Monitoring the Ratio of Two Normal Variables Using EWMA Type Control Charts

In many fields, there is the need to monitor quality characteristics defined as the ratio of two random variables. The design and implementation of control charts directly monitoring the ratio stability is required for the continuous surveillance of these quality characteristics. In this paper, we propose two one‐sided exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) charts with subgroups having sample size n > 1 to monitor the ratio of two normal random variables. The optimal EWMA smoothing constants, control limits, and ARLs have been computed for different values of the in‐control ratio and correlation between the variables and are shown in several figures and tables to discuss the statistical performance of the proposed one‐sided EWMA charts. Both deterministic and random shift sizes have been considered to test the two one‐sided EWMA charts' sensitivity. The obtained results show that the proposed one‐sided EWMA control charts are more sensitive to process shifts than other charts already proposed in the literature. The practical application of the proposed control schemes is discussed with an illustrative example. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A new adaptive EWMA control chart for monitoring the process dispersion

The exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA), cumulative sum (CUSUM), and adaptive EWMA (AEWMA) control charts have had wide popularity because of their excellent speed in tracking infrequent process shifts, which are expected to lie within certain ranges. In this paper, we propose a new AEWMA dispersion chart that may achieve better performance over a range of dispersion shifts. The idea is to first consider an unbiased estimator of the dispersion shift using the EWMA statistic, and then based on the magnitude of this shift, select an appropriate value of the smoothing parameter to design an EWMA chart, named the AEWMA chart. The run length characteristics of the AEWMA chart are computed with the help of extensive Monte Carlo simulations. The AEWMA chart is compared with some of the existing powerful competitor control charts. It turns out that the AEWMA chart performs substantially and uniformly better than the EWMA‐S², CUSUM‐S², existing AEWMA, and HHW‐EWMA charts when detecting different kinds of shifts in the process dispersion. Moreover, an example is also used to explain the working and implementation of the proposed AEWMA chart.     

Improved Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Charts for Monitoring Process Mean and Dispersion

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts are mostly used to monitor the manufacturing processes. In this paper, we propose some improved EWMA control charts for detecting the random shifts in the process mean and process dispersion. These EWMA control charts are based on the best linear unbiased estimators obtained under ordered ranked set sampling (ORSS) and ordered imperfect ranked set sampling (OIRSS), named EWMA‐ORSS and EWMA‐OIRSS charts, respectively. Monte Carlo simulations are used to estimate the average run length, median run length and standard deviation of run length of the proposed EWMA control charts. It is observed that the EWMA‐ORSS mean control chart is able to detect the random shifts in the process mean substantially quicker than the Shewhart‐cumulative sum and the Shewhart‐EWMA control charts based on the RSS scheme. Both EWMA‐ORSS and EWMA‐OIRSS location charts perform better than the classical EWMA, hybrid EWMA, Shewhart‐EWMA and fast initial response‐EWMA charts. The EWMA‐ORSS dispersion control chart performs better than the simple random sampling based CS‐EWMA and other EWMA control charts in efficient detection of the random shifts that occur in the process variability. An application to real data is also given to explain the implementation of the proposed EWMA control charts. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

New Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Charts for Monitoring Process Dispersion

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts have received considerable attention for detecting small changes in the process mean or the process variability. Several EWMA control charts are constructed using logarithmic and normalizing transformations on unbiased sample variance for monitoring changes in the process dispersion. In this paper, we propose new EWMA control charts for monitoring process dispersion based on the best linear unbiased absolute estimators obtained under simple random sampling (SRS) and ranked set sampling (RSS) schemes, named EWMA‐SRS and EWMA‐RSS control charts. The performance of the proposed EWMA control charts is evaluated in terms of the average run length and standard deviation of run length, estimated by using Monte Carlo simulations. The proposed EWMA control charts are then compared with their existing counterparts for detecting increases and decreases in the process dispersion. It turns out that the EWMA‐RSS control chart performs uniformly better than its analogues for detecting overall changes in process dispersion. Moreover, the EWMA‐SRS chart significantly outperforms the existing EWMA charts for detecting increases in process variability. A real data set is also used to explain the construction and operations of the proposed EWMA control charts. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A New Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring Process Dispersion

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts have been widely recognized as an advanced statistical process monitoring tool due to their excellent performance in detecting small to moderate shifts in process parameters. In this paper, we propose a new EWMA control chart for monitoring the process dispersion based on the best linear unbiased absolute estimator (BLUAE) obtained under paired ranked set sampling (PRSS) scheme, which we name EWMA‐PRSS chart. The performance of the EWMA‐PRSS chart is evaluated in terms of the average run length and standard deviation of run length, estimated using Monte Carlo simulations. These control charts are compared with their existing counterparts for detecting both increases and decreases in the process dispersion. It is observed that the proposed EWMA‐PRSS chart performs uniformly better than the EWMA dispersion charts based on simple random sampling and ranked set sampling (RSS) schemes. We also construct an EWMA chart based on imperfect PRSS (IPRSS) scheme, named EWMA‐IPRSS chart, for detecting overall changes in the process variability. It turns out that, with reasonable assumptions, the EWMA‐IPRSS chart outperforms the existing EWMA dispersion charts. A real data set is used to explain the construction and operation of the proposed EWMA‐PRSS chart. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Mixed Exponentially Weighted Moving Average–Cumulative Sum Charts for Process Monitoring

The control chart is a very popular tool of statistical process control. It is used to determine the existence of special cause variation to remove it so that the process may be brought in statistical control. Shewhart‐type control charts are sensitive for large disturbances in the process, whereas cumulative sum (CUSUM)–type and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA)–type control charts are intended to spot small and moderate disturbances. In this article, we proposed a mixed EWMA–CUSUM control chart for detecting a shift in the process mean and evaluated its average run lengths. Comparisons of the proposed control chart were made with some representative control charts including the classical CUSUM, classical EWMA, fast initial response CUSUM, fast initial response EWMA, adaptive CUSUM with EWMA‐based shift estimator, weighted CUSUM and runs rules–based CUSUM and EWMA. The comparisons revealed that mixing the two charts makes the proposed scheme even more sensitive to the small shifts in the process mean than the other schemes designed for detecting small shifts. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

New Approaches in Monitoring Multivariate Categorical Processes based on Contingency Tables in Phase II

In some statistical process control (SPC) applications, quality of a process or product is characterized by contingency table. Contingency tables describe the relation between two or more categorical quality characteristics. In this paper, two new control charts based on the WALD and Stuart score test statistics are designed for monitoring of contingency table‐based processes in Phase‐II. The performances of the proposed control charts are compared with the generalized linear test (GLT) control chart proposed in the literature. The results show the better performance of the proposed control charts under small and moderate shifts. Moreover, new schemes are proposed to diagnose which cell corresponding to different levels of categorical variables is responsible for out‐of‐control signal. In addition, we propose EWMA–WALD and EWMA–Stuart score test control charts to improve the performance of Shewhart‐based control charts in detecting small and moderate shifts in contingency table parameters. Meanwhile, we compare the performances of two proposed EWMA‐based control charts with the ones of three existing control charts called EWMA–GLT, EWMA–GLRT and an EWMA‐type control chart for multivariate binomial/multinomial processes along with the ones of the corresponding Shewhart‐based control charts. A numerical example is given to show the efficiency of the proposed methods. Finally, the effect of parameter estimation in Phase I based on m historical contingency table on the performance of the Shewhart‐based control charts is studied. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Comparisons of Some Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Charts for Monitoring the Process Mean and Variance

An exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart for monitoring the process mean μ may be slow to detect large shifts in μ when the EWMA tuning parameter λ is small. An additional problem, sometimes called the inertia problem, is that the EWMA statistic may be in a disadvantageous position on the wrong side of the target when a shift in μ occurs, which may significantly delay detection of a shift in μ. Options for improving the performance of the EWMA chart include using the EWMA chart in combination with a Shewhart chart or in combination with an EWMA chart based on squared deviations from target. The EWMA chart based on squared deviations from target is designed to detect increases in the process standard deviation σ, but it is also very effective for detecting large shifts inμ. Capizzi and Masarotto recently proposed the option of an adaptive EWMA control chart in which λ is a function of the data. With the adaptive feature, the EWMA chart behaves like a standard EWMA chart when the current observation is close to the previous EWMA statistic, and like a Shewhart chart otherwise. Here we extend the use of the adaptive feature to EWMA charts based on squared deviations from target, and also consider an alternate way of defining the adaptive feature. We discuss performance measures that we believe are appropriate for assessing the effects of inertia, and compare the performance of various charts and combinations of charts. Standard practice is to simultaneously monitor both μ and σ, so we consider control chart performance when the objective is to detect small or large changes in μ or increases in σ. We find that combinations of EWMA control charts that include a chart based on squared deviations from target give good overall performance whether or not these charts have the adaptive feature.     

An EWMA Solution to Detect Shifts in a Bernoulli Process in an Out‐of‐control Environment

The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) control chart has mainly been used to monitor continuous data, usually under the normality assumption. In addition, a number of EWMA control charts have been proposed for Poisson data. Here, however, we suggest applying the EWMA to hypergeometric data originating from a multivariate Bernoulli process. The problem studied in this paper concerns the wear‐out of electronics testers resulting in unnecessary and costly reparations of electronic units. Assuming that the testing process is in statistical control, although the quality of the tested units is not, we can detect the wear‐out of a tester by finding assignable causes of variation in that tester. This reasoning forms the basis of a new EWMA procedure designed to detect shifts in a Bernoulli process in an out‐of‐control environment. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Linking EWMA p Charts and the Risk Adjustment Control Charts

This paper develops an adaptive exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart that can be used as either a p chart for monitoring significant departures from in‐control non‐homogenous probabilities of failure or success or a risk‐adjusted control chart for success or failure of an event. An example of a risk adjustment process is monitoring the performance of a particular surgery over time where we need to adjust for the temporal changes in patient case mix. If the magnitude of this shift is known in advance, as would be the case in some hypothesis testing applications, then the paper offers a way of selecting the appropriate exponential weights to be efficient at detecting such a variable shift. The adaptive EWMA p chart is tested using extensive simulations. Processes for its efficient design are offered. The example application offers practitioners a means of evaluating a trial in real time rather than the traditional approach of evaluating the trial at the end of the study period. This is helpful in deciding how long the trial should run as well as potentially adapting the design over time as more is understood about the trial uncertainties. This may be particularly useful in evaluating expensive trials. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Economic design of EWMA control charts using regions of maximum and minimum ARL

Nowadays, it is common to find industries that utilize processes that either have a value of the process capability index C_pk larger than two or are very difficult to adjust. In these cases, the detection of very small shifts may not be of interest due to the possible extra variability introduced into the process by the detection process. It would be more interesting in these situations to decide what shift size is important for detection, and to design a chart capable of quickly detecting this shift whilst having a low probability of false alarms for the shifts that we do not wish to detect. The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) control chart, although originally developed to successfully detect small shifts, can be designed to cope with these requirements. This paper presents a method for the economic-statistical design of EWMA charts for control processes, in which the detection of small shifts is not necessary, and which is, at the same time, effective in detecting important shifts. A genetic algorithm is used to optimize the design. A sensitivity analysis of the optimal solution is performed to determine the influence of certain factors on the economic model.     

A New Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring the Process Mean

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) quality control schemes have been recognized as a potentially powerful process monitoring tool because of their superior speed in detecting small to moderate shifts in the underlying process parameters. In quality control literature, there exist several EWMA charts that are based on simple random sampling (SRS) and ranked set sampling (RSS) schemes. Recently, a mixed RSS (MxRSS) scheme has been introduced, which encompasses both SRS and RSS schemes, and is a cost‐effective alternative to the RSS scheme. In this paper, we propose new EWMA control charts for efficiently monitoring the process mean based on MxRSS and imperfect MxRSS (IMxRSS) schemes, named EWMA–MxRSS and EWMA–IMxRSS charts, respectively. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations are used to estimate the run length characteristics of the proposed EWMA charts. The run length performances of the suggested EWMA charts are compared with the classical EWMA chart based on SRS (EWMA–SRS). It turns out that both EWMA–MxRSS and EWMA–IMxRSS charts perform uniformly better than the EWMA–SRS chart when detecting all different shifts in the process mean. An application to a real data set is provided as an illustration of the design and implementation of the proposed EWMA chart. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Detection of linear trends in process mean

In this paper, we develop a process control approach to detect linear trends in the process mean. A statistic based on the deviation between the target mean and the expected mean of the process is used in the development of the new approach. The statistic is shown to have a chi-square distribution. The approach is described and its performance is compared with cumulative sum (CUSUM), exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA), Shewhart, and generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) charts in detecting linear trends in the process mean. The results indicate that proposed approach is effective in detecting small to large trends. We also investigate the run length properties of the proposed approach under linear trends and compare its values with simulation results. Finally, we analyse the performance of the proposed approach in detecting the time when a drift occurs in the process and compare it with CUSUM and EWMA estimators. The results show that the proposed approach is more effective in detecting drift time for moderate and large trends.     

A comparison of multivariate moving average control charts for the process mean

Two alternatives to the multivariate exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart are considered. One of these alternatives is an arithmetic moving average control chart which is the arithmetic average of the sample means for the last k periods. The other alternative is a truncated version of the EWMA which truncates the EWMA after a fairly short period of time so that more emphasis is placed on the most current observation. Simulated average run length (ARL) results indicate that for some situations these alternatives charts outperform the multivariate EWMA chart. Some suggestions are made for designing charts to detect a specific shift and comparing the alternative charts. Some authors have noted that past in-control data may diminish the chart's ability to detect a shift in the process mean. To examine this, the scenario will be discussed when the process is in-control initially but goes out-of-control at some random time period. This is more like a realistic manufacturing setting, where the process is in-control initially, but after some time the process mean shifts to a new mean and in this paper it will be shown which control charts detect a shift faster using this scenario.     

Novel design of composite generally weighted moving average and cumulative sum charts

The cumulative sum (CUSUM) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) charts are popular statistical tools to improve the performance of the Shewhart chart in detecting small process shifts. In this study, we propose the mixed generally weighted moving average (GWMA)‐CUSUM chart and its reverse‐order CUSUM‐GWMA chart to enhance detection ability compared with existing counterparts. The simulation revealed that the mixed GWMA‐CUSUM and mixed CUSUM‐GWMA charts have the sensitivity to detect small process shifts and efficient structures compared with the mixed EWMA‐CUSUM and mixed CUSUM‐EWMA charts, respectively. Moreover, the mixed GWMA‐CUSUM chart with a large design parameter has robust performance, regardless of the high tail t distribution or right skewness gamma distribution.     

An adaptive EWMA control chart for monitoring the process mean in Bayesian theory under different loss functions

The Shewhart control chart is used for detecting the large shift and an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is used for detecting the small/moderate shift in the process mean. A scheme that combines both the Shewhart control chart and the EWMA control chart in a smooth way is called the adaptive EWMA (AEWMA) control chart. In this paper, we proposed a new AEWMA control chart for monitoring the process mean in Bayesian theory under different loss functions (LFs). We used informative (conjugate prior) under two different LFs: (1) squared error loss function and (2) linex loss function for posterior and posterior predictive distributions. We used the average run length and standard deviation of run length to measure the performance of the AEWMA control chart in the Bayesian theory. A comparative study is conducted for comparing the proposed AEWMA control chart in Bayesian theory with the existing Bayesian EWMA control chart. We conducted a Monte Carlo simulation study to evaluate the proposed AEWMA control chart. For the implementation purposes, we presented a real-data example.     

Distribution‐free mixed cumulative sum‐exponentially weighted moving average control charts for detecting mean shifts

In this paper, we propose distribution‐free mixed cumulative sum‐exponentially weighted moving average (CUSUM‐EWMA) and exponentially weighted moving average‐cumulative sum (EWMA‐CUSUM) control charts based on the Wilcoxon rank‐sum test for detecting process mean shifts without any distributional assumption of the underlying quality process. The performances of the proposed charts are measured through the average run‐length, relative mean index, average extra quadratic loss, and average ratio of the average run‐length and performance comparison index. It is found that the proposed charts perform better than its counterparts considered in this paper under non‐normal distributions and outperform the classical mixed CUSUM‐EWMA and EWMA‐CUSUM charts in many cases under the normal distribution. The effect of the phase I sample size is also investigated on the phase II performance of the proposed charts. A numerical illustration is given to demonstrate the implementation and simplicity of the proposed charts.     

A New Synthetic Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring Process Dispersion

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts have been widely recognized as a potentially powerful process monitoring tool of the statistical process control because of their excellent speed in detecting small to moderate shifts in the process parameters. Recently, new EWMA and synthetic control charts have been proposed based on the best linear unbiased estimator of the scale parameter using ordered ranked set sampling (ORSS) scheme, named EWMA‐ORSS and synthetic‐ORSS charts, respectively. In this paper, we extend the work and propose a new synthetic EWMA (SynEWMA) control chart for monitoring the process dispersion using ORSS, named SynEWMA‐ORSS chart. The SynEWMA‐ORSS chart is an integration of the EWMA‐ORSS chart and the conforming run length chart. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations are used to estimate the run length performances of the proposed control chart. A comprehensive comparison of the run length performances of the proposed and the existing powerful control charts reveals that the SynEWMA‐ORSS chart outperforms the synthetic‐R, synthetic‐S, synthetic‐D, synthetic‐ORSS, CUSUM‐R, CUSUM‐S, CUSUM‐ln S², EWMA‐ln S² and EWMA‐ORSS charts when detecting small shifts in the process dispersion. A similar trend is observed when the proposed control chart is constructed under imperfect rankings. An application to a real data is also provided to demonstrate the implementation and application of the proposed control chart. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

New Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Charts for Monitoring Process Mean and Process Dispersion

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts have been widely accepted because of their excellent performance in detecting small to moderate shifts in the process parameters. In this paper, we propose new EWMA control charts for monitoring the process mean and the process dispersion. These EWMA control charts are based on the best linear unbiased estimators obtained under ordered double ranked set sampling (ODRSS) and ordered imperfect double ranked set sampling (OIDRSS) schemes, named EWMA‐ODRSS and EWMA‐OIDRSS charts, respectively. We use Monte Carlo simulations to estimate the average run length, median run length, and standard deviation of run length of the proposed EWMA charts. We compare the performances of the proposed EWMA charts with the existing EWMA charts when detecting shifts in the process mean and in the process variability. It turns out that the EWMA‐ODRSS mean chart performs uniformly better than the classical EWMA, fast initial response‐based EWMA, Shewhart‐EWMA, and hybrid EWMA mean charts. The EWMA‐ODRSS mean chart also outperforms the Shewhart‐EWMA mean charts based on ranked set sampling (RSS) and median RSS schemes and the EWMA mean chart based on ordered RSS scheme. Moreover, the graphical comparisons of the EWMA dispersion charts reveal that the proposed EWMA‐ODRSS and EWMA‐OIDRSS charts are more sensitive than their counterparts. We also provide illuminating examples to illustrate the implementation of the proposed EWMA mean and dispersion charts. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A spatial variable selection method for monitoring product surface

Two-dimensional (2-D) data maps are generated in certain advanced manufacturing processes. Such maps contain rich information about process variation and product quality status. As a proven effective quality control technique, statistical process control (SPC) has been widely used in different processes for shift detection and assignable cause identification. However, charting algorithms for 2-D data maps are still vacant. This paper proposes a variable selection-based SPC method for monitoring 2-D wafer surface. The fused LASSO algorithm is firstly employed to identify potentially shifted sites on the surface; a charting statistic is then developed to detect statistically significant shifts. As the variable selection algorithm can nicely preserve shift patterns in spatial clusters, the newly proposed chart is proved to be both effective in detecting shifts and capable of providing diagnostic information for process improvement. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations and a real example have been used to demonstrate the effectiveness and usage of the proposed method.