Intraseasonal signals in the daily high resolution blended Reynolds sea surface temperature product over the tropical Indian Ocean and their validation

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration daily sea surface temperature (SST) products based on Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer (AMSR) and Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) have been used to understand the variability in the tropical Indian Ocean SST. These products are comparable with the deep sea moored buoy observations and the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Microwave Imager (TMI) SST in the tropical Indian Ocean. However considerable difference is noticed between these satellite SST products and deep sea buoys, especially at the intraseasonal time scale. Further the first Complex Empirical Orthogonal Function (CEOF) mode of TMI and AVHRR SST explains respectively 46.49% and 46.19% of the total variance. The second CEOF mode of TMI and AVHRR SST explains respectively 23.19% and 18.94% of the total SST variance in the tropical Indian Ocean. The AVHRR SST product is important because this daily product has been available since 1985. The analysis shows that AMSR measurements are contributing considerably to the understanding of the tropical Indian Ocean SST variability. Though satellite SST products are able to capture the observed intraseasonal variability reasonably well, more accurate satellite SST products are therefore necessary to understand the climatologically important Indian Ocean region and its air–sea interaction processes.     

Estimation of regional terrestrial water cycle using multi-sensor remote sensing observations and data assimilation

An integrated data assimilation system is implemented over the Red-Arkansas river basin to estimate the regional scale terrestrial water cycle driven by multiple satellite remote sensing data. These satellite products include the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM), TRMM Microwave Imager (TMI), and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). Also, a number of previously developed assimilation techniques, including the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), the particle filter (PF), the water balance constrainer, and the copula error model, and as well as physically based models, including the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC), the Land Surface Microwave Emission Model (LSMEM), and the Surface Energy Balance System (SEBS), are tested in the water budget estimation experiments. This remote sensing based water budget estimation study is evaluated using ground observations driven model simulations. It is found that the land surface model driven by the bias-corrected TRMM rainfall produces reasonable water cycle states and fluxes, and the estimates are moderately improved by assimilating TMI 10.67 GHz microwave brightness temperature measurements that provides information on the surface soil moisture state, while it remains challenging to improve the results by assimilating evapotranspiration estimated from satellite-based measurements.     

Evaluation of the Oceansat‐1 Multi‐frequency Scanning Microwave Radiometer and its potential for soil moisture retrieval

The Multi‐frequency Scanning Microwave Radiometer (MSMR) aboard the Indian Space Research Organization—Oceansat‐1 platform measured land surface brightness temperature at a C‐band frequency and provided an opportunity for exploring large‐scale soil moisture retrieval during its two‐year period of operation. These data may provide a valuable extension to the Scanning Multichannel Microwave Radiometer (SMMR) and the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer (AMSR) since they covered a portion of the time period between the two missions. This investigation was one of the first to utilize the MSMR data for a land application and, as a result, several data quality issues had to be addressed. These included geolocation accuracy, calibration (particularly over land), erroneous data, and the significance of anthropogenic radio‐frequency interference (RFI). Calibration of the low frequency channels was evaluated using inter‐comparisons between the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission/Microwave Imager (TRMM/TMI) and the MSMR brightness temperatures. Biases (TMI T _B>MSMR T _B) of 3.4 and 3.6 K were observed over land for the MSMR 10.65 GHz horizontal and vertical polarization channels, respectively. These results suggested that additional calibration of the MSMR data was required. Comparisons between the MSMR measured brightness temperature and ground measured volumetric soil moisture collected during the South Great Plain experiment (SGP99) indicated that the lower frequency and horizontal polarization observations had higher sensitivity to soil moisture. Using a previously developed soil emission model, multi‐temporal regional soil moisture distributions were retrieved for the continental United States. Comparisons between the MSMR based soil moisture and ground measured volumetric soil moisture indicated a standard error of estimate of 0.052 m³/m³.     

FY-3微波成像仪地表参数反演研究

风云3号卫星FY-3是实现全球、全天候、三维、定量、多光谱遥感的我国第2代极轨气象卫星系列。风云3号气象卫星资料中含有丰富的生态环境变化信息,既可以用于对水、火、冰、雪等灾害的监测,也可以用于对植被、土地利用、气溶胶参量的分析。这些结果将会对农业、林业、环境、市政、交通以及政府决策部门提供有效的决策服务。其中搭载的微波成像仪为我国第一个星载微波遥感仪器,其设计频率为10.65 GHz、18.7 GHz、23.8 GHz、36.5 GHz、89 GHz,每个频率有V、H两种不同极化模式,相应的星下点空间分辨率分别为51 km×85 km、30 km×50 km、27 km×45 km、18 km×30 km、9 km×15 km根据FY-3微波成像仪传感器参数特性,利用微波地表辐射传输方程,在10.65、18.7 GHz频段上模拟了地表微波辐射特性,在此基础上建立了地表参数反演算法, 可以同时得到地表土壤水分和地表温度参数。     

Soil moisture estimation through ASCAT and AMSR-E sensors: An intercomparison and validation study across Europe

Global soil moisture products retrieved from various remote sensing sensors are becoming readily available with a nearly daily temporal resolution. Active and passive microwave sensors are generally considered as the best technologies for retrieving soil moisture from space. The Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for the Earth observing system (AMSR-E) on-board the Aqua satellite and the Advanced SCATterometer (ASCAT) on-board the MetOp (Meteorological Operational) satellite are among the sensors most widely used for soil moisture retrieval in the last years. However, due to differences in the spatial resolution, observation depths and measurement uncertainties, validation of satellite data with in situ observations and/or modelled data is not straightforward. In this study, a comprehensive assessment of the reliability of soil moisture estimations from the ASCAT and AMSR-E sensors is carried out by using observed and modelled soil moisture data over 17 sites located in 4 countries across Europe (Italy, Spain, France and Luxembourg). As regards satellite data, products generated by implementing three different algorithms with AMSR-E data are considered: (i) the Land Parameter Retrieval Model, LPRM, (ii) the standard NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) algorithm, and (iii) the Polarization Ratio Index, PRI. For ASCAT the Vienna University of Technology, TUWIEN, change detection algorithm is employed. An exponential filter is applied to approach root-zone soil moisture. Moreover, two different scaling strategies, based respectively on linear regression correction and Cumulative Density Function (CDF) matching, are employed to remove systematic differences between satellite and site-specific soil moisture data. Results are shown in terms of both relative soil moisture values (i.e., between 0 and 1) and anomalies from the climatological expectation.Among the three soil moisture products derived from AMSR-E sensor data, for most sites the highest correlation with observed and modelled data is found using the LPRM algorithm. Considering relative soil moisture values for an ~ 5 cm soil layer, the TUWIEN ASCAT product outperforms AMSR-E over all sites in France and central Italy while similar results are obtained in all other regions. Specifically, the average correlation coefficient with observed (modelled) data equals to 0.71 (0.74) and 0.62 (0.72) for ASCAT and AMSR-E-LPRM, respectively. Correlation values increase up to 0.81 (0.81) and 0.69 (0.77) for the two satellite products when exponential filtering and CDF matching approaches are applied. On the other hand, considering the anomalies, correlation values decrease but, more significantly, in this case ASCAT outperforms all the other products for all sites except the Spanish ones. Overall, the reliability of all the satellite soil moisture products was found to decrease with increasing vegetation density and to be in good accordance with previous studies. The results provide an overview of the ASCAT and AMSR-E reliability and robustness over different regions in Europe, thereby highlighting advantages and shortcomings for the effective use of these data sets for operational applications such as flood forecasting and numerical weather prediction.     

A comparison study on empirical microwave soil moisture downscaling methods based on the integration of microwave-optical/IR data on the Tibetan Plateau

Soil moisture plays a vital role in land surface energy and the water cycle. Microwave remote sensing is widely used because of the physically based relationship between the land surface emission observed and soil moisture. However, the application of retrieved soil moisture data is restricted by its coarse spatial resolution. To overcome this weakness, downscaling methods should be developed to disaggregate coarse resolution microwave soil moisture data to fine resolution. The traditional method is the microwave-optical/IR synergistic approach, in which land surface temperature, vegetation index, and surface albedo are key parameters. Five purely empirical methods based on the triangle feature are selected in this study. To evaluate their performance on downscaling microwave soil moisture, these methods are applied to the Zoige Plateau in China using the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer on the Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) Land Parameter Retrieval Model (LPRM) soil moisture product and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) optical/IR products. The coarse-resolution AMSR-E LPRM soil moisture data are disaggregated into the high resolution of the MODIS product, and the surface soil moisture measurements of the Maqu soil moisture observation network located in the plateau are used to validate the downscaling results. Results show that (1) the relationship models used in these methods can generally capture the variation in soil moisture, with R² around 0.6, but have a relatively high uncertainty under conditions of high soil moisture; (2) the methods can provide high-resolution soil moisture distribution, but the downscaled soil moisture presents a low level correlation with field measurements at different spatial and temporal scales. This comparative study provides insight into the performance of popular purely empirical downscaling methods on enhancing the spatial resolution of soil moisture on the Tibetan Plateau. Although synergistic methods can improve the spatial resolution of AMSR-E soil moisture data, additional studies are needed to exclude the uncertainty from AMSR-E soil moisture estimation, the low sensitivity of the relationship model under high soil moisture, and the spatial representativeness difference between coarse pixels and point measurement.     

Identification of dry and wet soil conditions using TRMM/TMI brightness temperatures and potential for drought monitoring

In this study we present a methodology for monitoring drought conditions directly from microwave brightness temperature observations. Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM)/TRMM Microwave Imager (TMI) 10.7 GHz brightness temperatures were analysed along with TRMM merged rainfall products during June–August for 4 years to depict the spatial and temporal extent of dry and wet soil conditions. Comparison of brightness temperature anomalies with rainfall anomalies clearly shows the contrasting features of drought year 2002 and normal monsoon year 2001.     

基于风云三号卫星微波成像仪观测的全球海气界面潜热通量遥感

海气界面潜热通量是衡量海气间能量和水汽交换的重要指标。热通量卫星遥感产品具有覆盖面广、时效性高的优势,但也存在观测非同步、潜热通量精度较低的问题。由于近表面空气比湿度是潜热通量卫星遥感的重要误差源,基于风云三号卫星微波成像仪观测数据,研究对空气比湿度反演算法进行了改进,改进后的算法与现场实测数据相比,反演精度有明显的提高。针对极轨气象卫星过境时间相对固定的问题,使用现场观测数据分析了潜热通量日内变化过程并建立了日均潜热通量估算模型,利用风云三号微波成像仪数据,通过块体法计算了全球海洋潜热通量。与现场实测数据相比,其偏差、均方根误差和相关系数分别为3.50 W/m²、32.96 W/m²和0.79。     

Simulation of microphysical structure associated with tropical cloud clusters using mesoscale model and comparison with TRMM observations

An attempt has been made in the present study to examine the microphysical structure of a non‐squall Tropical Cloud Cluster (TCC). Three‐dimensional model simulations of cloud microphysical structure associated with a non‐squall TCC occurred on 26 October 2005 over the South Bay of Bengal have been carried out. The initial conditions for the model simulations were improved by incorporating upper air radiosonde observations and Indian Mesosphere Stratosphere Troposphere (MST) radar wind observations through analysis nudging. The horizontal and vertical distribution of the cloud hydrometeor fields observed from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Microwave Imager (TMI) are compared to those simulated by a mesoscale model using a sophisticated microphysical scheme. Substantial differences are noticed in the amounts of cloud microphysical parameters, with simulated values of hydrometeors being higher than TMI retrievals. Spatial distribution of Cloud Liquid Water (CLW) and Rain Water (RNW) from TMI and model simulations correspond well with each other. The cloud microphysical structure during the initial and mature phases of the storm is also investigated. Comparisons of horizontal and vertical reflectivity structure from the TRMM‐Precipitation Radar (PR) and those simulated by the model show reflectivity cores of values greater than 30 dBZ. The TRMM‐PR echo tops are 3–4 km higher than the simulated echo tops. The 24 hr accumulated precipitation from model simulations are then verified with the combined rainfall product from the TRMM observations.     

Inter-comparison of various global sea surface temperature products

In this study, eight global sea surface temperature (SST) products for 2009 are compared to clarify their characteristics. The median of eight daily values, the Ensemble Median as Reference Product (EMRP), is used as a reference product for inter-comparison. The results show that the absolute value of mean differences and the value of root mean square (RMS) differences are higher in single-microwave products such as Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for the Earth observing system (AMSR-E), Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Microwave Imager (TMI), and WindSat, than in products such as MicroWave Optimally Interpolated SST (MWOI), Merged satellite and in situ data Global Daily SST (MGD), and Operational Sea Surface Temperature and Sea Ice Analysis (OSTIA) constructed by merging several SST data. It is of note that the characteristics of SST products depend on the type of SST used within the product, rather than the data source used. A comparison of SST products was also conducted using EMRP and data observed by moored buoys. The results show that only AMSR-E has a warm bias (+0.06°C) while other products have a cool bias (maximum value ?0.10°C). The RMS error of TMI is the highest (0.57°C), and that of EMRP the lowest (0.28°C). Furthermore, the temporal variability between the data in each SST product was compared to those observed by the Kuroshio Extension Observatory (KEO) buoy. Results show that the temporal variability of EMRP corresponds well to that of buoy data, and that the RMS error of EMRP is lower than that of the other SST products.     

Soil moisture mapping and AMSR-E validation using the PSR in SMEX02

Field experiments (SMEX02) were conducted to evaluate the effects of dense agricultural crop conditions on soil moisture retrieval using passive microwave remote sensing. Aircraft observations were collected using a new version of the Polarimetric Scanning Radiometer (PSR) that provided four C band and four X band frequencies. Observations were also available from the Aqua satellite Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer (AMSR-E) at these same frequencies. SMEX02 was conducted over a three-week period during the summer near Ames, Iowa. Corn and soybeans dominate the region. During the study period the corn was approaching its peak water content state and the soybeans were at the mid point of the growth cycle. Aircraft observations are compared to ground observations. Subsequently models are developed to describe the effects of corn and soybeans on soil moisture retrieval. Multiple altitude aircraft brightness temperatures were compared to AMSR-E observations to understand brightness temperature scaling and provide validation. The X-band observations from the two sensors were in reasonable agreement. The AMSR-E C-band observations were contaminated with anthropogenic RFI, which made comparison to the PSR invalid. Aircraft data along with ancillary data were used in a retrieval algorithm to map soil moisture. The PSR estimated soil moisture retrievals on a field-by-field comparison had a standard error of estimate (SEE) of 5.5%. The error reduced when high altitude soil moisture estimates were aggregated to 25 km resolution (same as AMSR-E EASE grid product resolution) (SEE ∼ 2.85%). These soil moisture products provide a validation of the AMSR retrievals. PSR/CX soil moisture images show spatial and temporal patterns consistent with meteorological and soil conditions. The dynamic range of the PSR/CX observations indicates that reasonable soil moisture estimates can be obtained from AMSR, even in areas of high vegetation biomass content (∼ 4-8 kg/m2).     

Using sea surface temperature measurements from microwave and infrared satellite measurements

The Tropical Rainfall Mapping Mission Microwave Imager (TMI) instrument Sea Surface Temperature (SST) product (v1.0) is compared with in situ observations obtained in the Atlantic Ocean. The TMI SST has a mean warm bias of 0.25?K±0.7?K when compared to in situ SST at a depth of 7?m. When TMI SST are compared to in situ skin SST measurements, the bias is 0.6?K±0.5?K. A limited global comparison between TMI SST and co-incident ERS-2 Along-Track Scanning Radiometer (ATSR/2) skin SST demonstrates a bias of 0.6?K±0.6?K consistent with the result obtained using in situ observations. These results are consistent with the predicted accuracy of the TMI SST data products. Based on these results, a simple method to merge the TMI and ATSR data is proposed.     

Improved surface soil moisture anomalies from Fengyun-3B over the Jiangxi province of the People’s Republic of China

ABSTRACT

This study develops a data-driven modification scheme for a commonly used soil moisture retrieval algorithm by introducing a vegetation density-related single scattering albedo based on in situ and Fengyun-3B passive microwave observations. The Jiangxi province in China’s mainland is one of the most challenging regions for soil moisture retrievals due to its complex topography, open water, and vegetation conditions. However, it has a very dense in situ soil moisture observation network which makes it a suitable test-bed to examine the performance of the modification scheme. The development of this new scheme consists of two steps. In a first step, the model is initialized using the most recently developed algorithm configuration. In the second step, these initial outcomes are used as input to determine the vegetation density related single scattering albedo which is solely based on observational data and used as the final algorithm configuration over our study area. We start by comparing the two most recent algorithm configurations against the in situ soil moisture network and demonstrate an overall improvement in terms of correlations coefficient for the most recent version. Then, the observational data- driven modification scheme was proposed and evaluated against the in situ soil moisture network with further improvements after its implementation. We furthermore applied the vegetation density-based scattering albedo in soil moisture retrievals over all grid cells in Jiangxi, and found that soil moisture data with the newly developed configuration significantly improved (up to 30%) compared to the preceding algorithm configurations. The two existing algorithm configurations were also evaluated over all grid cells and all results indicate consistent improvements between the successive algorithm versions.     

Further validation of a new methodology for surface moisture and vegetation optical depth retrieval

A series of validation studies for a recently developed soil moisture and optical depth retrieval algorithm is presented. The approach is largely theoretical, and uses a non-linear iterative optimization procedure to solve a simple radiative transfer equation for the two parameters from dual polarization satellite microwave brightness temperatures. The satellite retrievals were derived from night-time 6.6?GHz Nimbus Scanning Multichannel Microwave Radiometer (SMMR) observations, and were compared to soil moisture data sets from the USA, Mongolia, Turkmenistan and Russia. The surface temperature, which is also an unknown parameter in the model, is derived off-line from 37?GHz vertical polarized brightness temperatures. The new theoretical approach is independent of field observations of soil moisture or canopy biophysical measurements and can be used at any wavelength in the microwave region. The soil moisture retrievals compared well with the surface moisture observations from the various locations. The vegetation optical depth also compared well to time series of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and showed similar seasonal patterns. From a global perspective, the satellite-derived surface soil moisture was consistent with expected spatial patterns, identifying both known dry areas such as deserts and semi-arid areas and moist agricultural areas very well. Spatial patterns of vegetation optical depth were found to be in agreement with NDVI. The methodology described in this study should be directly transferable to the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer (AMSR) on the recently launched AQUA satellite.     

Downscaling of passive microwave soil moisture retrievals based on spectral analysis

The retrieval of soil moisture from passive microwave remote-sensing data is presently one of the most effective methods for monitoring soil moisture. However, the spatial resolution of passive microwave soil moisture products is generally low; thus, existing soil moisture products should be downscaled in order to obtain more accurate soil moisture data. In this study, we explore the theoretical feasibility of applying the spectral downscaling method to the soil moisture in order to generate high spatial resolution soil moisture based on both Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer and Fengyun-3B (FY3B) data. We analyse the spectral characteristics of soil moisture images covering the east-central of the Tibetan Plateau which have different spatial resolutions. The spectral analysis reveals that the spectral downscaling method is reliable in theory for downscaling soil moisture. So, we developed one spectral downscaling method for deriving the high spatial resolution (1 km) soil moister data from the FY3B data (25 km). Our results were compared with the ground truth measurements from 15 selected experimental days in 16 different sites. The average coefficient of determination (R²) of the spectral downscaling increased nearly doubled than that of the original FY3B soil moisture product. The spectral downscaled soil moister data were successfully applied to examine the water exchange between the land and atmosphere in the study regions. The spectral downscaling approach could be an efficient and effective method to improve the spatial resolution of current microwave soil moisture images.     

Evaluation of soil moisture from satellite observations over South America

A study was performed to evaluate the surface soil moisture derived from Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for the Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) sensor observations over South America. Other soil moisture and rainfall datasets were also used for the analysis. The information for the soil data came from the Eta regional climate model, and for the rainfall data from the Tropical Rainfall Microwave Mission (TRMM) satellite. Statistical analysis was used to evaluate the quality of the soil moisture and rainfall products, with estimates of the correlation coefficient (R), χ² and Cramer's phi (?_c). The results show high correlations (R > 0.8) of the AMSR-E soil moisture products with the Eta model for different regions of South America. Comparison of soil moisture products with rainfall datasets showed that the AMSR-E C-band soil moisture product was highly correlated with the TRMM satellite rainfall datasets, with the highest values of χ² and ?. The results show that the AMSR-E C-band soil moisture products contain important information that can be used for various purposes, such as monitoring floods or droughts in arid areas or as input within the framework of an assimilation scheme of numerical weather prediction models.     

Spatial information of high-frequency brightness temperatures for passive microwave rainfall retrievals

The effect of rainfall inhomogeneity within the sensor field of view (FOV) affects significantly the accuracy of rainfall retrievals causing the so-called beam-filling error. Observational analyses of Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Microwave Imager (TMI) and Precipitation Radar (PR) data suggest that the beam-filling error can be classified in terms of the mean rain rate and the rainfall inhomogeneity parameter or coefficient of variation (CV_R, standard deviation divided by mean). The dependence of the beam-filling error on the rain rate and CV_R has been confirmed quantitatively using a single channel at 19.4 GHz. It is also found significantly different beam-filling errors for the two different regions, the East and West Pacific, where the spatial and vertical distributions of rainfalls are different. It is also observed that the vertical distribution of rainfall is related to the spatial variability of rainfall (CV_R) and similarly to the spatial variability of TMI 85.5 GHz brightness temperature (CV _Tb). Based on these findings, this study exploits the CV _Tb to correct the beam-filling error in a direct inversion from a rainfall (R) and brightness temperature (T _b) curve at a single frequency, and to reduce the retrieval error in the context of a Bayesian-type inversion method for multi-frequency rainfall retrievals. Both the experiments suggest that the spatial variability of the high-frequency radiometer data appears to contain useful information for retrievals.     

Microwave measurement of rain and sea surface temperature by the TRMM Microwave Imager (TMI)

The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) is important for studies of the global hydrological cycle and for testing the realism of climate models and their ability to simulate and predict climate accurately; the effect of El Nino on climate could be addressed as well. This paper investigates the microwave rain measurement using satellite data from the TRMM Microwave Imager (TMI). The physical bases of rainfall estimation algorithms, vertical structure of rain and its physical processes are explained. The algorithms for processing TMI radiance and brightness temperature data are presented. Various rain maps and sea surface temperature (SST) maps are produced using TMI microwave data. The performance, calibration, analysis of results and sources of errors in the averaged monthly surface rain rate estimation are discussed.     

Soil moisture estimates from TRMM Microwave Imager observations over the Southern United States

The lack of continuous soil moisture fields at large spatial scales, based on observations, has hampered hydrologists from understanding its role in weather and climate. The most readily available observations from which a surface wetness state could be derived is the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Microwave Imager (TMI) observations at 10.65 GHz. This paper describes the first attempt to map daily soil moisture from space over an extended period of time. Methods to adjust for diurnal changes associated with this temporal variability and how to mosaic these orbits are presented. The algorithm for deriving soil moisture and temperature from TMI observations is based on a physical model of microwave emission from a layered soil-vegetation-atmosphere medium. An iterative, least-squares minimization method, which uses dual polarization observations at 10.65 GHz, is employed in the retrieval algorithm. Soil moisture estimates were compared with ground measurements over the U.S. Southern Great Plains (SGP) in Oklahoma and the Little River Watershed, Georgia. The soil moisture experiment in Oklahoma was conducted in July 1999 and Little River in June 2000. During both the experiments, the region was dry at the onset of the experiment, and experienced moderate rainfall during the course of the experiment. The regions experienced a quick dry-down before the end of the experiment. The estimated soil moisture compared well with the ground observations for these experiments (standard error of 2.5%). The TMI-estimated soil moisture during 6-22 July over Southern U.S. was analyzed and found to be consistent with the observed meteorological conditions.