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As water demand surpasses water availability, the problem of who will have access to water and who will be rationed is inevitable. This is already the case in arid regions or where the economic uses of water exceed water capability. This work contributes to the understanding and resolution of this decision-making process. Several allocation mechanisms are discussed and an allocation model based on the opportunity cost of water for different users is presented. This model leads to both a water pricing scheme and a method for compensating rationed parties. 相似文献
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Mohammad Reza Nikoo Reza Kerachian Hamed Poorsepahy-Samian 《Water Resources Management》2012,26(11):3329-3343
In this paper, a new methodology based on interval optimization and game theory is developed for optimal operation of an inter-basin water transfer system considering efficiency, equity and sustainability criteria. A linear version of the agricultural water production function is proposed and used for incorporating deficit irrigation. The interval programming and cooperative game theory are utilized for equitable reallocation of benefits to water users in both water donor and receiving basins. To assess the sustainability of water allocation policies, water quality and environmental flow in the donor basin and groundwater table drawdown in the receiving basin are taken into consideration. The effectiveness of this methodology is examined by applying it to a large scale case study of water transfer from the Karoon river basin in south-west to the Rafsanjan plain in the central part of Iran. 相似文献
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An Inexact Two-Stage Water Resources Allocation Model for Sustainable Development and Management Under Uncertainty 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
In this study, an inexact two-stage water resources allocation (ITWR) model is put forward for supporting sustainable development and management of water resources in Sanjiang Plain, China, which is in such a situation, with multi-water source, multi-water supply subarea, multi-water user and multi-planning goal. The costs of net system, water supply and recourse are analyzed. The developed ITWR model, which shows a strong ability in tacking with various uncertain factors in probability distributions and discrete interval numbers, mixes the techniques of interval-parameter programming (IPP) and two-stage stochastic programming (TSP) within a general optimization framework. And it also has formed an effective link in such a conflict between the policy scenarios and the associated various levels of economic penalties, when the pre-allocation targets of water resources are violated. Based on this model, a series of scenarios under different levels of pre-allocation water is done and different degrees of water surplus and shortage are obtained correspondingly. The results indicate that the reasonable distribution plans with maximum system benefit and minimum system-failure risk have been generated. And these results are valuable for saving water resources to realize its sustainable development and mitigating the penalty to gain economic benefits maximum, and thus some desired results are provided for decision makers in tackling with a complex and uncertain water-resource system. 相似文献
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南水北调中线水量分配准市场模型研究 总被引:3,自引:2,他引:3
现重点探讨了在准市场情况下南水北调中线水量分配的理论和模型,在比较计划分配与市场分配的基础上,从理论上说明中线建立准市场水量分配的必要性和可行性。结合政府宏观调控和水市场机制两种配置方式的优势和中线水量调度自身特点,建立了中线准市场水量分配模型。通过求解非线性最优化方程,研究了模型求解思路和方法,证明求得的解是Nash均衡解。最后阐述了准市场模型对中线水量调度的理论意义和应用价值。 相似文献
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A Model for Optimal Allocation of Water to Competing Demands 总被引:1,自引:3,他引:1
The present study develops a simple interactive integrated water allocation model (IWAM), which can assist the planners and
decision makers in optimal allocation of limited water from a storage reservoir to different user sectors, considering socio-economic,
environmental and technical aspects. IWAM comprises three modules—a reservoir operation module (ROM), an economic analysis
module (EAM) and a water allocation module (WAM). The model can optimize the water allocation with any of two different objectives
or two objectives together. The two individual objectives included in the model are the maximization of satisfaction and the
maximization of net economic benefit by the demand sectors. Weighting technique (WT) or simultaneous compromise constraint
(SICCON) technique is used to convert the multi-objective decision-making problem into a single objective function. The single
objective functions are optimized using linear programming. The model applicability is demonstrated for various cases with
a hypothetical example. 相似文献
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未来南水北调工程的实施,将会置换出一部分黄河水量,这部分水量在流域上中游的再分配将会对整个黄河流域水资源的合理开发利用产生极为深刻的影响。根据黄河流域上中游各省(区)实际情况,在保证经济社会用水和必要的生态环境用水的前提下,运用层次分析和模糊决策理论相结合的方法,对南水北调东线、中线和西线工程不同水平年、不同调水规模情况下,黄河可置换水量在流域上中游的再分配问题进行了探讨。 相似文献
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Banihabib Mohammad Ebrahim Mohammad Rezapour Tabari Mahmoud Mohammad Rezapour Tabari Mohsen 《Water Resources Management》2019,33(11):3673-3689
Water Resources Management - A challenging issue in optimal allocating water resources is uncertainty in parameters of a model. In this paper, a fuzzy multi-objective model was proposed to maximize... 相似文献
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建立了以供水满足程度最大化为目标,供水系统的供水能力、输水系统的输水能力、用水系统的供需变化和非负约束为约束条件的水资源分配模型;提出了模型的模拟求解技术;最后以焦作市为例,求解了2020年规划年75%来水频率下焦作市水资源的分配量.计算结果满足用水户的要求,体现了水源的时空分配过程. 相似文献
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A Conditional Value-at-Risk Based Inexact Water Allocation Model 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
A conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) based inexact two-stage stochastic programming (CITSP) model was developed in this study for supporting water resources allocation problems under uncertainty. A CITSP model was formulated through incorporating a CVaR constraint into an inexact two-stage stochastic programming (ITSP) framework, and could be used to deal with uncertainties expressed as not only probability distributions but also discrete intervals. The measure of risks about the second-stage penalty cost was incorporated into the model, such that the trade-off between system economy and extreme expected loss could be analyzed. The developed model was applied to a water resources allocation problem involving a reservoir and three competing water users. The results indicated that the CITSP model performed better than the ITSP model in its capability of reflecting the economic loss from extreme events. Also, it could generate interval solutions within which the decision alternatives could be selected from a flexible decision space. Overall, the CITSP model was useful for reflecting the decision maker’s attitude toward risk aversion and could help seek cost-effective water resources management strategies under complex uncertainties. 相似文献
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从对生态经济系统结构分析研究出发,阐述了生态的经济学价值和水资源的生态经济价值。对Freeman水的生态经济价值模型进行了改进与应用,指出水体对人类用途的变化,对工业、农业生产条件的改善、人居环境的改善、投资环境的改善,都会带来巨大的效益。 相似文献
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Development of a Dynamic Long-Term Water Allocation Model for Agriculture and Industry Water Demands
Demands growth and water resources limitation, enforce water sector policy makers to integrate water supply–demand interactions
in a coherent framework for efficient water allocation. Water supply–demand interaction, changes long-term trend of water
demands, which in turn has a substantial influence on water allocation. Researches on water allocation modeling lack adequate
projection of relationship between water supply and demand. Socio-economic factors representing water allocation stakeholders’
benefits, account for the main share of water supply–demand interaction. Identification, representation and consideration
of these factors in a water allocation model, is the main limitation of researches on this issue. In this paper a new long-term
water allocation model at basin level is developed and introduced. This model considers water supply–demand interaction in
agriculture and industry sectors, by use of socio-economic parameters; such as, production, cultivated land area, revenue
and employment. The model main advantage is its ability to reflect the interrelationship between essential hydro-system and
supply–demand components. It can explore both socio-economic and water allocation consequences of various policy choices.
The model is used to assess two different development policies at basin level. The first one is fourth 5-year development
plan of Iran, which fixes predefined growth rate for different sectors. The second one assumes the present state continues
up to the end of planning horizon. A typical multi-reservoir water basin is modeled and analyzed for two policies. Indices
that summarize long-term state of hydro-system and stakeholders are defined and used in policies assessment and decision making.
Results of these assessments show fourth 5-year development policy provides opportunities for substantial improvement in water
allocation and stakeholders’ benefits. 相似文献
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In this paper, a new methodology is proposed for simultaneous allocation of water and waste load in river basins. A nonlinear interval number optimization model is used to incorporate the uncertainties of model inputs and parameters. In this methodology, the bounds of the uncertain inputs are only required, not necessarily knowing their probability density or fuzzy membership functions. In the proposed model, the existing uncertainties in water demands and monthly available water are considered in the optimization model. Also the economic and environmental impacts of water allocation to the agricultural water users are taken into account. To have an equitable water and waste load allocation, benefits are reallocated to water users using some solution concepts of the cooperative game theory. Results of applying the methodology to the Dez river system in south-western part of Iran show its effectiveness and applicability for water and waste load allocation in an uncertain environment. 相似文献
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规划阶段水资源配置模型和配置风险研究 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
分析了水资源规划阶段的两次水资源配置思路,即在考虑流域生态环境用水和流域公共用水的前提下,将流域水资源量分配到各个区域;按照各省分配的份额,在省内进行再配置。针对不同的配置阶段,给出了相对缺水量最小和相对综合效益最大的配置模型。同时,对水资源配置中存在的不确定性和风险进行了分析。 相似文献
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