EWMA Control Chart Performance with Estimated Parameters under Non‐normality

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts can be designed to detect shifts in the underlying process parameters quickly while enjoying robustness to non‐normality. Past studies have shown that performance of various EWMA control charts can be adversely affected when parameters are estimated or observations do not follow a normal distribution. To the best of our knowledge, simultaneous effect of parameter estimation and non‐normality has not been studied so far. In this paper, a Markov chain approach is used to model and evaluate performance of EWMA control charts when parameter estimation is subject to non‐normality using skewed and heavy‐tailed symmetric distributions. Using standard deviation of the run length (SDRL), average run length (ARL), and percentiles of run lengths for various phase I sample sizes, we show that larger phase I sample sizes do not necessarily lead to a better performance for non‐normal observations. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

New Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Charts for Monitoring Process Mean and Process Dispersion

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts have been widely accepted because of their excellent performance in detecting small to moderate shifts in the process parameters. In this paper, we propose new EWMA control charts for monitoring the process mean and the process dispersion. These EWMA control charts are based on the best linear unbiased estimators obtained under ordered double ranked set sampling (ODRSS) and ordered imperfect double ranked set sampling (OIDRSS) schemes, named EWMA‐ODRSS and EWMA‐OIDRSS charts, respectively. We use Monte Carlo simulations to estimate the average run length, median run length, and standard deviation of run length of the proposed EWMA charts. We compare the performances of the proposed EWMA charts with the existing EWMA charts when detecting shifts in the process mean and in the process variability. It turns out that the EWMA‐ODRSS mean chart performs uniformly better than the classical EWMA, fast initial response‐based EWMA, Shewhart‐EWMA, and hybrid EWMA mean charts. The EWMA‐ODRSS mean chart also outperforms the Shewhart‐EWMA mean charts based on ranked set sampling (RSS) and median RSS schemes and the EWMA mean chart based on ordered RSS scheme. Moreover, the graphical comparisons of the EWMA dispersion charts reveal that the proposed EWMA‐ODRSS and EWMA‐OIDRSS charts are more sensitive than their counterparts. We also provide illuminating examples to illustrate the implementation of the proposed EWMA mean and dispersion charts. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

New Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Charts for Monitoring Process Dispersion

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts have received considerable attention for detecting small changes in the process mean or the process variability. Several EWMA control charts are constructed using logarithmic and normalizing transformations on unbiased sample variance for monitoring changes in the process dispersion. In this paper, we propose new EWMA control charts for monitoring process dispersion based on the best linear unbiased absolute estimators obtained under simple random sampling (SRS) and ranked set sampling (RSS) schemes, named EWMA‐SRS and EWMA‐RSS control charts. The performance of the proposed EWMA control charts is evaluated in terms of the average run length and standard deviation of run length, estimated by using Monte Carlo simulations. The proposed EWMA control charts are then compared with their existing counterparts for detecting increases and decreases in the process dispersion. It turns out that the EWMA‐RSS control chart performs uniformly better than its analogues for detecting overall changes in process dispersion. Moreover, the EWMA‐SRS chart significantly outperforms the existing EWMA charts for detecting increases in process variability. A real data set is also used to explain the construction and operations of the proposed EWMA control charts. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A New Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring Process Dispersion

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts have been widely recognized as an advanced statistical process monitoring tool due to their excellent performance in detecting small to moderate shifts in process parameters. In this paper, we propose a new EWMA control chart for monitoring the process dispersion based on the best linear unbiased absolute estimator (BLUAE) obtained under paired ranked set sampling (PRSS) scheme, which we name EWMA‐PRSS chart. The performance of the EWMA‐PRSS chart is evaluated in terms of the average run length and standard deviation of run length, estimated using Monte Carlo simulations. These control charts are compared with their existing counterparts for detecting both increases and decreases in the process dispersion. It is observed that the proposed EWMA‐PRSS chart performs uniformly better than the EWMA dispersion charts based on simple random sampling and ranked set sampling (RSS) schemes. We also construct an EWMA chart based on imperfect PRSS (IPRSS) scheme, named EWMA‐IPRSS chart, for detecting overall changes in the process variability. It turns out that, with reasonable assumptions, the EWMA‐IPRSS chart outperforms the existing EWMA dispersion charts. A real data set is used to explain the construction and operation of the proposed EWMA‐PRSS chart. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Monitoring Process Variance Using an ARL‐unbiased EWMA‐p Control Chart

Control charts are effective tools for signal detection in manufacturing processes. As much of the data in industries come from processes having non‐normal or unknown distributions, the commonly used Shewhart variable control charts cannot be appropriately used, because they depend heavily on the normality assumption. The average run length (ARL) is generally used to measure the detection performance of a process when using a control chart, but it is biased for the monitoring statistic with an asymmetric distribution. That is, the ARL‐biased control chart leads to take longer to detect the shifts in parameter than to trigger a false alarm. To overcome this problem, we herein propose an ARL‐unbiased exponentially weighted moving average proportion (EWMA‐p) chart to monitor the process variance for process data with non‐normal or unknown distributions. We further explore the procedure to determine the control limits and to investigate the out‐of‐control variance detection performance of the ARL‐unbiased EWMA‐p chart. With a numerical example involving non‐normal service times from a bank branch in Taiwan, we illustrate the applications of the proposed ARL‐unbiased EWMA‐p chart and also compare the out‐of‐control detection performance of the ARL‐unbiased EWMA‐p chart, the arcsin transformed symmetric EWMA variance, and other existing variance charts. The proposed ARL‐unbiased EWMA‐p chart shows superior detection performance. Thus, we recommend the ARL‐unbiased EWMA‐p chart for process data with non‐normal or unknown distributions. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Run length quantiles of EWMA control charts monitoring normal mean or/and variance

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts are well-established devices for monitoring process stability. Typically, control charts are evaluated by considering their Average Run Length (ARL), that is the expected number of observations or samples until the chart signals. Because of the limitations of an average, various papers also dealt with the run length distribution and quantiles. Going beyond these papers, we develop algorithms for and evaluate the quantile performance of EWMA control charts with variance adjusted control limits and with fast initial response features, of EWMA charts based on the sample variance, and of EWMA charts simultaneously monitoring mean and variance. Additionally, for the mean charts we consider medium, late and very late process changes and their impact on appropriately conditioned run length quantiles. It is demonstrated that considering run length quantiles can protect from constructing distorted EWMA designs while optimising their zero-state ARL performance. The implementation of all the considered measures in the R package ‘spc’ allows any control chart user to consider EWMA schemes from the run length quantile prospective in an easy way.     

A double sampling scheme for process variability monitoring

Control charts are effective tools for signal detection in both manufacturing processes and service processes. Much of the data in service industries come from processes exhibiting nonnormal or unknown distributions. The commonly used Shewhart variable control charts, which depend heavily on the normality assumption, are not appropriately used here. This paper thus proposes a standardized asymmetric exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) variance chart with a double sampling scheme (SDS EWMA‐AV chart) for monitoring process variability. We further explore the sampling properties of the new monitoring statistics and calculate the average run lengths when using the proposed SDS EWMA‐AV chart. The performance of the SDS EWMA‐AV chart and that of the single sampling EWMA variance (SS EWMA‐V) chart are then compared, with the former showing superior out‐of‐control detection performance versus the latter. We also compare the out‐of‐control variance detection performance of the proposed chart with those of nonparametric variance charts, the nonparametric Mood variance chart (NP‐M chart) with runs rules, and the nonparametric likelihood ratio‐based distribution‐free EWMA (NLE) chart and the combination of traditional EWMA (CEW) and the SS EWMA‐V control charts by considering cases in which the critical quality characteristic presents normal, double exponential, uniform, chi‐square, and exponential distributions. Comparison results show that the proposed chart always outperforms the NP‐M with runs rules, the NLE, CEW, and the SS EWMA‐V control charts. We hence recommend employing the SDS EWMA‐AV chart. Finally, a numerical example of a service system for a bank branch in Taiwan is used to illustrate the application of the proposed variability control chart.     

Guaranteed in‐control performance of the EWMA chart for monitoring the mean

Research on the performance evaluation and the design of the Phase II EWMA control chart for monitoring the mean, when parameters are estimated, have mainly focused on the marginal in‐control average run‐length (ARL_IN). Recent research has highlighted the high variability in the in‐control performance of these charts. This has led to the recommendation of studying of the conditional in‐control average run‐length (CARL_IN) distribution. We study the performance and the design of the Phase II EWMA chart for the mean, using the CARL_IN distribution and the exceedance probability criterion (EPC). The CARL_IN distribution is approximated by the Markov Chain method and Monte Carlo simulations. Our results show that in‐order to design charts that guarantee a specified EPC, more Phase I data are needed than previously recommended in the literature. A method for adjusting the Phase II EWMA control chart limits, to achieve a specified EPC, for the available amount of data at hand, is presented. This method does not involve bootstrapping and produces results that are about the same as some existing results. Tables and graphs of the adjusted constants are provided. An in‐control and out‐of‐control performance evaluation of the adjusted limits EWMA chart is presented. Results show that, for moderate to large shifts, the performance of the adjusted limits EWMA chart is quite satisfactory. For small shifts, an in‐control and out‐of‐control performance tradeoff can be made to improve performance.     

A New Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring the Process Mean

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) quality control schemes have been recognized as a potentially powerful process monitoring tool because of their superior speed in detecting small to moderate shifts in the underlying process parameters. In quality control literature, there exist several EWMA charts that are based on simple random sampling (SRS) and ranked set sampling (RSS) schemes. Recently, a mixed RSS (MxRSS) scheme has been introduced, which encompasses both SRS and RSS schemes, and is a cost‐effective alternative to the RSS scheme. In this paper, we propose new EWMA control charts for efficiently monitoring the process mean based on MxRSS and imperfect MxRSS (IMxRSS) schemes, named EWMA–MxRSS and EWMA–IMxRSS charts, respectively. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations are used to estimate the run length characteristics of the proposed EWMA charts. The run length performances of the suggested EWMA charts are compared with the classical EWMA chart based on SRS (EWMA–SRS). It turns out that both EWMA–MxRSS and EWMA–IMxRSS charts perform uniformly better than the EWMA–SRS chart when detecting all different shifts in the process mean. An application to a real data set is provided as an illustration of the design and implementation of the proposed EWMA chart. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Effective application of Q(R) charts in low‐volume manufacturing

Q charts provide means for statistical process control in low‐volume processes and start‐up phases of production. Concerns on their performance have led to research into different types of enhancements and much discussion on the appropriateness of these. Driven by the aim to implement control charts in the low‐volume production of advanced wafer steppers, we investigate the performance of additional run rules and tightening control limits on the traditional Q chart compared with an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA). Furthermore, we develop an alternative QR chart based on the mean moving range as estimator of the process standard deviation and consider the economics of low‐volume processes by means of a specific cost model. The comparisons are based on the run length distributions after a permanent shift and trend, both with an onset early in the process. Real life examples are given for various important variables in wafer stepper production. It is concluded that the EWMA based on QR statistics provides the best performance throughout. Competing alternatives with almost equal performance are the EWMA of Q statistics and the combination of four tests of special causes (1‐of‐1, 2‐of‐3, 4‐of‐5 and 8‐of‐8) applied on either the Q or QR chart. Overall, the mean moving range performs better. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

EWMA control chart limits for first‐ and second‐order autoregressive processes

Today's manufacturing environment has changed since the time when control chart methods were originally introduced. Sequentially observed data are much more common. Serial correlation can seriously affect the performance of the traditional control charts. In this article we derive explicit easy‐to‐use expressions of the variance of an EWMA statistic when the process observations are autoregressive of order 1 or 2. These variances can be used to modify the control limits of the corresponding EWMA control charts. The resulting control charts have the advantage that the data are plotted on the original scale making the charts easier to interpret for practitioners than charts based on residuals. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Mixed Exponentially Weighted Moving Average–Cumulative Sum Charts for Process Monitoring

The control chart is a very popular tool of statistical process control. It is used to determine the existence of special cause variation to remove it so that the process may be brought in statistical control. Shewhart‐type control charts are sensitive for large disturbances in the process, whereas cumulative sum (CUSUM)–type and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA)–type control charts are intended to spot small and moderate disturbances. In this article, we proposed a mixed EWMA–CUSUM control chart for detecting a shift in the process mean and evaluated its average run lengths. Comparisons of the proposed control chart were made with some representative control charts including the classical CUSUM, classical EWMA, fast initial response CUSUM, fast initial response EWMA, adaptive CUSUM with EWMA‐based shift estimator, weighted CUSUM and runs rules–based CUSUM and EWMA. The comparisons revealed that mixing the two charts makes the proposed scheme even more sensitive to the small shifts in the process mean than the other schemes designed for detecting small shifts. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

EWMA and DEWMA Control Charts for Poisson‐Exponential Distribution: Conditional Median Approach for Censored Data

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts are consistently used for the detection of small shifts contrary to Shewhart charts, which are commonly used for the detection of large shifts in the process. There are many interesting features of EWMA charts that have been studied for complete data in the literature. The aim of present study is to introduce and compare the double exponentially weighted moving average (DEWMA) and EWMA control charts under type‐I censoring for Poisson‐exponential distribution. The monitoring of mean level shifts using censored data is of a great interest in many applied problems. Moreover, a new idea of conditional median is introduced and further compared with the existing conditional expected values approach for monitoring the small mean level shifts. The performance of the DEWMA and EWMA charts is evaluated using the average run length, expected quadratic loss, and performance comparison index measures. The optimum sample size comparisons for the specified and unspecified parameters are also part of this study. Two applications for practical considerations are also discussed. It is observed that different censoring rates and the size of shifts significantly affect the performance of the EWMA and DEWMA charts. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Exponentially weighted moving average control charts based on the moving average statistic and lnS2 for monitoring a Weibull process with subgroups

In this paper, we propose 2 new exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts based on the moving average (MA) statistic and lnS2 to monitor the process mean and variability of a Weibull process with subgroups. The inverse error function is used to transform the Weibull‐distributed data to a standard normal distribution. The Markov chain approach is used to derive the average run length (ARL). Subsequently, the performances of the proposed charts with other existing control charts are provided. The comparison shows that the EWMA‐MA outperforms the and EWMA‐ control charts for monitoring the process mean of ARL values. The comparison also shows that the EWMA‐lnS2 outperforms the S2 and S2‐MA control charts for monitoring the process variability of ARL value. Two examples are used to illustrate the application of the proposed control charts.     

Improved Fast Initial Response Features for Exponentially Weighted Moving Average and Cumulative Sum Control Charts

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) and cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts have found extensive applications in industry. The sensitivity of these quality control schemes can be increased by using fast initial response (FIR) features. In this paper, we introduce some improved FIR features for EWMA and CUSUM control charts and evaluate their performance in terms of average run length. We compare the proposed FIR‐based EWMA and CUSUM control schemes with some existing control schemes, that is, EWMA, FIR‐EWMA, CUSUM, and FIR‐CUSUM. It is noteworthy that the proposed control schemes are uniformly better than the other schemes considered here. An illustrative example is also given to demonstrate the implementation of the proposed control schemes. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A EWMA Control Chart for Exponential Distributed Quality Based on Moving Average Statistics

We propose an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart for monitoring exponential distributed quality characteristics. The proposed control chart first transforms the sample data to approximate normal variables, then calculates the moving average (MA) statistic for each subgroup, and finally constructs the EWMA statistic based on the current and the previous MA statistics. The upper and the lower control limits are derived using the mean and the variance of EWMA statistics. The in‐control and the out‐of‐control average run lengths are derived and tabularized according to process shift parameters and smoothing constants. It is shown that the proposed control chart outperforms the MA control chart for all shift parameters. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

New memory‐type dispersion control charts

The exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is a memory‐type process monitoring tool that is frequently used to monitor small and moderate disturbances in the process mean and/or process dispersion. In this study, we propose 2 new memory‐type control charts for monitoring changes in the process dispersion, namely, the generally weighted moving average and the hybrid EWMA charts. We use Monte Carlo simulations to compute the run length profiles of the proposed control charts. The run length comparisons of the proposed and existing charts reveal that the generally weighted moving average and hybrid EWMA charts provide better protection than the existing EWMA chart when detecting small to moderate shifts in the process dispersion. An illustrative dataset is also used to show the superiority of the proposed charts over the existing chart.     

CS‐EWMA Chart for Monitoring Process Dispersion

Control charts are the most extensively used technique to detect the presence of special cause variations in processes. They can be classified into memory and memoryless control charts. Cumulative sum and exponentially weighted moving average control charts are memory‐type control charts as their control structures are developed in such a way that the past information is not ignored as it is done in the case of memoryless control charts, like the Shewhart‐type control charts. The present study is based on the proposal of a new memory‐type control chart for process dispersion. This chart is named as CS‐EWMA chart as its plotting statistic is based on a cumulative sum of the exponentially weighted moving averages. Comparisons with other memory charts used to monitor the process dispersion are done by means of the average run length. An illustration of the proposed technique is done by applying the CS‐EWMA chart on a simulated dataset. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An exponentially weighted moving average chart based on likelihood‐ratio test for monitoring Weibull mean and variance with subgroups

Monitoring changes in the Weibull mean and variance simultaneously is of interest in quality control. The mean and variance of a Weibull process are determined by its shape and scale parameters. Most studies are focused on monitoring the Weibull scale parameter with fixed shape parameter or the Weibull shape parameter with fixed scale parameter. In this paper, we propose an exponentially weighted moving average chart based on the likelihood‐ratio test and an inverse error function called ELR chart to monitor changes in the Weibull mean and variance simultaneously. The simulation approach is used to derive the average run length. We compare our proposed chart with other existing control charts for 3 cases, including scale parameter changes with fixed shape parameter, shape parameter changes with fixed scale parameter, and both parameters changes. The results show that the ELR chart outperforms the other control charts in terms of average run length in most cases. Two numerical examples are used to illustrate the applications of the proposed control chart.     

Progressive mean control chart is not a special case of an exponentially weighted moving average control chart

The progressive mean (PM) statistic is based on a simple idea of accumulating information of each subgroup by calculating the average progressively. Its weighting structure is based on a subgroup number that changes arithmetically, which makes the PM chart unique and efficient compared with the existing classical memory control charts. In a recent article (see reference 1), it was claimed that the PM chart is a special case of the exponentially weighted moving average (EMWA) chart. In this article, it is shown that even though the PM statistic can be written in the form of an EWMA statistic, the variance of the PM statistic is different from that of the EWMA statistic. Consequently, the limits of the PM chart are different from that of the EWMA chart. Therefore, it is found that the PM chart is not a special case of the EWMA chart; hence, the claim in reference 1 is incorrect. Furthermore, it is pointed out in this paper that no adaptive property in the weighting parameter of the PM statistic exists, further contradicting the claim in reference 1.