State estimation and nonlinear predictive control of autonomous hybrid system using derivative free state estimators

In this work, we develop a state estimation scheme for nonlinear autonomous hybrid systems, which are subjected to stochastic state disturbances and measurement noise, using derivative free state estimators. In particular, we propose the use of ensemble Kalman filters (EnKF), which belong to the class of particle filters, and unscented Kalman filters (UKF) to carry out estimation of state variables of autonomous hybrid system. We then proceed to develop novel nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) schemes using these derivative free estimators for better control of autonomous hybrid systems. A salient feature of the proposed NMPC schemes is that the future trajectory predictions are based on stochastic simulations, which explicitly account for the uncertainty in predictions arising from the uncertainties in the initial state and the unmeasured disturbances. The efficacy of the proposed state estimation based control scheme is demonstrated by conducting simulation studies on a benchmark three-tank hybrid system. Analysis of the simulation results reveals that EnKF and UKF based NMPC strategies is well suited for effective control of nonlinear autonomous three-tank hybrid system.     

Experimental application of nonlinear model predictive control: temperature control of an industrial semi-batch pilot-plant reactor

This paper describes the application of nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) to the temperature control of a semi-batch chemical reactor equipped with a multi-fluid heating/cooling system. The strategy of the nonlinear control system is based on a constrained optimisation problem, which is solved repeatedly on-line by a step-wise integration of a nonlinear dynamic model and optimisation strategy. A supervisory control routine has been developed, based on the same nonlinear dynamic model, to handle automatically the fluid changeovers. Both NMPC and supervisory control have been implemented on a PC and applied to a 16 l batch reactor pilot plant. Experiments illustrate the feasibility of such a procedure involving predictive control and supervisory control.     

A novel adaptive fuzzy predictive control for hybrid systems with mixed inputs

This paper proposes a new adaptive nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) methodology for a class of hybrid systems with mixed inputs. For this purpose, an online fuzzy identification approach is presented to recursively estimate an evolving Takagi–Sugeno (eTS) model for the hybrid systems based on a potential clustering scheme. A receding horizon adaptive NMPC is then devised on the basis of the online identified eTS fuzzy model. The nonlinear MPC optimization problem is solved by a genetic algorithm (GA). Diverse sets of test scenarios have been conducted to comparatively demonstrate the robust performance of the proposed adaptive NMPC methodology on the challenging start-up operation of a hybrid continuous stirred tank reactor (CSTR) benchmark problem.     

Evaluation study of an efficient output feedback nonlinear model predictive control for temperature tracking in an industrial batch reactor

The paper illustrates the benefits of nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) for the setpoint tracking control of an industrial batch polymerization reactor. Real-time feasibility of the on-line optimization problem from the NMPC is achieved using an efficient multiple shooting algorithm. A real-time formulation of the NMPC that takes computational delay into account is described. The control relevant model for the NMPC is derived from the complex-first principles model and is fitted to the experimental data using maximum likelihood estimation. A parameter adaptive extended Kalman filter (PAEKF) is used for state estimation and on-line model adaptation. The performance of the NMPC implementation is assessed via simulation and experimental results.     

Unscented Kalman filter based nonlinear model predictive control of a LDPE autoclave reactor

This paper presents a multivariable nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) scheme for the regulation of a low-density polyethylene (LDPE) autoclave reactor. A detailed mechanistic process model developed previously was used to describe the dynamics of the LDPE reactor and the properties of the polymer product. Closed-loop simulations are used to demonstrate the disturbance rejection and tracking performance of the NMPC algorithm for control of reactor temperature and weight-averaged molecular weight (WAMW). In addition, the effect of parametric uncertainty in the kinetic rate constants of the LDPE reactor model on closed-loop performance is discussed. The unscented Kalman filtering (UKF) algorithm is employed to estimate plant states and disturbances. All control simulations were performed under conditions of noisy process measurements and structural plant–model mismatch. Where appropriate, the performance of the NMPC algorithm is contrasted with that of linear model predictive control (LMPC). It is shown that for this application the closed-loop performance of the UKF based NMPC scheme is very good and is superior to that of the linear predictive controller.     

Stabilization of gas-lift oil wells by a nonlinear model predictive control scheme based on adaptive neural network models

Producing oil from gas-lift wells are often faced with severe producing oscillatory flow regimes. A major source of the oscillations is recognized as casing–heading instability which is caused by dynamic interaction between injection gas and multiphase fluid. This phenomenon poses strict production-related challenges in terms of lower average production and strain on downstream equipment. In this paper, an effective solution is proposed based on integration of an online interpretation dynamic model and a nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) scheme. The paper uses adaptive growing and pruning radial basis function (GAP-RBF) neural networks (NNs) to recursively capture the essential dynamics of casing–heading instability in a nonlinear model structure. Extended Kalman filter (EKF) and unscented Kalman filter (UKF) are comparatively investigated to adaptively train modified GAP-RBF NNs. NMPC methodology is developed on the basis of the identified nonlinear NN model for real-time stabilization of casing–heading instability in an oil reservoir equipped with a gas-lift production well. A set of test studies has been conducted to explore the superior performance of the proposed adaptive NMPC controller under different scenarios for an oil reservoir simulated in ECLIPSE and linked to a complementary gas-lifted oil well simulated in programming environment.     

A hybrid model predictive control strategy for nonlinear plant-wide control

A plant-wide control strategy based on integrating linear model predictive control (LMPC) and nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) is proposed. The hybrid method is applicable to plants that can be decomposed into approximately linear subsystems and highly nonlinear subsystems that interact via mass and energy flows. LMPC is applied to the linear subsystems and NMPC is applied to the nonlinear subsystems. A simple controller coordination strategy that counteracts interaction effects is proposed for the case of one linear subsystem and one nonlinear subsystem. A reactor/separator process with recycle is used to compare the hybrid method to conventional LMPC and NMPC techniques.     

基于T-S模糊模型的非线性预测控制策略

提出了一种新的基于T-S模糊模型的非线性预测控制策略. T-S模糊模型用于描述对象的非线性动态特性, 通过将模糊模型的输出反馈回来作为模型输入, 从而构成了模糊多步预报器. 由于T-S模糊模型每条规则的结论部分是一个线性模型, 因此整个模糊模型可以看作一个线性时变系统, 从而将模糊预测控制器中的非线性优化问题转化为一个线性二次寻优问题, 以方便求解. pH中和过程的仿真结果表明其性能优于传统的动态矩阵控制器.     

Nonlinear model predictive control of biodiesel production via transesterification of used vegetable oils

The economic performance of an industrial scale semi-batch reactor for biodiesel production via transesterification of used vegetable oils is investigated by simulation using nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) technology. The objective is to produce biodiesel compliant to the biodiesel standards at the minimum costs. A first-principle model is formulated to describe the dynamics of the reactor mixture temperature and composition. The feed oil and mixture composition are characterized using a pseudo-component approach, and the thermodynamic properties are estimated from group contribution methods. The dynamic model is used by the NMPC framework to predict the optimal control profiles, where a multiple shooting based dynamic optimization problem is solved at every sampling time. Simulation results with the economic performance of an industrial scale semi-batch reactor are presented for control configurations manipulating the methanol feed flow rate and the heat duty.     

MIMO系统的多模型预测控制

针对非线性多变量系统提出一种多模型预测控制(MMPC)策略.首先给出一种多模型 辨识方法,利用模糊满意聚类算法将复杂非线性系统划分为若干子系统,并获得多个线性模型, 通过模型变换得出全局系统模型,接着对全局MIMO系统设计MMPC,并进行了系统的性能分 析,最后以pH中和过程为例,通过仿真研究验证了辨识和控制算法的有效性.     

Latent‐variable Nonlinear Model Predictive Control Strategy for a pH Neutralization Process

Linear model predictive control (MPC) is a widely‐used control strategy in chemical processes. Its extension to nonlinear MPC (NMPC) has drawn increasing attention since many process systems are inherently nonlinear. When implementing the NMPC based on a nonlinear predictive model, a nonlinear dynamic optimization problem must be calculated. For the sake of solving this optimization problem efficiently, a latent‐variable dynamic optimization approach is proposed. Two kinds of constraint formulations, original variable constraint and Hotelling T² statistic constraint, are also discussed. The proposed method is illustrated in a pH neutralization process. The results demonstrate that the latent‐variable dynamic optimization based the NMPC strategy is efficient and has good control performance.     

Theoretical analysis of unconstrained nonlinear model predictive control

Model predictive control (MPC) is a well-established controller design strategy for linear process models. Because many chemical and biological processes exhibit significant nonlinear behaviour, several MPC techniques based on nonlinear process models have recently been proposed. The most significant difference between these techniques is the computational approach used to solve the nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) optimization problem. Consequently, analysis of NMPC techniques is often connected to the computational approach employed. In this paper, a theoretical analysis of unconstrained NMPC is presented that is independent of the computational approach. A nonlinear discrete-time, state-space model is used to predict the effects of future inputs on future process outputs. It is shown that model inverse, pole-placement, and steady-state controllers can be obtained by suitable selection of the control and prediction horizons. Moreover, the NMPC optimization problem can be modified to yield nonlinear internal model control (NIMC). The computational requirements of NIMC are considerably less than NMPC, but the NIMC approach is currently restricted to nonlinear models with well-defined and stable inverses. The NIMC controller is shown to provide superior servo and regulatory performance to a linear IMC controller for a continuous stirred tank reactor.     

Real-time control of a water-gas shift reactor by a model-based fuzzy gain scheduling technique

A model-based fuzzy gain scheduling technique is proposed. Fuzzy gain scheduling is a form of variable gain scheduling which involves implementing several linear controllers over a partitioned process space. A higher-level rule-based controller determines which local controller is executed. Unlike conventional gain scheduling, a controller with fuzzy gain scheduling uses fuzzy logic to dynamically interpolate controller parameters near region boundaries based on known local controller parameters. Model-based fuzzy gain scheduling (MFGS) was applied to PID controllers to control a laboratory-scale water-gas shift reactor. The experimental results were compared with those obtained by PID with standard fuzzy gain scheduling, PID with conventional gain scheduling, simple PID and a nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) strategy. The MFGS technique performed comparably to the NMPC method. It exhibited excellent control behaviour over the desired operating space, which spanned a wide temperature range. The other three PID-based techniques were adequate only within a limited range of the same operating space. Due to the simple algorithm involved, the MFGS technique provides a low cost alternative to other computationally intensive control algorithms such as NMPC.     

Robust stability of nonlinear model predictive control based on extended Kalman filter

This work deals with state estimation and process control for nonlinear systems, especially when nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) is integrated with extended Kalman filter (EKF) as the state estimator. In particular, we focus on the robust stability of NMPC and EKF in the presence of plant-model mismatch. The convergence property of the estimation error from the EKF in the presence of non-vanishing perturbations is established based on our previous work [1]. In addition, a so-called one way interaction is shown that the EKF error is not influenced by control action from the NMPC. Hence, the EKF analysis is still valid in the output-feedback NMPC framework, even though there is no separation principle for general nonlinear systems. With this result, we study the robust stability of the output-feedback NMPC under the impact of the estimation error. It turns out the output-feedback NMPC with EKF is Input-to-State practical Stable (ISpS). Finally, two offset-free strategies of output-feedback NMPC are presented and illustrated through a simulation example.     

基于改进DE-NMPC的酸碱中和反应pH值控制

将一种改进的基于差分进化算法的非线性预测控制应用到酸碱中和反应pH值控制系统. 算法充分利用滴定曲线模型, 指导优化过程搜索的初始化空间. 同时, 在变异和选择等操作中改进了差分进化算法, 解决了一类有边界约束的非线性优化问题. 在发酵罐实验装置中进行了测试实验, 取得了较好的效果.     

Intelligent state estimation for fault tolerant nonlinear predictive control

There is growing realization that on-line model maintenance is the key to realizing long term benefits of a predictive control scheme. In this work, a novel intelligent nonlinear state estimation strategy is proposed, which keeps diagnosing the root cause(s) of the plant model mismatch by isolating the subset of active faults (abrupt changes in parameters/disturbances, biases in sensors/actuators, actuator/sensor failures) and auto-corrects the model on-line so as to accommodate the isolated faults/failures. To carry out the task of fault diagnosis in multivariate nonlinear time varying systems, we propose a nonlinear version of the generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) based fault diagnosis and identification (FDI) scheme (NL-GLR). An active fault tolerant NMPC (FTNMPC) scheme is developed that makes use of the fault/failure location and magnitude estimates generated by NL-GLR to correct the state estimator and prediction model used in NMPC formulation. This facilitates application of the fault tolerant scheme to nonlinear and time varying processes including batch and semi-batch processes. The advantages of the proposed intelligent state estimation and FTNMPC schemes are demonstrated by conducting simulation studies on a benchmark CSTR system, which exhibits input multiplicity and change in the sign of steady state gain, and a fed batch bioreactor, which exhibits strongly nonlinear dynamics. By simulating a regulatory control problem associated with an unstable nonlinear system given by Chen and Allgower [H. Chen, F. Allgower, A quasi infinite horizon nonlinear model predictive control scheme with guaranteed stability, Automatica 34(10) (1998) 1205–1217], we also demonstrate that the proposed intelligent state estimation strategy can be used to maintain asymptotic closed loop stability in the face of abrupt changes in model parameters. Analysis of the simulation results reveals that the proposed approach provides a comprehensive method for treating both faults (biases/drifts in sensors/actuators/model parameters) and failures (sensor/ actuator failures) under the unified framework of fault tolerant nonlinear predictive control.     

A COMPARATIVE STUDY ON COMPUTATIONAL SCHEMES FOR NONLINEAR MODEL PREDICTIVE CONTROL

This paper briefly reviews development of nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) schemes for finite horizon prediction and basic computational algorithms that can solve the stable real‐time implementation of NMPC in space state form with state and input constraints. In order to ensure stability within a finite prediction horizon, most NMPC schemes use a terminal region constraint at the end of the prediction horizon — a particular NMPC scheme using a terminal region constraint, namely quasi‐infinite horizon, that guarantees asymptotic closed‐loop stability with input constraints is presented. However, when nonlinear processes have both input and state constraints, difficulty arises from failure to satisfy the state constraints due to constraints on input. Therefore, a new NMPC scheme without a terminal region constraint is developed using soften state constraints. A brief comparative simulation study of two NMPC schemes: quasi‐infinite horizon and soften state constraints is done via simple nonlinear examples to demonstrate the ability of the soften state constraints scheme. Finally, some features of future research from this study are discussed.     

Enlarging the terminal region of quasi-infinite horizon NMPC based on T-S fuzzy model

The paper presents a method for enlarging the terminal region of quasi-infinity horizon nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) for nonlinear systems with constraints. The main technique builds on the fact that terminal controllers are fictitious and never applied to the system in the quasi-infinite horizon NMPC [1]. Based on T-S fuzzy models of nonlinear systems, we show that a parameter-dependent state feedback law exists such that the corresponding value function and its level set can be served as terminal cost and terminal region. The problem of maximizing the terminal region is formulated as a convex optimization problem based on linear matrix inequalities (LMIs). A numerical example is given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.     

Handling uncertainty in economic nonlinear model predictive control: A comparative case study

In the last years, the use of an economic cost function for model predictive control (MPC) has been widely discussed in the literature. The main motivation for this choice is that often the real goal of control is to maximize the profit or the efficiency of a certain system, rather than tracking a predefined set-point as done in the typical MPC approaches, which can be even counter-productive. Since the economic optimal operation of a system resulting from the application of an economic model predictive control approach drives the system to the constraints, the explicit consideration of the uncertainties becomes crucial in order to avoid constraint violations. Although robust MPC has been studied during the past years, little attention has yet been devoted to this topic in the context of economic nonlinear model predictive control, especially when analyzing the performance of the different MPC approaches. In this work, we present the use of multi-stage scenario-based nonlinear model predictive control as a promising strategy to deal with uncertainties in the context of economic NMPC. We make a comparison based on simulations of the advantages of the proposed approach with an open-loop NMPC controller in which no feedback is introduced in the prediction and with an NMPC controller which optimizes over affine control policies. The approach is efficiently implemented using CasADi, which makes it possible to achieve real-time computations for an industrial batch polymerization reactor model provided by BASF SE. Finally, a novel algorithm inspired by tube-based MPC is proposed in order to achieve a trade-off between the variability of the controlled system and the economic performance under uncertainty. Simulations results show that a closed-loop approach for robust NMPC increases the performance and that enforcing low variability under uncertainty of the controlled system might result in a big performance loss.     

A note on stability, robustness and performance of output feedback nonlinear model predictive control

In recent years, nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) schemes have been derived that guarantee stability of the closed loop under the assumption of full state information. However, only limited advances have been made with respect to output feedback in the framework of nonlinear predictive control. This paper combines stabilizing instantaneous state feedback NMPC schemes with high-gain observers to achieve output feedback stabilization. For a uniformly observable MIMO system class it is shown that the resulting closed loop is asymptotically stable. Furthermore, the output feedback NMPC scheme recovers the performance of the state feedback in the sense that the region of attraction and the trajectories of the state feedback scheme can be recovered to any degree of accuracy for large enough observer gains, thus leading to semi-regional results. Additionally, it is shown that the output feedback controller is robust with respect to static sector bounded nonlinear input uncertainties.