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1.
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The United States (US) has experienced declines in stroke mortality in contrast to the increases reported for Poland. As part of the Poland and US Agreement on Cardiovascular and Cardiopulmonary Research, stroke mortality trends in Polish and US subpopulations were compared in the context of cross-population differences in competing causes of death and determinants of stroke. METHODS: Age-adjusted annual stroke, cardiovascular disease (CVD), non-CVD, and all-cause mortality rates were determined for men and women aged 35 to 64 and 65 to 74 years from 1968 to 1994 for African Americans and US whites and in Poland. Mean annual percent changes of mortality rates were estimated during 1968 to 1980 and 1981 to 1994 with the use of piecewise log-linear regression. RESULTS: US stroke mortality rates declined 3.7% to 4.8% annually during 1968 to 1980 and 2.0% to 3.1% during 1981 to 1994, with similar declines in each ethnic, gender, and age group. Polish rates increased 3.3% to 5.5% annually for all age-gender groups in Poland during 1968 to 1980. Polish men aged 35 to 64 experienced increasing rates during 1981 to 1994 (1.6% annually), while Polish women and older men experienced slight declines or little change. Only Polish men aged 35 to 64 years exhibited increases in stroke, CVD, and non-CVD mortality rates during both time intervals. CONCLUSIONS: Poland and the US experienced opposing stroke mortality rate trends between 1968 and 1994. These national and ethnic trends occurring in just one generation suggest major effects of lifestyle, socioenvironmental, and/or medical care determinants.  相似文献   

2.
BACKGROUND: During the 1970s in Australia, mortality from coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke was higher among lower socioeconomic groups and inequalities were widening. This analysis examines subsequent trends in socioeconomic inequalities, with reference to socioeconomic patterns in major cardiovascular risk factors. METHODS: Socioeconomic status was defined by occupation. Age-standardized mortality rates were calculated for men aged 25-64, using death registration data and labour force estimates for 1979-1993. Risk factor data were taken from three cross-sectional population surveys conducted in 1980, 1983 and 1989. RESULTS: Men in manual occupations were at least 35 percent more likely to die from CHD than men in professional occupations and 60 percent more likely to die from stroke. Their 5-year population risk of a coronary event was 30 percent higher. Since 1979, both groups experienced reductions in coronary risk and mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Socioeconomic inequalities in CHD mortality continued to widen during the early 1980s, stabilized thereafter and persisted into the 1990s. Decreases in blood pressure and smoking prevalence contributed most to declines in coronary risk and to socioeconomic differentials.  相似文献   

3.
Several concomitant trends have occurred in American society in the 20th century. First, life expectancy has improved overall, and the gap between blacks and whites has narrowed. Second, as the nature of the economy has changed from rural agrarian to urban postindustrial, there have been fundamental changes in population residential patterns, with most Americans now living in metropolitan areas. Within metropolitan areas, blacks have become concentrated in poor inner cities as whites have moved to the more affluent suburbs. Black mortality rates are higher in big cities than elsewhere, and appear to be directly related to the proportion of blacks in those cities. Black-white mortality ratios, however, are lower in cities of medium size than in either very large or small cities. At the national level age-adjusted mortality ratios between blacks and whites are associated with different causes of death; but only limited cause-specific mortality data are available for large cities. Understanding and ameliorating social conditions that lead to elevated black mortality in U.S. cities will require more information at the municipal level than is currently available.  相似文献   

4.
Data on the outcomes of more than 15,000 pregnancies originating between May 1966 and February 1969 were analyzed. The accuracy of the data was evaluated, rates of induced abortion and stillbirth were reported, and the demographic effect of induced abortion was estimated. The demographic effect was defined as the percentage increase in fertility that would have occurred in the absence of induced abortion, assuming no compensating change in alternative fertility control practices. Our principal findings were as follows: 1. We were unable to determine the completeness with which induced abortion was reported in the Registration Study. During the three years covered by the study, rates of induced abortion increased by 54 percent, reflecting a trend in the incidence or in the reporting of events or in both. We concluded that, in any case, the data for the final year of the study, 1968, were more complete than for the earlier two years. 2. Age-specific rates of induced abortion for 1968 displayed a strong urban-rural gradient, being much higher in the city areas than in the rural areas. Within each urban--rural stratum, the rates increases monotonically with age and reached maximum values in the age group 40 and older (553, 436, and 374 per 1,000 pregnancies for city, urban, and rural areas, respectively). 3. Estimates of the demographic effect indicated that, in the absence of induced abortion, the TFR for all Taiwan would have been 12 percent higher in 1968. Under the same assumption, it was estimated that the TFR would have been higher by 16 percent in city areas, 11 percent in urban areas, and 9 percent in rural areas. This urbanization gradient implies that induced abortion contributed to urban-rural fertility differentials. We estimated that about one-third of those differentials were due to induced abortion. 4. Estimates of the demographic effect were also made after adjusting the rates of induced abortion for an assumed level of underreporting of 50 percent. The adjusted estimate of the demographic effect for all Taiwan in 1968 was 19 percent.  相似文献   

5.
This paper examines the health status of women in China by reviewing levels and trends of female mortality at several phases of a woman's life cycle focusing on infancy girlhood, childbearing and old age. The mortality rates of Chinese women and men are compared for the period 1950-1990 as are comparisons with women in selected countries. The cause-specific death rate, expressed as a percentage of all deaths, and the burden of disease, measured in terms of the disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), are used to reflect the changing patterns of female diseases and causes of deaths. Significant improvement in the health status of Chinese women since 1950 is widely acknowledged as a major achievement for a developing country with the largest population in the world, but the differentials in women's health by region and urban/rural areas are considerable. The Physical Quality of Life Index (PQLI) indicates that the overall level of physical well-being of Chinese women has increased in recent decades, but disparity in health between men and women still exists. The Gender-Related Development Index (GDI) further reveals that China has achieved significant progress in women's health during the past four decades, but far less has been achieved with respect to gender equality overall. The final sections of the paper focus on the discussion of some health problems faced by the female population during the process of economic reform since the 1980 s. In order to promote gender equality between women and men, concerns on women's health care needs are highlighted.  相似文献   

6.
AIMS: Mortality from ischaemic heart disease has been decreasing in most industrialized countries since the 1960s. The aim of this study was to analyse ischaemic heart disease mortality during 1969-1993 in Sweden, and to predict mortality trends until 2003. METHODS AND RESULTS: Age-period cohort models were used to analyse ischaemic heart disease mortality in Sweden between 1969 and 1993, and to predict age-specific death rates and total number of deaths for the periods 1994-1998 and 1999-2003. Mortality rates in the age group 25-89 years decreased from 719 to 487 per 100,000 for men, and from 402 to 215 per 100,000 for women over the study period (average annual decrease of 1.5% for men and 2.2% for women). The decline started earlier for women than for men. The ratio of age-adjusted mortality between men and women increased steadily over the study period. Predictions based on the full age-period cohort model for the period 1999-2003 gave mortality rates of 346 and 155 per 100,000 for men and women, respectively. Despite the ageing of the population, the total numbers of ischaemic heart disease deaths in Sweden are predicted to decline by approximately 25% in both men and women from 1989-93 to 1999-2003. CONCLUSION: A major decline in ischaemic heart disease mortality has been observed in the last 15 years in Sweden. Both factors, cohort and calendar period, contain information which helps explain the decline in ischaemic heart disease mortality trends in Sweden. Predictions indicate that the decline of both age-specific and total mortality is to continue.  相似文献   

7.
STUDY OBJECTIVE: To estimate the extent to which changes in blood pressure, smoking, and serum cholesterol concentration explain the observed increase in socioeconomic differences in mortality from ischaemic heart disease (IHD) in Finland during the past 20 years. DESIGN: Predicted changes in mortality from IHD were calculated using logistic regression models with the risk factor levels assessed by cross sectional population surveys conducted in 1972, 1977, 1982, and 1987. The subjects included white collar and blue collar workers and farmers. The predicted changes were compared with the observed mortality changes in the same socioeconomic groups in the total population of the same geographical area. SETTING: North Karelia and Kuopio provinces, eastern Finland. PARTICIPANTS: 16,741 men and 16,389 women aged 30-59 randomly drawn from the population registers of the study areas. Mortality data were obtained from the total population in the same areas. MAIN RESULTS: In men, the changes in diastolic blood pressure, total serum cholesterol, and smoking predicted a 28% decline in the mortality from IHD among white collar workers, a 30% decline among blue collar workers, and a 33% decline in farmers. Observed declines in the same socioeconomic groups were 61%, 40%, and 37%, respectively. In women, the predicted decline was 41% among white collar workers, 35% among blue collar workers, and 39% among farmers. The respective observed declines were 57%, 43%, and 20%. CONCLUSIONS: Less than half of the decline in IHD mortality among white collar men was explained by the risk factor changes, while they explained 75% of the decline among blue collar men and 89% of the decline among male farmers. Changes in risk factors did not explain the increasing difference in IHD mortality between the socioeconomic groups, especially among men.  相似文献   

8.
BACKGROUND: In recent years, mortality from lung cancer has increased rapidly in Korea, a South East Asian country with a high prevalence of smoking. The objectives of this study are to examine how age, period, and birth cohort effects contributed to trends in lung cancer mortality in Korea 1980-1994, and to predict lung cancer mortality rates for 1995-2004. METHODS: Age- and sex-specific lung cancer mortality rates were obtained from annual reports of the National Office of Statistics in Korea. Poisson regression models were used to estimate age, period and cohort effects. RESULTS: Among men, age-adjusted annual mortality rates from lung cancer (per 100000) increased from 3.7 in 1980 to 17.8 in 1994; corresponding rates for women were 1.4 and 7.0. As age increased, mortality rates from lung cancer increased more rapidly in men than in women. Within the same age group, the mortality of younger cohorts was higher than older cohorts. The average annual number of lung cancer deaths projected for the years 2000-2004 among men and women will be 15441 and 3572 respectively, while the average annual age-adjusted mortality rates from lung cancer (per 100000) will be 65.4 for men and 15.1 for women. These rates correspond to 17.7- and 10.7-fold increases over the 1980 mortality rates in men and women, respectively. CONCLUSION: These results, in conjunction with trends in tobacco consumption, indicate that mortality from lung cancer in both men and women will increase substantially through the early part of the 21st century in Korea.  相似文献   

9.
Dr. Rosenthal, President of the American Cancer Society, notes that in this year's annual cancer statistics article, for the first time a favorable change in direction is reported. The data document a reduction in the total number of new cancer cases and declining cancer death rates in the United States. In addition, 5-year survival rates continue to improve for most cancers. Nevertheless, some areas still need further attention, such as the differences in survival statistics between African Americans and whites and the more favorable decline in mortality among men than among women.  相似文献   

10.
STUDY OBJECTIVE: To describe the relationship between risk factors, risk behaviours, symptoms and mortality from cardiorespiratory diseases in an urban area with high levels of socioeconomic deprivation. A cohort study of 15,411 men and women aged 45-64, comprising 80% of the general population of Paisley and Renfrew, Scotland. OUTCOMES: Mortality after 15 years from coronary heart disease(ICD 410-4), stroke(ICD 430-8), respiratory disease(ICD 460-519) and all causes. MAIN RESULTS: Mortality rates from all causes were 19% in men aged 45-49, 31% in men aged 50-54, 42% in men aged 55-59 and 57% in men aged 60-64. The rates are considerably higher than those reported in previous UK prospective studies. For women the rates were 12%, 18%, 25% and 38% respectively. In general men and women showed similar relationships between risk factor levels and mortality rates. People in manual occupations had higher mortality rates. Raised levels of systolic and diastolic blood pressure were associated with increased coronary, stroke and all cause mortality rates. Plasma cholesterol had no such association with all cause mortality rates. High and low levels of body mass index were associated with higher mortality rates than intermediate levels. A relationship between short stature and increased mortality rates was observed in men and women. FEV1 expressed as a percentage of the expected value showed the strongest relationship with mortality rates, particularly for respiratory disease, but also for deaths from coronary heart disease, stroke and all causes. CONCLUSIONS: A similar pattern of relationship between risk factor levels and mortality rates exists in men and women in Renfrew and Paisley. Respiratory impairment as measured by FEV1% predicted appears to be the most likely explanation of the observed high all cause mortality rates in this population.  相似文献   

11.
Analysis of suicide mortality in New South Wales, Australia is undertaken with reference to marital status and occupational status between 1986-89/90 and with reference to the principal means of committing suicide. Not currently married male manual workers were particularly at risk although marital status variations were significant with both genders and at different ages. Between 1985-91 male suicide mortality rates were significantly higher in inland non-metropolitan regions, especially among younger men, and were higher in inner areas of metropolitan Sydney. While there were no significant variations by marital status in the means of committing suicide there were variations between genders, and there were regional and social class variations in the use of guns with males. The use of guns was a factor in the elevated suicide mortality levels among inland rural youth and men, and among farmers and transport workers while the use of poisons was also significant with these occupational groups. The use of poisons was greater among persons committing suicide in the areas of elevated mortality in inner Sydney and the use of guns much lower.  相似文献   

12.
The mortality patterns of men and women of working age, in terms of the major causes of death, have changed over the past three decades. This study assesses the extent to which mortality among persons of working age represents an economic loss to society. This economic loss is measured by the per capita loss of productive working life, defined as the number of years, on the average, a person can expect to be an active member of the labor force. Causes of death affecting primarily older Americans (heart disease, cancer, stroke) had a relatively small and declining impact on the working lives of men and women. Major causes of death affecting the young (motor vehicle accidents, homicide, AIDS), although accounting for fewer deaths, were responsible for many more years of lost productivity. Gender and socioeconomic differentials in mortality suggest that different strategies are necessary for future reductions in lost work-years.  相似文献   

13.
OBJECTIVES: The use of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) to screen for prostate cancer remains controversial. Although it is still too early to measure directly the effects of PSA screening on mortality, we examined changes in the epidemiology of prostate cancer to determine if there is other evidence of the effectiveness of PSA as a screening tool. METHODS: We examined trends in age at diagnosis, and age-adjusted trends in stage and grade at diagnosis, for 140,936 white and 15,662 African American men diagnosed with prostate cancer from 1973 to 1994 in the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results data base. RESULTS: We found a significant downward trend in age at diagnosis, concomitant with a downward shift in stage of disease at diagnosis, starting with the advent of the PSA era in the late 1980s. We noted most cancers detected since the PSA era to be moderately well differentiated (International Classification of Diseases of the World Health Organization grade 2; Gleason score 5, 6, 7) and organ confined. Although findings were similar for both whites and African Americans, African Americans experienced a greater increase in poorly differentiated disease than did whites. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in the epidemiology of prostate cancer since the advent of the PSA era are consistent with the introduction of an effective screening test. This is evidenced by an increase in detection of significant prostate cancer in individuals who will likely benefit from treatment.  相似文献   

14.
BACKGROUND: Although the general relations between race, socioeconomic status, and mortality in the United States are well known, specific patterns of excess mortality are not well understood. METHODS: Using standard demographic techniques, we analyzed death certificates and census data and made sex-specific population-level estimates of the 1990 death rates for people 15 to 64 years of age. We studied mortality among blacks in selected areas of New York City, Detroit, Los Angeles, and Alabama (in one area of persistent poverty and one higher-income area each) and among whites in areas of New York City, metropolitan Detroit, Kentucky, and Alabama (one area of poverty and one higher-income area each). Sixteen areas were studied in all. RESULTS: When they were compared with the nationwide age-standardized annual death rate for whites, the death rates for both sexes in each of the poverty areas were excessive, especially among blacks (standardized mortality ratios for men and women in Harlem, 4.11 and 3.38; in Watts, 2.92 and 2.60; in central Detroit, 2.79 and 2.58; and in the Black Belt area of Alabama, 1.81 and 1.89). Boys in Harlem who reached the age of 15 had a 37 percent chance of surviving to the age of 65; for girls, the likelihood was 65 percent. Of the higher-income black areas studied, Queens--Bronx had the income level most similar to that of whites and the lowest standardized mortality ratio (men, 1.18; women, 1.08). Of the areas where poor whites were studied, Detroit had the highest standardized mortality ratios (men, 2.01; women, 1.90). On the Lower East Side of Manhattan, in Appalachia, and in Northeast Alabama, the ratios for whites were below the national average for blacks (men, 1.90; women, 1.95). CONCLUSIONS: Although differences in mortality rates before the age of 65 between advantaged and disadvantaged groups in the United States are sometimes vast, there are important differences among impoverished communities in patterns of excess mortality.  相似文献   

15.
Findings from 20 corporations from the Attrition and Retention Consortium, which collects quit statistics about 475,458 professionals and managers, extended and disputed established findings about who quits. Multilevel analyses revealed that company tenure is curvilinearly related to turnover and that a job's past attrition rate strengthens the (negative) performance- exit relationship. Further, women quit more than men, while African Americans, Hispanic Americans, and Asian Americans quit more than White Americans, though racial differences disappeared after confounds were controlled for. African American, Hispanic American, and Asian American women quit more than men of the same ethnicities and White Americans, but statistical controls nullified evidence for dual discrimination toward minority women. Greater corporate flight among women and minorities during early employment nonetheless hampers progress toward a more diversified workforce in corporate America. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)  相似文献   

16.
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: This study examines the geographic variation in the decline of stroke mortality rates in the United States. METHODS: National Center for Health Statistics and Bureau of the Census data were used to assess regional and state level temporal trends of stroke mortality in the United States for 1970 to 1989. RESULTS: Underlying- and multiple-cause stroke mortality rates have declined fairly steadily in all regions of the United States and for all race/sex groups, although the rates of decline were greater during 1970 to 1978 than during 1979 to 1989. The declines in underlying-cause rates could not be attributed to a shift toward reporting stroke as a contributing rather than underlying cause of death, since both underlying- and multiple-cause rates declined similarly. There was significant regional variation in the rate of decline, particularly during 1979 to 1989. The South initially had the highest rates, but it experienced the most rapid decline, so that by 1989 the South no longer had the highest rates. States with the most rapid rates of decline were significantly clustered in the South and particularly the Southeast. Most of the decline in overall stroke mortality was due to declines in ischemic stroke mortality. CONCLUSIONS: During 1970 to 1989 there was significant geographic variation in the rate of decline of stroke mortality rates, with the most rapid rates of decline concentrated in the high-rate areas of the South and particularly the Southeast. As a result, there has been a decrease in interregional and interstate variation in stroke mortality rates, which is apparently not due to an artifact of changing reporting patterns.  相似文献   

17.
BACKGROUND: Death rates from coronary hearts disease have exhibited remarkable declines in most industrialised countries. Cardiovascular mortality has been the subject of extensive research and we considered it important to analyse recent local population based data on hospital outcomes of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). AIM: To document the trends in in-hospital mortality from AMI in Victoria from 1987-1994. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of data from the Victorian Inpatient Minimum Database relating to all public acute care hospitals. All separations recording a principal diagnosis 410 (AMI) were selected. Changes in distribution of AMI separations, in-hospital mortality, and changes in length of stay were examined. RESULTS: The mean age of women admitted was 72 years compared with 64 years for men. Women comprised around a third of the overall sample but the proportion varied from 13% in those under 50 years to 57% among those aged 80 years and over. A striking decline in mortality was observed throughout the eight year period. The relative age adjusted decline was 33.5% (40% in males and 26% in females) with rates remaining higher in women. This decline occurred despite the increasing representation of those aged over 80 years. There was a significant decline in the mean length of stay (1.8 days) over the eight year period but this is likely to have had only minimal impact on mortality rates. CONCLUSION: We have documented welcome declines in in-hospital mortality from AMI that are not an artefact of declining lengths of stay. Our observations parallel those in similar overseas studies. Large changes in medical management have taken place from the mid 1980s and may be partly responsible, but a change in disease process cannot be ruled out.  相似文献   

18.
OBJECTIVES: Despite decreasing infant mortality in North Carolina, the gap between African Americans and Whites persists. This study examined how racial differences in infant mortality vary by maternal education. METHODS: Data came from Linked Birth and Infant Death files for 1988 through 1993. Multiple logistic regression models adjusted for confounders. RESULTS: Infant mortality risk ratios comparing African Americans and Whites increased with higher levels of maternal education. Education beyond high school reduced risk of infant mortality by 20% among Whites but had little effect among African Americans. CONCLUSIONS: Higher education magnifies racial differences in infant mortality on a multiplicative scale. Possible reasons include greater stress, fewer economic resources, and poorer quality of prenatal care among African Americans.  相似文献   

19.
Urban and rural cancer incidence in Denmark in 1943-1987 was analysed. A consistent urban excess was found for all sites combined for individuals of each sex, irrespective of age at diagnosis. The capital:rural incidence ratio was 1.42 for men and 1.25 for women, and these ratios were not affected to any great extent using another definition of urban areas. Urban:rural ratios were highest for cancers of the respiratory, urinary and upper digestive tracts. The differences cannot be explained by tobacco and alcohol consumption alone. Other risk factors linked to urbanisation may contribute importantly to the "urban factor", and analytical studies of data at an individual level are required to establish their relative importance. Our findings contradict the generally accepted view that there is no urban-rural difference in cancer incidence in the relatively small, homogeneous population of Denmark.  相似文献   

20.
BACKGROUND: This retrospective review of breast carcinoma cases in the Department of Defense (DoD) Central Tumor Registry evaluated differences in survival patterns between African American and white women treated in U.S. military health care facilities. The study examined the effects of age, stage of cancer, tumor size, grade, lymph node involvement, waiting time between diagnosis and first treatment, marital status, military dependent status, alcohol usage, tobacco usage, and family history of cancer. METHODS: Researchers reviewed the tumor registry records of 6577 women (5879 whites and 698 African Americans) diagnosed with breast carcinoma. The patients, ages 19-97 years, were diagnosed between 1975 and 1994. A hazard ratio (relative risk of mortality) model compared African American and white patients, adjusting for various combinations of covariates; impact of independent variables on the risk of death; prognostic factors significantly associated with survival; disease free and overall survival times; effects of ethnicity, stage, and age on survival; and trends in stage at diagnosis. A P value (2-sided) of less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS: After adjustment for age, the risk of death was 1.45 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.20-1.76) times greater for African American women than for white women. Adjustment for stage reduced the risk to 1.41 (95% CI, 1.16-1.70); further adjustment for demographic variables and most clinical variables had no effect. Still, African American women treated in the military health care facilities had a better survival rate than African American women represented in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program of the National Cancer Institute. In our study, the 5-year risk of death, from any cause, was 1.37 for African American women with breast carcinoma; in other words, the mortality rate for African American women was 24.77% compared with 18.08% for white women. In the latest SEER data, the 5-year relative risk of death for African American women compared with white women is 1.86. The mortality rate in SEER is 34.2% for African American women and 18.4% for white women. The survival rate for white DoD beneficiaries is comparable to that for white women in SEER. CONCLUSIONS: These observations suggest that ready access to medical facilities and the full complement of treatment options that are standard for all DoD patients improve survival rates for African American women. However, a significant unexplained difference in survival still exists between African American and white military beneficiaries.  相似文献   

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