Collaborative Reliability Analysis under the Framework of Multidisciplinary Systems Design

Traditional Multidisciplinary Design Optimization (MDO) generates deterministic optimal designs, which are frequently pushed to the limits of design constraint boundaries, leaving little or no room to accommodate uncertainties in system input, modeling, and simulation. As a result, the design solution obtained may be highly sensitive to the variations of system input which will lead to performance loss and the solution is often risky (high likelihood of undesired events). Reliability-based design is one of the alternative techniques for design under uncertainty. The natural method to perform reliability analysis in multidisciplinary systems is the all-in-one approach where the existing reliability analysis techniques are applied directly to the system-level multidisciplinary analysis. However, the all-in-one reliability analysis method requires a double loop procedure and therefore is generally very time consuming. To improve the efficiency of reliability analysis under the MDO framework, a collaborative reliability analysis method is proposed in this paper. The procedure of the traditional Most Probable Point (MPP) based reliability analysis method is combined with the collaborative disciplinary analyses to automatically satisfy the interdisciplinary consistency when conducting reliability analysis. As a result, only a single loop procedure is required and all the computations are conducted concurrently at the individual discipline-level. Compared with the existing reliability analysis methods in MDO, the proposed method is efficient and therefore provides a cheaper tool to evaluate design feasibility in MDO under uncertainty. Two examples are used for the purpose of verification.     

Reliability-based design optimization using a generalized subset simulation method and posterior approximation

The evaluation of the probabilistic constraints in reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) problems has always been significant and challenging work, which strongly affects the performance of RBDO methods. This article deals with RBDO problems using a recently developed generalized subset simulation (GSS) method and a posterior approximation approach. The posterior approximation approach is used to transform all the probabilistic constraints into ordinary constraints as in deterministic optimization. The assessment of multiple failure probabilities required by the posterior approximation approach is achieved by GSS in a single run at all supporting points, which are selected by a proper experimental design scheme combining Sobol’ sequences and Bucher’s design. Sequentially, the transformed deterministic design optimization problem can be solved by optimization algorithms, for example, the sequential quadratic programming method. Three optimization problems are used to demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method.     

Reliability based design optimization using response surfaces in application to multidisciplinary systems

Traditionally, reliability based design optimization (RBDO) is formulated as a nested optimization problem. For these problems the objective is to minimize a cost function while satisfying the reliability constraints. The reliability constraints are usually formulated as constraints on the probability of failure corresponding to each of the failure modes or a single constraint on the system probability of failure. The probability of failure is usually estimated by performing a reliability analysis. The difficulty in evaluating reliability constraints comes from the fact that modern reliability analysis methods are themselves formulated as an optimization problem. Solving such nested optimization problems is extremely expensive for large scale multidisciplinary systems which are likewise computationally intensive. In this research, a framework for performing reliability based multidisciplinary design optimization using approximations is developed. Response surface approximations (RSA) of the limit state functions are used to estimate the probability of failure. An outer loop is incorporated to ensure that the approximate RBDO converges to the actual most probable point of failure. The framework is compared with the exact RBDO procedure. In the proposed methodology, RSAs are employed to significantly reduce the computational expense associated with traditional RBDO. The proposed approach is implemented in application to multidisciplinary test problems, and the computational savings and benefits are discussed.     

Multidisciplinary design optimization based on independent subspaces

Optimization has been successfully applied to systems with a single discipline. Since many disciplines are involved in a coupled fashion in modern engineering, multidisciplinary design optimization (MDO) technology has been developed. MDO algorithms are designed to solve the coupled aspects generated from the interdisciplinary relationship. In a general MDO algorithm, a large design problem is decomposed into smaller ones which can be easily solved. Although various methods have been proposed for MDO, research is still in the early stage. This study proposes a new MDO method which is named MDO based on independent subspaces (MDOIS). Many real engineering problems consist of physically separate components and they can be independently designed. The inter‐relationship occurs through coupled physics. MDOIS is developed for such problems. In MDOIS, a large system is decomposed into small subsystems. The coupled aspects are solved via system analysis which solves the coupled physics. The algorithm is mathematically validated by showing that the solution satisfies the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker condition. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A global single-loop deterministic approach for reliability-based design optimization of truss structures with continuous and discrete design variables

A single-loop deterministic method (SLDM) has previously been proposed for solving reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) problems. In SLDM, probabilistic constraints are converted to approximate deterministic constraints. Consequently, RBDO problems can be transformed into approximate deterministic optimization problems, and hence the computational cost of solving such problems is reduced significantly. However, SLDM is limited to continuous design variables, and the obtained solutions are often trapped into local extrema. To overcome these two disadvantages, a global single-loop deterministic approach is developed in this article, and then it is applied to solve the RBDO problems of truss structures with both continuous and discrete design variables. The proposed approach is a combination of SLDM and improved differential evolution (IDE). The IDE algorithm is an improved version of the original differential evolution (DE) algorithm with two improvements: a roulette wheel selection with stochastic acceptance and an elitist selection technique. These improvements are applied to the mutation and selection phases of DE to enhance its convergence rate and accuracy. To demonstrate the reliability, efficiency and applicability of the proposed method, three numerical examples are executed, and the obtained results are compared with those available in the literature.     

A multiple-design-point approach for reliability-based design optimization

The application of design-point-based reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) methods is hindered by the challenge of multiple-design-point problems. In this article, to improve the commonality of design-point-based RBDO methods, a novel multiple-design-point (MDP) approach is developed. The MDP approach uses the trace of the design points from consequent reliability analysis iterations to identify whether there are multiple design points, then all of the design points are used to calculate shifting vectors for the sequential optimization and reliability assessment method, and the corresponding probabilistic constraints are moved to the feasible region along these multiple shifting vectors at the same time. With multiple shifted probabilistic constraints, the design feasibility associated with this probabilistic constraint will be satisfied. Two mathematical examples, a speed reducer design and a honeycomb crashworthiness design, are presented to validate the effectiveness of the MDP method. The results show that the MDP approach is effective for handling multiple-design-point problems.     

复杂系统的多学科设计优化综述

从设计和分析的本质出发,结合复杂系统的特点,通过分析传统设计优化流程在面对复杂系统时存在的困难和缺陷,指出多学科设计优化(multidisciplinary design optimization,MDO)方法是解决复杂系统设计优化问题的一种有效措施.在此基础上,介绍了多学科优化方法的基本思想,总结了子系统耦合方式及MDO在处理耦合时的基本方法,归纳了MDO的知识框架和主要研究内容.最后在现有研究成果的基础上,对MDO今后的研究提出了几点参考意见.     

A system methodology for optimization design of the structural crashworthiness of a vehicle subjected to a high-speed frontal crash

The structural crashworthiness design of vehicles has become an important research direction to ensure the safety of the occupants. To effectively improve the structural safety of a vehicle in a frontal crash, a system methodology is presented in this study. The surrogate model of Online support vector regression (Online-SVR) is adopted to approximate crashworthiness criteria and different kernel functions are selected to enhance the accuracy of the model. The Online-SVR model is demonstrated to have the advantages of solving highly nonlinear problems and saving training costs, and can effectively be applied for vehicle structural crashworthiness design. By combining the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II and Monte Carlo simulation, both deterministic optimization and reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) are conducted. The optimization solutions are further validated by finite element analysis, which shows the effectiveness of the RBDO solution in the structural crashworthiness design process. The results demonstrate the advantages of using RBDO, resulting in not only increased energy absorption and decreased structural weight from a baseline design, but also a significant improvement in the reliability of the design.     

Reliable design space and complete single-loop reliability-based design optimization

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) has been intensively studied due to its significance and its conceptual and mathematical complexity. This paper proposes a new method for RBDO on the basis of the concept of reliable design space (RDS), within which any design satisfies the reliability requirements. Therefore, a RBDO problem becomes a simple, deterministic optimization problem constrained by RDS rather than its deterministic feasible space. The RDS is found in this work by using the partial derivatives at the current design point as an approximation of the derivatives at its corresponding most probable point (MPP) on the limit state function. This work completely resolves the double loop in RBDO and turns RBDO into a simple optimization problem. Well-known problems from the literature are selected to illustrate the steps of the approach and for result comparison. Discussions will also be given on the limitation of the proposed method, which is shown to be a common limitation overlooked by the research community on RBDO.     

Reliability-based design optimization with progressive surrogate models

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) has traditionally been solved as a nested (bilevel) optimization problem, which is a computationally expensive approach. Unilevel and decoupled approaches for solving the RBDO problem have also been suggested in the past to improve the computational efficiency. However, these approaches also require a large number of response evaluations during optimization. To alleviate the computational burden, surrogate models have been used for reliability evaluation. These approaches involve construction of surrogate models for the reliability computation at each point visited by the optimizer in the design variable space. In this article, a novel approach to solving the RBDO problem is proposed based on a progressive sensitivity surrogate model. The sensitivity surrogate models are built in the design variable space outside the optimization loop using the kriging method or the moving least squares (MLS) method based on sample points generated from low-discrepancy sampling (LDS) to estimate the most probable point of failure (MPP). During the iterative deterministic optimization, the MPP is estimated from the surrogate model for each design point visited by the optimizer. The surrogate sensitivity model is also progressively updated for each new iteration of deterministic optimization by adding new points and their responses. Four example problems are presented showing the relative merits of the kriging and MLS approaches and the overall accuracy and improved efficiency of the proposed approach.     

Reliability-based design optimization with frequency constraints using a new safest point approach

In the reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) model, the mean values of uncertain variables are usually applied as design variables, and the cost is optimized subject to prescribed probabilistic constraints as defined by a nonlinear mathematical programming problem. Therefore, an RBDO solution that reduces the structural weight in non-critical regions provides not only an improved design, but also a higher level of confidence in the design. Solving such nested optimization problems is extremely expensive for large-scale multidisciplinary systems that are likewise computationally intensive. This article focuses on the study of a particular problem representing the failure mode of structural vibration analysis. A new method is proposed, called safest point, that can efficiently give the reliability-based optimum solution under frequency constraints, and then several probability distributions are developed, which are mathematically nonlinear functions, for the proposed method. Finally, the efficiency of the extended approach is demonstrated for probability distributions such as log-normal and uniform distributions, and its applicability to the design of structures undergoing fluid–structure interaction phenomena, especially the design process of aeroelastic structures, is also demonstrated.     

Decomposition of multidisciplinary optimization problems: formulations and application to a simplified wing design

Several formulations for solving multidisciplinary design optimization (MDO) problems are presented and applied to a test case. Two bi-level hierarchical decomposition approaches are compared with two classical single-level approaches without decomposition of the optimization problem. A methodology to decompose MDO problems and a new formulation based on this decomposition are proposed. The problem considered here for validation of the different formulations involves the shape and structural optimization of a conceptual wing model. The efficiency of the design strategies are compared on the basis of optimization results.     

The Design Space Root Finding method for efficient risk optimization by simulation

Reliability-Based Design Optimization (RBDO) is computationally expensive due to the nested optimization and reliability loops. Several shortcuts have been proposed in the literature to solve RBDO problems. However, these shortcuts only apply when failure probability is a design constraint. When failure probabilities are incorporated in the objective function, such as in total life-cycle cost or risk optimization, no shortcuts were available to this date, to the best of the authors knowledge. In this paper, a novel method is proposed for the solution of risk optimization problems. Risk optimization allows one to address the apparently conflicting goals of safety and economy in structural design. In the conventional solution of risk optimization by Monte Carlo simulation, information concerning limit state function behavior over the design space is usually disregarded. The method proposed herein consists in finding the roots of the limit state function in the design space, for all Monte Carlo samples of random variables. The proposed method is compared to the usual method in application to one and n-dimensional optimization problems, considering various degrees of limit state and cost function nonlinearities. Results show that the proposed method is almost twenty times more efficient than the usual method, when applied to one-dimensional problems. Efficiency is reduced for higher dimensional problems, but the proposed method is still at least two times more efficient than the usual method for twenty design variables. As the efficiency of the proposed method for higher-dimensional problems is directly related to derivative evaluations, further investigation is necessary to improve its efficiency in application to multi-dimensional problems.     

Reliability-based design optimization using a moment method and a kriging metamodel

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) has been used for optimizing engineering systems with uncertainties in design variables and system parameters. RBDO involves reliability analysis, which requires a large amount of computational effort, so it is important to select an efficient method for reliability analysis. Of the many methods for reliability analysis, a moment method, which is called the fourth moment method, is known to be less expensive for moderate size problems and requires neither iteration nor the computation of derivatives. Despite these advantages, previous research on RBDO has been mainly based on the first-order reliability method and relatively little attention has been paid to moment-based RBDO. This article considers difficulties in implementing the moment method into RBDO; they are solved using a kriging metamodel with an active constraint strategy. Three numerical examples are tested and the results show that the proposed method is efficient and accurate.     

Adaptive improved response surface method for reliability-based design optimization

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) requires the evaluation of probabilistic constraints (or reliability), which can be very time consuming. Therefore, a practical solution for efficient reliability analysis is needed. The response surface method (RSM) and dimension reduction (DR) are two well-known approximation methods that construct the probabilistic limit state functions for reliability analysis. This article proposes a new RSM-based approximation approach, named the adaptive improved response surface method (AIRSM), which uses the moving least-squares method in conjunction with a new weight function. AIRSM is tested with two simplified designs of experiments: saturated design and central composite design. Its performance on reliability analysis is compared with DR in terms of efficiency and accuracy in multiple RBDO test problems.     

Reliability‐based design optimization with equality constraints

Equality constraints have been well studied and widely used in deterministic optimization, but they have rarely been addressed in reliability‐based design optimization (RBDO). The inclusion of an equality constraint in RBDO results in dependency among random variables. Theoretically, one random variable can be substituted in terms of remaining random variables given an equality constraint; and the equality constraint can then be eliminated. However, in practice, eliminating an equality constraint may be difficult or impossible because of complexities such as coupling, recursion, high dimensionality, non‐linearity, implicit formats, and high computational costs. The objective of this work is to develop a methodology to model equality constraints and a numerical procedure to solve a RBDO problem with equality constraints. Equality constraints are classified into demand‐based type and physics‐based type. A sequential optimization and reliability analysis strategy is used to solve RBDO with physics‐based equality constraints. The first‐order reliability method is employed for reliability analysis. The proposed method is illustrated by a mathematical example and a two‐member frame design problem. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An accurate penalty-based approach for reliability-based design optimization

A typical reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) problem is usually formulated as a stochastic optimization model where the performance of a system is optimized with the reliability requirements being satisfied. Most existing RBDO methods divide the problem into two sub-problems: one relates to reliability analysis, the other relates to optimization. Traditional approaches nest the two sub-problems with the reliability analysis as the inner loop and the optimization as the outer loop. Such nested approaches face the challenge of prohibitive computational expense that drives recent research focusing on decoupling the two loops or even fundamentally transforming the two-loop structure into one deterministic optimization problem. While promising, the potential issue in these computationally efficient approaches is the lowered accuracy. In this paper, a new decoupled approach, which performs the two loops sequentially, is proposed. First, a deterministic optimization problem is solved to locate the means of the uncertain design variables. After the mean values are determined, the reliability analysis is performed. A new deterministic optimization problem is then restructured with a penalty added to each limit-state function to improve the solution iteratively. Most existing research on decoupled approaches linearizes the limit-state functions or introduces the penalty into the limit-state functions, which may suffer the approximation error. In this research, the penalty term is introduced to change the right hand side (RHS) value of the deterministic constraints. Without linearizing or transforming the formulations of limit-state function, this penalty-based approach effectively improves the accuracy of RBDO. Comparison experiments are conducted to illustrate how the proposed method obtains improved solutions with acceptable computational cost when compared to other RBDO approaches collected from literature.     

Adaptive gradient-assisted robust design optimization under interval uncertainty

Robust optimization techniques attempt to find a solution that is both optimum and relatively insensitive to input uncertainty. In general, these techniques are computationally more expensive than their deterministic counterparts. In this article two new robust optimization methods are presented. The first method is called gradient-assisted robust optimization (GARO). In GARO, a robust optimization problem is first converted to a deterministic one by using a gradient-based approximation technique. After solving this deterministic problem, the solution robustness and the accuracy of the approximation are checked. If the accuracy meets a threshold, a robust optimum solution is found; otherwise, the approximation is adaptively modified until the threshold is met and a solution, if it exists, is obtained. The second method is a faster version of GARO called quasi-concave gradient-assisted robust optimization (QC-GARO). QC-GARO is for problems with quasi-concave objective and constraint functions. The difference between GARO and QC-GARO is in the way that they check the approximation accuracy. Both GARO and QC-GARO methods are applied to a set of six engineering design test problems and the results are compared with a few related previous methods. It was found that, compared to the methods considered, GARO could solve all test problems but with a higher computational effort compared to QC-GARO. However, QC-GARO was computationally much faster when it was able to solve the problems.     

Benchmarking multidisciplinary design optimization algorithms

A comparison of algorithms for multidisciplinary design optimization (MDO) is performed with the aid of a new software framework. This framework, pyMDO, was developed in Python and is shown to be an excellent platform for comparing the performance of the various MDO methods. pyMDO eliminates the need for reformulation when solving a given problem using different MDO methods: once a problem has been described, it can automatically be cast into any method. In addition, the modular design of pyMDO allows rapid development and benchmarking of new methods. Results generated from this study provide a strong foundation for identifying the performance trends of various methods with several types of problems.     

An uncertain multidisciplinary design optimization method using interval convex models

This article proposes an uncertain multi-objective multidisciplinary design optimization methodology, which employs the interval model to represent the uncertainties of uncertain-but-bounded parameters. The interval number programming method is applied to transform each uncertain objective function into two deterministic objective functions, and a satisfaction degree of intervals is used to convert both the uncertain inequality and equality constraints to deterministic inequality constraints. In doing so, an unconstrained deterministic optimization problem will be constructed in association with the penalty function method. The design will be finally formulated as a nested three-loop optimization, a class of highly challenging problems in the area of engineering design optimization. An advanced hierarchical optimization scheme is developed to solve the proposed optimization problem based on the multidisciplinary feasible strategy, which is a well-studied method able to reduce the dimensions of multidisciplinary design optimization problems by using the design variables as independent optimization variables. In the hierarchical optimization system, the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II, sequential quadratic programming method and Gauss–Seidel iterative approach are applied to the outer, middle and inner loops of the optimization problem, respectively. Typical numerical examples are used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.