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1.
Conventional energy technologies are not environmentally friendly, are not renewable, and also the cost of using fossil and nuclear fuels will go higher and higher (anecdotal evidence suggests that consumers will be paying three times their current bill 5 years from now). Therefore, renewable energy sources will play important roles in electricity generation. This paper highlights the advantages of renewable technologies, like future prospects for the poor population, being environmentally friendly, and also available in abundance. This paper points outs the factors seeking hydrogen energy and fuel cell technology to eradicate environmental disasters. This paper is significant as it looks into optimal utilization of renewable energy sources with major emphasis on H2 optimization and fuel cells application utilizing cogeneration technology. This paper discusses the multiple hydrogen production pathways from different sources, including renewable and nonrenewable sources, H2 safety, and also barriers to use of hydrogen energy. This paper recommends different types of quantitative and qualitative methods for optimal energy planning, and different types of fuel cells are also discussed. This paper explains a hybrid system inclusive of renewable energy, with its types and benefits. Finally, this paper concludes that Australia could switch from conventional fossil fuel technology to hybrid energy inclusive of renewable energy.  相似文献   

2.
The IPFC is a high efficiency energy cycle, which converts fossil and biomass fuel to electricity and co-product hydrogen and liquid transportation fuels (gasoline and diesel). The cycle consists of two basic units, a hydrogen plasma black reactor (HPBR) which converts the carbonaceous fuel feedstock to elemental carbon and hydrogen and CO gas. The carbon is used as fuel in a direct carbon fuel cell (DCFC), which generates electricity, a small part of which is used to power the plasma reactor. The gases are cleaned and water gas shifted for either hydrogen or syngas formation. The hydrogen is separated for production or the syngas is catalytically converted in a Fischer–Tropsch (F–T) reactor to gasoline and/or diesel fuel. Based on the demonstrated efficiencies of each of the component reactors, the overall IPFC thermal efficiency for electricity and hydrogen or transportation fuel is estimated to vary from 70 to 90% depending on the feedstock and the co-product gas or liquid fuel produced. The CO2 emissions are proportionately reduced and are in concentrated streams directly ready for sequestration. Preliminary cost estimates indicate that IPFC is highly competitive with respect to conventional integrated combined cycle plants (NGCC and IGCC) for production of electricity and hydrogen and transportation fuels.  相似文献   

3.
Hydrogen supplying to industrial users is currently the major hydrogen business worldwide and the demand for hydrogen is almost entirely supplied from fossil fuels. In the last years a widespread interest on hydrogen has grown as energy vector for the decarbonization of multiple sectors, including industry, transport and buildings. Nevertheless, the impact of natural gas and other fossil fuels substitution with hydrogen is highly affected by the mix of different technologies and energy sources applied for hydrogen generation.The paper aims to investigate current CO2 emissions related with hydrogen generation in Australia and Italy by means of PEM and alkaline technologies; and to evaluate the potential impact considering cell characteristics variation and 3 scenarios based on energy mix. A sensitivity analysis is performed to identify the critical parameters. Based on experimental data, the energy consumption for hydrogen production using PEM technology is more sensitive to cell voltage compared to current density, which indicates the importance of cell manufacturing and electrolyte resistance. In addition, by performing sensitivity analysis regarding energy sources scenarios it is found that carbon dioxide emission in Australia is more sensitive to renewable energy sources rather than Italy.  相似文献   

4.
Future electricity production will use fossil-free sources with zero CO2 emission or closed carbon cycle technologies based on renewable sources. While hydrogen is considered a key energy source, its production at present time relies heavily on fossil fuels. Furthermore, distribution and storage are not well established and require substantial investments. This is a strong motivation to identify alternative, safe, high power density hydrogen carriers, where existing logistics and infrastructure can be utilized. In this contribution, ammonia and biogas are considered for high-efficient electricity production in solid oxide fuel cells (SOFCs). It is demonstrated that the properties and operating conditions of SOFC allow for direct use of these fuels, with fuel pretreatment inside the SOFC anode. The high efficient electricity production using pure ammonia or real biogas was successfully proven on state-of-the-art SOFCs. Even without optimization of operating parameters, electrical efficiencies of 40–50% and high and stable power output were demonstrated.  相似文献   

5.
Population growth and the expansion of industries have increased energy demand and the use of fossil fuels as an energy source, resulting in release of greenhouse gases (GHG) and increased air pollution. Countries are therefore looking for alternatives to fossil fuels for energy generation. Using hydrogen as an energy carrier is one of the most promising alternatives to replace fossil fuels in electricity generation. It is therefore essential to know how hydrogen is produced. Hydrogen can be produced by splitting the water molecules in an electrolyser, using the abondand water resources, which are covering around ? of the Earth's surface. Electrolysers, however, require high-quality water, with conductivity in the range of 0.1–1 μS/cm. In January 2018, there were 184 offshore oil and gas rigs in the North Sea which may be excellent sites for hydrogen production from seawater. The hydrogen production process reported in this paper is based on a proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyser with an input flow rate of 300 L/h. A financially optimal system for producing demineralized water from seawater, with conductivity in the range of 0.1–1 μS/cm as the input for electrolyser, by WAVE (Water Application Value Engine) design software was studied. The costs of producing hydrogen using the optimised system was calculated to be US$3.51/kg H2. The best option for low-cost power generation, using renewable resources such as photovoltaic (PV) devices, wind turbines, as well as electricity from the grid was assessed, considering the location of the case considered. All calculations were based on assumption of existing cable from the grid to the offshore, meaning that the cost of cables and distribution infrastructure were not considered. Models were created using HOMER Pro (Hybrid Optimisation of Multiple Energy Resources) software to optimise the microgrids and the distributed energy resources, under the assumption of a nominal discount rate, inflation rate, project lifetime, and CO2 tax in Norway. Eight different scenarios were examined using HOMER Pro, and the main findings being as follows:The cost of producing water with quality required by the electrolyser is low, compared with the cost of electricity for operation of the electrolyser, and therefore has little effect on the total cost of hydrogen production (less than 1%).The optimal solution was shown to be electricity from the grid, which has the lowest levelised cost of energy (LCOE) of the options considered. The hydrogen production cost using electricity from the grid was about US$ 5/kg H2.Grid based electricity resulted in the lowest hydrogen production cost, even when costs for CO2 emissions in Norway, that will start to apply in 2025 was considered, being approximately US$7.7/kg H2.From economical point of view, wind energy was found to be a more economical than solar.  相似文献   

6.
The purpose of this study is to assess the political, economic and environmental impacts of producing hydrogen from biomass. Hydrogen is a promising renewable fuel for transportation and domestic applications. Hydrogen is a secondary form of energy that has to be manufactured like electricity. The promise of hydrogen as an energy carrier that can provide pollution-free, carbon-free power and fuels for buildings, industry, and transport makes it a potentially critical player in our energy future. Currently, most hydrogen is derived from non-renewable resources by steam reforming in which fossil fuels, primarily natural gas, but could in principle be generated from renewable resources such as biomass by gasification. Hydrogen production from fossil fuels is not renewable and produces at least the same amount of CO2 as the direct combustion of the fossil fuel. The production of hydrogen from biomass has several advantages compared to that of fossil fuels. The major problem in utilization of hydrogen gas as a fuel is its unavailability in nature and the need for inexpensive production methods. Hydrogen production using steam reforming methane is the most economical method among the current commercial processes. These processes use non-renewable energy sources to produce hydrogen and are not sustainable. It is believed that in the future biomass can become an important sustainable source of hydrogen. Several studies have shown that the cost of producing hydrogen from biomass is strongly dependent on the cost of the feedstock. Biomass, in particular, could be a low-cost option for some countries. Therefore, a cost-effective energy-production process could be achieved in which agricultural wastes and various other biomasses are recycled to produce hydrogen economically. Policy interest in moving towards a hydrogen-based economy is rising, largely because converting hydrogen into useable energy can be more efficient than fossil fuels and has the virtue of only producing water as the by-product of the process. Achieving large-scale changes to develop a sustained hydrogen economy requires a large amount of planning and cooperation at national and international alike levels.  相似文献   

7.
Biomass is one of the renewable energy resources which can be used instead of fossil fuels to diminish environment pollution and emission of greenhouse gases. Hydrogen as a biomass is considered as an alternative fuel which can be derived from a variety of domestically available primary sources. In this paper, a hydrogen and electricity co-generation plant with rice husk is proposed. Rice husk with water vapor and oxygen produces syngas in gasifier. In this design, electricity is generated by using two Rankine cycles. The Results show that the net electric efficiency and hydrogen production efficiency are 1.5% and 40.0%, respectively. Hydrogen production is 1.316 kg/s in case which carbon dioxide is gathered and stored. The electricity generation is 5.923 MWe. The main propose of implementing Rankine cycle is to eliminate hydrogen combustion for generating electricity and to reduce NOx production. Furthermore, three kinds of membranes are studied in this paper.  相似文献   

8.
The adoption of new environmentally responsible technologies, as well as, energy efficiency improvements in equipment and processes help to reduce CO2 rate emission into the atmosphere, contributing in delaying the consequences of intensive use of fossil fuels. For more effective actions, it is necessary to make the transition from the fossil-based to the renewable source economy. In this context, hydrogen fuel has a special role as clean vector of energy. Hydrogen has the potential to be decisive in mitigating greenhouse gas emissions, but fossil fuels high profitability due to global energy dependency actually drives the global economy.While renewable energy sources are not worldwide fully established, new technologies should be developed and used for the recovery of energetic streams nowadays wasted, to decarbonize hydrocarbons and to improve systems efficiency creating a path that can help nations and industries in the needed energy economy transition. Hydrogen gas can be generated by various methods from different sources such as coal and water. Currently, almost all of the hydrogen production is for industrial purpose and comes from the Steam Reforming, while the use of hydrogen in fuel cells is only incipient.The article analysis the plasma pyrolysis of hydrocarbons as a decarbonization option to contribute as a step towards hydrogen economy. It presents the Carbon Black and Hydrogen Process (CB&H Process) as an alternative option for hydrogen generation at large scale facility, suitable for supplying large amounts of high-purity carbon in elemental form. CB&H Process refers to a plant with hydrogen thermal plasma reactor able to decompose Hydrocarbons (HC's) into Hydrogen (H2) and Carbon Black (CB), a cleaner technology than its competing processes, capable of generating two products with high added value. Considering the Brazilian context in which more than 80% of the generated electricity comes from renewable sources, the use of electricity as one of the inputs in the process does not compromise the objective of reducing greenhouse gas emissions. It is important to consider that the use of renewable energy to produce two products derived from fossil fuels in a clean way represents integration of technologies into a more efficient system and an arrangement that contributes to the transition from fossil fuels to renewables.The economic viability of the CB&H process as a hydrogen generation unit (centralized) for refining applications also depends on the cost of hydrogen production by competing processes. Steam Methane Reforming (SMR) is a widespread method that produces twice the amount of hydrogen generated by natural gas plasma pyrolysis, but it emits CO2 gas and consumes water, while CB&H process produces solid carbon. For this reason, the paper seeks the carbon production cost by plasma pyrolysis as a breakeven point for large-scale hydrogen generation without water consumption and carbon dioxide emissions.  相似文献   

9.
Towards a sustainable energy supply is a clear direction for exploratory research in Shell. Examples of energy carriers, which should be delivered to the envisaged sustainable energy markets, are bio-fuels, produced from biomass residues, and hydrogen (or electricity), produced from renewable sources. In contrast to the readily available ancient sunlight stored in fossil fuels, the harvesting of incident sunlight will be intermittent, efficient electricity and hydrogen storage technologies need to be developed. Research to develop those energy chains is going on, but the actual transformation from current fossil fuel based to sustainable energy markets will take a considerable time. In the meantime the fossil fuel based energy markets have to be transformed to mitigate the impact of the use of fossil fuels. Some elements in this transformation are fuels for ultra-clean combustion (hydrocarbons and oxygenates), hydrogen from fossil fuels, fuels for processors for fuel cells, carbon sequestration.  相似文献   

10.
Fossil fuels account for about 80% of the world annual energy demands. Renewables contribute 14% and nuclear some 6%. These numbers will soon change as the world's population grows, energy demand rises, cheap oil and gas deplete, global warming effects continue rising and city pollution worsens the living conditions. The development of energy sources and devices will emerge more aggressively to address the world's energy and environmental situation. A concept of using hydrogen as an energy carrier or storage as a fuel, a replacement of burning fluid fossil fuels is presented. Sources of energy from which hydrogen can be produced in a massive quantity and at a low cost are briefly surveyed. A short account of devices to be employed for hydrogen production is given. Primarily the sun, sea, runoff waters, winds and fissionable materials are to be utilized. The discussion on the inexhaustibility of naturally occurring sources utilized and/or harnessed in this process will lead to the low cost for hydrogen production. Some hydrogen rich products including hydrogen sulfide and methane accompany the oil, gas and brine, when they are pumped out of the ground. While methane is used sometimes as fuel; the hydrogen sulfide is disposed off invariably. In principle, hydrogen can be extracted from these waste products. We discuss here to produce hydrogen in economically feasible manner. The use of brine as a means of usable solar energy in the form of heat and electricity was discussed earlier. Here, we aim at discussing the production of hydrogen from the brine and hydrogen sulfide gas. The brine is proposed to be utilized for two purposes: one for salt gradient solar pond to produce usable heat and electricity, and the other as an electrolyte to produce hydrogen out of itself. The hydrogen from hydrogen sulfide can chemically be extracted.  相似文献   

11.
One of the key challenges that still facing the adoption of renewable energy systems is having a powerful energy storage system (ESS) that can store energy at peak production periods and return it back when the demand exceeds the supply. In this paper, we discuss the costs associated with storing excess energy from power grids in the form of hydrogen using proton exchange membrane (PEM) reversible fuel cells (RFC). The PEM-RFC system is designed to have dual functions: (1) to use electricity from the wholesale electricity market when the wholesale price reaches low competitive values, use it to produce hydrogen and then convert it back to electricity when the prices are competitive, and (2) to produce hydrogen at low costs to be used in other applications such as a fuel for fuel cell electric vehicles. The main goal of the model is to minimize the levelized cost of energy storage (LCOS), thus the LCOS is used as the key measure for evaluating this economic point. LCOS in many regions in United States can reach competitive costs, for example lowest LCOS can reach 16.4¢/kWh in Illinois (MISO trading hub) when the threshold wholesale electricity price is set at $25/MWh, and 19.9¢/kWh in Texas (ERCOT trading hub) at threshold price of $20/MWh. Similarly, the levelized cost of hydrogen production shows that hydrogen can be produced at very competitive costs, for example the levelized cost of hydrogen production can reach $2.54/kg-H2 when using electricity from MISO hub. This value is close to the target set by the U.S. Department of Energy.  相似文献   

12.
Urban governments are continually striving to improve air quality by making public transportation more environmentally friendly. H2 fuel cell buses (FCBs) offer one of the best ways to reduce air pollution. FCB has high energy efficiency and lower air pollutant emissions than conventional buses (e.g. diesel bus/Compressed natural gas bus, CNGB), and H2 is an attractive alternative energy source in the face of depleting fossil fuels and global warming. H2 can be produced via fossil fuels and renewable sources and then stored and distributed in a variety of different ways. While many contend that H2 and FCB are not yet commercially viable, H2 technology has developed a great deal over recent years. This fact alone demands that governments as well as for-profit businesses take a discerning look at what H2 and FCB have to offer in terms of both environmental and economic opportunities.In this study, environmental and economic aspects of hydrogen pathways are analyzed according to plausible production methods and capacity, and distribution options in Korea using life cycle assessment (LCA) and life cycle costing (LCC) methods. This study considers the following means of hydrogen production: naphtha steam reforming (Naphtha SR), natural gas steam reforming (NG SR), and water electrolysis (WE). Additionally, conventional fuels (Diesel and CNG) are also included as target fuel pathways in order to identify which hydrogen pathway in particular has the greatest environmental advantage over conventional fuels. This study aimed to identify whether H2 and FCB can compete with conventional fuels used in buses in terms of the eco-efficiency method, which focuses on economic feasibility and environmental improvement.The conclusion of this study is that H2 pathways, especially, Naphtha SR [C] and NG SR [S], are more competitive than conventional fuels from an eco-efficiency perspective. As a result, switching from conventional transportation fuel to these suggested H2 pathways is expected to offer an economically and environmentally more eco-efficient means of transportation. Henceforth, drawing upon evidence within this report, decision-makers would be wise to invest in more cost-effective and environment-friendly fuels by constructing an optimal H2 infrastructure.  相似文献   

13.
The current energy supply depends on fossil fuels which have increased carbon dioxide emissions leading to global warming and depleted non-renewable fossil fuels resources. Hydrogen (H2) fuel could be an eco-friendly alternative since H2 consumption only produces water. However, the overall impacts of the H2 economy depend on feedstock types, production technologies, and process routes. The existing process technologies for H2 production used fossil fuels encounter the escalation of fossil fuel prices and long-term sustainability challenges. Therefore, biohydrogen production from renewable resources like biomass wastes and wastewaters has become the focal development of a sustainable global energy supply. Different from other biohydrogen production studies, this paper emphasizes biohydrogen fermentation processes using different renewable sources and microorganisms. Moreover, it gives an overview of the latest advancing research in different biohydrogen process designs, modeling, and optimization. It also presents the biohydrogen production routes and kinetic modeling for biohydrogenation.  相似文献   

14.
The increase of renewable share in the energy generation mix makes necessary to increase the flexibility of the electricity market. Thus, fossil fuel thermal power plants have to adapt their electricity production to compensate these fluctuations. Operation at partial load means a significant loss of efficiency and important reduction of incomes from electricity sales in the fossil power plant. Among the energy storage technologies proposed to overcome these problems, Power to Gas (PtG) allows for the massive storage of surplus electricity in form of hydrogen or synthetic natural gas. In this work, the integration of a Power to Gas system (50 MWe) with fossil fuel thermal power plants (500 MWe) is proposed to reduce the minimum complaint load and avoid shutdowns. This concept allows a continuous operation of power plants during periods with low demand, avoiding the penalty cost of shutdown. The operation of the hybrid system has been modelled to calculate efficiencies, hydrogen and electricity production as a function of the load of the fossil fuel power plant. Results show that the utilisation of PtG diminishes the specific cost of producing electricity between a 20% and 50%, depending on the framework considered (hot, warm and cold start-up). The main contribution is the reduction of the shutdown penalties rather than the incomes from the sale of the hydrogen. At the light of the obtained results, the hybrid system may be implemented to increase the cost-effectiveness of existing fossil fuel power plants while adapting the energy mix to high shares of variable renewable electricity sources.  相似文献   

15.
The performance of a novel electro-reformer for the production of hydrogen by electro-reforming alcohols (methanol, ethanol and glycerol) without an external electrical energy input is described. This tandem cell consists of an alcohol fuel cell coupled directly to an alcohol reformer, negating the requirement for external electricity supply and thus reducing the cost of operation and installation. The tandem cell uses a polymer electrolyte membrane (PEM) based fuel cell and electrolyser. At 80 °C, hydrogen was generated from methanol, by the tandem PEM cell, at current densities above 200 mA cm−2, without using an external electricity supply. At this condition the electro-reformer voltage was 0.32 V at an energy input (supplied by the fuel cell component) of 0.91 kWh/Nm3; i.e. less than 20% of the theoretical value for hydrogen generation by water electrolysis (4.7 kWh/Nm3) with zero electrical energy input from any external power source. The hydrogen generation rate was 6.2 × 10−4 mol (H2) h−1. The hydrogen production rate of the tandem cell with ethanol and glycerol was approximately an order of magnitude lower, than that with methanol.  相似文献   

16.
The primary aim of this study is to provide insights into different low-carbon hydrogen production methods. Low-carbon hydrogen includes green hydrogen (hydrogen from renewable electricity), blue hydrogen (hydrogen from fossil fuels with CO2 emissions reduced by the use of Carbon Capture Use and Storage) and aqua hydrogen (hydrogen from fossil fuels via the new technology). Green hydrogen is an expensive strategy compared to fossil-based hydrogen. Blue hydrogen has some attractive features, but the CCUS technology is high cost and blue hydrogen is not inherently carbon free. Therefore, engineering scientists have been focusing on developing other low-cost and low-carbon hydrogen technology. A new economical technology to extract hydrogen from oil sands (natural bitumen) and oil fields with very low cost and without carbon emissions has been developed and commercialized in Western Canada. Aqua hydrogen is a term we have coined for production of hydrogen from this new hydrogen production technology. Aqua is a color halfway between green and blue and thus represents a form of hydrogen production that does not emit CO2, like green hydrogen, yet is produced from fossil fuel energy, like blue hydrogen. Unlike CCUS, blue hydrogen, which is clearly compensatory with respect to carbon emissions as it captures, uses and stores produced CO2, the new production method is transformative in that it does not emit CO2 in the first place. In order to promote the development of the low-carbon hydrogen economy, the current challenges, future directions and policy recommendations of low-carbon hydrogen production methods including green hydrogen, blue hydrogen, and aqua hydrogen are investigated in the paper.  相似文献   

17.
The deployment of wind energy is constrained by wind uncontrollability, which poses operational problems on the electricity supply system at high penetration levels, lessening the value of wind-generated electricity to a significant extent. This paper studies the viability of hydrogen production via electrolysis using wind power that cannot be easily accommodated on the system. The potential benefits of hydrogen and its role in enabling a large penetration of wind energy are assessed, within the context of the enormous wind energy resource in Ireland. The exploitation of this wind resource may in the future give rise to significant amounts of surplus wind electricity, which could be used to produce hydrogen, the zero-emissions fuel that many experts believe will eventually replace fossil fuels in the transport sector. In this paper the operation of a wind powered hydrogen production system is simulated and optimised. The results reveal that, even allowing for significant cost-reductions in electrolyser and associated balance-of-plant equipment, low average surplus wind electricity cost and a high hydrogen market price are also necessary to achieve the economic viability of the technology. These conditions would facilitate the installation of electrolysis units of sufficient capacity to allow an appreciable increase in installed wind power in Ireland. The simulation model was also used to determine the CO2 abatement potential associated with the wind energy/hydrogen production.  相似文献   

18.
Consumption of fossil fuels, which makes an immense contribution to greenhouse gas emissions, must be reduced. Hydrogen emerges as a unique solution to serve as fuel, energy carrier and feedstock because it is a clean, abundant, environmentally friendly and energy intensive gas. This study aims to investigate the development of a potential hydrogen hub located in Oshawa, Canada, which is aimed to provide a hydrogen infrastructure for future hydrogen economy. Numerous life cycle assessment and cost assessment studies are conducted to investigate what benefits such a hydrogen will bring to the city. The results show that fuel cell electric buses emit 89% fewer pollutants. Also, 60% of overall CO2 reduction is possible with a gradual transition to fuel cell technology within 20 years. However, in order for hydrogen infrastructure and costs to compete with fossil fuels, high-scale projects need to be developed with governmental incentives.  相似文献   

19.
Renewable power-to-fuel (PtF) is a key technology for the transition towards fossil-free energy systems. The production of carbon neutral synthetic fuels is primarily driven by the need to decouple the energy sector from fossil fuels dependance which are the main source of environmental issues. Hydrogen (H2) produced from water electrolysis powered by renewable electricity and direct carbon dioxide (CO2) captured from the flue gas generated by power plants, industry, transportation, and biogas production from anaerobic digestion, are used to convert electricity into carbon-neutral synthetic fuels. These fuels function as effective energy carriers that can be stored, transported, and used in other energy sectors (transport and industry). In addition, the PtF concept is an energy transformation that is capable of providing services for the balancing of the electricity grid thanks to its adaptable operation and long-term storage capacities for renewable energy surplus. As a consequence, it helps to potentially decarbonize the energy sector by reducing the carbon footprint and GHG emissions. This paper gives an overview on recent advances of renewable PtF technology for the e-production of three main hydrogen-based synthetic fuels that could substitute fossil fuels such as power-to-methane (PtCH4), power-to-methanol (PtCH3OH) and power-to-ammonia (PtNH3). The first objective is to thoroughly define in a clear manner the framework which includes the PtF technologies. Attention is given to green H2 production by water electrolysis, carbon capture & storage (CCS), CO2 hydrogenation, Sabatier, and Haber Bosch processes. The second objective is to gather and classify some existing projects which deal with this technology depending on the e-fuel produced (energy input, conversion process, efficiency, fuel produced, and application). Furthermore, the challenges and future prospects of achieving sustainable large-scale PtF applications are discussed.  相似文献   

20.
Achieving the goal of net zero emissions targeted by many governments and businesses around the world will require an economical zero-emissions fuel, such as hydrogen. Currently, the high production cost of zero emission ‘renewable’ hydrogen, produced from electrolysis powered by renewable electricity, is hindering its adoption. In this paper, we examine the role of uncertainties in projections of techno-economic factors on the transition from hydrogen produced from fossil fuels to renewable hydrogen. We propose an integrated framework, linking techno-economic and Monte-Carlo based uncertainty analysis with quantitative hydrogen supply-demand modelling, to examine hydrogen production by different technologies, and the associated greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from both the feedstock supply and the production process. The results show that the uncertainty around the cost of electrolyser systems, the capacity factor, and the gas price are the most critical factors affecting the timing of the transition to renewable H2. We find that hydrogen production will likely be dominated by fossil fuels for the next few decades if the cost of carbon emissions are not accounted for, resulting in cumulative emissions from hydrogen production of 650 Mt CO2-e by 2050. However, implementing a price on carbon emissions can significantly expedite the transition to renewable hydrogen and cut the cumulative emissions significantly.  相似文献   

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