模糊随机决策环境下的核电站不常用条件(Q,r)库存模型

针对固定提前期内的需求为三角模糊变量,且用户总需求为梯形模糊随机变量的情形下,构建了不常用备件连续盘点模式下的（Q,r）模型,并推导出模糊成本最小化函数,进而利用基于模糊数期望值理论的去模糊化方法,求出最优订货点及订货量．最后,通过一个实例验证了模型的科学性和实用性．     

A periodic review inventory model involving fuzzy expected demand short and fuzzy backorder rate

The purpose of this paper is to extend [Ouyang, L. Y., Chuang, B. R. (2001). A periodic review inventory-control system with variable lead time. International Journal of Information and Management Sciences, 12, 1–13] periodic review inventory model with variable lead time by considering the fuzziness of expected demand shortage and backorder rate. We fuzzify the expected shortage quantity at the end of cycle and the backorder (or lost sales) rate, and then obtain the fuzzy total expected annual cost. Using the signed distance method to defuzzify, we derive the estimate of total expected annual cost in the fuzzy sense. For the proposed model, we provide a solution procedure to find the optimal review period and optimal lead time in the fuzzy sense so that the total expected annual cost in the fuzzy sense has a minimum value. Furthermore, a numerical example is provided and the results of fuzzy and crisp models are compared.     

A production inventory model with fuzzy random demand and with flexibility and reliability considerations

The classical inventory control models assume that items are produced by perfectly reliable production process with a fixed set-up cost. While the reliability of the production process cannot be increased without a price, its set-up cost can be reduced with investment in flexibility improvement. In this paper, a production inventory model with flexibility and reliability (of production process) consideration is developed in an imprecise and uncertain mixed environment. The aim of this paper is to introduce demand as a fuzzy random variable in an imperfect production process. Here, the set-up cost and the reliability of the production process along with the production period are the decision variables. Due to fuzzy-randomness of the demand, expected average profit of the model is a fuzzy quantity and its graded mean integration value (GMIV) is optimized using unconstraint signomial geometric programming to determine optimal decision for the decision maker (DM). A numerical example has been considered to illustrate the model.     

Multi-item partial backlogging inventory models over random planninghorizon in random fuzzy environment

In this paper, some multi-item inventory models for deteriorating items are developed in a random planning horizon under inflation and time value money with space and budget constraints. The proposed models allow stock dependent consumption rate and partially backlogged shortages. Here the time horizon is a random variable with exponential distribution. The inventory parameters other than planning horizon are deterministic in one model and in the other, the deterioration and net value of the money are fuzzy, available budget and space are fuzzy and random fuzzy respectively. Fuzzy and random fuzzy constraints have been defuzzified using possibility and possibility–probability chance constraint techniques. The fuzzy objective function also has been defuzzified using possibility chance constraint against a goal. Both deterministic optimization problems are formulated for maximization of profit and solved using genetic algorithm (GA) and fuzzy simulation based genetic algorithm (FAGA). The models are illustrated with some numerical data. Results for different achievement levels are obtained and sensitivity analysis on expected profit function is also presented.Scope and purposeThe traditional inventory model considers the ideal case in which depletion of inventory is caused by a constant demand rate. However for more sale, inventory should be maintained at a higher level. Of course, this would result in higher holding or procurement cost, etc. Also, in many real situations, during a shortage period, the longer the waiting time is, the smaller the backlogging rate would be. For instance, for fashionable commodities and high-tech products with short product life cycle, the willingness for a customer to wait for backlogging diminishes with the length of the waiting time. Most of the classical inventory models did not take into account the effects of inflation and time value of money. But at present, the economic situation of most of the countries has been much deteriorated due to large scale inflation and consequent sharp decline in the purchasing power of money. So, it has not been possible to ignore the effects of inflation and time value of money any further. The purpose of this article is to maximize the expected profit of two inventory control systems in the random planning horizon.     

Multiple lot-sizing decisions with an interrupted geometric yield and variable production time

This study examines a multiple lot-sizing problem for a single-stage production system with an interrupted geometric distribution, which is distinguished in involving variable production lead-time. In a finite number of setups, this study determined the optimal lot-size for each period that minimizes total expected cost. The following cost items are considered in optimum lot-sizing decisions: setup cost, variable production cost, inventory holding cost, and shortage cost. A dynamic programming model is formulated in which the duration between current time and due date is a stage variable, and remaining demand and work-in-process status are state variables. This study then presents an algorithm for solving the dynamic programming problem. Additionally, this study examines how total expected costs of optimal lot-sizing decisions vary when parameters are changed. Numerical results show that the optimum lot-size as a function of demand is not always monotonic.     

The (<Emphasis Type="Italic">p</Emphasis>, <Emphasis Type="Italic">q</Emphasis>, <Emphasis Type="Italic">r</Emphasis>, <Emphasis Type="Italic">l</Emphasis>) model for stochastic demand under Intuitionistic fuzzy aggregation with Bonferroni mean

This paper investigates a hill type economic production-inventory quantity (EPIQ) model with variable lead-time, order size and reorder point for uncertain demand. The average expected cost function is formulated by trading off costs of lead-time, inventory, lost sale and partial backordering. Due to the nature of the demand function, the frequent peak (maximum) and valley (minimum) of the expected cost function occur within a specific range of lead time. The aim of this paper is to search the lowest valley of all the valley points (minimum objective values) under fuzzy stochastic demand rate. We consider Intuitionistic fuzzy sets for the parameters and used Intuitionistic Fuzzy Aggregation Bonferroni mean for the defuzzification of the hill type EPIQ model. Finally, numerical examples and graphical illustrations are made to justify the model.     

供应链库存的模糊机会约束规划模型

研究了不确定环境下的供应链库存优化问题。考虑需求为模糊量,且可能在一定条件下不满足约束条件的决策前提,用三角模糊数表示需求,结合可能性理论中的可信性测度,建立了多品种联合补充的模糊机会约束规划模型,目标函数为最小化供应链订货成本和库存成本的期望值。用遗传算法对优化模型求解,以目标函数值作为染色体适应度,给出了编码方案及选择、交叉、变异算子。用数值实例进行了仿真计算,证明了模型和算法的有效性和性能,并给出了不同置信水平下的计算结果。     

Continuous review inventory models with a mixture of backorders and lost sales under fuzzy demand and different decision situations

In this paper, continuous review inventory models in which a fraction of demand is backordered and the remaining fraction is lost during the stock out period are considered under fuzzy demands. In order to find the optimal decision under different situations, two decision methods are proposed. The first one is finding a minimum value of the expected annual total cost, and the second one is maximizing the credibility of an event that the total cost in the planning periods does not exceed a certain budget level. For the first decision method, an approach of ranking fuzzy numbers by their possibilistic mean value is adopted to achieve the optimal solution. For the second one, the technique of fuzzy simulation and differential evolution algorithms are integrated to design hybrid intelligent algorithms to solve the fuzzy models. Subsequently, the two decision models are compared and some advices about inventory cash flow management are given. Further, sensitivity analysis is conducted to give more general situations to illustrate the rationality of the management advices.     

不确定环境下三级应急系统部分转运策略

针对应急系统中的多点库存共享问题,研究了需求为随机模糊变量情形下的应急调货策略。考虑一个三级多品种的应急供应系统,当缺货发生时,各供应点之间可依据就近应急转运的原则共享部分库存,据此建立了有需求满足时间约束和各供应点库容空间限制的系统总费用随机模糊期望值模型,提出了一种粒子群优化算法和模拟退火算法相结合的先进计算方法(PSO-SA算法)对模型进行了求解,结合算例分析了转运点、就近转运时间、单位物品库容空间等因素变动对部分转运的影响,并验证了算法的有效性和模型的适用性。     

A single period inventory model with a truncated normally distributed fuzzy random variable demand

In this article, a single period inventory model has been considered in the mixed fuzzy random environment by assuming the annual customer demand to be a fuzzy random variable. Since assuming demand to be normally distributed implies that some amount of demand information is being automatically taken to be negative, the model has been developed for two cases, using the non-truncated and the truncated normal distributions. The problem has been developed to represent scenarios where the aim of the decision-maker is to determine the optimal order quantity such that the expected profit is greater than or equal to a predetermined target. This ‘greater than or equal to’ inequality has been modelled as a fuzzy inequality and a methodology has been developed to this effect. This methodology has been illustrated through a numerical example.     

Comparison of fuzzy inference system (FIS), FIS with artificial neural networks (FIS + ANN) and FIS with adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (FIS + ANFIS) for inventory control

Conventional inventory models mostly cope with a known demand and adequate supply, but are not realistic for many industries. In this research, the fuzzy inference system (FIS) model, FIS with artificial neural network (ANN) model and FIS with adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model in which both supply and demand are uncertain were applied for the inventory system. For FIS model, the generated fuzzy rules were applied to draw out the fuzzy order quantity continuously. The order quantity was adjusted according to the FIS model with the evaluation algorithm for the inventory model. The output of FIS model was also used as data for FIS + ANN and FIS + ANFIS models. The FIS + ANFIS model was studied with three membership functions; trapezoidal and triangular (Trap), Gaussian and bell shape. Inventory costs of the proposed models were compared with the stochastic economic order quantity (EOQ) models based on previous data of a case study factory. The results showed that the FIS + ANFIS_Gauss model gave the best performance of total inventory cost saving by more than 75 % compared to stochastic EOQ model.     

Joint determination of order quantity and reorder point of continuous review model under quantity and freight rate discounts

The increased emphasis on transportation costs has enhanced the need to develop models with transportation consideration explicitly. However, in stochastic inventory models, the transportation cost is considered implicitly as part of fixed ordering cost and thus is assumed to be independent of the size of the shipment. As such, the effect of the transportation and purchasing costs are not adequately reflected in final planning decisions. In this paper, transportation and purchasing considerations are integrated with continuous review inventory model. The objective is to view the system as an integrated whole and determine the lot size and reorder point which minimize the expected total cost per unit time. In addition, procedures are developed to solve the proposed models. Numerical experiments are also performed to explore the effect of key parameters on lot size, reorder point and expected total cost. The new models have a significant impact on lot size, reorder point and expected total cost. Savings up to 17.15% of the expected total cost are realized when using the proposed models.     

Periodic review fuzzy inventory model with variable lead time and fuzzy demand

This paper investigates a periodic review fuzzy inventory model with lead time, reorder point, and cycle length as decision variables. The main goal of this study is to minimize the expected total annual cost by simultaneously optimizing cycle length, reorder point, and lead time for the whole system based on fuzzy demand. Two models are considered in this paper: one with normal demand distribution and another with a distribution‐free approach. The model assumes a logarithmic investment function for lost‐sale rate reduction. Furthermore, two separate efficient computational algorithms are explained to obtain the optimal solution. Some numerical examples are given to illustrate the model.     

Two parameter tuned multi-objective evolutionary algorithms for a bi-objective vendor managed inventory model with trapezoidal fuzzy demand

This paper presents a bi-objective vendor managed inventory (BOVMI) model for a supply chain problem with a single vendor and multiple retailers, in which the demand is fuzzy and the vendor manages the retailers’ inventory in a central warehouse. The vendor confronts two constraints: number of orders and available budget. In this model, the fuzzy demand is formulated using trapezoidal fuzzy number (TrFN) where the centroid defuzzification method is employed to defuzzify fuzzy output functions. Minimizing both the total inventory cost and the warehouse space are the two objectives of the model. Since the proposed model is formulated into a bi-objective integer nonlinear programming (INLP) problem, the multi-objective evolutionary algorithm (MOEA) of non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II (NSGA-II) is developed to find Pareto front solutions. Besides, since there is no benchmark available in the literature to validate the solutions obtained, another MOEA, namely the non-dominated ranking genetic algorithms (NRGA), is developed to solve the problem as well. To improve the performances of both algorithms, their parameters are calibrated using the Taguchi method. Finally, conclusions are made and future research works are recommended.     

Optimal run lengths in deteriorating production processes in random fuzzy environments

This paper presents a random fuzzy economic manufacturing quantity (EMQ) model in a deteriorating process. It is assumed that the setup cost and the average holding cost are characterized as fuzzy variables and the elapsed time until shift is a random fuzzy variable. As a function of these parameters, the average total cost is also a random fuzzy variable, and the unimodality of its expected value is studied. To obtain the optimal run length and the minimum average cost, simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation (SPSA) algorithm based on random fuzzy simulation is provided. Random fuzzy EMQ models with fuzzy deterioration, fuzzy linear deterioration and fuzzy exponential deterioration are presented, respectively. These models can be solved by the proposed algorithm. Numerical examples are presented in the end.     

基于混合需求的供应链多级库存协同订货模型

针对供应链多级库存系统存在混合需求的情况,建立了基于混合需求的多级库存协同订货模型。该模型假设在供应链中只有最下游节点面临的需求是独立需求,而其他上游节点面临的需求都是与之相关的相关需求。由于相关需求是一种块状需求,其库存成本构成与独立需求明显不同。因此,通过对多级库存系统的库存成本构成进行重新分析,分别给出了需求确定时不允许缺货和允许缺货的协同订货模型。另外,还通过对安全库存的分析给出了需求不确定时的协同订货模型。最后,给出了模型求解的遗传算法,并进行了实例仿真分析,展示了这种协同订货模型在混合需求的供应链中的实用性。     

Inventory policy of a deteriorating item with variable demand under trade credit period

In this paper, an inventory model of a deteriorating item with stock and selling price dependent demand under two-level credit period has been developed. Here, the retailer enjoys a price discount if he pays normal purchase cost on or before the first level of credit period, or an interest is charged for the delay of payments. In return, retailer also offers a fixed credit period to his customers to boost the demand. In this regard, the authors develop an EOQ model incorporating the effect of inflation and time value of money over all the costs. Keeping the business of seasonal products in mind, it is assumed that planning horizon of business is random and follows a normal distribution with a known mean and standard deviation. The model is formulated as retailer’s profit maximization problem for both crisp and fuzzy inventory costs and solved using a modified Genetic Algorithm (MGA). This algorithm is developed following fuzzy age based selection process for crossover and gradually reducing mutation parameter. For different values of MGA parameters, optimum results are obtained. Numerical experiments are performed to illustrate the model.     

需求和回收品均随机的制造-再制造系统生产控制

需求及回收品数量和时间的不确定性, 导致制造-再制造系统的库存管理非常困难. 为控制库存尽可能位于某一合理区间内, 在假设库存水平变化由无负跳跃Lévy 过程描述条件下, 利用更新过程和鞅理论, 构建了系统期望折扣总费用模型, 并采用交叉熵法确定最优的生产速率和调整阈值. 最后, 通过仿真实验分析了回收品、需求和系统参数对最优控制策略和期望折扣费用的影响.     

Economic lot sizing in a production system with random demand

An extended economic production quantity model that copes with random demand is developed in this paper. A unique feature of the proposed study is the consideration of transient shortage during the production stage, which has not been explicitly analysed in existing literature. The considered costs include set-up cost for the batch production, inventory carrying cost during the production and depletion stages in one replenishment cycle, and shortage cost when demand cannot be satisfied from the shop floor immediately. Based on renewal reward process, a per-unit-time expected cost model is developed and analysed. Under some mild condition, it can be shown that the approximate cost function is convex. Computational experiments have demonstrated that the average reduction in total cost is significant when the proposed lot sizing policy is compared with those with deterministic demand.     

Incorporating human learning into a fuzzy EOQ inventory model with backorders

Even though publications on fuzzy inventory problems are constantly increasing, modelling the decision maker’s characteristics and their effect on his/her decisions and consequently on the planning outcome has not attracted much attention in the literature. In order to fill this research gap and model reality more accurately, this paper develops a new fuzzy EOQ inventory model with backorders that considers human learning over the planning horizon. The paper is an extension of an existing EOQ inventory model with backorders in which both demand and lead times are fuzzified. Here, the assumption of constant fuzziness is relaxed by incorporating the concept of learning in fuzziness into the model considering that the degree of fuzziness reduces over the planning horizon. The proposed fuzzy EOQ inventory model with backorders and learning in fuzziness has a good performance in efficiency. Finally, it is worth mentioning that learning in fuzziness decreases the total inventory cost.