An agent-based model evaluation of economic control strategies for paratuberculosis in a dairy herd

This paper uses an agent-based simulation model to estimate the costs associated with Mycobacterium avium ssp. paratuberculosis (MAP), or Johne's disease, in a milking herd, and to determine the net benefits of implementing various control strategies. The net present value (NPV) of a 1,000-cow milking herd is calculated over 20 yr, parametrized to a representative US commercial herd. The revenues of the herd are generated from sales of milk and culled animals. The costs include all variable and fixed costs necessary to operate a representative 1,000-cow milking herd. We estimate the NPV of the herd with no MAP infection, under an expected endemic infection distribution with no controls, and under an expected endemic infection distribution with various controls. The initial number of cows in a herd with an endemic MAP infection is distributed as 75% susceptible, 13% latent, 9% low MAP shedding, and 3% high MAP shedding. Control strategies include testing using ELISA and fecal culture tests and culling of cows that test positive, and culling based on observable milk production decrease. Results show that culling cows based on test results does not increase the herd's NPV and in most cases decreases NPV due to test costs as well as false positives and negatives with their associated costs (e.g., culling healthy cows and keeping infected cows). Culling consistently low producing cows when MAP is believed to be present in the herd produces higher NPV over the strategy of testing and culling MAP infected animals, and over the case of no MAP control.     

Genetic evaluation for bovine tuberculosis resistance in dairy cattle

Genetic evaluations for resistance to bovine tuberculosis (bTB) were calculated based on British national data including individual animal tuberculin skin test results, postmortem examination (presence of bTB lesions and bacteriological culture for Mycobacterium bovis), animal movement and location information, production history, and pedigree records. Holstein cows with identified sires in herds with bTB breakdowns (new herd incidents) occurring between the years 2000 and 2014 were considered. In the first instance, cows with a positive reaction to the skin test and a positive postmortem examination were defined as infected. Values of 0 and 1 were assigned to healthy and infected animal records, respectively. Data were analyzed with mixed models. Linear and logit function heritability estimates were 0.092 and 0.172, respectively. In subsequent analyses, breakdowns were split into 2-mo intervals to better model time of exposure and infection in the contemporary group. Intervals with at least one infected individual were retained and multiple intervals within the same breakdown were included. Healthy animal records were assigned values of 0, and infected records a value of 1 in the interval of infection and values reflecting a diminishing probability of infection in the preceding intervals. Heritability and repeatability estimates were 0.115 and 0.699, respectively. Reliabilities and across time stability of the genetic evaluation were improved with the interval model. Subsequently, 2 more definitions of “infected” were analyzed with the interval model: (1) all positive skin test reactors regardless of postmortem examination, and (2) all positive skin test reactors plus nonreactors with positive postmortem examination. Estimated heritability was 0.085 and 0.089, respectively; corresponding repeatability estimates were 0.701 and 0.697. Genetic evaluation reliabilities and across time stability did not change. Correlations of genetic evaluations for bTB with other traits in the current breeding goal were mostly not different from zero. Correlation with the UK Profitable Lifetime Index was moderate, significant, and favorable. Results demonstrated the feasibility of a national genetic evaluation for bTB resistance. Selection for enhanced resistance will have a positive effect on profitability and no antagonistic effects on current breeding goal traits. Official genetic evaluations are now based on the interval model and the last bTB trait definition.     

Assessment of an extraction protocol to detect the major mastitis-causing pathogens in bovine milk

Despite all efforts to control its spread, mastitis remains the most costly disease for dairy farmers worldwide. One key component of better control of this disease is identification of the causative bacterial agent during udder infections in cows. Mastitis is complex, however, given the diversity of pathogens that must be identified. Development of a rapid and efficient bacterial species identification tool is thus necessary. This study was conducted to demonstrate the feasibility of bacterial DNA extraction for the automated molecular detection of major mastitis-causing pathogens directly in milk samples to complement traditional microbiological identification. Extraction and detection procedures were designed and optimized to achieve detection in a respectable time frame, at a reasonable cost, and with a high throughput capacity. The following species were identified: Staphylococcus aureus, Escherichia coli, Streptococcus uberis, Streptococcus agalactiae, Streptococcus dysgalactiae, and Klebsiella spp. (including Klebsiella oxytoca and Klebsiella pneumoniae). The detection procedure includes specific genomic DNA amplification by multiplex PCR for each species, separation by capillary electrophoresis, and laser-assisted automated detection. The specificity of the primers was assessed with a panel of bacteria representing mastitis-negative control species. The extraction protocol comprised multiple steps, starting with centrifugation for fat removal, followed by heating in the presence of a cation exchange resin to trap divalent ions. The analytical sensitivity was 100 cfu/mL for milk samples spiked with Staph. aureus, Strep. dysgalactiae, and E. coli, with a tendency for K. pneumoniae. The detection limit was 500 cfu/mL for Strep. uberis and Strep. agalactiae. The overall diagnostic sensitivity (95.4%) and specificity (97.3%) were determined in a double-blind randomized assay by processing 172 clinical milk samples with microbiological characterization as the gold standard. When the physical nature of the milk samples was too altered, DNA purification with a magnetic bead-based system was used. Of the apparent false-positive samples, 5 were identified by specific microbiological analysis as true-positive Staph. aureus co-infections, with further confirmation by ribosomal 16S sequencing. The proposed methodology could, therefore, become an interesting tool for automated PCR detection of major mastitis pathogens in dairy cattle.     

Risk of disease from wildlife reservoirs: badgers, cattle, and bovine tuberculosis

Livestock face complex foraging options associated with optimizing nutrient intake while being able to avoid areas posing risk of parasites or disease. Areas of tall nutrient-rich swards around fecal deposits may be attractive for grazing, but might incur fitness costs from parasites. We use the example of dairy cattle and the risks of tuberculosis transmission posed to them by pastures contaminated with badger excreta to examine this trade-off. A risk may be posed either by aerosolized inhalation through investigation or by ingestion via grazing contaminated swards. We quantified the levels of investigation and grazing of 150 dairy cows at badger latrines (accumulations of feces and urine) and crossing points (urination-only sites). Grazing behavior was compared between strip-grazed and rotation-grazed fields. Strip grazing had fields subdivided for grazing periods of <24 h, whereas rotational grazing involved access to whole fields for 1 to 7 d each. A higher proportion of the herd investigated badger latrines than crossing points or controls. Cattle initially avoided swards around badger latrines but not around crossing points. Avoidance periods were shorter in strip-compared with rotation-grazing systems. In rotation-grazing management, latrines were avoided for longer times, but there were more investigative contacts than with strip-grazing management. If investigation is a major route of tuberculosis transmission, the risk to cattle is greatest in extensive rotation-grazing systems. However, if ingestion of fresh urine is the primary method of transmission, strip-grazing management may pose a greater threat. Farming systems affect the level and type of contact between livestock and wildlife excreta and thus the risks of disease.     

Short communication: Mycolicibacterium smegmatis,basonym Mycobacterium smegmatis,causing pyogranulomatous mastitis and its cross-reactivity in bovine (para)tuberculosis testing

Different mycobacterial species are encountered in bovine medicine. The fastidiously growing mycobacteria (Mycobacterium bovis as the cause of bovine tuberculosis, and Mycobacterium avium ssp. paratuberculosis, MAP, as the cause of paratuberculosis) are well known and targeted in eradication/control or monitoring programs in different countries, whereas the rapidly growing species is only rarely identified from bovine disease. The latter have occasionally been reported as the cause of bovine clinical mastitis, but recent reports are scarce. In this study, Mycolicibacterium smegmatis (basonym Mycobacterium smegmatis) was identified as cause of granulomatous, relapsing clinical mastitis in 2 cows from one Belgian dairy herd. Milk, blood, and fecal samples were collected, as well as tissue samples after the cows were culled. Serological analysis conducted on milk and serum samples resulted in positive reactions for MAP, but negative for Mycobacterium bovis. Production of IFN-γ showed sensitization with mycobacteria or similar organisms, other than M. bovis, in one cow. Detection of MAP by bacteriological culture and IS900-based quantitative PCR on milk and feces remained negative. In conclusion, this paper describes M. smegmatis as a cause of bovine clinical mastitis in Belgium and suggests cross-reactivity of the intramammary M. smegmatis infection with routinely used serological tests for MAP.     

超高压处理对消减乳源酪蛋白抗原性影响的体外模拟研究

目的:研究超高压结合不同模拟胃肠消化对于消减乳源酪蛋白抗原性的影响。方法:以乳源酪蛋白为研究对象,采用不同的压力、温度、保压时间、超高压次数来处理酪蛋白,并对处理后的酪蛋白进行模拟成人、婴儿胃肠消化,用间接酶联免疫吸附法来检测经过处理后酪蛋白过敏原消减效果,并且使用正交设计确定消减酪蛋白过敏原最优处理条件组合。结果:在相同超高压处理条件下,对酪蛋白进行模拟成人、婴儿胃肠消化环境,其结果显示成人比婴儿胃肠消化后酪蛋白过敏原消减的效果更好;高压结合模拟成人胃肠消化的最佳条件组合是:350 MPa、温度30℃、保压时间15 min、高压3次,抑制率为22.67%;高压结合模拟婴儿胃肠消化的最佳条件组合是:350 MPa、温度30℃、保压时间20 min、高压1次,抑制率为39.95%。结论:高压结合不同胃肠消化后都可以消减酪蛋白过敏反应,而且结合成人胃肠消化比结合婴儿胃肠消化对过敏原的消减效果更好。      

Genetic analysis of leukosis incidence in United States Holstein and Jersey populations

Bovine leukosis (BL) is a retroviral disease caused by the bovine leukosis virus that affects only cattle. It is associated with decreased milk production and increased cull rates due to development of lymphosarcoma. The virus also affects the immune system. Infected cows display a weak response to some vaccinations. It is important to determine if the heritability of BL susceptibility is greater than zero, or if the environment is the only factor that can be used to reduce the transmission and incidence of the disease. Accordingly, the aim of this study was to estimate the heritability for BL incidence and the genetic merit of sires for leukosis resistance in Holstein and Jersey cattle. Continuous scores and binary milk ELISA results for 13,217 Holstein cows from 114 dairy herds across 16 states and 642 Jersey cows from 8 dairy herds were considered. Data were obtained from commercial testing records at Antel BioSystems (Lansing, MI). Out of the 13,859 animals tested, 38% were found to be infected with the disease. Linear and threshold animal models were used to analyze the continuous and binary data, respectively. Results from both models were similar in terms of estimated breeding values and variance components in their respective scales. Estimates of heritability obtained with the 2 approaches were approximately 8% for both breeds, indicating a considerable genetic component underlying BL disease incidence. The correlation between the estimated breeding values from the 2 models was larger than 0.90, and the lists of top 10% bulls selected from each model had about 80% overlap for both breeds. In summary, results indicate that a simple linear model using the continuous ELISA scores as the response variable was a reasonable approach for the genetic analysis of BL incidence in cattle. In addition, the levels of heritability found indicate that genetic selection could also be used to decrease susceptibility to bovine leukosis virus infection in Holstein and Jersey cattle. Further research is necessary to investigate the genetic correlations of BL with other production and reproduction traits, and to search for potential genomic regions harboring major genes affecting BL susceptibility.     

An economic evaluation of recombinant bovine somatotropin approval in Japan

A comprehensive econometric model was developed to evaluate potential impacts of recombinant bovine somatotropin (rbST) approval in Japan. Three novel features of the analyses include 1) investigation of impact of rbST on herd-size structure, 2) determination of economic feasibilities of rbST adoption by herd size, and 3) evaluation of policies to mitigate negative effects of rbST approval. Simulation analysis was conducted over a 10-yr projected period assuming rbST was approved in Japan in 2001. Nine hypothetical scenarios were simulated to examine sensitivity of simulation results. Simulation results indicate that rbST approval would accelerate structural change in Japan's dairy industry toward fewer, larger farms. Negative effects of rbST on farm income are projected to be more severe for smaller farms, because of higher costs, lower profit-earning ability, lower milk yields, and lower adoption rates of rbST. Larger farms benefit from rbST adoption if milk demand is maintained. However, if concerns about rbST induce significant milk demand decreases, even the largest farms' income and cow numbers will decrease. Thus, Japan's dairy industry could be caught in a double downward spiral of declining milk prices and production. Assuming rbST is approved, small farms would benefit by using the technology, but they fare best if rbST is not approved. Two policies could be effective in mitigating possible farm income losses. First, lost farm income can be offset if dairy cooperatives can exercise greater market power to control fluid milk marketings. Second, because generic milk advertising has positive effects on both milk demand and farm income, increasing check-off rates to fund more advertising could ease farm income losses.     

Elimination of experimentally induced bovine intramammary infection assessed by multiplex real-time PCR and bacterial culture

Diagnosis of bovine intramammary infection (IMI) has traditionally been based on bacterial culture, but currently IMI can also be detected with DNA based methods, such as multiplex real-time PCR. The aim of this study was to describe the elimination of bacteria in experimentally induced IMI on the quarter level, using conventional bacterial culture (BC) and multiplex real-time PCR. Two coagulase-negative staphylococcal species, Staphylococcus epidermidis and Staphylococcus simulans, were experimentally inoculated into 14 healthy quarters of 8 dairy cows during 4 consecutive study periods. Intramammary infections were followed with 20 milk samplings per each quarter. Milk somatic cell count was monitored to evaluate the inflammation process in the quarters. Four quarters cured spontaneously during the study period according to the culture. The PCR detected staphylococcal DNA from these quarters for several days after they were defined as cured in BC. Agreement between BC and PCR results varied from substantial to almost perfect agreement for the first 36 h postchallenge, decreasing to moderate levels toward the end of the sampling period. Based on this study, we recommend collecting possible follow-up samples to assess the bacteriological cure from IMI not until 2 to 3 wk after the onset of mastitis or after the quarter milk somatic cell count has normalized when PCR is used.     

Characterization of mammary pathogenic Escherichia coli reveals the diversity of Escherichia coli isolates associated with bovine clinical mastitis in Brazil

Mammary pathogenic Escherichia coli (MPEC) is one of the most common pathogens associated with clinical mastitis. We analyzed isolates obtained from milk samples of cows with clinical mastitis, collected from 10 farms in Brazil, to verify molecular and phenotypic characteristics. A total of 192 (4.5%) mammary pathogenic E. coli isolates were obtained from 4,275 milk samples analyzed, but we tested 161. We assigned most of these isolates to E. coli phylogroups B1 (52.8%) and A (36.6%), although phylogroups B2, C, D, E, and unknown also occurred. All isolates were assessed for the presence of several genes encoding virulence factors, such as adhesins (sfaDE, papC, afaBC III, ecpA, fimH, papA, and iha), toxins (hlyA, cnf1, sat, vat, and cdt), siderophores (iroN, irp2, iucD, ireA, and sitA), an invasion protein (ibeA), and serum resistance proteins (traT, KpsMTII, and ompT), and isolates from phylogroups B1, B2, and E showed up to 8 genes. Two isolates harbored the locus of enterocyte effacement (escN⁺) and lack the bundle-forming pilus (bfpB^?) operon, which corresponds to a molecular profile of a subgroup of diarrheagenic E. coli (aEPEC), thus being classified as hybrid MPEC/aEPEC isolates. These isolates displayed a localized adherence-like pattern of adherence in HeLa cells and were able to promote F-actin polymerization underneath adherent bacteria. Based on the pulsed-field gel electrophoresis analyses, considerable genetic variability was observed. A low index of antimicrobial resistance was observed and 2 extended-spectrum β-lactamase–producing E. coli were identified, both harboring bla_CTX-M15 gene, and were classified as ST10 and ST993 using multilocus sequence typing. A total of 148 (91.2%) isolates were weak biofilm producers or formed no biofilm. Because raw milk is still frequently consumed in Brazil, the occurrence of virulence factor–encoding genes from extraintestinal or diarrheagenic E. coli added to the presence of extended-spectrum β-lactamase–producing isolates can turn this veterinary medicine problem into a public health concern.     

Relative virulence of Staphylococcus aureus bovine mastitis strains representing the main Canadian spa types and clonal complexes as determined using in vitro and in vivo mastitis models

Staphylococcus aureus is one of the main pathogens leading to both clinical and subclinical bovine mastitis in dairy cattle. Prediction of disease evolution based on the characteristics of Staph. aureus isolates that cause intramammary infections and understanding the host-pathogen interactions may improve management of mastitis in dairy herds. For this study, several strains were selected from each of the 6 major Canadian spa types associated with mastitis (t267, t359, t529, t605, t2445, and t13401). Adherence to host cells and intracellular persistence of these strains were studied using a bovine mammary gland epithelial cell line (MAC-T). Additionally, relative virulence and host response (cytokines production) were also studied in vivo using a mouse model of mastitis. Whole-genome sequencing was performed on all strains and associations between clonal complex, sequence type, and presence of certain virulence factors were also investigated. Results show that spa type t2445 was correlated with persistence in MAC-T cells. Strains from spa t359 and t529 showed better ability to colonize mouse mammary glands. The exception was strain sa3154 (spa t529), which showed less colonization of glands compared with other t359 and t529 strains but possessed the highest number of superantigen genes including tst. All strains possessed hemolysins, but spa types t529 and t2445 showed the largest diameter of β-hemolysis on blood agar plates. Although several spa types possessed 2 or 3 serine-aspartate rich proteins (Sdr) believed to be involved in many pathogenic processes, most t529 strains expressed only an allelic variant of sdrE. The spa types t605 (positive for the biofilm associated protein gene; bap+) and t13401 (bap−), that produced the largest amounts of biofilm in vitro, were the least virulent in vivo. Finally, strains from spa type t529 (ST151) elicited a cytokine expression profile (TNF-α, IL-1β and IL-12) that suggests a potential for severe inflammation. This study suggests that determination of the spa type may help predict the severity of the disease and the ability of the immune system to eliminate intramammary infections caused by Staph. aureus.     

Immune and inflammatory biomarkers in cases of bovine perinatal mortality with and without infection in utero

The objective of this study was to compare acute-phase protein [serum amyloid A (SAA) and haptoglobin (Hp)] and immunoglobulin G₁ and M concentrations in blood plasma of cases of bovine perinatal mortality due to infection in utero or traumotocia and in unexplained cases. Plasma samples were collected from 110 stillborn calves with bacterial infection (INF_B, n = 16), with viral or parasitic infection (INF_V/P, n = 31) during pregnancy, with lesions of fatal traumotocia (TRAUM, n = 22), and from unexplained deaths (UNEXPL, n = 41). Plasma immunoglobulin and SAA concentrations were measured by ELISA, and Hp concentrations were measured by the guaiacol method and ELISA. Concentrations of SAA in the INF_B group were higher than in the UNEXPL group and tended to be higher than in the INF_V/P group. A reference range (0–29 mg/L) was established for SAA in stillborn calves. Concentrations of Hp tended to be higher in the INF_B group compared with INF_V/P group. Concentrations of IgM tended to be higher in the INF_B group compared with the TRAUM and INF_V/P groups. Concentrations of IgG₁ were numerically, but not significantly, higher in the INF_V/P and INF_B groups compared with the other groups. The results demonstrate upregulation of immune and inflammatory responses in stillborn calves exposed to bacterial infection in utero. The immune-inflammatory parameters did not differ between calves with viral or parasitic infections and traumotocia. These immune-inflammatory profiles did not contribute to the diagnosis of unexplained stillbirth. This is the first report of an elevated acute phase protein response in stillborn calves. Measurement of SAA and IgM concentrations may be used in the diagnosis of bacterial infections in stillborn calves.     

Characterization of Holstein heifer fertility in the United States

The overall object of this research was to characterize US Holstein (virgin) heifer fertility. This included investigation of factors influencing heifer fertility and estimation of heritability, as well as correlations with cow fertility and first-lactation milk yield. A secondary objective was to compare linear and logistic model estimates of fixed effects and linear and threshold model estimates of heritability. Data consisted of Holstein heifers, which were artificially inseminated, with their first breeding between March 2003 and August 2005. Herds were required to have at least 60 breedings across the 3 yr of data and an overall mean conception rate (CR) between 20 and 80%. After edits there were 537,938 breedings of 362,512 heifers in 2,668 herds from 41 states used for analysis. After edits, the overall mean CR for US Holstein heifers was 57%. Linear and logistic model estimates for all factors were nearly identical. Year of breeding accounted for the most variation in heifer CR, with heifer age and month of breeding being the next most important factors. Conception rate in heifers is maximal at an intermediate age of 15 to 16 mo. Heifers at 26 mo of age and older have roughly a 10% lower CR than heifers bred at younger ages. Although month of breeding affected heifer CR, effects are less than for cows. In contrast to cow fertility, heifer CR is nearly as good in the hotter summer months as in cooler months. Approximately 88% of US herds had a 40 to 70% heifer CR. Heritability estimates of heifer CR on first service were 0.5% from the linear model and 1.0% from the threshold model. Genetic correlation estimates of heifer CR on first service with cow CR on first service and with first-lactation milk yield were 0.39 and −0.19, respectively. Results indicated that selection on either the currently available US daughter pregnancy rate evaluations for cow fertility or on cow CR will also improve heifer fertility. Furthermore, heritability of heifer CR is lower than for cow CR and reporting of heifer breedings is currently less complete than for cow breedings. Thus, there are currently no immediate plans to implement a US genetic evaluation for heifer CR.     

A survey of gross pathologic conditions in cull cows at slaughter in the Great Lakes region of the United States

The prevalence and severity of multiple gross pathologic lesions and abnormalities in cull dairy and beef cows was evaluated at a commercial abattoir in the Great Lakes region of the United States; 1,461 cattle were examined at slaughter over the course of 3 production days and evaluated for the occurrence and severity of lung, liver, rumen, and carcass abnormalities and pathologies. Of the 1,461 cattle examined at slaughter, 87% were classified as Holstein cows and 13% were classified as other cows. Liver abscesses were observed in 32% of the population and over half were classified as severe (18.5% population prevalence). The frequency distribution of cattle observed with a liver abscess was not different among production days. Severe ruminal lesions and rumenitis scars were observed in 10.0% of the population, and 25.1% of cattle were observed to have short or denuded papillae. Severe bovine respiratory disease complex lesions were observed in 10.3% of cattle. The most common reason for USDA postmortem carcass condemnation was malignant lymphoma (9 of 41). Only 45.9% of carcasses were free from bruising. Results indicate that ruminal acidosis and bovine respiratory disease complex occur at a relatively high frequency in this population. Although cows are routinely culled for reproductive failure or low milk production, the underlying reason may be causally related to these relatively prevalent conditions. Further investigation is warranted to assess this relationship and to examine the use of specific health intervention strategies within this demographic of cattle.     

冷战后美国全球战略的演变

冷战后,美国从克林顿政府到今天的奥巴马政府,全球战略的发展呈现出了连续性和阶段性。维持美国在世界舞台的唯一领导地位始终是美国全球战略的目标。但在克林顿政府时期、小布什政府时期和奥巴马政府时期,美国全球战略的侧重点和实施手段是存在区别的,它们分别属于使命导向型战略、威胁导向型战略、使命导向型战略。     

Antimicrobial susceptibility of Staphylococcus aureus isolated from bovine mastitis in Europe and the United States

Minimum inhibitory concentrations were determined for 811 strains of Staphylococcus aureus isolated from cases of bovine mastitis in 11 countries. The countries and number of isolates included Denmark (105), England (92), Finland (95), Germany (103), Iceland (22), Ireland (42), Norway (101), Sweden (123), Switzerland (69), United States (53), and Zimbabwe (6). The antimicrobial agents tested were penicillin, ampicillin, oxacillin, cephalothin, ceftiofur, amoxicillin + clavulanate, penicillin + novobiocin, enrofloxacin, premafloxacin, erythromycin, clindamycin, lincomycin, pirlimycin, neomycin, lincomycin + neomycin, and sulfamethazine. The MIC90 for these antimicrobial agents for all strains were 0.5, 1.0, 1.0, 0.5, 1.0, < or =0.06, 0.125, 0.125, < or =0.0078, 0.5, 1.0, 16.0, 1.0, 2.0, 0.5, and 4.0 microg/ml, respectively. Overall, only small variations between countries were seen in the MIC90 for the majority of compounds tested. Of the strains tested, 35.6% were positive for beta-lactamase production on initial testing, with an additional 21.3% positive after induction by penicillin. In conclusion, the overall level of resistance was generally low for all antimicrobial agents tested regardless of country. Given the differences in antimicrobial use in various countries, the widespread adoption of mastitis control programs to prevent infections limits the exposure of S. aureus infected animals to antimicrobial drugs.     

Assessment of potential carbon dioxide reductions due to biomass-coal cofiring in the United States

Cofiring biomass with coal in existing power plants offers a relatively inexpensive and efficient option for increasing near-term biomass energy utilization. Potential benefits include reduced emissions of carbon dioxide, sulfur, and nitrogen oxides and development of biomass energy markets. To understand the economics of this strategy, we develop a model to calculate electricity and pollutant mitigation costs with explicit characterization of uncertainty in fuel and technology costs and variability in fuel properties. The model is first used to evaluate the plant-level economics of cofiring as a function of biomass cost. It is then integrated with state-specific coal consumption and biomass supply estimates to develop national supply curves for cofire electricity and carbon mitigation. A delivered cost of biomass below 15 dollars per ton is required for cofire to be competitive with existing coal-based generation. Except at low biomass prices (less than 15 dollars per ton), cofiring is unlikely to be competitive for NOx or SOx control, but it can provide comparatively inexpensive control of CO2 emissions: we estimate that emissions reductions of 100 Mt-CO2/year (a 5% reduction in electric-sector emissions) can be achieved at 25 +/- 20 dollars/tC. The 2-3 year time horizon for deployment--compared with 10-20 years for other CO2 mitigation options--makes cofiring particularly attractive.     

Genetic evaluation of stillbirth in United States Holsteins using a sire-maternal grandsire threshold model

A sire-maternal grandsire threshold model was used for genetic evaluation of stillbirth in US Holsteins. Calving ease and stillbirth records for herds reporting at least 10 dead calves were extracted from the Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory database. About half of the 14 million calving ease records in the database had a known livability score, mostly from herds processed by Dairy Records Management Systems (Raleigh, NC). Calf livability scores of 2 and 3, representing calves born dead and calves that died within 48 h of parturition, respectively, were combined into a single category. The model included effects of herd-year, year-season, parity-sex, sire, birth year group of sire, maternal grandsire (MGS), and birth year group of MGS. Herd-year, sire, and MGS were random effects. Mean predicted transmitting abilities, expressed as the expected percentage of stillbirths, were 7.9 and 8.6 for direct and maternal stillbirths, respectively. Mean reliabilities for both the direct and maternal effects were 45%. Correlations among domestic and Interbull stillbirth solutions on the underlying scale for bulls with at least 90% reliability ranged from 0.63 to 0.90 across countries for direct stillbirths and from 0.69 to 0.96 for maternal stillbirths, indicating that results were generally consistent with those from other countries. There was no evidence of a genetic trend for either trait. More complete recording of stillbirth scores would improve reliabilities and could allow for evaluations of other breeds.     

乳制品中牛IgG含量间接竞争性ELISA检测方法的研究

建立了牛初乳制品和添加了牛初乳成分的乳制品中牛IgG含量间接竞争性酶联免疫吸附测定方法,主要研究步骤包括:制备牛IgG保守区(Fc段),以Fc段为免疫原免疫Balb/C小鼠,取其脾细胞进行细胞融合,制备特异性单克隆抗体及合成适合实际测定用途的ELISA试剂盒。应用本研究建立的方法对标准品和实际样品进行牛IgG含量检测的结果表明,该方法回收率在78.9%～117.5%,批内变异系数小于10%,批间变异系数小于15%,检测结果稳定可靠,可满足目前国内牛初乳制品和添加了牛初乳成分的乳制品品质监控的需要。     

Economic effects of exposure to bovine viral diarrhea virus on dairy herds in New Zealand

The economic loss to dairy farmers associated with bovine viral diarrhea virus (BVDV) is believed to be high in New Zealand, but no estimates are yet available. The aim was therefore to estimate the economic loss associated with BVDV in dairy herds in New Zealand. Bulk tank milk (BTM) from a random sample of 590 herds from the Northland, Bay of Plenty, and Waikato regions was tested for antibody against BVDV. The inhibition percentage (sample to positive ratio), based on a threshold validated in an earlier study, was used to indicate herd-level infection. Herd reproductive indices, herd lactation-average somatic cell counts, and herd average production of milk solids were regressed on BTM inhibition percentage. Herd averages of the overall annual culling rate, the rate of culling because of failure to conceive, the proportion of physiological inter-service intervals, the first-service conception rate, the pregnancy rate at the end of mating, and somatic cell counts were not associated with BVDV antibody in BTM. Abortion rates, rates of calving induction, the time from calving to conception, and the number of services per conception increased, however, whereas milk production decreased with increasing BVDV antibody in BTM. The results indicated significant reproductive and production loss associated with the amount of BVDV antibody in BTM. Total loss attributable to infection with BVDV was similar to reports from other countries and estimated as NZ$87 per cow and year in affected herds, and NZ$44.5 million per year for the New Zealand dairy industry based on an estimated 14.6% affected herds. The loss estimate excludes added cost and negative consequences with respect to animal welfare attributable to increased induction rates, and a greater incidence of production disease because of BVD-induced immune suppression.