邯郸市地下水埋深变化及其影响因素定量分析

地下水是邯郸市的主要水源,探究地下水埋深变化及其影响因素对合理开发和保护地下水资源具有重要意义。文章基于2006—2015年邯郸市地下水观测数据,获得地下水埋深变化空间分布特征,并运用地理探测器定量分析自然因素(高程、坡度、坡向、土壤类型、降水量变化和土壤质地类型)和社会经济因素(土地利用与土地覆盖类型、GDP、人口、农业用水量变化、工业用水量变化和生活用水量变化)对邯郸市整体、邯郸市平原区和山区的地下水位变化的影响。结果表明,就邯郸市整体而言,对地下水变化解释力较大的是高程、土地利用与土地覆盖类型、农业用水变化和生活用水变化;平原区与山区的各因子解释力差别较大,平原区的主要影响因子为工业用水变化和降水量变化,而山区为土地利用与土地覆盖类型。     

Desertification impact assessment in Egypt using low resolution satellite data and GIS

In this study, desertification processes and their impact on land cover changes in Egypt from 1992 to 2000 were analyzed using low‐resolution satellite data. Two images of NOAA‐AVHRR and SPOT vegetation data acquired in November 1992 and 2000 were used to assess desertification and changes of agricultural lands in Egypt. A supervised classification of the two images was carried out using the Maximum Likelihood technique. Change image was produced using classified images, through a cross‐tabulation Geographic Information Systems (GIS) module, to assess the trend and form of land cover changes.

It was found that agricultural land increased by about 14.3% during the study period, in particular, around the Nile River Delta and around the Northern Lakes of Egypt. The newly cultivated lands were extracted mainly from desert and salt marshes. At the same time, parts of the agricultural lands were turned into degraded land due to desertification and urban expansion.     

Adaptation of the Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) curve number (CN) model in estimating direct run‐off from humid tropical forest catchments

Suitability of the Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) curve number (CN) model of run‐off prediction was evaluated on three humid tropical forested catchments in Kimakia, Kenya. The catchments were dominated by Pinus patula (catchment A), Arundinaria alpina (catchment C) and Pennisetum clandestinum (catchment M). The study used discharge and rainfall data collected between 1958 and 1986. Seventy‐three (73) isolated storms were graphically separated into baseflow, interflow and surface run‐off. Forest cover types significantly improved catchments characteristics that influence baseflow and interflow generation in catchment C but not those that influence surface run‐off production. In its original form, the NRCS CN model resulted in direct run‐off estimates that deviated from observed ones by between 43.8% and 55.3%. These discrepancies were minimized through modification of the β and CN parameters. CN generated empirically using storm rainfall predicted the direct run‐off satisfactorily. Therefore, the modified NRCS CN model adequately estimates direct run‐off from humid tropical forested catchments.     

A review of the impact of climate change on future nitrate concentrations in groundwater of the UK

This paper reviews the potential impacts of climate change on nitrate concentrations in groundwater of the UK using a Source-Pathway-Receptor framework. Changes in temperature, precipitation quantity and distribution, and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations will affect the agricultural nitrate source term through changes in both soil processes and agricultural productivity. Non-agricultural source terms, such as urban areas and atmospheric deposition, are also expected to be affected. The implications for the rate of nitrate leaching to groundwater as a result of these changes are not yet fully understood but predictions suggest that leaching rate may increase under future climate scenarios. Climate change will affect the hydrological cycle with changes to recharge, groundwater levels and resources and flow processes. These changes will impact on concentrations of nitrate in abstracted water and other receptors, such as surface water and groundwater-fed wetlands. The implications for nitrate leaching to groundwater as a result of climate changes are not yet well enough understood to be able to make useful predictions without more site-specific data. The few studies which address the whole cycle show likely changes in nitrate leaching ranging from limited increases to a possible doubling of aquifer concentrations by 2100. These changes may be masked by nitrate reductions from improved agricultural practices, but a range of adaption measures need to be identified. Future impact may also be driven by economic responses to climate change.     

Investigation of the relation between meteorological parameters,North Atlantic Oscillation and groundwater levels in Torbali Region,Turkey

Groundwater, the most reliable fresh water source, is used for drinking, domestic and agricultural purposes. Thereby, understanding its behaviour is important for the sustainability of groundwater sources. In this study, relations between the trends of climate parameters [recharge depending on precipitation, temperature and North Atlantic Oscillation Index (NAOI)] and groundwater levels trend were investigated for Torbali Region in Turkey. The human impact that is one of the deterministic components on the groundwater level has been removed from the groundwater level data sets. An increasing trend was observed in the early 1990s, and turning points were determined by using paired t‐test. The trends of the groundwater levels indicate that climate parameters affect groundwater levels in the similar manner. According to the results of the analyses, it is revealed that there is a similar linear variation that is strong and inverse between the trends of NAOI and meteorological indicator (temperature and recharge) and groundwater level.     

Effects of critical source area on sediment yield and streamflow

The spatial discretization scale determines the degree to which the spatial heterogeneity of the surface condition and the stream network can be represented. Discretization scale can have a significant impact on watershed model results, with respect to both hydrology and water quality. The impact of critical source area (CSA) on simulated water yield for each cell can be assessed for streamflow and run‐off using the Annualized Agricultural Non‐Point Source (AnnAGNPS) model. The total number of cells simulated for the six watersheds ranged from 8 to 352 for various CSA combinations. Increasing the number of subwatersheds increased water and sediment yield in many watersheds. Increasing the number of cells influences the depiction of land use and soil type accordingly and therefore influences run‐off. The applied CSAs were also compared with topographic parameters such as average cell slope, average channel slope and length to width ratio of each watershed.     

Impact of climatic fluctuations and land use change on runoff and nutrient losses in rural landscapes

Results on the influence of land use and climatic changes on nutrient losses in the Porijõgi river catchment, south Estonia, are presented. The main tendency in land use changes is a significant increase in abandoned lands (from 1.7% in 1987 to 12.5% in 1994), and a decrease in arable lands (from 41.8 to 22.5%). Significant climatic fluctuations were observed from 1951–1994. Warmer winters (increase from −7.9 to −5.8°C from 1950–1994) and a change in the precipitation pattern have influenced the mean annual water discharge. This results in more intensive material flow during colder seasons and decreased water runoff in summer. Changes in water discharge and land use are also reflected in the mean annual runoff of total inorganic nitrogen (TIN) and total-P which decreased from 15.6 to 2.7 kg N ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹ (83%) and 0.32 to 0.21 kg P ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹ (34%), respectively during this period. However, nutrient losses from the forest subcatchment (upper course) did not change significantly. In contrast, the mean annual runoff of water, organic matter (after biological oxygen demand: BOD₅), TIN, total-P and SO₄ from cultivated subcatchments showed a significant decrease.     

种植耐盐水稻盐碱地改良过程中的盐度变化趋势研究

耐盐水稻种植是有效解决盐碱地改良过程中脱盐和抑制返盐难题的方法之一。本次研究采用恒温条件下(25℃)电导率仪测试土壤中浸提液的检测方法快速获得土壤盐度数据,能够准确反映改良过程的盐度变化趋势,可替代传统实验室检测,为精准、快速人工干预盐碱地改良提供了可能。通过研究,发现耐盐水稻种植对滨海盐碱地改良具有良好作用,可有效控制耕作层(0~20 cm)土壤盐度维持在较低的水平且保持稳定。此外,研究数据显示40~60 cm深度土层为地下水与地表水交互层,60 cm深度以下土层受地表水影响较小,因此,前期洗盐深耕至地下40 cm处,能够有效改善土壤结构,降低潜在盐害,促进水稻生长。综合对比,发现通过种植耐盐水稻改良盐碱地,受地理气候等自然因素制约较小,改良效果较传统旱作改良更优,可推荐在有淡水(或微咸水)资源的盐碱地推广应用。     

城市化对城市降雨径流的影响及城市雨洪控制

城市化过程改变了城市区域的暴雨径流条件 ,使径流总量增大 ,洪峰流量提高 ,洪峰出现时间提前 ,径流水质变差 ,水中悬浮固体及污染物浓度大幅提高。为了减轻城市径流流量提高和水质污染所带来的不良后果 ,需要采取必要的收集、处理和雨水再利用措施 ,这些措施包括就地径流控制措施 (如多孔沥青、草皮砖和绿化等 )和现场外径流措施 (如渗水池、雨水调节池和湿地等)。     

Long term prospective of the Seine River system: confronting climatic and direct anthropogenic changes

To explore the evolution of a human impacted river, the Seine (France), over the 21st century, three driving factors were examined: climate, agriculture, and point source inputs of domestic and industrial origin. Three future scenarios were constructed, by modification of a baseline representative of recent conditions. A climate change scenario, based on simulations by a general circulation model driven by the SRES-A2 scenario of radiative forcing, accounts for an average warming of +3.3 degrees C over the watershed and marked winter increase and summer decrease in precipitation. To illustrate a possible reduction in nitrate pollution from agricultural origin, a scenario of good agricultural practices was considered, introducing catch crops and a 20% decrease in nitrogen fertilisation. Future point source pollution was estimated following the assumptions embedded in scenario SRES-A2 regarding demographic, economic and technologic changes, leading to reductions of 30 to 75% compared to 2000, depending on the pollutants. Four models, addressing separate components of the river system (agronomical model, hydrogeological model, land surface model and water quality model), were used to analyse the relative impact of these scenarios on water quality, in light of their impact on hydrology and crop production. The first-order driving factor of water quality over the 21st century is the projected reduction of point source pollution, inducing a noticeable decrease in eutrophication and oxygen deficits downstream from Paris. The impact of climate change on these terms is driven by the warming of the water column. It enhances algal growth in spring and the loss factors responsible for phytoplankton mortality in late summer (grazers and viruses). In contrast, increased seasonal contrasts in river discharge have a negligible impact on river water quality, as do the changes in riverine nitrate concentration, which never gets limiting. The latter changes have a similar magnitude under the three scenarios. Under climate change, riverine and groundwater nitrate concentrations increase and crop production is advantaged with reduced growing cycles and increased yields. In contrast, nitrate concentrations decrease under the good agricultural practices scenario, with a limited decrease in crop production. When these two scenarios are combined, the changes in nitrate concentrations balance each other and crop yields increase. The results of this numerical exercise indicate that the potential changes to the Seine River system during the 21st century will not lead to severely degraded water quality.     

Parametric analyses of evapotranspiration landfill covers in humid regions

Natural soils are more durable than almost all man-made materials. Evapotranspiration （ET） covers use vegetated soil layers to store water until it is either evaporated from the soil surface or transpired through vegetation. ETcovers rely on the water storage capacity of soil layer, rather than low permeability materials, to minimize percolation. While the use of ET covers in landfills increased over the last decade, they were mainly used in arid or semi-arid regions. At present, the use of ET covers has not been thoroughly investigated in humid areas. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the use of ETcovers in humid areas where there is an annual precipitation of more than 800 mm. Numerical analyses were carried out to investigate the influences of cover thickness, soil type, vegetation level and distribution of precipitation on performance of ET covers. Performance and applicability of capillary barriers and a new-type cover were analyzed. The results show that percolation decreases with an increasing cover thickness and an increasing vegetation level, but the increasing trend becomes unclear when certain thickness or LAI （leaf area index） is reached. Cover soil with a large capability of water storage is recommended to minimize percolation. ET covers are significantly influenced by distribution of precipitation and are more effective in areas where rainy season coincides with hot season. Capillary barriers are more efficient than monolithic covers. The new cover is better than the monolithic cover in performance and the final percolation is only 0.5% of the annual precipitation.     

Post-reclamation water quality trend in a Mid-Appalachian watershed of abandoned mine lands

Abandoned mine land (AML) is one of the legacies of historic mining activities, causing a wide range of environmental problems worldwide. A stream monitoring study was conducted for a period of 7 years to evaluate the water quality trend in a Mid-Appalachian watershed, which was heavily impacted by past coal mining and subsequently reclaimed by reforestation and revegetation. GIS tools and multivariate statistical analyses were applied to characterize land cover, to assess temporal trends of the stream conditions, and to examine the linkages between water quality and land cover. In the entire watershed, 15.8% of the land was designated as AML reclaimed by reforestation (4.9%) and revegetation (10.8%). Statistic analysis revealed sub-watersheds with similar land cover (i.e. percentage of reclaimed AML) had similar water quality and all tested water quality variables were significantly related to land cover. Based on the assessment of water quality, acid mine drainage was still the dominant factor leading to the overall poor water quality (low pH, high sulfate and metals) in the watershed after reclamation was completed more than 20 years ago. Nevertheless, statistically significant improvement trends were observed for the mine drainage-related water quality variables (except pH) in the reclaimed AML watershed. The lack of pH improvement in the watershed might be related to metal precipitation and poor buffering capacity of the impacted streams. Furthermore, water quality improvement was more evident in the sub-watersheds which were heavily impacted by past mining activities and reclaimed by reforestation, indicating good reclamation practice had positive impact on water quality over time.     

Delivery and impact bypass in a karst aquifer with high phosphorus source and pathway potential

Conduit and other karstic flows to aquifers, connecting agricultural soils and farming activities, are considered to be the main hydrological mechanisms that transfer phosphorus from the land surface to the groundwater body of a karstified aquifer. In this study, soil source and pathway components of the phosphorus (P) transfer continuum were defined at a high spatial resolution; field-by-field soil P status and mapping of all surface karst features was undertaken in a > 30 km² spring contributing zone. Additionally, P delivery and water discharge was monitored in the emergent spring at a sub-hourly basis for over 12 months. Despite moderate to intensive agriculture, varying soil P status with a high proportion of elevated soil P concentrations and a high karstic connectivity potential, background P concentrations in the emergent groundwater were low and indicative of being insufficient to increase the surface water P status of receiving surface waters. However, episodic P transfers via the conduit system increased the P concentrations in the spring during storm events (but not >0.035 mg total reactive P L⁻¹) and this process is similar to other catchments where the predominant transfer is via episodic, surface flow pathways; but with high buffering potential over karst due to delayed and attenuated runoff. These data suggest that the current definitions of risk and vulnerability for P delivery to receiving surface waters should be re-evaluated as high source risk need not necessarily result in a water quality impact. Also, inclusion of conduit flows from sparse water quality data in these systems may over-emphasise their influence on the overall status of the groundwater body.     

Causes and consequences of desertification in Kuwait: a case study of land degradation

Desertification in Kuwait is a process of environmental degradation under fragile ecological conditions and intensive human activities and the consequences of Gulf War. In Kuwait, very severe desertification prevails, due to increasing formation of new active sandy bodies, deterioration of many areas of natural vegetation cover to less than 10%, and limited water resources for large-scale forage production. Average annual desertified land in Kuwait is estimated to be 285 km². In Kuwait, three indicators of land degradation are encountered. These are vegetation, soil, and surface hydrological changes. Based on field measurements of soil compaction and vegetation changes, in the west Jahra area in the northern part of the country, degradation levels were assessed. Results of these measurements show that the average infiltration rate in compacted soil decreased by 53.8% in comparison with non-compacted soil, while the average soil penetration resistance in compacted soil increased by 154.1% in comparison with non-compacted soil. The bulk density in open sites was 23.4% higher than that in protected sites. The percentage of litter in open sites decreased by 77.3% in comparison with protected sites, while the percentage of total vegetation in open sites decreased by 6.1% in comparison with protected sites. Electronic Publication     

Hydrological analysis as a technical tool to support strategic and economic development: A case study of Lake Navaisha,Kenya

Effective integrated water resources management requires reliable estimation of an overall basin water budget and of hydrologic fluctuations between groundwater and surface‐water resources. Seasonal variability of groundwater‐surface water exchange fluxes impacts on the water balance. The long term lake water balance was calculated by Modflow using the stage‐volume rating curve of Lake Package LAK3. The long term average storage volume change is 8.4 × 10⁸ m³/month. The lake water balances suggests that the lake is not in equilibrium with the inflow and outflow terms. Using field abstraction data analysis and model simulation, the combined volume of lake‐groundwater used for industrial abstraction since the last three decades was estimated. This requires an average abstraction amount of 7.0 × 10⁶ m³/month with a long term trend of abstraction ratio 30% (groundwater) and 70% (lake water) since 1980. The amount resulted in a lake which might have been 4.8 m higher than was observed in the last stress period (2010). A long term regional groundwater budget is calculated reflecting all water flow in to and out of the regional aquifer. The model water balance suggests that lake Navaisha basin is in equilibrium with a net outflow about 1% greater than the inflow over the calibrated period of time (1932–2010). The regional model is best used for broad‐scale predictions and can be used to provide a general sense of groundwater to surface water and groundwater to groundwater impacts in the basin. A basin wide water resource management strategy can be designed by integrating the lake/wetland within the regional groundwater model to increase the level of sustainable production and good stewardship in Lake Navaisha. Such hydrological analysis is crucial in making the model serve as simulator of the response of lake stage to hydraulic stresses applied to the aquifer and variation in climatic condition.     

Climate-change impacts on hydrology and nutrients in a Danish lowland river basin

The Mike 11-TRANS modelling system was applied to the lowland Gjern river basin in Denmark to assess climate-change impacts on hydrology and nitrogen retention processes in watercourses, lakes and riparian wetlands. Nutrient losses from land to surface waters were assessed using statistical models incorporating the effect of changed hydrology. Climate-change was predicted by the ECHAM4/OPYC General Circulation Model (IPCC A2 scenario) dynamically downscaled by the Danish HIRHAM regional climate model (25 km grid) for two time slices: 1961-1990 (control) and 2071-2100 (scenario). HIRHAM predicts an increase in mean annual precipitation of 47 mm (5%) and an increase in mean annual air temperature of 3.2 degrees C (43%). The HIRHAM predictions were used as external forcings to the rainfall-runoff model NAM, which was set up and run for 6 subcatchments within and for the entire, Gjern river basin. Mean annual runoff from the river basin increases 27 mm (7.5%, p<0.05) when comparing the scenario to the control. Larger changes, however, were found regarding the extremes; runoff during the wettest year in the 30-year period increased by 58 mm (12.3%). The seasonal pattern is expected to change with significantly higher runoff during winter. Summer runoff is expected to increase in predominantly groundwater fed streams and decrease in streams with a low base-flow index. The modelled change in the seasonal hydrological pattern is most pronounced in first- or second-order streams draining loamy catchments, which currently have a low base-flow during the summer period. Reductions of 40-70% in summer runoff are predicted for this stream type. A statistical nutrient loss model was developed for simulating the impact of changed hydrology on diffuse nutrient losses (i.e. losses from land to surface waters) and applied to the river basin. The simulated mean annual changes in TN loads in a loamy and a sandy subcatchment were, respectively, +2.3 kg N ha(-1) (8.5%) and +1.6 kg N ha(-1) (6.9%). The rainfall-runoff model and the nutrient loss model were chained with Mike 11-TRANS to simulate the combined effects of climate-change on hydrology, nutrient losses and nitrogen retention processes at the scale of the river basin. The mean annual TN export from the river basin increased from the control to the scenario period by 7.7%. Even though an increase in nitrogen retention in the river system of 4.2% was simulated in the scenario period, an increased in-stream TN export resulted because of the simulated increase in the diffuse TN transfer from the land to the surface-waters.     

The effect of precipitation and air temperature on land‐cover change in the Sahel

Vegetation changes in the Sahel region are strongly affected by variation in rainfall, but air temperature has been considered a relatively minor climatic factor in previous studies. However, soil moisture, the major water source for vegetation in arid and semiarid regions, is generally dependent on temperature‐controlled evaporation. Therefore, we can hypothesize that air temperature modifies the sensitivity of vegetation greenness to rainfall because water loss in soil is critically vulnerable to temperature, although Sahel plants can tolerate high temperatures. In this study, the annual mean of daily maximum air temperature was used as a constraint in analyzing the relationships between annual changes in the cumulative enhanced vegetation index (EVI) and total rainfall. We found that rainfall increase in hotter years could not well induce land greening, and decreased rainfall in cooler years did not necessarily cause vegetation degradation. This presents the importance of temperature as a climatic component in understanding the mechanism of rainfall‐induced land‐cover changes in the Sahel region.     

An analysis of the resilience capacity of soils in North China: a study on land subsidence treatment

In order to study treatment measures for the land subsidence caused by deep groundwater overexploitation, we conducted soil compression and rebound tests to analyze the unloading and rebound regularity of deep soil on the fringes of three typical land subsidence regions in North China. Using fuzzy mathematics, we specifically explored the main factors influencing the soil mass unloading resiliency. The results indicated that the ratio between the unloading resilience volume and the loading deformation volume of soil mass in the study areas (referred to as the resilience capacity of soil mass) is between 1.6 and 37.6 %, with an average of 14.7 %. In other words, only about 14.7 % of the land subsidence deformation in the study areas can be restored. The soil masses with different properties in North China all possess elastoplasticity and the resilience capacities of soil can vary from area to area. The sandy soil is not completely elastic but has a certain degree of plasticity; the resilience capacity of soil mass is not a constant, but rather, a variable that changes with the rebound stress value. When the rebounding stress value is determined, the resilience capacity under a smaller unloading stress is larger than that under a larger unloading stress, which demonstrates that earlier land subsidence treatment can result in better effects. Meanwhile, the resilience capacity of soil mass is also enhanced with the increase of rebounding stress, indicating that the closer to the original groundwater level the restored groundwater is, the better the resilience capacity will be. After repeated loading and unloading tests have been conducted under the same stress, the resilience capacity of soil mass will, in most cases, increase to a certain extent. These results can be quite conducive to the treatment of deep groundwater exploitation-induced disasters such as land subsidence.     

Assessing the impact of land cover changes on water balance components of White Volta Basin in West Africa

Land use and land cover (LULC) have been and still changing, through human activities, creating variability in hydrological cycle. This paper investigates the hydrological impacts of LULC changes on water balance in the White Volta Basin located in the West of Africa using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Two LULC data for 1990 and 2006 and two plausible scenarios of land use change were evaluated. Results show a link between land cover and the hydrologic response with a decrease in land cover corresponding to decrease in surface water and base flow and increase evapotranspiration (ET). The results indicated that different LULC contributed to various effects in annual water yield and ET. The results also indicate the capability of the SWAT model to be used in the West African subregion even though there are data limitations associated with the model in West Africa. Overall, the model results support the existing efforts of Volta Basin water resource managers to protect the area along the Volta river against farming and indicate that additional emphasis should be placed on improving land management practices.     

Suburbanisation of important aquifers in England and Wales: estimating its current extent

The UK rate of conversion of rural into suburban land cover will increase as the UK population is projected to rise to 70 million by 2056, household size continues to decline and previously developed land becomes scarcer and less attractive. The resultant change in landuse will significantly impact underlying groundwater resources. Geographical information system (GIS) analysis is used to estimate the current extent of suburbanised land cover overlying locally and nationally important aquifers in England and Wales. The effect on groundwater catchments will be marked in southern, central and eastern England, where high groundwater dependence and intense pressure for new housing will inevitably lead to a rise in suburban land cover on periurban catchments that are currently rural land. Water resource planning implications would be better understood with more catchment-scale research. Meanwhile, areas of aquifer most likely to urbanise by 2050 and public supplies most vulnerable to the consequent changes need identifying.