch wood. The maximum CO₂ emission reduction potential of SRF plantations in Flanders was estimated at only 0.09% of the total annual CO₂ emission. The most interesting application of SRF in Flanders seemed to be the establishment of small-scale plantations, linked to a local combined heat and power plant. These plantations could be established on marginal arable soils or on polluted sites, and they could be of importance in the densely populated area of Flanders because of other environmental benefits, among which their function as (temporary) habitat for many species.     

Environmental aspects of ethanol derived from no-tilled corn grain: nonrenewable energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions

Nonrenewable energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions associated with ethanol (a liquid fuel) derived from corn grain produced in selected counties in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Wisconsin are presented. Corn is cultivated under no-tillage practice (without plowing). The system boundaries include corn production, ethanol production, and the end use of ethanol as a fuel in a midsize passenger car. The environmental burdens in multi-output biorefinery processes (e.g., corn dry milling and wet milling) are allocated to the ethanol product and its various coproducts by the system expansion allocation approach.The nonrenewable energy requirement for producing 1 kg of ethanol is approximately 13.4–21.5 MJ (based on lower heating value), depending on corn milling technologies employed. Thus, the net energy value of ethanol is positive; the energy consumed in ethanol production is less than the energy content of the ethanol (26.8 MJ kg⁻¹).In the GHG emissions analysis, nitrous oxide (N₂O) emissions from soil and soil organic carbon levels under corn cultivation in each county are estimated by the DAYCENT model. Carbon sequestration rates range from 377 to 681 kg C ha⁻¹ year⁻¹ and N₂O emissions from soil are 0.5–2.8 kg N ha⁻¹ year⁻¹ under no-till conditions. The GHG emissions assigned to 1 kg of ethanol are 260–922 g CO₂ eq. under no-tillage. Using ethanol (E85) fuel in a midsize passenger vehicle can reduce GHG emissions by 41–61% km⁻¹ driven, compared to gasoline-fueled vehicles. Using ethanol as a vehicle fuel, therefore, has the potential to reduce nonrenewable energy consumption and GHG emissions.     

The influence of CO2 mitigation incentives on profitability of eucalyptus production on clay settling areas in Florida

Fast growing, short-rotation tree crops provide unique opportunities to sequester carbon on phosphate-mined lands in central Florida and, if used as a biofuel, can reduce CO₂ emissions associated with electricity generation. Base case land expectation values (LEVs) of phosphate-mined land under Eucalyptus amplifolia (EA) forestry range from 762 to 6507 $ ha^?1 assuming real discount rates of 10% and 4%, respectively. Assuming 5 $ Mg^?1 C, these LEVs increase from 3% to 24% with incentives for in situ carbon sequestration benefits, or 21% to 73% given in situ carbon sequestration with additional incentives for reducing CO₂ emissions through the use of EA as an energy feedstock. Potential benefits from below-ground C sequestration and mine land reclamation are estimated to be worth an additional 5642–11,056 $ ha^?1.     

Life cycle assessment of a Brassica carinata bioenergy cropping system in southern Europe

The energetic and environmental performance of production and distribution of the Brassica carinata biomass crop in Soria (Spain) is analysed using life cycle assessment (LCA) methodology in order to demonstrate the major potential that the crop has in southern Europe as a lignocellulosic fuel for use as a renewable energy source.The Life Cycle Impact Assessment (LCIA) including midpoint impact analysis that was performed shows that the use of fertilizers is the action with the highest impact in six of the 10 environmental categories considered, representing between 51% and 68% of the impact in these categories.The second most important impact is produced when the diesel is used in tractors and transport vehicles which represents between 48% and 77%. The contribution of the B. carinata cropping system to the global warming category is 12.7 g CO₂ eq. MJ⁻¹ biomass produced. Assuming a preliminary estimation of the B. carinata capacity of translocated CO₂ (631 kg CO₂ ha⁻¹) from below-ground biomass into the soil, the emissions are reduced by up to 5.2 g CO₂ eq. MJ⁻¹.The production and transport are as far as a thermoelectric plant of the B. carinata biomass used as a solid fuel consumes 0.12 MJ of primary energy per 1 MJ of biomass energy stored. In comparison with other fossil fuels such as natural gas, it reduces primary energy consumption by 33.2% and greenhouse gas emission from 33.1% to 71.2% depending on whether the capacity of translocated CO₂ is considered or not.The results of the analysis support the assertion that B. carinata crops are viable from an energy balance and environmental perspective for producing lignocellulosic solid fuel destined for the production of energy in southern Europe. Furthermore, the performance of the crop could be improved, thus increasing the energy and environmental benefits.     

The cost benefit analysis and potential emission reduction evaluation of applying wall insulation for buildings in Malaysia

Due to the rapidly increasing number of air-conditioned spaces in buildings, the electricity demand has significantly increased during the past decade in Malaysia. The present energy analysis attempts to predict the long term environmental impact of utilizing thermal insulation materials for exterior walls of Malaysian buildings. The optimum insulation thickness is mainly influenced by local electricity tariff rate, and the capital insulation outlays. In the present work, some of the commonly used insulators available in the Malaysian market were analyzed. The results show that 2.2 cm of fibreglass–urethane produces the largest cost savings, of around 1.863US$/m² and is the most economically feasible insulation material that reduces the annual CO₂ emission production level by 16.4 kg/m². The main focus of the survey is to predict the potential emission production fluctuation for over the next 20 years. In this regard, three different scenarios were introduced, based on different electricity production policies. It was revealed that the increase in the contribution of renewable power plants on one hand, and phasing out of the conventional thermal coal plants on the other will substantially lead to a diminished CO₂ emission in long term.     

Production and consumption accounting of CO2 emissions for Xiamen,China

Consumption accounting of urban greenhouse gas emissions is preferable to production accounting, because cities are open systems which depend on the import of large quantities of externally produced goods. In this paper we use environmental input–output analysis to construct CO₂ production and consumption accounting inventories for Xiamen, a rapidly developing coastal city in southeast China. We found that, in 2007, total emissions embodied in production were 21.8 Mt CO₂, of which 17.1 Mt CO₂ were embodied in exports and 4.7 Mt CO₂ resulted from local demand on local production. If the large amounts of emissions embodied in the Xiamen reprocessing trade are excluded from the analysis, total imported emissions were 12.2 Mt CO₂, consumption emissions were 16.9 Mt CO₂, and Xiamen was a net exporter of 4.9 Mt CO₂. Although Xiamen's rapid economic growth is dependent on large-scale flows of embodied emissions, most of these emissions are not produced or consumed within the city system.