The Northeast States and Eastern Canadian Provinces mercury study: a framework for action: summary of the Canadian chapter

The objective of this paper is to give an overview of the findings of the Canadian chapter of the Northeast States and Eastern Canadian Provinces Mercury Study, which was conducted between 1995 and 1998. The Canadian chapter provided information on mercury emissions, sources and levels in air, water, biota and humans. Industry, governments and universities provided information for the Canadian chapter. The study showed that the Northeast States and Eastern Canadian Provinces (NES/ECP) is a region impacted by airborne mercury. Annual mercury emissions for the NES/ECP region are estimated to be approximately 19 t (12%) of the combined Canadian and US national anthropogenic mercury emissions of 155 t/year. 210Pb-dated lake sediment cores from Atlantic Canada showed a mercury enrichment factor of 2.5 for coastal sites with mercury increases starting in 1860. Regional mercury wet deposition for the NES/ECP region was 7-11 microg/m2/year. Provincial and federal fish health advisories have been updated in the ECP for children and women of child-bearing age limiting the consumption of freshwater fish, as well as fresh or frozen shark, tuna or swordfish.     

On artificial dilution of point source mercury emissions in a regional atmospheric model

Previously, we developed and applied a regional atmospheric mercury model to a domain covering most of North America at a horizontal grid resolution of 100 km. The implication of using this coarse resolution is that point sources of mercury emissions are instantaneously spread over a grid volume of horizontal dimensions 100 x 100 km2 and a vertical dimension equal to the depth of the grid cell where the point source emissions are released. Since point sources comprise a significant majority of a regional mercury emissions inventory, it is important to understand what effect this artificial dilution may have on calculated mercury concentrations and deposition fluxes. To understand this effect, we conducted model simulations using a finer grid, embedded within the original coarse grid, over a sub-domain that includes over 50% of the largest mercury point sources in the north-eastern United States. The horizontal resolution of the fine grid is 20 km, i.e. it is five times smaller than that of the coarse grid. We compared short-term (daily) and long-term (annual) averaged mercury concentrations, and deposition (wet and dry) fluxes on the coarse and fine grids. As expected, the effect of grid resolution is more clearly seen in close proximity to point sources than at remote locations. For short-term averages near major point sources, the peak concentrations and dry deposition fluxes of mercury from the fine grid are almost a factor of two greater than the corresponding estimates from the coarse grid. At remote locations, however, the concentrations and dry deposition peaks estimated by the two model grid resolutions are more comparable. For total wet deposition of mercury, the distinction between the fine and the coarse grid model results is less significant, regardless of the location. This could be due to the redistribution of precipitation fields or the effect of mercury aqueous chemistry. The effect of grid resolution is more important when model estimates are averaged over short time periods, e.g. daily, as opposed to over long periods, e.g. seasonally and annually.     

An inventory of historical mercury emissions in maritime canada: implications for present and future contamination

Mercury is a longstanding concern in Maritime Canada due to high levels of contamination in a number of fish and bird species. The recycled component of past releases of anthropogenic mercury may be a significant source of ongoing pollution in many areas. Historical information on mercury releases can be used to quantify past and present anthropogenic contamination. We present an inventory of historical mercury emissions from anthropogenic sources in Maritime Canada for the years 1800-1995. Long-term trends in mercury emissions and the significance of the cumulative burden of mercury released from local sources are discussed. Emissions are calculated using both historical monitoring data and the application of emission factors. The nature of current anthropogenic sources of mercury is quite different than it was several decades ago when many of the existing policies governing mercury pollution were created. Our inventory illustrates that many of the most significant sources in the past such as the chlor-alkali industry, paint containing mercury additives, and pharmaceuticals, have been largely phased out with fossil fuel combustion and waste disposal remaining as the most significant modern sources. Atmospheric emissions in Maritime Canada peaked in 1945 (> 1,750 kg year-1), and again between 1965 and 1970 (> 2,600 kg year-1). Cumulative releases of mercury from anthropogenic sources for the years 1800-1995 were between 115 and 259 t to the atmosphere alone, and 327-448 t when discharges to wastewater and effluents were included. Assuming that only 0.2% (Nriagu, 1994.) of these releases become part of the recycled fraction of current fluxes, we estimate that between 570 and 900 kg Hg year-1 is deposited in Maritime Canada from past anthropogenic sources. Modern sources within Maritime Canada contribute at least 405 kg year-1 to the total annual deposition of 1.71 t over the provinces of New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island, leaving approximately 735 kg year-1 from natural sources and long-range contamination. Further study is needed to verify these estimates and clarify the significance of natural and long-range sources of mercury in Maritime Canada.     

Developing consensus: mercury science and policy in the NAFTA countries (Canada, the United States and Mexico)

The international science community has recognized methylmercury in the aquatic food chain, as a potential environmental and human health risk. As a result, countries around the world have implemented a number of mercury management initiatives. The United States, Mexico and Canada in consultation with stakeholders are developing a trilateral North American Regional Action Plan (NARAP) on mercury. Through public involvement in the decision making process, the NARAP has offered opportunities for more transparency in transactions between governments, industry and stakeholders. In spite of the available scientific information, there are still important uncertainties associated with the mercury issue. These knowledge gaps include: the most appropriate methylmercury reference dose for sensitive groups; the percentage of the North American population that is at risk from methylmercury exposure; spatial and temporal mercury deposition patterns in each country; the link between mercury emissions, atmospheric deposition and methylmercury concentrations in fish; and the relative magnitude of contributions from natural and anthropogenic sources.     

Study of atmospheric mercury budget in East Asia using STEM-Hg modeling system

East Asia is the largest source region of global anthropogenic mercury emissions, and contributes to atmospheric mercury concentration and deposition in other regions. Similarly, mercury from the global pool also plays a role in the chemical transport of mercury in East Asia. Annual simulations of atmospheric mercury in East Asia were performed using the STEM-Hg modeling system to study the mass budgets of mercury in the region. The model results showed strong seasonal variation in mercury concentration and deposition, with signals from large point sources. The annual mean concentrations for gaseous elemental mercury, reactive gaseous mercury and particulate mercury in central China and eastern coastal areas were 1.8 ng m^− 3, 100 pg m^− 3 and 150 pg m^− 3, respectively. Boundary conditions had a strong influence on the simulated mercury concentration and deposition, contributing to 80% of the concentration and 70% of the deposition predicted by the model. The rest was caused by the regional emissions before they were transported out of the model domain. Using different oxidation rates reported for the Hg⁰-O₃ reaction (i.e., by Hall, 1995 vs. by Pal and Ariya, 2004) led to a 9% difference in the predicted mean concentration and a 40% difference in the predicted mean deposition. The estimated annual dry and wet deposition for East Asia in 2001 was in the range of 590-735 Mg and 482-696 Mg, respectively. The mercury mass outflow caused by the emissions in the domain was estimated to be 681-714 Mg yr^− 1. This constituted 70% of the total mercury emission in the domain. The greatest outflow occurred in spring and early summer.     

Are mercury emissions from geologic sources significant? A status report

Geologic sources of atmospheric mercury include areas of fossil and current geothermal activity, recent volcanic activity, precious and base metal deposits, and organic rich sedimentary rocks. Early estimates of emissions from these sources were not based on measurements of mercury fluxes but implied based on the difference between emissions from anthropogenic point sources and wet/dry deposition estimates. In the past approximately 7 years significant progress has been made in development of methods for the measurement of mercury emissions, definition of those parameters most important in controlling emissions and scaling up emissions from natural source areas. This paper summarizes the work done on scaling of emissions from discrete areas of natural enrichment and from the State of Nevada, which is situated within a global belt of mercury enrichment. Preliminary data indicate that elemental mercury is the predominant (>95%) form of mercury being emitted from these sources. Scaling results suggest that the value used in early models to represent emissions from global mercuriferous belts is too low by at least three times.     

Estimating and mitigating agriculture GHG emissions: uncertainties and policy reforms

Global climate change has been one of the challenging environmental concerns facing policy makers in the past decade. The characterization of the wide range of greenhouse gas emissions sources and sinks as well as their behavior in the atmosphere remains an on‐going activity in many countries. Lebanon, being a signatory to the Framework Convention on Climate Change, is required to submit and regularly update a national inventory of greenhouse gas emissions sources and removals. Accordingly, an inventory of greenhouse gases from various sectors was conducted following the guidelines set by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The inventory indicated that the agriculture sector contributes about seven percent to the total greenhouse gas emissions. This paper proposes mitigation scenarios to reduce emissions from this sector based on country‐specific technical, economic and environmental characteristics. Economic evaluation and uncertainty in the emission estimation process as well as policy reforms are also addressed in the context of agricultural emissions reduction.     

Simulation of future trade in wood pulp between Canada and the United States

A model of the North American pulp and paper industry developed previously by the authors was used to simulate the trade of wood pulp between various regions of Canada and the United States, to the year 2000, under three different scenarios. The base simulation assumed no change in trade policies or cost competitiveness between regions, concentrating on the effects of changes in population and income. Under these assumptions, it was found that Canadian exports to the United States would remain approximately constant until 1990, but then double by the year 2000, reaching 5 million tons per year. Meanwhile, exports to the rest of the world would decline by 40 percent, to 2.5 million tons. Total Canadian exports would increase by some 15 percent over the next 20 years. In the second set of simulations, an ad valorem tariff on Canadian pulp was assumed. This led to a sharp reduction in U.S. imports. However, this decrease of Canadian exports to the United States would be compensated to a large extent by increased Canadian exports to Western Europe. The third simulation assumed a sustained rise in manufacturing costs for the entire pulp and paper sector in Canada. This resulted, unexpectedly, to a rise in exports of pulp to the United States. The reason was a rise in paper and newsprint production in the United States that made it advantageous for U.,S. producers to import more Canadian chemical pulp.We thank Robert N. Stone and Richard Haynes for their collaboration. The research leading to this paper was supported by the USDA Forest Service, Forest Products Laboratory, and Pacific Northwest Forest and Range Experiment Station, the School of Natural Resources, University of Wisconsin, Madison and the California Agricultural Research Experiment Station, Berkeley.     

Atmospheric nitrogen in the Mississippi River Basin--emissions, deposition and transport

Atmospheric deposition of nitrogen has been cited as a major factor in the nitrogen saturation of forests in the north-eastern United States and as a contributor to the eutrophication of coastal waters, including the Gulf of Mexico near the mouth of the Mississippi River. Sources of nitrogen emissions and the resulting spatial patterns of nitrogen deposition within the Mississippi River Basin, however, have not been fully documented. An assessment of atmospheric nitrogen in the Mississippi River Basin was therefore conducted in 1998-1999 to: (1) evaluate the forms in which nitrogen is deposited from the atmosphere; (2) quantify the spatial distribution of atmospheric nitrogen deposition throughout the basin; and (3) relate locations of emission sources to spatial deposition patterns to evaluate atmospheric transport. Deposition data collected through the NADP/NTN (National Atmospheric Deposition Program/National Trends Network) and CASTNet (Clean Air Status and Trends Network) were used for this analysis. NOx Tier 1 emission data by county was obtained for 1992 from the US Environmental Protection Agency (Emissions Trends Viewer CD, 1985-1995, version 1.0, September 1996) and NH3 emissions data was derived from the 1992 Census of Agriculture (US Department of Commerce. Census of Agriculture, US Summary and County Level Data, US Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. Geographic Area series, 1995:1b) or the National Agricultural Statistics Service (US Department of Agriculture. National Agricultural Statistics Service Historical Data. Accessed 7/98 at URL, 1998. http://www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/hisdata++ +.htm). The highest rates of wet deposition of NO3- were in the north-eastern part of the basin, downwind of electric utility plants and urban areas, whereas the highest rates of wet deposition of NH4+ were in Iowa, near the center of intensive agricultural activities in the Midwest. The lowest rates of atmospheric nitrogen deposition were on the western (windward) side of the basin, which suggests that most of the nitrogen deposited within the basin is derived from internal sources. Atmospheric transport eastward across the basin boundary is greater for NO3- than NH4+, but a significant amount of NH4+ is likely to be transported out of the basin through the formation of (NH4)2SO4 and NH4NO3 particles--a process that greatly increases the atmospheric residence time of NH4+. This process is also a likely factor in the atmospheric transport of nitrogen from the Midwest to upland forest regions in the North-East, such as the western Adirondack region of New York, where NH4+ constitutes 38% of the total wet deposition of N.     

A sensitivity analysis on the atmospheric transformation and deposition of mercury in north-eastern USA

This paper presents the results of a sensitivity analysis on the factors that affect dry and wet deposition of atmospheric mercury (Hg), using a regional scale air quality model. Simulations were conducted for the north-eastern USA during a summer week and a winter week in 1997. Simulation results for the summer week and the winter week in general showed similar responses to changes in emission, environmental conditions, and alternative chemical mechanisms. Reduction of the ambient concentrations of soot or ozone was shown to reduce the wet deposition of Hg. When averaged over the summer and the winter week, the total deposition to the simulation domain would be reduced by 26% by reducing Hg emission from anthropogenic sources within the domain by 50%. For individual grids, however, only locations near local sources obtained noticeable reductions in ambient concentration and wet deposition due to the influence of re-emission from the natural surfaces and regional/global scale transport. The reduction in deposition would reach 36% if all Hg(II) emitted from anthropogenic sources were attached to particles. The total deposition was predicted to decrease by 22% when the gas phase Hg(II)-Hg(p) partitioning was included in the model. Only small changes in total deposition were observed by including the gas-phase ozone-Hg(0), reaction and the aqueous phase chlorine-Hg(0), reaction, and by lowering ambient concentrations of Hg(II) and Hg(p) at the upper lateral boundaries. During the summer week, Hg(II) deposition contributed 40% or more to the total deposition. The contribution increased to 70% in the winter week.     

On the effect of spatial resolution on atmospheric mercury modeling

Mathematical modeling of the atmospheric fate and transport of mercury (Hg) was conducted using three nested domains covering global, continental and regional scales with horizontal resolutions of approximately 1000, 100 and 20 km, respectively. Comparisons of modeling results with wet deposition fluxes show a coefficient of determination (r(2)) of 0.45 for the continental simulation and 0.14 for the continental/regional simulation. The poor correlation obtained in the regional simulation results to a large extent from the fact that the model predicts an increasing gradient in Hg wet deposition from Minnesota to Pennsylvania, which is not observed in the monitoring network. The use of a finer spatial resolution (20 km) improves model performance in Minnesota and Wisconsin (upwind of major Hg emission sources) but degrades model performance in Pennsylvania (downwind of major Hg emission sources). We suggest the hypothesis that some key Hg chemical transformations are likely missing in current models of atmospheric Hg.     

Fate and transport of emissions for several trace metals over the United States

A regional model for atmospheric photochemistry and particulate matter is used to predict the fate and transport of five trace metals: lead, manganese, total chromium, nickel, and cadmium over the continental United States during January and July 2001. Predicted concentrations of the metals are compared to observations. Lead predictions have the lowest mean differences with observations and the highest correlation coefficients. They best agree with observations made in January over residential and commercial areas in the eastern United States and worst with observations over remote forests and deserts located in the western United States during July. Manganese predictions show similar abilities to reproduce observations but had larger changes between months. Chromium and nickel predictions show diminishing ability to reproduce observations over both urban and rural areas. Cadmium predictions show the least ability to reproduce observations. Potential causes are examined for the errors in predictions. For errors in lead, manganese and perhaps chromium predictions, aerial suspension and biomass burning are suspected because simulations did not include emissions from these sources. Nickel, cadmium and, to a lower extent, chromium predictions suffer from errors in the emissions that represent current anthropogenic activities. Predicted concentrations of all metals show errors from not including sub-grid processes in meteorological and emission rates. Examples include sea breeze circulation along coastal areas and individual sources in urban areas. These errors reduce the ability to reproduce the time dependence of observations.     

Commentary: Landmark U.S. Supreme Court decision puts U.S. on likely path to regulating greenhouse gas emissions

In an April 2007 landmark decision that will have major implications for U.S.-based power utilities, the United States Supreme Court in Massachusetts v. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) ruled that the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency has the authority to regulate greenhouse gas emissions, and that the EPA can avoid promulgating such regulations only if it determines that greenhouse gases do not contribute to climate change or if it provides some reasonable explanation as to why it cannot or will not exercise its discretion to determine whether they do. The Supreme Court also held that the petitioners, led by the state of Massachusetts, established “legal standing” to bring the action in federal court. While the ruling involved mobile sources of greenhouse gas emissions, many aspects of the ruling are likely to apply as well to stationary sources of emissions such as power plants.     

Air-soil exchange of mercury from background soils in the United States

The air-surface exchange of mercury (Hg) was measured, using a dynamic polycarbonate flux chamber, for soils with low or "background" Hg concentrations (<0.1 mg/kg) at eleven locations across the contiguous United States. Sampling locations included agricultural, desert, grassland, mixed and pine forest ecosystems (n=1326 soil flux measurements at 46 individual sites). An overall soil Hg flux of 0.9+/-0.2 ng/m2/h for these background soils was obtained by averaging the means for the different locations. Soil Hg fluxes were significantly lower in dark conditions than in the light for all but the grassland sites. Mean inlet air Hg concentrations were 1.0+/-0.1 ng/m3 in the dark and 1.3+/-0.2 ng/m3 in the light. Soil temperature inside and outside of the chamber, air temperature, relative humidity, and irradiance were measured concurrently with soil Hg flux. Soil-air Hg exchange was weakly predicted by environmental variables (R2 from 0.07 to 0.52). For a single location, flux was better correlated with soil moisture than other measured environmental parameters, suggesting that soil moisture might be an important driver for Hg emissions from background soils. In addition, based on data collected we suggest some quality control measures for use of Tekran 2537A analyzers when measuring low mercury fluxes. Using basic scaling procedures, we roughly estimate that natural emissions from soils in the contiguous U.S. release approximately 100 Mg/yr of Hg to the atmosphere.     

Total arsenic, lead, cadmium, copper, and zinc in some salt rivers in the northern Andes of Antofagasta, Chile

Lake Velenje is located in one of the most polluted regions in Slovenia, the Salek Valley. The major source of pollution in the valley is the coal-fired thermal power plant in Sostanj (STPP, capacity 775 MW). It has five separate units. All units have electrostatic precipitators for fly ash removal. Unit 4 also has installed a wet flue gas desulfurisation system (FGD system). Total mercury (THg) concentrations were measured in lignite, slag and ash samples from the STPP. In flue gas, different mercury species (THg, MeHg, Hg2+, Hg0) were determined separately for unit 4 and unit 5 which use different flue gas cleaning technology. Mercury and methyl mercury (MeHg) concentrations were also measured in lake water at different depths, in inflow water, outflow water, rain, snow and lake sediments in order to establish the influence of the power plant on the lake. Most mercury emitted from the power plant is in the elemental form. The ratio between oxidised and elemental Hg depends on the flue gas cleaning technology. Mass balance calculations have been performed for the STPP. The results show that the major sources of mercury in Lake Velenje are wet deposition and lake inflows. Total and MeHg concentrations in the water column are very low and can be compared to other non-contaminated freshwater lakes in the world.     

Modelling of mercury transport and transformation processes in the Idrijca and Soca river system

In the town of Idrija, Slovenia, the world's second largest mercury mine was active for 500 years and about 37,000 tons of mercury has been lost in the environment. Mercury is still drained from soil, riverbed and floodplains and transported with the Idrijca and Soca Rivers to the Gulf of Trieste. A part of inorganic mercury is methylated either in the river system, or later in the coastal area, and, due to its bioaccumulation and biomagnification represents potential danger to human health. A 1-D aquatic model MeRiMod was used to simulate hydrodynamics and sediment transport in the river system from Idrija to the Soca River mouth. Transport of particle bound and dissolved mercury as well as potential net methylation of mercury in the river system was simulated. The simulation of an observed flood wave with 20-year recurrence period was performed in order to validate the model. Methylation was simulated at lower discharges, as higher methylation rates occur in such conditions. The measurement data and the MeRiMod model were also used to establish a historical mercury mass balance of the Idrijca and Soca Rivers catchment. Sediment core data from the Gulf of Trieste and the measured concentrations from floodplains were used to verify and calibrate the model. Simulations of different high discharges were performed as most of the transport of particulate mercury occurs within flood wave conditions. Compared to the measurements, the results of the model showed an agreement within an order of magnitude, for the transport of total mercury mostly within a factor of 4, and for the methylation within a factor of 5. However, proper trends of the phenomena were obtained by simulations. The combination of modelling and measurements has resulted in some interesting conclusions about the phenomenon of the transport and transformations of mercury in the observed river system.     

Atmospheric mercury in Norway: contributions from different sources

The environmental loadings of national Norwegian mercury emissions compared to the loadings of atmospheric long range transported mercury have been estimated using national emission data and EMEP model data. The results indicate that atmospheric long-range transport to Norway is somewhat larger than the national Norwegian emissions of mercury. Atmospheric deposition of mercury has been studied using data from Norwegian monitoring programs on mercury in precipitation, mosses, natural surface soils, and lake sediments. Precipitation data show no significant time trend during 1990-2002, whereas moss samples show similar concentrations from 1985 to 1995, but a 30% decrease from 1995 to 2000. Concentrations of mercury in peat cores and reference sediments indicate that the current mercury levels measured in surface sediments, surface soils and mosses at background sites in Norway are substantially affected by long-range atmospheric transport.     

The importance of source configuration in quantifying footprints of regional atmospheric sulphur deposition

An atmospheric transport-chemistry model is applied to investigate the effects of source configuration in simulating regional sulphur deposition footprints from elevated point sources. Dry and wet depositions of sulphur are calculated for each of the 69 largest point sources in the UK. Deposition contributions for each point source are calculated for 2003, as well as for a 2010 emissions scenario. The 2010 emissions scenario has been chosen to simulate the Gothenburg protocol emission scenario. Point source location is found to be a major driver of the dry/wet deposition ratio for each deposition footprint, with increased precipitation scavenging of SO_x in hill areas resulting in a larger fraction of the emitted sulphur being deposited within the UK for sources located near these areas. This reduces exported transboundary pollution, but, associated with the occurrence of sensitive soils in hill areas, increases the domestic threat of soil acidification. The simulation of plume rise using individual stack parameters for each point source demonstrates a high sensitivity of SO₂ surface concentration to effective source height. This emphasises the importance of using site-specific information for each major stack, which is rarely included in regional atmospheric pollution models, due to the difficulty in obtaining the required input data. The simulations quantify how the fraction of emitted SO_x exported from the UK increases with source magnitude, effective source height and easterly location. The modelled reduction in SO_x emissions, between 2003 and 2010 resulted in a smaller fraction being exported, with the result that the reductions in SO_x deposition to the UK are less than proportionate to the emission reduction. This non-linearity is associated with a relatively larger fraction of the SO₂ being converted to sulphate aerosol for the 2010 scenario, in the presence of ammonia. The effect results in less-than-proportional UK benefits of reducing in SO₂ emissions, together with greater-than-proportional benefits in reducing export of UK SO₂ emissions.     

An assessment of anthropogenic source impacts on mercury cycling in the Willamette Basin, Oregon, USA

In Oregon's Willamette River Basin (Basin), methylmercury levels in fish triggered health advisories and required development of a mercury Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) for the Willamette River. A seasonally-responsive dynamic systems model is used to identify the principal sources of natural and anthropogenic mercury, the relative contributions of these sources to the river, the impact of hypothetical reductions in specific natural and anthropogenic sources on mercury levels in surface water, sediment, and fish tissue, and the degree to which any such changes would be clearly discernible to environmental managers and Basin stakeholders. Two scenarios are modeled: "PRES", which considered all currently known natural and anthropogenic mercury sources and "LEEM", which (hypothetically) eliminated all local, but not global, anthropogenic sources and greatly lowered native soil erosion rates. Elimination of local air emissions reduces runoff of air-deposited mercury by approximately 34% and advection from the Basin by approximately 12%, while lowering erosion rates reduces particulate runoff by approximately 57%, deposition from the water column to surficial sediment by approximately 33%, and fluvial load by approximately 24%; for a net reduction of 25.6% in the total mercury load to the river. Such hypothetical reductions bring methylmercury concentrations in predatory fish to levels that would allow restoration of fish consumption as a beneficial use. However, several factors, primarily technical feasibility and global sources, may impede attempts to attain this beneficial use. Actualizing the hypothetical 100% elimination of local anthropogenic sources and a >50% reduction in erosion could pose significant technical challenges. Because local anthropogenic emissions make relatively smaller contributions to the Basin than do persistent global sources (sources over which there is little, if any, possibility of local control), localized environmental management actions alone may not be adequate to address mercury impacts within the Basin.     

Three-dimensional modelling of mercury cycling in the Gulf of Trieste

The Gulf of Trieste (Northern Adriatic) is subject to mercury pollution from a former mercury mine in Idrija, located along a river which transports mercury-contaminated sediments into the Gulf. Concentrations in suspended and bottom sediments are up to two orders of magnitude higher than in the central and southern Adriatic. Extensive research has been carried out on measurements and modelling of the transport and fate of mercury in the Gulf. Two- and three-dimensional models have been developed to include the influence of the significant advective transport due to currents. Wind, thermohaline forcing, and the Soca river momentum are the most important forcing factors. A two-dimensional model simulated the transport of non-methylated and methylated mercury in dissolved, particulate and plankton fractions. Mercury processes included the input of atmospheric mercury, sedimentation, reduction, methylation and demethylation. The model simulations gave basically what were proper trends of the phenomena; quantitatively the measured and computed results are mainly within a factor of three. To simulate the non-uniform distribution of parameters over the depth, an existing three-dimensional (3D) hydrodynamic and transport-dispersion (TD) model, PCFLOW3D, was adapted and applied. As it was found that most mercury transport is related to suspended sediment particles, a new 3D sediment transport module was also developed and included in the model. Three cases are presented: one describing the simulation of TD of dissolved total mercury; another the simulation of the TD of particulate mercury in the Gulf during a river flood; and the third simulating sediment transport in the Gulf during a period of strong ENE wind. Comparison with measurements was only partly possible, but mainly the computed and measured results were within a factor of two and proper trends of the phenomena were obtained by the simulations. The combination of modelling and measurements has resulted in some interesting conclusions about the phenomenon of the transport and fate of mercury in a coastal sea.