Monitoring the Weibull shape parameter by control charts for the sample range

In this paper, we propose control charts for monitoring changes in the Weibull shape parameter β. These charts are based on the range of a random sample from the smallest extreme value distribution. The control chart limits depend only on the sample size, the desired stable average run length (ARL), and the stable value of β. We derive control limits for both one‐ and two‐sided control charts. They are unbiased with respect to the ARL. We discuss sample size requirements if the stable value of βis estimated from past data. The proposed method is applied to data on the breaking strengths of carbon fibers. We recommend one‐sided charts for detecting specific changes in βbecause they are expected to signal out‐of‐control sooner than the two‐sided charts. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Monitoring the Weibull Shape Parameter by Control Charts for the Sample Range of Type II Censored Data

In this paper, we propose control charts to monitor the Weibull shape parameter β under type II (failure) censoring. This chart scheme is based on the sample ranges of smallest extreme value distributions derived from Weibull processes. We suggest one‐sided (high‐side or low‐side) and two‐sided charts, which are unbiased with respect to the average run length (ARL). The control limits for all types of charts depend on the sample size, the number of failures c under type II censoring, the desired stable‐process ARL, and the stable‐process value of β. This article also considers sample size requirements for phase I in retrospective charts. We investigate the effect of c on the out‐of‐control ARL. We discuss a simple approach to choosing c by cost minimization. The proposed schemes are then applied to data on the breaking strengths of carbon fibers. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Monitoring the Weibull Shape Parameter with Type II Censored Data

In this article, we introduce a method for monitoring the Weibull shape parameter β with type II (failure) censored data. The control limits depend on the sample size, the number of censored observations, the target average run length, and the stable value of β. The method assumes that the scale parameter α is constant during each sampling period, which is true under rational subgrouping. The proposed method utilizes the relationship between Weibull and smallest extreme value distribution. We propose an unbiased estimator of σ = 1/β as the monitoring statistic. We derive the control limits for one‐sided and two‐sided charts for several stable process average run lengths. We discuss two schemes, namely, the control‐limits‐only scheme and the control‐limits‐with‐warning‐lines scheme. The stable process average run length performance of the proposed charts is studied and compared with those of other charts for monitoring β under similar assumptions. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Conditional Control Charts for Weibull Quantiles Under Type II Censoring

In this article, we propose control charts for the quantiles of the Weibull distribution, for type II censored data, based on the distribution of a pivotal quantity conditioned on ancillary statistics. These control charts must be considered as alternatives to bootstrap type control charts. We derive an analytical form of the conditional distribution function of the monitored statistic and we use this function to propose ARL‐unbiased control limits. We further demonstrate that the proposed conditional chart have a general analytical form for the ARL that can be evaluated numerically without use of simulations and we also show that these charts perform at least as well as the bootstrap type ones. We finally apply the conditional charts to a dataset on the strength of carbon fibers to detect shifts in a specified Weibull quantile. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Phase II control charts for monitoring dispersion when parameters are estimated

Shewhart control charts are among the most popular control charts used to monitor process dispersion. To base these control charts on the assumption of known in-control process parameters is often unrealistic. In practice, estimates are used to construct the control charts and this has substantial consequences for the in-control and out-of-control chart performance. The effects are especially severe when the number of Phase I subgroups used to estimate the unknown process dispersion is small. Typically, recommendations are to use around 30 subgroups of size 5 each.

?We derive and tabulate new corrected charting constants that should be used to construct the estimated probability limits of the Phase II Shewhart dispersion (e.g., range and standard deviation) control charts for a given number of Phase I subgroups, subgroup size and nominal in-control average run-length (ICARL). These control limits account for the effects of parameter estimation. Two approaches are used to find the new charting constants, a numerical and an analytic approach, which give similar results. It is seen that the corrected probability limits based charts achieve the desired nominal ICARL performance, but the out-of-control average run-length performance deteriorate when both the size of the shift and the number of Phase I subgroups are small. This is the price one must pay while accounting for the effects of parameter estimation so that the in-control performance is as advertised. An illustration using real-life data is provided along with a summary and recommendations.     

Optimal control limits for CCC charts in the presence of inspection errors

The control chart based on cumulative count of conforming (CCC) items between the occurrence of two non‐conforming ones, or the CCC chart, has been shown to be very useful for monitoring high‐quality processes. However, as in the implementation of other Shewhart‐type control charts, it is usually assumed that the inspection is free of error. This assumption may not be valid and this may have a significant impact on the interpretation of the control chart and the setting of control limits. This paper first investigates the effect of inspection errors and discusses the setting of control limits in such cases. Even if inspection errors are considered, the average time to alarm increases in the beginning when the process deteriorates. Since this is undesirable, the control limits in the presence of inspection errors should be set so as to maximize the average run length when the process is at the normal level. A procedure is presented for solving this problem. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Progressive Mean as a Special Case of Exponentially Weighted Moving Average

In the category of memory‐type control charts, progressive mean control chart was proposed recently, for monitoring the process location. Here we show, through the derivation, that the plotting statistic for the progressive mean control chart becomes a special case of exponentially weighted moving average when the sensitivity parameter becomes reciprocal of the sample number. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Mixed Exponentially Weighted Moving Average–Cumulative Sum Charts for Process Monitoring

The control chart is a very popular tool of statistical process control. It is used to determine the existence of special cause variation to remove it so that the process may be brought in statistical control. Shewhart‐type control charts are sensitive for large disturbances in the process, whereas cumulative sum (CUSUM)–type and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA)–type control charts are intended to spot small and moderate disturbances. In this article, we proposed a mixed EWMA–CUSUM control chart for detecting a shift in the process mean and evaluated its average run lengths. Comparisons of the proposed control chart were made with some representative control charts including the classical CUSUM, classical EWMA, fast initial response CUSUM, fast initial response EWMA, adaptive CUSUM with EWMA‐based shift estimator, weighted CUSUM and runs rules–based CUSUM and EWMA. The comparisons revealed that mixing the two charts makes the proposed scheme even more sensitive to the small shifts in the process mean than the other schemes designed for detecting small shifts. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Directed control charts for detecting the shape changes from linear profiles to quadratic profiles

In profile monitoring, control charts are constructed to detect any unanticipated departures from the statistical stability of product quality over time, where product quality is characterised by a function. In many situations, due to the characteristics of a system or an operation, certain process signals can be anticipated. Thus, when a kind of departure specifically feared is identified in advance, a directed process monitoring approach can be developed. Motivated by the monitoring of cylindrical surfaces, this paper focuses on quickly detecting the shape changes from a straight line to a second-order polynomial curve. Based on the hypothesis testing on the quadratic term, two directed control charts and a combined scheme are proposed to surveillance the sampled linear shape. The performance of our proposed methods is studied and compared with the alternative charts by numerical simulations. Simulation studies show that the two proposed directed charts are almost the same, and outperform the alternative methods in some cases. Moreover, the combined scheme is robust for all the parameter combinations.     

Robustness properties of multivariate EWMA control charts

In this paper, the robustness of the multivariate exponentially weighted moving average (MEWMA) control chart to non‐normal data is examined. Two non‐normal distributions of interest are the multivariate distribution and the multivariate gamma distribution. Recommendations for constructing MEWMA control charts when the normality assumption may be violated are provided. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Efficient shift detection using multivariate exponentially-weighted moving average control charts and principal components

This paper demonstrates the use of principal components in conjunction with the multivariate exponentially-weighted moving average (MEWMA) control procedure for process monitoring. It is demonstrated that the number of variables to be monitored is reduced through this approach, and that the average run length to detect process shifts or upsets is substantially reduced as well. The performance of the MEWMA applied to all the variables may be related to the MEWMA control chart that uses principal components through the non-centrality parameter. An average run length table demonstrates the advantages of the principal components MEWMA over the procedure that uses all of the variables. An illustrative example is provided.     

A New Hybrid Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring Process Mean

Cumulative sum (CUSUM) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts are commonly used for monitoring the process mean. In this paper, a new hybrid EWMA (HEWMA) control chart is proposed by mixing two EWMA control charts. An interesting feature of the proposed control chart is that the traditional Shewhart and EWMA control charts are its special cases. Average run lengths are used to evaluate the performances of each of the control charts. It is worth mentioning that the proposed HEWMA control chart detects smaller shifts substantially quicker than the classical CUSUM, classical EWMA and mixed EWMA–CUSUM control charts. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Using economically designed Shewhart and adaptive ―X charts for monitoring the quality of tiles

This paper presents the economic design of ―X control charts for monitoring a critical stage of the main production process at a tile manufacturer in Greece. Two types of ―X charts were developed: a Shewhart‐type chart with fixed parameters and adaptive charts with variable sampling intervals and/or sample size. Our prime motivation was to improve the statistical control scheme employed for monitoring an important quality characteristic of the process with the objective of minimizing the relevant costs. At the same time we tested and confirmed the applicability of the theoretical models supporting the economic design of control charts with fixed and variable parameters in a practical situation. We also evaluated the economic benefits of moving from the broadly used static charts to the application of the more flexible and effective adaptive control charts. The main result of our study is that, by redesigning the currently employed Shewhart chart using economic criteria, the quality‐related cost is expected to decrease by approximately 50% without increasing the implementation complexity. Monitoring the process by means of an adaptive ―X chart with variable sampling intervals will increase the expected cost savings by about 10% compared with the economically designed Shewhart chart at the expense of some implementation difficulty. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Improved Fast Initial Response Features for Exponentially Weighted Moving Average and Cumulative Sum Control Charts

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) and cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts have found extensive applications in industry. The sensitivity of these quality control schemes can be increased by using fast initial response (FIR) features. In this paper, we introduce some improved FIR features for EWMA and CUSUM control charts and evaluate their performance in terms of average run length. We compare the proposed FIR‐based EWMA and CUSUM control schemes with some existing control schemes, that is, EWMA, FIR‐EWMA, CUSUM, and FIR‐CUSUM. It is noteworthy that the proposed control schemes are uniformly better than the other schemes considered here. An illustrative example is also given to demonstrate the implementation of the proposed control schemes. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An Improved Maximum Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring Process Mean and Variability

Maximum exponentially weighted moving average (MaxEWMA) control charts have gained considerable attention for detecting changes in both process mean and process variability. In this paper, we propose an improved MaxEWMA control charts based on ordered ranked set sampling (ORSS) and ordered imperfect ranked set sampling (OIRSS) schemes for simultaneous detection of both increases and decreases in the process mean and/or variability, named MaxEWMA‐ORSS and MaxEWMA‐OIRSS control charts. These MaxEWMA control charts are based on the best linear unbiased estimators of location and scale parameters obtained under ORSS and OIRSS methods. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations have been used to estimate the average run length and standard deviation of run length of the proposed MaxEWMA control charts. These control charts are compared with their counterparts based on simple random sampling (SRS), that is, MaxEWMA‐SRS and MaxGWMA‐SRS control charts. The proposed MaxEWMA‐ORSS and MaxEWMA‐OIRSS control charts are able to perform better than the MaxEWMA‐SRS and MaxGWMA‐SRS control charts for detecting shifts in the process mean and dispersion. An application to real data is provided to illustrate the implementation of the proposed MaxEWMA control charts. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Adaptive cumulative sum charts with the adaptive runs rule

Adaptive cumulative sum (ACUSUM) charts, which adjust the reference value dynamically based on estimated shift size, provide good performance in detecting a range of mean shifts. However, when the range is wide, ACUSUM may not perform well for small shifts over the range. An adaptive runs rule, which is motivated by the concept of supplementary runs rule, is proposed, in order to make control charts more sensitive to small mean shifts. The adaptive runs rule assigns scores to consecutive runs based on the estimated shift size of the mean. The ACUSUM chart is supplemented with the adaptive runs rule to enhance its sensitivity in detecting small mean shifts. The average run length performance of the ACUSUM chart with the adaptive runs rule is compared with those of cumulative sum and variants of adaptive charts including ACUSUM. The experimental results reveal that the ACUSUM chart with the adaptive runs rule achieves superior detection performance over a wide range of mean shifts.     

The Performance of the Adaptive Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart with Estimated Parameters

The adaptive exponentially weighted moving average (AEWMA) control chart has the advantage of detecting balance mixed range of mean shifts. Its performance has been studied under the assumption that the process parameters are known. Under this assumption, previous studies have shown AEWMA to provide superior statistical performance when compared with other different types of control charts. In practice, however, the process parameters are usually unknown and are required to be estimated. Using a Markov Chain approach, we show that the performance of the AEWMA control chart is affected when parameters are estimated compared with the known‐parameter case. In addition, we show the effect of different standard deviation estimators on the chart performance. Finally, a performance comparison is conducted between the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart and the AEWMA chart when the process parameters are unknown. We recommend the use of the AEWMA chart over the ordinary EWMA chart especially when a small number of Phase I samples is available to estimate the unknown parameters. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

On‐line Identification and Quantification of Mean Shifts in Bivariate Processes using a Neural Network‐based Approach

Many statistical process control (SPC) problems are multivariate in nature because the quality of a given process or product is determined by several interrelated variables. Various multivariate control charts (e.g. Hotelling's , multivariate cumulative sum and multivariate exponentially weighted moving average charts) have been designed for detecting mean shifts. However, the main shortcoming of such charts is that they can detect an unusual event but do not directly provide the information required by a practitioner to determine which variable or group of variables has caused the out‐of‐control signal. In addition, these charts cannot provide more detailed shift information, for example the shift magnitude, which would be very useful for quality practitioners to search the assignable causes that give rise to the out‐of‐control situation. This work proposes a neural network‐based model that can identify and quantify the mean shifts in bivariate processes on‐line. The performance evaluation performed by the simulation demonstrates that the proposed model outperforms the conventional multivariate control schemes in terms of average run length, and can accurately estimate the magnitude of the shift of each of the shifted variables in a real‐time mode. Extensive simulation is also carried out to examine the effects of correlation on the performance of the proposed model. A numerical example is presented to illustrate the usage of the proposed model. Although a mean shift identification and quantification tool for bivariate SPC is the particular application presented here, the proposed neural network‐based methodology can be applied to multivariate SPC in general. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Control charting methods for autocorrelated cyber vulnerability data

Control charting cyber vulnerabilities is challenging because the same vulnerabilities can remain from period to period. Also, hosts (personal computers, servers, printers, etc.) are often scanned infrequently and can be unavailable during scanning. To address these challenges, control charting of the period-to-period demerits per host using a hybrid moving centerline residual-based and adjusted demerit (MCRAD) chart is proposed. The intent is to direct limited administrator resources to unusual cases when automatic patching is insufficient. The proposed chart is shown to offer superior average run length performance compared with three alternative methods from the literature. The methods are illustrated using three datasets.