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1.
    
Social network-based information campaigns can be used for promoting beneficial health behaviours and mitigating polarization (e.g. regarding climate change or vaccines). Network-based intervention strategies typically rely on full knowledge of network structure. It is largely not possible or desirable to obtain population-level social network data due to availability and privacy issues. It is easier to obtain information about individuals’ attributes (e.g. age, income), which are jointly informative of an individual’s opinions and their social network position. We investigate strategies for influencing the system state in a statistical mechanics based model of opinion formation. Using synthetic and data-based examples we illustrate the advantages of implementing coarse-grained influence strategies on Ising models with modular structure in the presence of external fields. Our work provides a scalable methodology for influencing Ising systems on large graphs and the first exploration of the Ising influence problem in the presence of ambient (social) fields. By exploiting the observation that strong ambient fields can simplify control of networked dynamics, our findings open the possibility of efficiently computing and implementing public information campaigns using insights from social network theory without costly or invasive levels of data collection.  相似文献   

2.
    
Understanding the mechanisms leading to the formation and the propagation of traffic jams in large cities is of crucial importance for urban planning and traffic management. Many studies have already considered the emergence of traffic jams from the point of view of phase transitions, but mostly in simple geometries such as highways for example or in the framework of percolation where an external parameter is driving the transition. More generally, empirical evidence and characterization for a congestion transition in complex road networks are scarce, and here, we use traffic measures for Paris (France) during the period 2014–2018 for testing the existence of a jamming transition at the urban level. In particular, we show that the correlation function of delays due to congestion is a power law (with exponent η ≈ 0.4) combined with an exponential cut-off ξ. This correlation length is shown to diverge during rush hours, pointing to a jamming transition in urban traffic. We also discuss the spatial structure of congestion and identify a core of congested links that participate in most traffic jams and whose structure is specific during rush hours. Finally, we show that the spatial structure of congestion is consistent with a reaction–diffusion picture proposed previously.  相似文献   

3.
喷射沉积过程的理论模型   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
描述了喷射沉积过程原理以及影响沉积体毛坯形状、组织和性能的关键问题,介绍了喷射沉积过程的理论模型,通过理论模型的描述使我们更加了解喷射沉积过程,以便更好地握各种实验参数,使产品的质量得到更好的提高。  相似文献   

4.
    
This paper presents an efficient algorithm for the simulation of progressive fracture in disordered quasi‐brittle materials using discrete lattice networks. The main computational bottleneck involved in modelling the fracture simulations using large discrete lattice networks stems from the fact that a new large set of linear equations needs to be solved every time a lattice bond is broken. Using the present algorithm, the computational complexity of solving the new set of linear equations after breaking a bond reduces to a simple triangular solves (forward elimination and backward substitution) using the already Cholesky factored matrix. This algorithm using the direct sparse solver is faster than the Fourier accelerated iterative solvers such as the preconditioned conjugate gradient (PCG) solvers, and eliminates the critical slowing down associated with the iterative solvers that is especially severe close to the percolation critical points. Numerical results using random resistor networks for modelling the fracture and damage evolution in disordered materials substantiate the efficiency of the present algorithm. In particular, the proposed algorithm is especially advantageous for fracture simulations wherein ensemble averaging of numerical results is necessary to obtain a realistic lattice system response. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

5.
赵启林  李志刚  陈浩森 《工程力学》2006,23(Z1):128-133
针对目前桥梁损伤识别理论受到测量误差、环境随机因素与模型误差等影响识别精度低的缺点,利用数理统计与随机分析的基本理论,提出进行混凝土桥梁裂缝等损伤识别的新理论方法;该方法首先寻找监测响应量的主要影响因素作为原因量,其次建立原因量与响应量的统计模型,最后利用预测模型进行判别是否发生损伤;利用该方法可以有效地考虑环境随机因素、测量误差等不确定因数,避免结构分析的计算模型误差,因而可以有效地提高进行损伤识别的精度;两根钢筋混凝土小梁模型试验证实了本理论的正确性。  相似文献   

6.
Stationary or variational formulations have been proven to be useful in a number of electromagnetic problems. This paper presents such a formulation for the response in the eddy-current NDE problem. It thus provides an approach to estimating the response due to arbitrary defects in cases where a reasonable first guess for the current distribution responsible for the scattered fields can be obtained.  相似文献   

7.
This paper reports both the theoretical development and the numerical verification of a practical wavelet-based crack detection method, which identifies first the number of cracks and then the corresponding crack locations and extents. The value of the proposed method lies in its ability to detect obstructed cracks when measurement at or close to the cracked region is not possible. In such situations, most nonmodel-based methods, which rely on the abnormal change of certain indicators (e.g., curvature and strain mode shapes) at or close to the cracks, cannot be used. Most model-based methods follow the model updating approach. That is, they treat the crack location and extent as model parameters and identify them by minimizing the discrepancy between the modelled and measured dynamic responses. Most model-based methods in the literature can only be used in single- or multi-crack cases with a given number of cracks. One of the objectives of this paper is to develop a model-based crack detection method that is applicable in a general situation when the number of cracks is not known in advance.

To explicitly handle the uncertainties associated with measurement noise and modelling error, the proposed method uses the Bayesian probabilistic approach. In particular, the method aims to calculate the posterior (updated) probability density function (PDF) of the crack locations and the corresponding extents.

The proposed wavelet-based crack detection method is verified and demonstrated through a comprehensive series of numerical case studies, in which noisy data were generated by a Bernoulli–Euler beam with semi-rigid connections. The results show that the method can correctly identify the number of cracks even when the crack extent is small. The effects of the number of cracks and the crack extents on the results of crack detection are also studied and discussed in this paper.  相似文献   


8.
    
Initiatives for marine conservation are funded by revenue from marine sites. However, the emergence of COVID-19 has restricted travelling, thus leading to decreased revenue and weakening conservation efforts. Virtual reality technology to support marine conservation efforts is explored as it allows users to experience marine sites, without having to be there physically. This study examines factors influencing users' desire to adopt virtual reality technology in marine ecotourism. With the integration of Stimulus-Organism-Response framework and three behavioural theories (i.e. health belief model, attitude, and eTrust), a hypothetical model was constructed to investigate consumers’ intention to adopt virtual reality technology in marine ecotourism amidst the pandemic. The data were analysed and interpreted using structural equation modelling after 451 survey responses were obtained via an online questionnaire. Outcome expectation, perceived susceptibility, perceived severity, self-efficacy, and cues to action exhibit significant positive effects on attitude towards virtual reality technology in marine ecotourism. Consequently, attitude has a direct and indirect influence on use intention via eTrust. Post hoc analysis revealed that self-efficacy has a direct impact on eTrust and use intention. Total effect analysis further concluded that attitude has the greatest influence on use intention of virtual reality technology in marine ecotourism. This research contributes to the existing literature by utilizing health belief factors to explain use intention of technology towards marine conservation efforts. Recommendations including policy formulation and marketing initiatives were generated for marine ecotourism operators and policymakers.  相似文献   

9.
本文对非晶态合金的晶化过程提出了一种新的成核机制,从而对非晶态 Fe-B 系合金的晶化温度 Tcr 与类金属 B 含量的关系及 Fe-Ni 基合金的晶化起始温度 Tg 与淬火速率的关系等重要实验规律,作出了相当合理的理论模型解释。  相似文献   

10.
Understanding pedestrian crash causes and contributing factors in developing countries is critically important as they account for about 55% of all traffic crashes. Not surprisingly, considerable attention in the literature has been paid to road traffic crash prediction models and methodologies in developing countries of late. Despite this interest, there are significant challenges confronting safety managers in developing countries. For example, in spite of the prominence of pedestrian crashes occurring on two-way two-lane rural roads, it has proven difficult to develop pedestrian crash prediction models due to a lack of both traffic and pedestrian exposure data. This general lack of available data has further hampered identification of pedestrian crash causes and subsequent estimation of pedestrian safety performance functions. The challenges are similar across developing nations, where little is known about the relationship between pedestrian crashes, traffic flow, and road environment variables on rural two-way roads, and where unique predictor variables may be needed to capture the unique crash risk circumstances. This paper describes pedestrian crash safety performance functions for two-way two-lane rural roads in Ethiopia as a function of traffic flow, pedestrian flows, and road geometry characteristics. In particular, random parameter negative binomial model was used to investigate pedestrian crashes. The models and their interpretations make important contributions to road crash analysis and prevention in developing countries. They also assist in the identification of the contributing factors to pedestrian crashes, with the intent to identify potential design and operational improvements.  相似文献   

11.
Depinning of an interface from a rough self-affine wall delimiting an attractive substrate is described in terms of directed paths on a square lattice. Short range interactions are assumed and the phase diagram is determined by transfer matrix methods for several values of W, the roughness exponent of the wall. For all W the following scenario is observed. At a very low temperature T, the interface is not pinned for wall attraction energies below a certain W-dependent, nonzero threshold. This contrasts with the case of smooth walls, for which the threshold is zero. In a range of attraction energies just below the threshold, a pinning transition first occurs, as T increases, followed by a depinning one (reentrant depinning). This unusual reentrance phenomenon, in which, upon increasing T, dewetting is followed by wetting, is peculiar of self-affine roughness and does not occur, e.g., with a periodic substrate corrugation. The nature of both wetting and dewetting transitions is determined by the value of W. As found in related work, the two transitions are both continuous or both first-order, according to whether W;l/2, or W>l/2, respectively. The border value 0=1/2 coincides with the intrinsic roughness of the interface in the bulk.  相似文献   

12.
四种制冷剂重力再循环蒸发器的理论计算与实验研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
本文建立了均相流模型,对四种制冷剂重力再循环蒸发器进行理论分析,并搭建重力再循环制冷系统实验台,在不同工况下对比了实验结果与理论计算结果。以R404A为例,当保温体内空气温度从0℃下降到-25℃时,传热系数的理论值与实验值的偏差从15.91%逐渐减小到3.01%,制冷量的理论值与实验值的偏差从14.43%逐渐减小到2.07%。保温体内空气温度越低,偏差的幅度越小,重力再循环制冷系统的运行状态和理论运行状态较吻合。应用该模型对四种制冷剂运行状态进行预测,预测结果表明:相比于其他三种制冷剂,当液柱高度较低时,R410A的传热系数和制冷量最大。  相似文献   

13.
颗粒流动模型研究进展   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
颗粒流动在自然界中和各种工业过程中广泛存在,但人们对于其机理认识的还不深入。描述颗粒运动的模型有很多,连续介质模型应用简单但准确性比较低,离散微粒学模型是近来人们研究的一个热点,以每个颗粒为考察对象,能够更准确地反应颗粒系统的性质。本文介绍了描述颗粒流动的模型,概述了各模型的理论和应用,通过对多种模型的比较可以看到,每个模型都有一定的使用范围,要更准确、更方便地描述颗粒系统的运动,还要进行深入地研究。  相似文献   

14.
Quenched geometric disorder of a wall delimiting a spectator phase can have dramatic effects on the nature of critical wetting transitions. We consider self-affine walls in 2D with roughness exponent W. Transfer matrix results for directed interfacial models with short-range interactions suggest that wetting turns first-order as soon as W exceeds 0, the anisotropy index of interface fluctuations in the bulk. Discontinuous interface depinning is best identified by a peculiar two-peak structure in the statistical distributions of wall–interface contacts obtained by sampling over disorder. On the other hand, for W<0 wetting remains continuous, most plausibly in the same universality class as with flat walls. This occurs both with ordered (0 = 1/2) and with bond-disordered (0 = 2/3) bulk. A precise location of the thresholds at W = 0 can be argued on the basis of an analysis of different terms in the interfacial free energy. This analysis elucidates the peculiar role played by the intrinsic interfacial roughness and suggests extensions of the results to 3D and to long-range substrate forces.  相似文献   

15.
Available theoretical models for predicting defect responses in eddy-current NDE apply only to defects of spheroidal shape. In this paper, the boundary-element integral-equation approach is extended to allow for defects of more irregular shape. Sample results for cylindrical and conical voids are presented and discussed.  相似文献   

16.
    
《Quality Engineering》2012,24(3):225-236
ABSTRACT

Unlike continuous distributions, discrete models capable of modeling failure times with bathtub-shaped hazard rate functions have not received deserving attention in the statistical reliability literature. In this article, we show that the shape of the hazard rate function of a continuous lifetime model is partially preserved under the usual discretization of the model. Then, two continuous distributions with bathtub-shaped hazard rates are discretized, and some properties of the obtained discrete versions are studied. Graphical methods are utilized to obtain initial estimates of the parameters that are necessary for calculation of the maximum likelihood estimator. Finally, we fit the studied models along with some other proper discrete models to a set of real data and show that these models may be good candidates for describing discrete lifetime data.  相似文献   

17.
During an epidemic, individuals'' decisions on whether or not to take vaccine may affect the dynamics of disease spread and, therefore, the effectiveness of disease control. Empirical studies have shown that such decisions can be subjected to individuals'' awareness about disease and vaccine, such as their perceived disease severity and vaccine safety. The aim of this paper is to gain a better understanding of individuals'' vaccination behaviour by modelling the spread of awareness in a group of socially connected individuals and examining the associated impacts on their vaccination decision-making. In our model, we examine whether or not individuals will get vaccinated as well as when they would. In doing so, we consider three possible decisions from an individual, i.e. to accept, to reject, and yet to decide, and further associate them with a set of belief values. Next, we extend the Dempster–Shafer theory to characterize individuals'' belief value updates and their decision-making, having incorporated the awareness obtained from their connected neighbours. Furthermore, we examine two factors that will affect individuals'' vaccination decisions: (i) reporting rates of disease- and vaccine-related events, and (ii) fading coefficient of awareness spread. By doing so, we can assess the impacts of awareness spread by evaluating the vaccination dynamics in terms of the number of vaccinated individuals. The results have demonstrated that the former influences the ratio of vaccinated individuals, whereas the latter affects the time when individuals decide to take vaccine.  相似文献   

18.
能力验证是保证检验检测机构持续满足资质认定的基本条件和要求,能力验证的结果,需进行结果评价.不同类型的实验室能力验证方案,采取的评价计算模式各有不同.在实际工作中,通常采用以求稳健Z比分数,来评定结果的满意程度.而在实验室采用Z比分数来统计结果,显得十分重要.  相似文献   

19.
    
Pedestrian route choice, the process by which individuals decide on their walking path between two locations, is a fundamental problem across disciplines. Because this behaviour is investigated from different conceptual and methodological angles, and because it strongly depends on the environmental context, it is challenging to establish a systematic framework for research. Here, by reviewing previous work, we identify four principles for pedestrian route choice that are relevant across disciplines. First, ‘information perception’ deals with how pedestrians can perceive information selectively and purposely, given the limited available information. Second, ‘information integration’ considers how pedestrians subjectively integrate environmental spatial information into mental representations. Third, ‘responding to information’ is concerned with how pedestrians tend to be attracted and repelled by specific attributes individually and how this can lead to positive or negative feedback loops across many individuals. Fourth ‘decision-making mechanisms'' describe how pedestrians trade off the evidence provided by different attributes. How pedestrians perceive, integrate, respond to, and act upon information is not fixed but varies with the context. We give examples for each principle and explain how these principles shape pedestrian choice behaviours. We hope this contribution provides a systematic overview of the field and helps to spark inspiration among specialists.  相似文献   

20.
    
《Quality Engineering》2012,24(2):179-189
  相似文献   

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