Moving range charts for monitoring the Weibull shape parameter with single observation samples

This paper proposes an approach to monitor shifts in the Weibull shape parameter bfβ via control charts based on the moving range of single‐point samples from a smallest extreme value distribution. The average run length (ARL) of the proposed charts are computed using Fredholm integral equations of the second kind. The derived control limits for one‐sided and two‐sided control charts are unbiased in the sense that the ARL when β has shifted is shorter than the desired stable‐process ARL. These control limits depend only on the desired stable‐process ARL and the stable value of β. The paper also discusses the sample size requirements for Phase I so that the run length distributions are similar under standards‐given scenario (β is given) and retrospective scenario (β is estimated from past data). The proposed methods are then applied to data on the breaking strengths of carbon fibers. The results suggest that one‐sided control charts can detect small shifts in β sooner than two‐sided charts. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Bayes‐conditional Control Charts for Weibull Quantiles under Type II Censoring

In this paper, we develop a Bayesian approach for monitoring Weibull quantiles under Type II censoring when prior information is negligible relative to the data. The posterior median of quantiles is considered as the monitored statistic. A method based on the relationship between Bayesian and conditional limits under an appropriate prior distribution is proposed to obtain the posterior median of quantiles in closed form. A pivotal quantity based on the monitored statistic is proposed, and its distribution is conditionally derived. Then, the Bayes‐conditional control limits are proposed. For the proposed charts, the probability of out‐of‐control can be derived without use of simulation. The performance of the Bayes‐conditional charts is compared with the bootstrap charts through the simulation methods. The results show that to monitor the first quantiles, the lower‐sided Bayes‐conditional charts perform better than bootstrap charts in detecting a downward shift caused by decreasing in the shape parameter. Finally, an illustrative example is provided. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Monitoring the Weibull shape parameter by control charts for the sample range

In this paper, we propose control charts for monitoring changes in the Weibull shape parameter β. These charts are based on the range of a random sample from the smallest extreme value distribution. The control chart limits depend only on the sample size, the desired stable average run length (ARL), and the stable value of β. We derive control limits for both one‐ and two‐sided control charts. They are unbiased with respect to the ARL. We discuss sample size requirements if the stable value of βis estimated from past data. The proposed method is applied to data on the breaking strengths of carbon fibers. We recommend one‐sided charts for detecting specific changes in βbecause they are expected to signal out‐of‐control sooner than the two‐sided charts. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Monitoring the Weibull Shape Parameter with Type II Censored Data

In this article, we introduce a method for monitoring the Weibull shape parameter β with type II (failure) censored data. The control limits depend on the sample size, the number of censored observations, the target average run length, and the stable value of β. The method assumes that the scale parameter α is constant during each sampling period, which is true under rational subgrouping. The proposed method utilizes the relationship between Weibull and smallest extreme value distribution. We propose an unbiased estimator of σ = 1/β as the monitoring statistic. We derive the control limits for one‐sided and two‐sided charts for several stable process average run lengths. We discuss two schemes, namely, the control‐limits‐only scheme and the control‐limits‐with‐warning‐lines scheme. The stable process average run length performance of the proposed charts is studied and compared with those of other charts for monitoring β under similar assumptions. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Monitoring the Weibull Shape Parameter by Control Charts for the Sample Range of Type II Censored Data

In this paper, we propose control charts to monitor the Weibull shape parameter β under type II (failure) censoring. This chart scheme is based on the sample ranges of smallest extreme value distributions derived from Weibull processes. We suggest one‐sided (high‐side or low‐side) and two‐sided charts, which are unbiased with respect to the average run length (ARL). The control limits for all types of charts depend on the sample size, the number of failures c under type II censoring, the desired stable‐process ARL, and the stable‐process value of β. This article also considers sample size requirements for phase I in retrospective charts. We investigate the effect of c on the out‐of‐control ARL. We discuss a simple approach to choosing c by cost minimization. The proposed schemes are then applied to data on the breaking strengths of carbon fibers. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A GLR control chart for monitoring a multinomial process

The problem of detecting changes in the parameter p in a Bernoulli process with two possible categories for each observation has been extensively investigated in the SPC literature, but there is much less work on detecting changes in the vector parameter p in a multinomial process where there are more than two categories. A few papers have considered the case in which the direction of the change in p is known, but there is almost no work for the important case in which the direction of the change is unknown and individual observations are obtained. This paper proposes a multinomial generalized likelihood ratio (MGLR) control chart based on a likelihood ratio statistic for monitoring p when individual observations are obtained and the direction and size of the change in p are unknown. A set of 2‐sided Bernoulli cumulative sum (CUSUM) charts is proposed as a reasonable competitor of the MGLR chart. It is shown that the MGLR chart has better overall performance than the set of 2‐sided Bernoulli CUSUM charts over a wide range of unknown shifts. Equations are presented for obtaining the control limit of the MGLR chart when there are three or four components in p .     

A moving average control chart using a robust scale estimator for process dispersion

Control charts are one of the most powerful tools used to detect and control industrial process deviations in statistical process control. In this paper, a moving average control chart based on a robust scale estimator of standard deviation, namely, the sample median absolute deviation (MAD) statistic, for monitoring process dispersion, is proposed. A simulation study is conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed moving average median absolute deviation (MA‐MAD) chart, in terms of average run length for various distributions. The results show that the moving average MAD chart performs well in detecting small and moderate shifts in process dispersion, especially when the normality assumption is violated. In addition, this chart is very efficient, especially when the quality characteristic follows a skewed distribution. Numerical and simulated examples are given at the end of the paper.     

Monitoring the Ratio of Two Normal Variables Using EWMA Type Control Charts

In many fields, there is the need to monitor quality characteristics defined as the ratio of two random variables. The design and implementation of control charts directly monitoring the ratio stability is required for the continuous surveillance of these quality characteristics. In this paper, we propose two one‐sided exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) charts with subgroups having sample size n > 1 to monitor the ratio of two normal random variables. The optimal EWMA smoothing constants, control limits, and ARLs have been computed for different values of the in‐control ratio and correlation between the variables and are shown in several figures and tables to discuss the statistical performance of the proposed one‐sided EWMA charts. Both deterministic and random shift sizes have been considered to test the two one‐sided EWMA charts' sensitivity. The obtained results show that the proposed one‐sided EWMA control charts are more sensitive to process shifts than other charts already proposed in the literature. The practical application of the proposed control schemes is discussed with an illustrative example. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

CS‐EWMA Chart for Monitoring Process Dispersion

Control charts are the most extensively used technique to detect the presence of special cause variations in processes. They can be classified into memory and memoryless control charts. Cumulative sum and exponentially weighted moving average control charts are memory‐type control charts as their control structures are developed in such a way that the past information is not ignored as it is done in the case of memoryless control charts, like the Shewhart‐type control charts. The present study is based on the proposal of a new memory‐type control chart for process dispersion. This chart is named as CS‐EWMA chart as its plotting statistic is based on a cumulative sum of the exponentially weighted moving averages. Comparisons with other memory charts used to monitor the process dispersion are done by means of the average run length. An illustration of the proposed technique is done by applying the CS‐EWMA chart on a simulated dataset. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A New Synthetic Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring Process Dispersion

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts have been widely recognized as a potentially powerful process monitoring tool of the statistical process control because of their excellent speed in detecting small to moderate shifts in the process parameters. Recently, new EWMA and synthetic control charts have been proposed based on the best linear unbiased estimator of the scale parameter using ordered ranked set sampling (ORSS) scheme, named EWMA‐ORSS and synthetic‐ORSS charts, respectively. In this paper, we extend the work and propose a new synthetic EWMA (SynEWMA) control chart for monitoring the process dispersion using ORSS, named SynEWMA‐ORSS chart. The SynEWMA‐ORSS chart is an integration of the EWMA‐ORSS chart and the conforming run length chart. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations are used to estimate the run length performances of the proposed control chart. A comprehensive comparison of the run length performances of the proposed and the existing powerful control charts reveals that the SynEWMA‐ORSS chart outperforms the synthetic‐R, synthetic‐S, synthetic‐D, synthetic‐ORSS, CUSUM‐R, CUSUM‐S, CUSUM‐ln S², EWMA‐ln S² and EWMA‐ORSS charts when detecting small shifts in the process dispersion. A similar trend is observed when the proposed control chart is constructed under imperfect rankings. An application to a real data is also provided to demonstrate the implementation and application of the proposed control chart. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A new adaptive EWMA control chart for monitoring the process dispersion

The exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA), cumulative sum (CUSUM), and adaptive EWMA (AEWMA) control charts have had wide popularity because of their excellent speed in tracking infrequent process shifts, which are expected to lie within certain ranges. In this paper, we propose a new AEWMA dispersion chart that may achieve better performance over a range of dispersion shifts. The idea is to first consider an unbiased estimator of the dispersion shift using the EWMA statistic, and then based on the magnitude of this shift, select an appropriate value of the smoothing parameter to design an EWMA chart, named the AEWMA chart. The run length characteristics of the AEWMA chart are computed with the help of extensive Monte Carlo simulations. The AEWMA chart is compared with some of the existing powerful competitor control charts. It turns out that the AEWMA chart performs substantially and uniformly better than the EWMA‐S², CUSUM‐S², existing AEWMA, and HHW‐EWMA charts when detecting different kinds of shifts in the process dispersion. Moreover, an example is also used to explain the working and implementation of the proposed AEWMA chart.     

Conditional Control Charts for Monitoring the Weibull Shape Parameter under Progressively Type II Censored Data

In this paper, (i) we propose new conditional Shewhart‐type control charts for monitoring the shape parameter of the Weibull distribution under a progressively type II censoring strategy, and (ii) we generalize the control charts proposed by Guo and Wang¹ for the progressively type II censoring case. We provide a comparison between these control charts in terms of the out‐of‐control average run length obtained by simulation for both the known and unknown parameter cases. A real example consisting of data from breaking stress of carbon fibers is also presented for illustration and comparison of the proposed control charts. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Enhancing the Performance of Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Charts: Discussion

Abbas et al. (Abbas N, Riaz M, Does RJMM. Enhancing the performance of EWMA charts. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 2011; 27(6):821–833) proposed the use of signaling schemes with exponentially weighted moving average charts (named as 2/2 and modified ? 2/3 schemes) for their improved design structures. A two‐sided control structure of these schemes is given in the paper. The computational results in some of the tables of that paper for modified ? 2/3 are mistakenly given for the one‐sided control structure. The corrected two‐sided results are provided here. It is noticed that the superiority of the proposed scheme over the classical exponentially weighted moving average chart remains but is less pronounced. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Monitoring the Shape Parameter of a Weibull Regression Model in Phase II Processes

In this paper, the interest is focused on monitoring profiles with Weibull distributed‐response and common shape parameter γ in phase II processes. The monitoring of such profiles is completely possible by taking the natural logarithm of the Weibull‐distributed response. This is equivalent to characterize the correspondent process by an extreme value linear regression model with common scale parameter σ = γ^?1. It was found out that from the monitoring of the common log‐scale parameter of the extreme value linear regression model, with the help of a simple scheme, it can be obtained important information about the deterioration of the entire process assuming the β coefficients as nuissance parameters that do not have to be known but stable. Control charts are based on the relative log‐likelihood ratio statistic defined for the log‐scale parameter of the log‐transformation of the Weibull‐distributed response and its respective signed square root. It was also found out that some existing adjustments are needed in order to improve the accuracy of using the distributional properties of the monitoring statistics for relatively small and moderate sample sizes. Simulation studies suggest that resulting charts have appealing properties and work fairly acceptable when non‐large enough samples are available at discrete sampling moments. Detection abilities of the studied corrected control schemes improve when sample size increases. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

New Approaches in Monitoring Multivariate Categorical Processes based on Contingency Tables in Phase II

In some statistical process control (SPC) applications, quality of a process or product is characterized by contingency table. Contingency tables describe the relation between two or more categorical quality characteristics. In this paper, two new control charts based on the WALD and Stuart score test statistics are designed for monitoring of contingency table‐based processes in Phase‐II. The performances of the proposed control charts are compared with the generalized linear test (GLT) control chart proposed in the literature. The results show the better performance of the proposed control charts under small and moderate shifts. Moreover, new schemes are proposed to diagnose which cell corresponding to different levels of categorical variables is responsible for out‐of‐control signal. In addition, we propose EWMA–WALD and EWMA–Stuart score test control charts to improve the performance of Shewhart‐based control charts in detecting small and moderate shifts in contingency table parameters. Meanwhile, we compare the performances of two proposed EWMA‐based control charts with the ones of three existing control charts called EWMA–GLT, EWMA–GLRT and an EWMA‐type control chart for multivariate binomial/multinomial processes along with the ones of the corresponding Shewhart‐based control charts. A numerical example is given to show the efficiency of the proposed methods. Finally, the effect of parameter estimation in Phase I based on m historical contingency table on the performance of the Shewhart‐based control charts is studied. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Progressive Mean as a Special Case of Exponentially Weighted Moving Average

In the category of memory‐type control charts, progressive mean control chart was proposed recently, for monitoring the process location. Here we show, through the derivation, that the plotting statistic for the progressive mean control chart becomes a special case of exponentially weighted moving average when the sensitivity parameter becomes reciprocal of the sample number. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The Design of the S2 Control Charts Based on Conditional Performance via Exact Methods

In this paper, we consider the conditional performance of the equal‐tailed and average run lengths (ARL)‐unbiased two‐sided S² charts when the in‐control variance of a normal process is estimated. We derive the exact probability distributions of the conditional ARL for the two S² charts. Then we evaluate the performance of each S² chart in terms of the percentiles, mean and standard deviation of the conditional in‐control ARL distribution. Because the parameter estimation seriously affects the conditional performance of these S² charts, we propose an exact method to design the equal‐tailed and ARL‐unbiased S² charts with desired conditional in‐control performance. The results indicate that the new ARL‐unbiased S² chart has far smaller standard deviation ARL values and the unconditional ARL values are more close to the desired value than the corresponding new equal‐tailed S² chart. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A double generally weighted moving average exceedance control chart

Since the inception of control charts by W. A. Shewhart in the 1920s, they have been increasingly applied in various fields. The recent literature witnessed the development of a number of nonparametric (distribution‐free) charts as they provide a robust and efficient alternative when there is a lack of knowledge about the underlying process distribution. In order to monitor the process location, information regarding the in‐control (IC) process median is typically required. However, in practice, this information might not be available due to various reasons. To this end, a generalized type of nonparametric time‐weighted control chart labeled as the double generally weighted moving average (DGWMA) based on the exceedance statistic (EX) is proposed. The DGWMA‐EX chart includes many of the well‐known existing time‐weighted control charts as special or limiting cases for detecting a shift in the unknown location parameter of a continuous distribution. The DGWMA‐EX chart combines the better shift detection properties of a DGWMA chart with the robust IC performance of a nonparametric chart, by using all the information from the start until the most recent sample to decide if a process is IC or out‐of‐control. An extensive simulation study reveals that the proposed DGWMA‐EX chart, in many cases, outperforms its counterparts.     

Effective Control Charts for Monitoring Multivariate Process Dispersion

When monitoring process dispersion, it is common to pay more attention to dispersion increases than to decreases for practical reasons. Nonetheless, it is also important to detect dispersion decreases for two reasons: (i) it deserves further investigations as to why the process has improved; and (ii) if the process has changed, the settings of the control chart would need to be adjusted for effective future monitoring. In this paper, we first propose an effective control chart for detecting multivariate dispersion decreases in phase II process monitoring, which is constructed using the same approach as that of the one‐sided likelihood‐ratio‐test‐based multivariate chart proposed recently in the literature for detecting dispersion increases. We then discuss a combined charting scheme by combining these two one‐sided charts for detecting either dispersion increases or decreases. Comparative simulation studies show that the proposed combined control charting scheme outperforms several existing two‐sided control charts in terms of the average run length when the process dispersion indeed increases or decreases. Two real‐life examples are presented to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed charts. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Boxplot‐based phase I control charts for time between events

To monitor the quality/reliability of a (production) process, it is sometimes advisable to monitor the time between certain events (say occurrence of defects) instead of the number of events, particularly when the events occur rarely. In this case it is common to assume that the times between the events follow an exponential distribution. In this paper, we propose a one‐ and a two‐sided control chart for phase I data from an exponential distribution. The control charts are derived from a modified boxplot procedure. The charting constants are obtained by controlling the overall Type I error rate and are tabulated for some configurations. A numerical example is provided for illustration. The in‐control robustness and the out‐of‐control performance of the proposed charts are examined and compared with those of some existing charts in a simulation study. It is seen that the proposed charts are considerably more in‐control robust and have out‐control properties comparable to the competing charts. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.