A double exponentially weighted moving average control chart for monitoring COM‐Poisson attributes

The Conway‐Maxwell‐Poisson (COM‐Poisson) distribution is a two‐parameter generalization of the Poisson distribution, which can be used for overdispersed or underdispersed count data and also contains the geometric and Bernoulli distributions as special cases. This article presents a double exponentially weighted moving average control chart with steady‐state control limits to monitor COM‐Poisson attributes (regarded as CMP‐DEWMA chart). The performance of the proposed control chart has been evaluated in terms of the average, the median, and the standard deviation of the run‐length distribution. The CMP‐DEWMA control chart is studied not only to detect shifts in each parameter individually but also in both parameters simultaneously. The design parameters of the proposed chart are provided, and through a simulation study, it is shown that the CMP‐DEWMA chart is more effective than the EWMA chart at detecting downward shifts of the process mean. Finally, a real data set is presented to demonstrate the application of the proposed chart.     

A Control Chart for COM–Poisson Distribution Using Resampling and Exponentially Weighted Moving Average

In this paper, we propose a control chart using exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) statistic for count data based on the Conway–Maxwell–Poisson (called COM–Poisson) distribution. Repetitive sampling is considered by constructing two pairs of control limits for the proposed control chart. The performance of the proposed control chart is evaluated using the average run length (ARL) for various values of specified parameters. It has been observed that the proposed control chart is more efficient in terms of ARLs as compared to the existing control charts. The tables are provided and explained with the help of example. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A generalized statistical control chart for over‐ or under‐dispersed data

The Poisson distribution is a popular distribution used to describe count information, from which control charts involving count data have been established. Several works recognize the need for a generalized control chart to allow for data over‐dispersion; however, analogous arguments can also be made to account for potential under‐dispersion. The Conway–Maxwell–Poisson (COM‐Poisson) distribution is a general count distribution that relaxes the equi‐dispersion assumption of the Poisson distribution, and in fact encompasses the special cases of the Poisson, geometric, and Bernoulli distributions. Accordingly, a flexible control chart is developed that encompasses the classical Shewart charts based on the Poisson, Bernoulli (or binomial), and geometric (or negative binomial) distributions. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The Use of Probability Limits of COM–Poisson Charts and their Applications

The conventional c and u charts are based on the Poisson distribution assumption for the monitoring of count data. In practice, this assumption is not often satisfied, which requires a generalized control chart to monitor both over‐dispersed as well as under‐dispersed count data. The Conway–Maxwell–Poisson (COM–Poisson) distribution is a general count distribution that relaxes the equi‐dispersion assumption of the Poisson distribution and in fact encompasses the special cases of the Poisson, geometric, and Bernoulli distributions. In this study, the exact k‐sigma limits and true probability limits for COM–Poisson distribution chart have been proposed. The comparison between the 3‐sigma limits, the exact k‐sigma limits, and the true probability limits has been investigated, and it was found that the probability limits are more efficient than the 3‐sigma and the k‐sigma limits in terms of (i) low probability of false alarm, (ii) existence of lower control limits, and (iii) high discriminatory power of detecting a shift in the parameter (particularly downward shift). Finally, a real data set has been presented to illustrate the application of the probability limits in practice. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Enhancing the Performance of Combined Shewhart‐EWMA Charts

The combination of Shewhart control charts and an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts to simultaneously monitor shifts in the mean output of a production process has proven very effective in handling both small and large shifts. To improve the sensitivity of the control chart to detect off‐target processes, we propose a combined Shewhart‐EWMA (CSEWMA) control chart for monitoring mean output using a more structured sampling technique, i.e. ranked set sampling (RSS) instead of the traditional simple random sampling. We evaluated the performance of the proposed charts in terms of different run length (RL) properties including average RL, standard deviation of the RL, and percentile of the RL. Comparisons of these charts with some existing control charts designed for monitoring small, large, or both shifts revealed that the RSS‐based CSEWMA charts are more sensitive and offer better protection against all types of shifts than other schemes considered in this study. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Optimal one- and two-sided adaptive EWMA scheme for monitoring Poisson count data

The Poisson distribution assumption often arises in several industrial applications for modeling defects or nonconformities. In this work, we investigate the one- and two-sided performance of a new adaptive EWMA (exponentially weighted moving average)-type chart for monitoring Poisson count data. An appropriate discrete-state Markov chain technique is provided to compute the exact ARL (average run length) properties. Moreover, comparative studies are conducted to demonstrate the higher sensitivity of the proposed chart in the detection of shifts with various magnitudes. Advices on how to select the appropriate chart parameters are provided and an illustrative numerical example is proposed.     

On t and EWMA t charts for monitoring changes in the process mean

The performance of an X‐bar chart is usually studied under the assumption that the process standard deviation is well estimated and does not change. This is, of course, not always the case in practice. We find that X‐bar charts are not robust against errors in estimating the process standard deviation or changing standard deviation. In this paper we discuss the use of a t chart and an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) t chart to monitor the process mean. We determine the optimal control limits for the EWMA t chart and show that this chart has the desired robustness property. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

New control charts for monitoring the Weibull percentiles under complete data and Type‐II censoring

In this paper, we propose 3 new control charts for monitoring the lower Weibull percentiles under complete data and Type‐II censoring. In transforming the Weibull distribution to the smallest extreme value distribution, Pascaul et al (2017) presented an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart, hereafter referred to as EWMA‐SEV‐Q, based on a pivotal quantity conditioned on ancillary statistics. We extended their concept to construct a cumulative sum (CUSUM) control chart denoted by CUSUM‐SEV‐Q. We provide more insights of the statistical properties of the monitoring statistic. Additionally, in transforming a Weibull distribution to a standard normal distribution, we propose EWMA and CUSUM control charts, denoted as EWMA‐YP and CUSUM‐YP, respectively, based on a pivotal quantity for monitoring the Weibull percentiles with complete data. With complete data, the EWMA‐YP and CUSUM‐YP control charts perform better than the EWMA‐SEV‐Q and CUSUM‐SEV‐Q control charts in terms of average run length. In Type‐II censoring, the EWMA‐SEV‐Q chart is slightly better than the CUSUM‐SEV‐Q chart in terms of average run length. Two numerical examples are used to illustrate the applications of the proposed control charts.     

Optimal EWMA of linear combination of Poisson variables for multivariate statistical process control

In this paper, we propose a new process control chart for monitoring correlated Poisson variables, the EWMA LCP chart. This chart is the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) version of the recently proposed LCP chart. The latter is a Shewhart-type control chart whose control statistic is a linear combination of the values of the different Poisson variables (elements of the Poisson vector) at each sampling time. As a Shewhart chart, it is effective at signalling large process shifts but is slow to signal smaller shifts. EWMA charts are known to be more sensitive to small and moderate shifts than their Shewhart-type counterparts, so the motivation of the present development is to enhance the performance of the LCP chart by the incorporation of the EWMA procedure to it. To ease the design of the EWMA LCP chart for the end user, we developed a user-friendly programme that runs on Windows© and finds the optimal design of the chart, that is, the coefficients of the linear combination as well as the EWMA smoothing constant and chart control limits that together minimise the out-of-control ARL under a constraint on the in-control ARL. The optimization is carried out by genetic algorithms where the ARLs are calculated through a Markov chain model. We used this programme to evaluate the performance of the new chart. As expected, the incorporation of the EWMA scheme greatly improves the performance of the LCP chart.     

An EWMA Solution to Detect Shifts in a Bernoulli Process in an Out‐of‐control Environment

The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) control chart has mainly been used to monitor continuous data, usually under the normality assumption. In addition, a number of EWMA control charts have been proposed for Poisson data. Here, however, we suggest applying the EWMA to hypergeometric data originating from a multivariate Bernoulli process. The problem studied in this paper concerns the wear‐out of electronics testers resulting in unnecessary and costly reparations of electronic units. Assuming that the testing process is in statistical control, although the quality of the tested units is not, we can detect the wear‐out of a tester by finding assignable causes of variation in that tester. This reasoning forms the basis of a new EWMA procedure designed to detect shifts in a Bernoulli process in an out‐of‐control environment. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Novel design of composite generally weighted moving average and cumulative sum charts

The cumulative sum (CUSUM) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) charts are popular statistical tools to improve the performance of the Shewhart chart in detecting small process shifts. In this study, we propose the mixed generally weighted moving average (GWMA)‐CUSUM chart and its reverse‐order CUSUM‐GWMA chart to enhance detection ability compared with existing counterparts. The simulation revealed that the mixed GWMA‐CUSUM and mixed CUSUM‐GWMA charts have the sensitivity to detect small process shifts and efficient structures compared with the mixed EWMA‐CUSUM and mixed CUSUM‐EWMA charts, respectively. Moreover, the mixed GWMA‐CUSUM chart with a large design parameter has robust performance, regardless of the high tail t distribution or right skewness gamma distribution.     

New memory‐type dispersion control charts

The exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is a memory‐type process monitoring tool that is frequently used to monitor small and moderate disturbances in the process mean and/or process dispersion. In this study, we propose 2 new memory‐type control charts for monitoring changes in the process dispersion, namely, the generally weighted moving average and the hybrid EWMA charts. We use Monte Carlo simulations to compute the run length profiles of the proposed control charts. The run length comparisons of the proposed and existing charts reveal that the generally weighted moving average and hybrid EWMA charts provide better protection than the existing EWMA chart when detecting small to moderate shifts in the process dispersion. An illustrative dataset is also used to show the superiority of the proposed charts over the existing chart.     

On developing an exponentially weighted moving average chart under progressive setup: An efficient approach to manufacturing processes

The exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is a memory chart that is widely used in process monitoring to spot small and persistent disturbances in the process parameter(s). This chart requires normality of the quality characteristic(s) of interest and a smaller choice of smoothing parameter. Any deviations from these conditions affect its performance in terms of efficiency and robustness. For the said two concerns, this study develops a new mixed EWMA chart under progressive setup (mixed EWMA–progressive mean [MEP] chart). The proposed MEP chart combines the advantages of robustness (under nonnormal scenarios) and high sensitivity to small and persistent shifts in the process mean. The performance of the proposed MEP control chart is evaluated in terms of average run length and some other characteristics of run length distribution. The assessment of the proposed chart is made under standard normal, student's t, gamma, Laplace, logistic, exponential, contaminated normal and lognormal distributions. The performance of the proposed MEP chart is also compared with some existing competitors including the classical EWMA, the classical cumulative sum (CUSUM), the homogenously weighted moving average, the mixed EWMA–CUSUM, the mixed CUSUM–EWMA and the double EWMA charts. The analysis reveals that the proposal of this study offers a superior design structure relative to its competing counterparts. An application from substrates manufacturing process (in which flow width of the resist is the key quality characteristic) is also provided in the study.     

A EWMA Control Chart for Exponential Distributed Quality Based on Moving Average Statistics

We propose an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart for monitoring exponential distributed quality characteristics. The proposed control chart first transforms the sample data to approximate normal variables, then calculates the moving average (MA) statistic for each subgroup, and finally constructs the EWMA statistic based on the current and the previous MA statistics. The upper and the lower control limits are derived using the mean and the variance of EWMA statistics. The in‐control and the out‐of‐control average run lengths are derived and tabularized according to process shift parameters and smoothing constants. It is shown that the proposed control chart outperforms the MA control chart for all shift parameters. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Improving the Performance of Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Charts

A control chart is a graphical tool used for monitoring a production process and quality improvement. One such charting procedure is the Shewhart‐type control chart, which is sensitive mainly to the large shifts. For small shifts, the cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts were proposed. To further enhance the ability of the EWMA control chart to quickly detect wide range process changes, we have developed an EWMA control chart using the median ranked set sampling (RSS), median double RSS and the double median RSS. The findings show that the proposed median‐ranked sampling procedures substantially increase the sensitivities of EWMA control charts. The newly developed control charts dominate most of their existing counterparts, in terms of the run‐length properties, the Average Extra Quadratic Loss and the Performance Comparison Index. These include the classical EWMA, fast initial response EWMA, double and triple EWMA, runs‐rules EWMA, the max EWMA with mean‐squared deviation, the mixed EWMA‐CUSUM, the hybrid EWMA and the combined Shewhart–EWMA based on ranks. An application of the proposed schemes on real data sets is also given to illustrate the implementation and procedural details of the proposed methodology. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Monitoring process variation using modified EWMA

A new control chart, namely, modified exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart, for monitoring the process variance is introduced in this work by following the recommendations of Khan et al.¹⁵ The proposed control chart deduces the existing charts to be its special cases. The necessary coefficients, which are required for the construction of modified EWMA chart, are determined for various choices of sample sizes and smoothing constants. The performance of the proposed modified EWMA is evaluated in terms of its run length (RL) characteristics such as average RL and standard deviation of RL. The efficiency of the modified EWMA chart is investigated and compared with some existing control charts. The comparison reveals the superiority of proposal as compared with other control charts in terms of early detection of shift in process variation. The application of the proposal is also demonstrated using a real-life dataset.     

Monitoring nonlinear profile data using support vector regression method

In today's manufacturing industries, if the quality characteristic of a product or a process is assumed to be represented by a functional relationship between the response variable and one or more explanatory variables, then the data generated from such a relationship are called profile data. Generally speaking, the functional relationship of the profile data rarely occurs in linear form, and the real data usually do not follow normal distribution. Thus, in this paper, the functional relationship of profile data is described via a nonparametric regression model and a nonparametric exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is developed for detecting the process shifts for nonlinear profile data in the Phase II monitoring. We first fit the nonlinear profile data via a support vector regression model and use the fitted values to calculate the five metrics. Then, the nonparametric EWMA control chart with the five metrics can be constructed accordingly. Moreover, a simulation study is conducted to evaluate the detecting performance of the new control chart under various process shifts using the out‐of‐control average run length. Finally, a realistic nonlinear profile example is used to demonstrate the usefulness of our proposed nonparametric EWMA control chart and its monitoring schemes. It is expected that the proposed nonparametric EWMA control chart can enhance the monitoring efficiency for nonlinear profile data in the phase II study.     

Distribution-free triple EWMA control chart for monitoring the process location using the Wilcoxon rank-sum statistic with fast initial response feature

The exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is a memory-type chart known to be more efficient in detecting small and moderate shifts in the process parameter. The double EWMA (DEWMA) chart is an extension of the EWMA chart that is more effective than the latter in the detection of small-to-moderate shifts. This paper proposes a new distribution-free (or nonparametric) triple EWMA (TEWMA) control chart based on the Wilcoxon rank-sum (W) statistic to improve the detection ability in the process location parameter. Moreover, a new fast initial response (FIR) feature is added to further improve the sensitivity of the new TEWMA chart. The performance of the proposed TEWMA chart with and without FIR features is compared to those of the existing EWMA and DEWMA W charts. It is observed that the TEWMA chart with and without FIR features is superior to the competing charts in most situations. A real-life illustration is provided to show the application and implementation of the new chart.     

An adaptive EWMA control chart for monitoring the process mean in Bayesian theory under different loss functions

The Shewhart control chart is used for detecting the large shift and an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is used for detecting the small/moderate shift in the process mean. A scheme that combines both the Shewhart control chart and the EWMA control chart in a smooth way is called the adaptive EWMA (AEWMA) control chart. In this paper, we proposed a new AEWMA control chart for monitoring the process mean in Bayesian theory under different loss functions (LFs). We used informative (conjugate prior) under two different LFs: (1) squared error loss function and (2) linex loss function for posterior and posterior predictive distributions. We used the average run length and standard deviation of run length to measure the performance of the AEWMA control chart in the Bayesian theory. A comparative study is conducted for comparing the proposed AEWMA control chart in Bayesian theory with the existing Bayesian EWMA control chart. We conducted a Monte Carlo simulation study to evaluate the proposed AEWMA control chart. For the implementation purposes, we presented a real-data example.     

An Efficient Nonparametric EWMA Wilcoxon Signed‐Rank Chart for Monitoring Location

The statistical performance of traditional control charts for monitoring the process shifts is doubtful if the underlying process will not follow a normal distribution. So, in this situation, the use of a nonparametric control charts is considered to be an efficient alternative. In this paper, a nonparametric exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is developed based on Wilcoxon signed‐rank statistic using ranked set sampling. The average run length and some other associated characteristics were used as the performance evaluation of the proposed chart. A major advantage of the proposed nonparametric EWMA signed‐rank chart is the robustness of its in‐control run length distribution. Moreover, it has been observed that the proposed version of the EWMA signed‐rank chart using ranked set sampling shows better detection ability than some of the competing counterparts including EWMA sign chart, EWMA signed‐rank chart, and the usual EWMA control chart using simple random sampling scheme. An illustrative example is also provided for practical consideration. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.