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《中国工程科学》2020,(2)
今后10~15年是我国加快培育和发展新兴产业的关键时期,作为我国生态文明建设重要任务的绿色低碳产业发展也将面临重要机遇期。绿色低碳新兴产业以能源新技术、节能环保和新能源汽车为代表,其细分产业的技术特征、规模和发展程度存在明显的差异性,亟待开展与之对应的成熟度评价方法研究。本文在归纳产业成熟度评价的基本理论与通用方法的基础上,明确绿色低碳产业的范畴与定义,辨识相关产业的高质量发展特征;提出了绿色低碳产业成熟度评价模型与指标体系,具体阐述产业成熟度等级合成方法。以生物质热电联产产业为例完成了绿色低碳产业成熟度评价应用研究,分析认为案例产业发展整体达到了较成熟等级,但市场成熟度的进展滞后于工程科技进步。研究建议:建立绿色低碳产业成熟度年度评价机制,组建绿色低碳产业发展信息的权威发布机构,加强我国新兴产业数据库建设及客观评价。 相似文献
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飞机设计人员在飞机总体方案论证阶段对主要结构件进行选材时, 需要对复合材料飞机结构的技术成熟度进行评估, 以确定是否选用复合材料。借鉴技术完备等级(TRL) 标准, 提出了一个复合材料飞机结构技术成熟度定量评价方法(TEMCAS)。TEMCAS 方法将复合材料飞机结构的技术成熟度分为 8 个等级, 涵盖了复合材料结构技术从设计需求到结构应用的整个过程, 通过对波音公司复合材料机身结构技术的技术成熟度评价实例证明了其有效性。在飞机总体方案论证阶段可以利用TEMCAS 方法, 对复合材料飞机结构技术的成熟度进行定量分析, 为初步选材复合材料结构应用的决策和风险评估提供依据。 相似文献
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目的 分析了果蔬成熟度自动监测对发展智慧农业的重要意义,对图像处理与识别技术在监测果蔬成熟度领域的研究与应用现状进行综述、总结与展望,以期为我国发展果蔬成熟度在线或自动检测识别技术提供参考。方法 对图像处理与识别在监测果蔬成熟度中的原理、优势进行分析,对特征提取、深度学习中的神经网络在该领域中的应用研究进展进行综述。结果 采用以图像处理和识别为核心的计算机视觉检测技术对果蔬的颜色、纹理等外部特征进行成熟度检测具有优势,结合神经网络对果蔬成熟度进行检测的识别率高,可在采摘、运输等场景对果蔬成熟度进行监测。结论 图像处理与识别技术在果蔬成熟度监测领域有望得到突破,将催生更多新的应用场景。 相似文献
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产业发展遵循着客观的周期性规律,经历从技术研发成熟、制造能力成熟,再到新商品市场完善成熟的必然过程。本研究在新兴产业发展成熟规律的基础上,结合系统工程和数据决策方法,提出了产业成熟度的理论及评价方法,以一致、规范、量化的方法评价技术、制造、产品、市场和产业的发展状态,通过综合集成第三方评审专家的评价和判断得出产业发展状况的综合评价结果,并对"十三五"末(2020年)的产业方向进行了预测。以中国工程院重点课题"‘十三五’战略性新兴产业培育与发展规划研究"的材料领域为例,运用产业成熟度评价与预测产业发展趋势,客观地分析产业制约要素,进而有针对性地提出培育与发展政策建议。产业成熟度是分析和评价产业发展状态的有效工具,具有重要的理论意义和实用价值。 相似文献
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This paper is to study a maturity model of project management capability for a large aircraft main manufacturer using a capability maturity model and an organizational project management maturity model.First,we build the project management capability maturity level,its features,key process areas and best practices to provide a clear goal and path for the development of project management capability.Secondly,we set a project management capability evaluation index system according to the project management processes and key process areas.Moreover,we use the fuzzy mathematical theory to evaluate the project management capability maturity level.Finally,the large aircraft main manufacturer can choose the best practices based on the evaluation of the maturity level so as to reach the purpose of improving project management capability of the main manufacturer gradually. 相似文献
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We outline the potential participative governance and risk management in application to technological choices in the nuclear sector within the European Union (EU). Well-conducted public participation, stakeholder consultation and deliberation procedures can enhance the policy process and improve the robustness of strategies dealing with high-stakes investment and risk management challenges. Key nuclear issues now confronting EU member states are: public concern with large-scale environmental and health issues; the Chernobyl accident (and others less catastrophic) whose effect has been to erode public confidence and trust in the nuclear sector; the maturity of the nuclear plant, hence the emerging prominence of waste transportation, reprocessing and disposal issues as part of historical liability within the EU; the nuclear energy heritage of central and eastern European candidate countries to EU accession. The obligatory management of inherited technological risks and uncertainties on large temporal and geographical scales, is a novel feature of technology assessment and governance. Progress in the nuclear sector will aid the development of methodologies for technological foresight and risk governance in fields other than the nuclear alone. 相似文献
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Patent data as indicators of wind power technology development 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Ervin Dubari?Author Vitae Dimitris GiannoccaroAuthor Vitae 《World Patent Information》2011,33(2):144-149
This paper reports a study into the use of patent application numbers as indicators of technological development in the field of wind power technology. We show that patent information can be used to analyse the evolution and the level of maturity of this particular technology. The data is gained from databases available at the Swedish Patent and Registration Office (PRV). Three different segments of wind power technology; rotor form, regulation and pitch adjusting, are distinguished and maturity in respective parts is compared to the general technological progress. 相似文献
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