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1.
BACKGROUND: We performed a cost-benefit analysis of a protocol for studying patients with squamous intraepithelial lesions (SIL) on Papanicolaou smears to determine whether it compared favorably with resources spent on other health programs for screening and treatment. METHODS: During a 3-year period, 424 patients with dysplastic Papanicolaou smears were examined, studied by biopsy, and treated. We calculated costs based on a model protocol and derived a cost per year of life saved for preventing death from invasive cervical carcinoma. A sensitivity analysis was performed on selected assumptions of the analysis. RESULTS: The marginal, or incremental, cost of colposcopic evaluation and treatment of Papanicolaou smears with low-grade SIL, high-grade SIL (moderate), and high-grade SIL (severe), depending on assumptions, ranged from $406 to $5746, $160 to $2263, and $85 to $1197 per year of life saved, respectively. Depending on the assumption of the rate of Papanicolaou smears with SIL in the screened population being 1.8%, 5.1%, or 11.5%, the estimated total cost of screening and treating the referral base was $1.3 million, $538,126, and $307,037, respectively. This results in the average cost per year of life saved to screen and treat low-grade SIL, high-grade SIL (moderate), and high-grade SIL (severe) to be $1105 to $68,909, $375 to $21,673, and $177 to $8831, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Both marginal cost and average screening costs of evaluating and treating abnormal Papanicolaou smears by the protocol described in this article compare favorably with costs per year of life saved for other health care screening and treatment strategies for many assumptions. The marginal cost to perform colposcopy on patients with a Papanicolaou smear with low-grade SIL is so low that it is relatively a very effective strategy.  相似文献   

2.
CONTEXT: ThinPrep, AutoPap, and Papnet are 3 new technologies that increase the sensitivity and cost of cervical cancer screening. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of these technological enhancements to Papanicolaou (Pap) tests. DESIGN: We estimated the increase in sensitivity from using these technologies by combining results of 8 studies meeting defined criteria. We used published literature and additional sources for cost estimates. To estimate overall cost-effectiveness, we applied a 9-state time-varying transition state model to these data and information about specific populations. SETTING: A hypothetical program serving a cohort of 20- to 65-year-old women who begin screening at the same age and are representative of the US population. RESULTS: The new technologies increased life expectancy by 5 hours to 1.6 days, varying with the technology and the frequency of screening. All 3 technologies also increased the cost per woman screened by $30 to $257 (1996 US dollars). AutoPap dominated ThinPrep in the base case. At each screening interval, AutoPap increased survival at the lowest cost. The cost per year of life saved rose from $7777 with quadrennial screening to $166000 with annual screening. Papnet produced more life-years at a higher cost per year of life saved. However, when used with triennial screening, each of them produced more life-years at lower cost than conventional Pap testing every 2 years. The cost-effectiveness ratio of each technology improved with increases in the prevalence of disease, decreases in the sensitivity of conventional Pap testing, and increases in the improvement in sensitivity produced by the technology. CONCLUSIONS: Technologies to increase the sensitivity of Pap testing are more cost-effective when incorporated into infrequent screening. Increases in sensitivity and decreases in cost may eventually make each technology more cost-effective.  相似文献   

3.
BACKGROUND: Screening mammography is recommended for women 50 to 69 years of age because of its proven efficacy and reasonable cost-effectiveness. Extending screening recommendations to include women 40 to 49 years of age remains controversial. OBJECTIVE: To compare the cost-effectiveness of screening mammography in women of different age groups. DESIGN: Cost-effectiveness analysis done using Markov and Monte Carlo models. PATIENTS: General population of women 40 years of age and older. INTERVENTIONS: Biennial screening from 50 to 69 years of age was compared with no screening. Screening done every 18 months from ages 40 to 49 years, followed by biennial screening from ages 50 to 69 years, was compared with biennial screening from ages 50 to 69 years. MEASUREMENTS: Life-expectancy, costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness. RESULTS: Screening women from 50 to 69 years of age improved life expectancy by 12 days at a cost of $704 per woman, resulting in a cost-effectiveness ratio of $21,400 per year of life saved. Extending screening to include women 40 to 49 years of age improved life expectancy by 2.5 days at a cost of $676 per woman. The incremental cost-effectiveness of screening women 40 to 49 years of age was $105,000 per year of life saved. On the basis of a multiway sensitivity analysis, there is a 75% chance that screening mammography in women 50 to 69 years of age costs less than $50,000 per year of life saved, compared with a 7% chance in women 40 to 49 years of age. CONCLUSION: The cost-effectiveness of screening mammography in women 40 to 49 years of age is almost five times that in older women. When breast cancer screening policies are being set, the incremental cost-effectiveness of extending mammographic screening to younger women should be considered.  相似文献   

4.
An economic evaluation of energy-absorbing flooring designed to prevent hip fractures revealed a payback period of 10 1/2 years if only direct costs avoided were evaluated and just over 11 months when direct and indirect costs were included. Cost-effectiveness ratios of less than $0 per hip fracture prevented and life year saved were also estimated.  相似文献   

5.
The effect of changes in cytology laboratory costs, including the costs of new technologies, on the cost-effectiveness of cervical cancer prevention has not been studied. Using University of Iowa laboratory detection rates and costs, a decision model determined the cost-effectiveness of the laboratory with and without new technologies. Compared with not performing a cervicovaginal smear, the cost to increase the discounted life expectancy per patient by 1 year was $2,805 for the laboratory component alone and $19,655 for the entire cervical cancer prevention strategy. In moderate- to high-risk women, cervical cancer screening was cost-effective even at high cytology laboratory costs (eg, $75 per smear). New technologies were cost-effective only if they resulted in a substantial increase in the detection of high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (eg, an additional 236 high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions per 10,000 women). New technologies have not demonstrated these increased detection rates.  相似文献   

6.
Cost-effectiveness analysis for cervical cancer screening in Japan was performed to estimate the cost per life-year saved by the screening; cost-effectiveness ratio (CER). The analysis was made using a simulation model to estimate long-term cost and effectiveness of the screening programs. CER of cervical cancer screening was estimated to be US$ 40,604 which was 2.4 times more expensive than that for gastric cancer screening but was about the same as that for colorectal cancer screening. It was within the range of cost-effectiveness of other cancer screening programs financed under the Health and Medical Services Law for the Aged in Japan. We performed sensitivity analysis on the following seven estimates, the screening charge, the sensitivity and the specificity of the screening test, the frequency of carcinoma in situ (CIS) among cases detected in the screening program, the initial cost and the terminal cost for patients with invasive cancer, and the incidence rate of cervical cancer. The sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the screening charge was the most influential factor on CER. CER was fairly stable under various assumptions on the accuracy of the screening test, the frequency of carcinoma in situ (CIS), the treatment cost for patient, and the incidence of cervical cancer. CER was less sensitive to the changes in incidence, even to as low as a 50% decrease of the current figure. Then if the incidence rate becomes 85% of the current figure in 2015, CER would be US$ 48,176 and it was suggested that the cervical cancer screening would remain reasonably cost-effective until the year 2015.  相似文献   

7.
OBJECTIVE: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of thrombolytic therapy versus no thrombolytic therapy for patients following acute myocardial infarction, focusing on the impact of time to treatment on outcome. METHODS: A decision model was developed to assess the benefits, risks, and costs associated with thrombolytic therapy for treatment of acute myocardial infarction compared with standard nonthrombolytic therapy. The model used pooled data from a recent study of nine large randomized, controlled clinical trials and 12-month outcome data from a recently published meta-analysis of thrombolytic therapy trial data. Outcomes were expressed in terms of survival to hospital discharge and survival to 1 year after discharge. The risks of treatment that led to death, morbidity, or added costs were estimated. The model determined excess and marginal costs per death averted to hospital discharge and at 1 year. Results were also estimated in terms of cost per year of life saved. Sensitivity analyses included variations in time to treatment and drug cost. RESULTS: The marginal cost of thrombolytic therapy per death averted at 1 year was $222,344, or $14,438 per year of life saved. For patients treated within 6 hours of acute myocardial infarction, the marginal cost per death averted was $181,536 at 1 year, or $11,788 per year of life saved. CONCLUSIONS: Thrombolytic therapy is significantly more cost-effective than many other cardiovascular interventions and compares favorably with other forms of medical therapy. Results suggest that shortening the time to treatment has a critical impact on the cost-effectiveness of thrombolytic therapy.  相似文献   

8.
A cost-effectiveness analysis has been conducted in order to evaluate effects and costs of a nationwide mammographic breast cancer screening programme compared with no screening in a 30 years period. The analysis includes seven different phases of breast cancer, from the screening programme itself to the treatment of terminal illness. The estimates use italian published data and field studies. The calculations were performed with the Miscan computer simulation package: a programme providing for the screening of women aged 50-69 at two years intervals might be expected to result in a 1,650 deaths prevented and 14,500 years of life gained each year. The overall net costs of the programme were assessed at between 2,893 and 3,212 thousand million lire, the cost per life saved between 59.8 and 66.4 million lire and the cost per life-year gained between 6.6 and 7.3 million lire (between 10.7 and 11.5 million lire with a 5% discount rate, an estimate lower than that of German programme). The analysis produces important information for the Italian policy debate over mammography and it also contributes to the development of economic evaluation in our country.  相似文献   

9.
OBJECTIVE: To determine the public health and economic implications of solvent-detergent-treated frozen plasma (SD FP). While this processing technique nearly eliminates the risk of transmitting lipid-enveloped viruses (hepatitis B and C and human immunodeficiency virus), it has associated costs and, because it requires pooling many plasma units, may increase risks of nonenveloped virus transmission. DESIGN: A previously published Markov decision analysis model was modified to assess transfusion-related outcomes in hypothetical cohorts of plasma recipients. In-hospital mortality and other characteristics were determined in 61 patients receiving plasma transfusions at a medium-sized tertiary care center to provide data for the model. Other parameters were obtained from the medical literature. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Expected SD FP costs, benefits, and cost-effectiveness, assessed as cost per quality-adjusted life-year saved. RESULTS: Compared with untreated plasma, a unit of SD FP produces a net benefit of 35 minutes in quality-adjusted life expectancy at a cost of about $19. Extrapolated to the 2.2 million plasma units transfused annually in the United States, SD FP would save 147 quality-adjusted life-years at a cost of $42.5 million. The marginal cost-effectiveness, $289,300 per quality-adjusted life-year saved in the baseline analysis, was most sensitive to estimates of SD treatment cost and the clinical setting of plasma use. In sensitivity analysis, the net benefit of SD FP was negated by the existence of even a minute risk of nonenveloped virus infection. CONCLUSIONS: From a public health perspective, the relatively high costs and small benefits of reducing enveloped virus infection risks with SD FP (and the additional risks of noneveloped virus transmission) do not appear to justify widespread implementation of this new technology.  相似文献   

10.
OBJECTIVE: To study the cost-effectiveness of vaccination for hepatitis A. SETTING: Hypothetical analysis of students currently enrolled in medical school in the United States. METHOD: A Markov-based model was developed using data from the literature, actual hospital costs, and an annual discount rate of 5%. The incidence rate was based on the lowest annual rate for the US population during the past decade. RESULTS: Over the lifetimes of students currently in medical school, the model estimated that there would be 286 hepatitis A cases with four deaths and 107 lost years of life. With routine vaccination, these numbers would decrease to 17, 0.3, and 6, respectively. The costs per life-year saved and quality adjusted life-year saved were $58,000 and $47,000, respectively. Serologic screening prior to vaccination was less cost-effective than universal vaccination. If the incidence of hepatitis A was underestimated by a factor of 5, the cost per life-year saved would decrease to $5,500. If the incidence of hepatitis was underestimated by a factor of 10, vaccination would result in a net cost savings. CONCLUSION: We conclude that the cost per life-year saved by routine hepatitis A vaccination was similar to many other standard medical modalities. For routine vaccination of medical students to be cost-saving, the incidence rate for hepatitis A must be at least 10 times higher than the rate presently reported for the general population. Serological screening prior to vaccination was not cost-effective.  相似文献   

11.
OBJECTIVE: To compare the cost effectiveness of two possible modifications to the current UK screening programme: shortening the screening interval from three to two years and extending the age of invitation to a final screen from 64 to 69. DESIGN: Computer simulation model which first simulates life histories for women in the absence of a screening programme for breast cancer and then assesses how these life histories would be changed by introducing different screening policies. The model was informed by screening and cost data from the NHS breast screening programme. SETTING: North West region of England. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Numbers of deaths prevented, life years gained, and costs. RESULTS: Compared with the current breast screening programme both modifications would increase the number of deaths prevented and the number of life years saved. The current screening policy costs 2522 pounds per life year gained; extending the age range of the programme would cost 2612 pounds and shortening the interval 2709 pounds per life year gained. The marginal cost per life year gained of extending the age range of the screening programme is 2990 pounds and of shortening the screening interval is 3545 pounds. CONCLUSIONS: If the budget for the NHS breast screening programme were to allow for two more invitations per woman, substantial mortality reductions would follow from extending the age range screened or reducing the screening interval. The difference between the two policies is so small that either could be chosen.  相似文献   

12.
OBJECTIVE: To perform a sensitivity analysis using a decision model for simulating opportunistic screening for oral cancer and precancer in order to obtain an estimate of health gain from screening high risk dental patients, identified with the aid of artificial intelligence. DESIGN: A hypothetical opportunistic screening programme based on preselection of high risk patients was compared with screening all eligible patients and with a 'do nothing' scenario. The basic assumptions and data used in the model have been described previously. SETTING: Screening would be carried out in dental practices. PARTICIPANTS: A notional population of 100,000 adults of average age 55 years and 20 years life expectancy. INTERVENTIONS: Systematic clinical examination of the oral mucosa of high risk individuals identified by artificial intelligence on the basis of personal characteristics and life style. OUTCOME MEASURES: QALYs and equivalent lives saved RESULTS: The following estimates of health gain were obtained: the preselected screened group (n = 25,000) would achieve 1,993,294 QALYs. Without preselection, screening an unselected population of 100,000 eligible adults would result in 1,993,094 QALYs. Under the 'do nothing' scenario, 100,000 unscreened individuals would achieve 1,992,982 QALYs. Selective screening could avoid the equivalent of 15 deaths per 100,000 subjects examined. Screening preselected subjects at heightened risk would save the equivalent of two to three times the number of healthy lives compared with non-selective screening. Only one quarter of the population would need to be examined. CONCLUSIONS: Opportunistic screening of preselected dental patients for oral cancer and precancer appears to be a promising health promotion strategy and should be subject to formal economic appraisal.  相似文献   

13.
We attempted to determine health and economic outcomes from the perspective of an integrated health system of administering enoxaparin 30 mg twice/day versus heparin 5000 U twice/day for prophylaxis against venous thrombosis after major trauma. A decision-analytic model was developed from best literature evidence, institutional data, and expert opinion. We assumed that 40% of proximal deep vein thromboses (DVTs) and 5% of distal DVTs are diagnosed and confirmed with initial or repeat duplex scanning; 50% of undiagnosed proximal DVTs result in pulmonary embolism; 2% and 1% of undiagnosed proximal DVTs will lead to readmission for DVT and pulmonary embolism, respectively, and pulmonary embolism-related mortality rates range from 8-30%. Length of hospital stay data and 1996 institutional drug use and acquisition cost data were used to estimate the cost of enoxaparin and heparin therapy. Diagnosis and treatment costs for DVT and pulmonary embolism were derived from institutional charge data using cost:charge ratios. A second analysis of patients with lower extremity fractures was completed. One-way and multiway sensitivity analyses were performed. For 1000 mixed trauma patients receiving enoxaparin versus heparin, our model showed that 62.2 (95% CI -113 to -12) DVTs or pulmonary emboli would be avoided, resulting in 67.6 (8 to 130) life-years saved at a net cost increase of $104,764 (-$329,300 to $159,600). Enoxaparin versus heparin resulted in a cost of $1684 (-$3600 to $9800) for each DVT or pulmonary embolus avoided and a discounted cost/life-year saved of $2303 (-$8100 to $19,000). For 1000 patients with lower extremity fractures, enoxaparin versus heparin resulted in a cost of $751 (-$4200 to $3300) for each DVT or pulmonary embolus avoided and a discounted cost/life-year saved of $1017 (-$10,200 to $6300). Although enoxaparin increases overall health care costs, it is associated with a cost/additional life-year saved of only $2300, which is generally lower than the commonly used hurdle rate of $30,000/life-year saved. The cost-effectiveness ratio is more favorable in patients with lower extremity fractures than in the general mixed trauma population.  相似文献   

14.
AIMS, DESIGN AND SETTING: The economic costs of alcohol, tobacco and illicit drugs in Canadian society in 1992 are estimated utilizing a cost-of-illness framework and recently developed international guidelines. MEASUREMENTS: For causes of disease or death (using ICD-9 categories), pooled relative risk estimates from meta-analyses are combined with prevalence data by age, gender and province to derive the proportion attributable to alcohol, tobacco and/or illicit drugs. The resulting estimates of attributable deaths and hospitalizations are used to calculate associated health care, law enforcement, productivity and other costs. The results are compared wit other studies, and sensitivity analyses are conducted on alternative measures of alcohol consumption, alternative discount rates for productivity costs and the use of diagnostic-specific hospitalization costs. FINDINGS: The misuse of alcohol, tobacco and illicit drugs cost more than $18.4 billion in Canada in 1992, representing $649 per capita or 2.7% of GDP. Alcohol accounts for approximately $7.52 billion in costs, including $4.14 billion for lost productivity, $1.36 billion for law enforcement and $1.30 billion in direct health care costs. Tobacco accounts for approximately $9.56 billion in costs, including $6.82 billion for lost productivity and $2.68 billion for direct health costs. The economic of illicit drugs are estimated at $1.4 billion. CONCLUSIONS: Substance abuse exacts a considerable toll to Canadian society in terms of illness, injury, death and economic costs.  相似文献   

15.
AIMS AND BACKGROUND: To review false-negative or underreported (reactive changes, squamous or glandular atypia) smears performed in women developing histologically proven CIN2 or more severe lesions within 24 months and evaluate error causes. The study setting was the Florence District cervical cancer population-based screening: about 60,000 women age 25-60 years screened per year. METHODS: 118 false-negative or underreported cases were identified at screening files-cancer Registry matching, and the original smears were reviewed by six independent readers to judge smear adequacy and error type. RESULTS: Sampling errors (reported as inadequate, negative or less severe than CIN1 at review) accounted for 74% and screening/interpretation errors (reported as CIN1 or more severe at review) accounted for 26% of studied cases. Screening/interpretation errors were more likely ascribed to misinterpretation and underreporting than to misperception of cellular abnormalities. CONCLUSIONS: Quality control should above all address the problem of sampling adequacy. Due to the rarity of misperceived abnormalities (true screening errors), manual or automated rescreening of negative smears would not be an effective procedure for quality control.  相似文献   

16.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of the AutoPap System in detecting abnormal and normal cervical smears when used in a primary screening/quality control mode, as compared with currently established laboratory practices. STUDY DESIGN: Slides were obtained prospectively and were initially processed in the routine fashion with cytotechnologist screening followed by 10% random quality control rescreening. Slides were then processed on the AutoPap System and allocated into the following groups: (1) approximately 25% of the lowest-ranking slides were placed in the laboratory's archives as within normal limits; (2) the remaining approximately 75% of slides were subjected to manual screening. Approximately 15% of the highest-ranking slides in this group underwent quality control rescreening. For each slide needing manual screening, the cytotechnologist was supplied with a report giving the ranking score of that slide. All discrepant slides for either adequacy or diagnosis were subjected to a truth-determination process. The results obtained from the two arms of the protocol were then compared. RESULTS: The AutoPap System-assisted arm of the study was superior to the current practice arm for the identification of abnormal slides at the level of atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance and above (ASCUS+), low grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL) and higher LSIL+. AutoPap System-assisted practice was equivalent to current practice for the identification of unsatisfactory and satisfactory but limited by slides. All results showed statistical significance. In addition, AutoPap System-assisted practice in the study indicated improved specificity of diagnosis. CONCLUSION: AutoPap System-assisted practice shows superior sensitivity and specificity when compared to current practice. Its clinical use as a primary screening device should improve the overall practice of cervical cytology as well as provide potential enhancement in overall laboratory productivity.  相似文献   

17.
OBJECTIVE: This study estimated the total cost of musculoskeletal disorders for Canadians in 1994 and assessed the sensitivity of these cost estimates to variations in the definition of musculoskeletal disorders. METHODS: Disease-related costs, from a societal perspective, were measured using a prevalence-based analysis. First, direct treatment costs, including expenditures on hospitals and other institutions, physicians and other health professionals, drugs, research, and other items were assessed. Second, indirect costs associated with lost (or foregone) productivity due to disability and premature mortality were evaluated using the human capital approach. RESULTS: The total cost of musculoskeletal disorders in Canada was $25.6 billion (in 1994 Canadian dollars, $1.00 CDN approximately $0.75 US) or 3.4% of the gross domestic product. Direct and indirect costs were estimated at $7.5 billion and $18.1 billion, respectively. Lower and upper bound estimates of the total cost of musculoskeletal disorders, derived from the sensitivity analysis, were $19.9 billion and $30.8 billion, respectively. Wide variations were reported in the total cost of various musculoskeletal disorder subcategories, with the highest costs reported for injuries ($10.7 billion), back and spine disorders ($8.1 billion), and arthritis and rheumatism ($5.9 billion). CONCLUSIONS: The economic cost of musculoskeletal disorders was substantial and was sensitive to the definition of musculoskeletal disorders and other underlying assumptions. The hallmark of this study was the variation between subcategories in their cost, pattern of health resource use, and sequelae. The cost estimates may provide guidance in setting priorities for research and prevention activities.  相似文献   

18.
BACKGROUND: This study augments a randomized controlled trial to analyze the cost-effectiveness of 2 standardized treatments for major depression relative to each other and to the "usual care" provided by primary care physicians. METHODS: A randomized controlled trial was conducted in which primary care patients meeting DSM-III-R criteria for current major depression were assigned to pharmacotherapy (where nortriptyline hydrochloride was given) or interpersonal psychotherapy provided in a standardized framework or a primary physician's usual care. Two outcome measures, depression-free days and quality-adjusted days, were developed using information on depressive symptoms over time. The costs of care were calculated. Cost-effectiveness ratios comparing the incremental outcomes with the incremental costs for the different treatments were estimated. Sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: In terms of both economic costs and quality-of-life outcomes, patients assigned to the pharmacotherapy group did slightly better than those assigned to interpersonal psychotherapy. Both standardized therapies provided better outcomes than primary physician's usual care, but each consumed more resources. No meaningful cost-offsets were found. The incremental direct cost per additional depression-free day for pharmacotherapy relative to usual care ranges from $12.66 to $16.87 which translates to direct cost per quality-adjusted year gained from $11270 to $19510. CONCLUSIONS: Standardized treatments for depression lead to better outcomes than usual care but also lead to higher costs. However, the estimates of the cost per quality-of-life year gained for standardized pharmacotherapy are comparable with those found for other treatments provided in routine practice.  相似文献   

19.
This study assessed the cost effectiveness of inpatient antiarrhythmic therapy initiation for supraventricular tachycardias using a metaanalysis of proarrhythmic risk and a decision analysis that compared inpatient to outpatient therapy initiation. A MEDLINE search of trials of antiarrhythmic therapy for supraventricular tachycardias was performed, and episodes of cardiac arrest, sudden or unexplained death, syncope, and sustained or unstable ventricular arrhythmias were recorded. A weighted average event rate, by sample size, was calculated and applied to a clinical decision model of therapy initiation in which patients were either hospitalized for 72 hours or treated as outpatients. Fifty-seven drug trials involving 2,822 patients met study criteria. Based on a 72-hour weighted average event rate of 0.63% (95% confidence interval, 0.2% to 1.2%), inpatient therapy initiation cost $19,231 per year of life saved for a 60-year-old patient with a normal life expectancy. Hospitalization remained cost effective when event rates and life expectancies were varied to model hypothetical clinical scenarios. For example, cost-effectiveness ratios for a 40-year-old without structural heart disease and a 60-year-old with structural heart disease were $37,510 and $33,310, respectively, per year of life saved. Thus, a 72-hour hospitalization for antiarrhythmic therapy initiation is cost effective for most patients with supraventricular tachycardias.  相似文献   

20.
OBJECTIVE: A previous study empirically compared the effects of two HIV-prevention interventions for men who have sex with men: (i) a safer sex lecture, and (ii) the same lecture coupled with a 1.5 h skills-training group session. The skills-training intervention led to a significant increase in condom use at 12-month follow-up, compared with the lecture-only condition. The current study retrospectively assesses the incremental cost-effectiveness of skills training to determine whether it is worth the extra cost to add this component to an HIV-prevention intervention that would otherwise consist of a safer sex lecture only. DESIGN: Standard techniques of incremental cost-utility analysis were employed. METHODS: A societal perspective and a 5% discount rate were used. Cost categories assessed included: staff salary, fringe benefits, quality assurance, session materials, client transportation, client time valuation, and costs shared with other programs. A Bernoulli-process model of HIV transmission was used to estimate the number of HIV infections averted by the skills-training intervention component. For each infection averted, the discounted medical costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) saved were estimated. One- and multi-way sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of base-case results to changes in modeling assumptions. RESULTS: Under base-case assumptions, the incremental cost of the skills training was less than $13,000 (or about $40 per person). The discounted medical costs averted by incrementally preventing HIV infections were over $170,000; more than 21 discounted QALY were saved. The cost per QALY saved was negative, indicating cost-savings. These results are robust to changes in most modeling assumptions. However, the model is moderately sensitive to changes in the per-contact risk of HIV transmission. CONCLUSIONS: Under most reasonable assumptions, the incremental costs of the skills training were outweighed by the medical costs saved. Thus, not only is skills training effective in reducing risky behavior, it is also cost-saving.  相似文献   

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