The value of flexible fuel mixing in hydrogen-fueled gas turbines – A techno-economic study

In electricity systems mainly supplied with variable renewable electricity (VRE), the variable generation must be balanced. Hydrogen as an energy carrier, combined with storage, has the ability to shift electricity generation in time and thereby support the electricity system. The aim of this work is to analyze the competitiveness of hydrogen-fueled gas turbines, including both open and combined cycles, with flexible fuel mixing of hydrogen and biomethane in zero-carbon emissions electricity systems. The work applies a techno-economic optimization model to future European electricity systems with high shares of VRE.The results show that the most competitive gas turbine option is a combined cycle configuration that is capable of handling up to 100% hydrogen, fed with various mixtures of hydrogen and biomethane. The results also indicate that the endogenously calculated hydrogen cost rarely exceeds 5 €/kg_H2 when used in gas turbines, and that a hydrogen cost of 3–4 €/kg_H2 is, for most of the scenarios investigated, competitive. Furthermore, the results show that hydrogen gas turbines are more competitive in wind-based energy systems, as compared to solar-based systems, in that the fluctuations of the electricity generation in the former are fewer, more irregular and of longer duration. Thus, it is the characteristics of an energy system, and not necessarily the cost of hydrogen, that determine the competitiveness of hydrogen gas turbines.     

Electricity consumption and CO2 capture potential in Spain

In this paper, different electricity demand scenarios for Spain are presented. Population, income per capita, energy intensity and the contribution of electricity to the total energy demand have been taken into account in the calculations. Technological role of different generation technologies, i.e. coal, nuclear, renewable, combined cycle (CC), combined heat and power (CHP) and carbon capture and storage (CCS), are examined in the form of scenarios up to 2050. Nine future scenarios corresponding to three electrical demands and three options for new capacity: minimum cost of electricity, minimum CO₂ emissions and a criterion with a compromise between CO₂ and cost (CO₂-cost criterion) have been proposed. Calculations show reduction in CO₂ emissions from 2020 to 2030, reaching a maximum CO₂ emission reduction of 90% in 2050 in an efficiency scenario with CCS and renewables. The contribution of CCS from 2030 is important with percentage values of electricity production around 22–28% in 2050. The cost of electricity (COE) increases up to 25% in 2030, and then this value remains approximately constant or decreases slightly.     

World energy analysis: H2 now or later?

This is a study of world energy resource sustainability within the context of resource peak production dates, advanced energy use technologies in the transportation and electricity generation energy use sectors, and alternative fuel production including hydrogen. The finding causing the most concern is the projection of a peak in global conventional oil production between now and 2023. In addition, the findings indicate that the peak production date for natural gas, coal, and uranium could occur by 2050. The central question is whether oil production from non-conventional oil resources can be increased at a fast enough rate to offset declines in conventional oil production. The development of non-conventional oil production raises concerns about increased energy use, greenhouse gas emissions, and water issues. Due to the emerging fossil fuel resource constraints in coming decades, this study concludes that it is prudent to begin the development of hydrogen production and distribution systems in the near-term. The hydrogen gas is to be initially used by fuel cell vehicles, which will eliminate tailpipe greenhouse gas emissions. With a lowering of H₂ production costs through the amortization of system components, H₂ can be an economic fuel source for electricity generation post-2040.     

Options for net zero emissions hydrogen from Victorian lignite. Part 1: Gaseous and liquefied hydrogen

This two-part paper investigates the feasibility of producing export quantities (770 t/d) of blue hydrogen meeting international standards, by gasification of Victorian lignite plus carbon capture and storage (CCS). The study involves a detailed Aspen Plus simulation analysis of the entire production process, taking into account fugitive methane emissions during lignite mining. Part 1 focusses on the resources, energy requirements and greenhouse gas emissions associated with production of gaseous and liquefied hydrogen, while Part 2 focusses on production of ammonia as a hydrogen carrier.In this study, the proposed process comprises lignite mining, lignite drying and milling, air separation unit (ASU), dry-feed entrained flow gasification, gas cooling and cleaning, sour water-gas shift reaction, acid gas removal, pressure swing adsorption (PSA) for hydrogen purification, elemental sulphur recovery, CO₂ compression for transport and injection, hydrogen liquefaction, steam and gas turbines to generate all process power, plus an optional post-combustion CO₂ capture step. High grade waste heat is utilised for process heat and power generation. Three alternative process scenarios are investigated as options to reduce resource utilisation and greenhouse gas emissions: replacing the gas turbine with renewable energy from off-site wind turbines, and co-gasification of lignite with either biomass or biochar. In each case, the specific net greenhouse gas intensity is estimated and compared to the EU Taxonomy specification for sustainable hydrogen.This is the first time that a coal-to-hydrogen study has quantified the greenhouse gas emissions across the entire production chain, including upstream fugitive methane emissions. It is found that both gaseous and liquefied hydrogen can be produced from Victorian lignite, along with all necessary electricity, with specific emissions intensity (SEI) of 2.70 kg CO₂-e/kg H₂ and 2.73 kg CO₂-e/kg H₂, respectively. These values conform to the EU Taxonomy limit of 3.0 kg CO₂-e/kg H₂. This result is achieved using a Selexol™ plant for CO₂ capture, operating at 89.5%–91.7% overall capture efficiency. Importantly, the very low fugitive methane emissions associated with Victorian lignite mining is crucial to the low SEI of the process, making this is a critical advantage over the alternative natural gas or black coal processes.This study shows that there are technical options available to further reduce the SEI to meet tightening emissions targets. An additional post-combustion MDEA CO₂ capture unit can be added to increase the capture efficiency to 99.0%–99.2% and reduce the SEI to 0.3 kg CO₂-e/kg H₂. Emissions intensity can be further reduced by utilising renewable energy rather than co-production of electricity on site. Net zero emissions can then be achieved by co-gasification with ≤1.4 dry wt.% biomass, while a higher proportion of biomass would achieve net-negative emissions. Thus, options exist for production of blue hydrogen from Victorian lignite consistent with a ‘net zero by 2050’ target.     

Multi-objective optimization model for sustainable Indonesian electricity system: Analysis of economic,environment, and adequacy of energy sources

This paper presents a multi-objective optimization model for a long-term generation mix in Indonesia. The objective of this work is to assess the economic, environment, and adequacy of local energy sources. The model includes two competing objective functions to seek the lowest cost of generation and the lowest CO₂ emissions while considering technology diffusion. The scenarios include the use of fossil reserves with or without the constraints of the reserve to production ratio and exports. The results indicate that Indonesia should develop all renewable energy and requires imported coal and natural gas. If all fossil resources were upgraded to reserves, electricity demand in 2050 could be met by domestic energy sources. The maximum share of renewable energy that can be achieved in 2050 is 33% with and 80% without technology diffusion. The least cost optimization produces lower generation costs than the least CO₂ emissions, as well as the combined scenario. Total CO₂ emissions in 2050 are five to six times as large as current emissions. The least CO₂ emissions scenario can reduce almost half of the CO₂ emissions of the least cost scenario by 2050. The proposed multi-objective optimization model leads some optimal solutions for a more sustainable electricity system.     

Comparative assessment of greenhouse gas mitigation of hydrogen passenger trains

This paper examines a comparative assessment in terms of CO₂ emissions from a hydrogen passenger train in Ontario, Canada, particularly comparing four specific propulsion technologies: (1) conventional diesel internal combustion engine (ICE), (2) electrified train, (3) hydrogen ICE, and (4) hydrogen PEM fuel cell (PEMFC) train. For the electrified train, greenhouse gases from electricity generation by natural gas and coal-burning power plants are taken into consideration. Several hydrogen production methods are also considered in this analysis, i.e., (1) steam methane reforming (SMR), (2) thermochemical copper–chlorine (Cu–Cl) cycle supplied partly by waste heat from a nuclear plant, (3) renewable energies (solar and wind power) and (4) a combined renewable energy and copper–chlorine cycle. The results show that a PEMFC powertrain fueled by hydrogen produced from combined wind energy and a copper–chlorine plant is the most environmentally friendly method, with CO₂ emissions of about 9% of a conventional diesel train or electrified train that uses a coal-burning power plant to generate electricity. Hydrogen produced with a thermochemical cycle is a promising alternative to further reduce the greenhouse gas emissions. By replacing a conventional diesel train with hydrogen ICE or PEMFC trains fueled by Cu-Cl based-hydrogen, the annual CO₂ emissions are reduced by 2260 and 3318 tonnes, respectively. A comparison with different types of automobile commuting scenarios to carry an equivalent number of people as a train is also conducted. On an average basis, only an electric car using renewable energy-based electricity that carries more than three people may be competitive with hydrogen trains.     

Research and development for steam and gas turbines in low-carbon future

Abstract

Future energy requirements for the UK will need to be met with reduced CO₂ emissions. There is a requirement for 2050 CO₂ emissions to be at 20% of 1990 levels. To achieve this there will need to be considerable investment into the research and development, and construction of renewables technologies. Despite this emphasis on renewable power, fossil fuelled power generation technologies, and in particular turbines, will still have a major role to play in the future. However, the way in which the turbines will be used may change significantly. There will therefore need to be research and development investment for turbines at all levels of technology readiness. The arguments for future R&D investment for steam and gas turbines are reviewed and some directions the R&D may need to take examined.     

An emission analysis study of hydrogen powered vehicles

In this study, emissions of internal combustion engine, hybrid, and fuel cell vehicles have been investigated when they use hydrogen in gas or liquid form. Well to pump (WTP) and well to wheel (WTW) emissions of volatile organic compounds (VOC), carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen oxides (NO_x), particulate matters (PM₁₀ and PM_2.5), sulphur oxides (SO_x), and carbon dioxide (CO₂) emitted from vehicles are compared for scenarios in 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, and 2050 years. For these years, 2005, 2015, 2025, 2035, and 2045 vehicle technologies are used in the analyses. In total emissions, gaseous hydrogen (GH₂) powered fuel cell vehicles (FCV) appear to be the best options, while liquid hydrogen (LH₂) powered spark ignition internal combustion engine vehicles (SI ICEV) are the worst. The lowest and highest CO₂ emission values are seen as 81 g/km and 416 g/km in GH₂ powered FCVs in 2050 and LH₂ powered SI ICEVs in 2010, respectively.     

Achieving California's 80% greenhouse gas reduction target in 2050: Technology,policy and scenario analysis using CA-TIMES energy economic systems model

The CA-TIMES optimization model of the California Energy System (v1.5) is used to understand how California can meet the 2050 targets for greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions (80% below 1990 levels). This model represents energy supply and demand sectors in California and simulates the technology and resource requirements needed to meet projected energy service demands. The model includes assumptions on policy constraints, as well as technology and resource costs and availability. Multiple scenarios are developed to analyze the changes and investments in low-carbon electricity generation, alternative fuels and advanced vehicles in transportation, resource utilization, and efficiency improvements across many sectors. Results show that major energy transformations are needed but that achieving the 80% reduction goal for California is possible at reasonable average carbon reduction cost ($9 to $124/tonne CO₂e at 4% discount rate) relative to a baseline scenario. Availability of low-carbon resources such as nuclear power, carbon capture and sequestration (CCS), biofuels, wind and solar generation, and demand reduction all serve to lower the mitigation costs, but CCS is a key technology for achieving the lowest mitigation costs.     

Comparing least cost scenarios for 100% renewable electricity with low emission fossil fuel scenarios in the Australian National Electricity Market

Policy makers face difficult choices in planning to decarbonise their electricity industries in the face of significant technology and economic uncertainties. To this end we compare the projected costs in 2030 of one medium-carbon and two low-carbon fossil fuel scenarios for the Australian National Electricity Market (NEM) against the costs of a previously published scenario for 100% renewable electricity in 2030. The three new fossil fuel scenarios, based on the least cost mix of baseload and peak load power stations in 2010, are: (i) a medium-carbon scenario utilising only gas-fired combined cycle gas turbines (CCGTs) and open cycle gas turbines (OCGTs); (ii) coal with carbon capture and storage (CCS) plus peak load OCGT; and (iii) gas-fired CCGT with CCS plus peak load OCGT. We perform sensitivity analyses of the results to future carbon prices, gas prices, and CO₂ transportation and storage costs which appear likely to be high in most of Australia. We find that only under a few, and seemingly unlikely, combinations of costs can any of the fossil fuel scenarios compete economically with 100% renewable electricity in a carbon constrained world. Our findings suggest that policies pursuing very high penetrations of renewable electricity based on commercially available technology offer a cost effective and low risk way to dramatically cut emissions in the electricity sector.     

Significance of CO2-free hydrogen globally and for Japan using a long-term global energy system analysis

In this paper, the significance of CO₂-free hydrogen is discussed using a long-term global energy system. The energy demand–supply system including CO₂-free hydrogen was assumed, though there are still large uncertainties as to whether a global CO₂-free hydrogen energy system will be deployed. System analysis was conducted using the global and long-term intertemporal optimization energy model GRAPE under severe CO₂ emission constraints. Applied global CO₂ constraints for 2050 were a 50% reduction from 1990 levels. CO₂ constraints accounting for Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) in each region were also considered. A variety of energy resources and technologies were considered in this model. Hydrogen can be produced from low-grade coal or natural gas with CO₂ capture and electricity from renewable energy. The hydrogen CIF (cost, insurance, and freight) price for Japan was about 3.2 cents/MJ in 2030. Hydrogen demand technologies considered in this paper are hydrogen-fired power plants, direct combustion, combined heat and power (fuel cells, gas engines, and gas turbines), fuel cell vehicles, and hydrogen internal combustion engine vehicles. The majority of CO₂-free hydrogen was deployed in the transportation sector. CO₂-free hydrogen was utilized in the power sector, where deployment of other zero emission technology has some constraints. From an economic viewpoint, CO₂-free hydrogen can reduce the global energy system cost. From the viewpoint of a localized region, such as Japan, deployment of CO₂-free hydrogen can improve energy security and environmental indicators.     

Spatial variation of emissions impacts due to renewable energy siting decisions in the Western U.S. under high-renewable penetration scenarios

One of the policy goals motivating programs to increase renewable energy investment is that renewable electric generation will help reduce emissions of CO₂ as well as emissions of conventional pollutants (e.g., SO₂ and NO_x). As a policy instrument, Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) encourage investments in wind, solar and other generation sources with the goal of reducing air emissions from electricity production. Increased electricity production from wind turbines is expected to displace electricity production from fossil-fired plants, thus reducing overall system emissions. We analyze the emissions impacts of incremental investments in utility-scale wind power, on the order of 1 GW beyond RPS goals, in the Western United States using a utility-scale generation dispatch model that incorporates the impacts of transmission constraints. We find that wind investment in some locations leads to slight increases in overall emissions of CO₂, SO₂ and NO_x. The location of wind farms influences the environmental impact by changing the utilization of transmission assets, which affects the overall utilization of power generation sources and thus system-level emissions. Our results suggest that renewable energy policy beyond RPS targets should be carefully crafted to ensure consistency with environmental goals.     

Design and evaluation of hydrogen electricity reconversion pathways in national energy systems using spatially and temporally resolved energy system optimization

For this study, a spatially and temporally resolved optimization model was used to investigate and economically evaluate pathways for using surplus electricity to cover positive residual loads by means of different technologies to reconvert hydrogen into electricity. The associated technology pathways consist of electrolyzers, salt caverns, hydrogen pipelines, power cables, and various technologies for reconversion into electricity. The investigations were conducted based on an energy scenario for 2050 in which surplus electricity from northern Germany is available to cover the electricity grid load in the federal state of North Rhine-Westphalia (NRW).A key finding of the pathway analysis is that NRW's electricity demand can be covered entirely by renewable energy sources in this scenario, which involves CO₂ savings of 44.4 million tons of CO₂/a in comparison to the positive residual load being covered from a conventional power plant fleet. The pathway involving CCGT (combined cycle gas turbines) as hydrogen reconversion option was identified as being the most cost effective (total investment: € 43.1 billion, electricity generation costs of reconversion: € 176/MWh).Large-scale hydrogen storage and reconversion as well as the use of the hydrogen infrastructure built for this purpose can make a meaningful contribution to the expansion of the electricity grid. However, for reasons of efficiency, substituting the electricity grid expansion entirely with hydrogen reconversion systems does not make sense from an economic standpoint. Furthermore, the hydrogen reconversion pathways evaluated, including large-scale storage, significantly contribute to the security of the energy supply and to secured power generation capacities.     

Decarbonization synergies from joint planning of electricity and hydrogen production: A Texas case study

Hydrogen (H₂) shows promise as an energy carrier in contributing to emissions reductions from sectors which have been difficult to decarbonize, like industry and transportation. At the same time, flexible H₂ production via electrolysis can also support cost-effective integration of high shares of variable renewable energy (VRE) in the power system. In this work, we develop a least-cost investment planning model to co-optimize investments in electricity and H₂ infrastructure to serve electricity and H₂ demands under various low-carbon scenarios. Applying the model to a case study of Texas in 2050, we find that H₂ is produced in approximately equal amounts from electricity and natural gas under the least-cost expansion plan with a CO₂ price of $30–60/tonne. An increasing CO₂ price favors electrolysis, while increasing H₂ demand favors H₂ production from Steam Methane Reforming (SMR) of natural gas. H₂ production is found to be a cost effective solution to reduce emissions in the electric power system as it provides flexibility otherwise provided by natural gas power plants and enables high shares of VRE with less battery storage. Additionally, the availability of flexible electricity demand via electrolysis makes carbon capture and storage (CCS) deployment for SMR cost-effective at lower CO₂ prices ($90/tonne CO₂) than for power generation ($180/tonne CO₂). The total emissions attributable to H₂ production is found to be dependent on the H₂ demand. The marginal emissions from H₂ production increase with the H₂ demand for CO₂ prices less than $90/tonne CO₂, due to shift in supply from electrolysis to SMR. For a CO₂ price of $60/tonne we estimate the production weighted-average H₂ price to be between $1.30–1.66/kg across three H₂ demand scenarios. These findings indicate the importance of joint planning of electricity and H₂ infrastructure for cost-effective energy system decarbonization.     

Achieving 60% CO2 reductions within the UK energy system—Implications for the electricity generation sector

This paper explores how investment in the UK electricity generation sector can contribute to the UK goal of reducing CO₂ emissions with 60% by the year 2050 relative to the 1990 emissions. Considering likely development of the transportation sector and industry over the period, i.e. a continued demand growth and dependency on fossil fuels and electricity, the analysis shows that this implies CO₂ emission reductions of up to 90% by 2050 for the electricity sector. Emphasis is put on limitations imposed by the present system, described by a detailed database of existing power plants, together with meeting targets on renewable electricity generation (RES) including assumptions on gas acting as backup technology for intermittent RES. In particular, it is investigated to what extent new fossil fuelled and nuclear power is required to meet the year 2050 demand as specified by the Royal Commission on Environmental Pollution (RCEP). In addition, the number of sites required for centralized electricity generation (large power plants) is compared with the present number of sites. A simulation model was developed for the analysis. The model applies the UK national targets on RES, taken from Renewable Obligation (RO) for 2010 and 2020 and potentials given by RCEP for 2050, and assumed technical lifetimes of the power plants of the existing system and thus, links this system with targets for the years 2010, 2020 and 2050.     

Grey relation performance correlations among economics,energy use and carbon dioxide emission in Taiwan

This study explores the inter-relationships among economy, energy and CO₂ emissions of 37 industrial sectors in Taiwan in order to provide insight regarding sustainable development policy making. Grey relation analysis was used to analyse the productivity, aggregate energy consumption, and the use of fuel mix (electricity, coal, oil and gas) in relation to CO₂ emission changes. An innovative evaluative index system was devised to explore grey relation grades among economics, energy and environmental quality. Results indicate that a rapid increase in electricity generation during the past 10 years is the main reason for CO₂ emission increase in Taiwan. The largest CO₂ emitting sectors include iron and steel, transportation, petrochemical materials, commerce and other services. Therefore, it is important to reduce the energy intensity of these sectors by energy conservation, efficiency improvement and adjustment of industrial structure towards high value-added products and services. Economic growth for all industries has a more significant influence, than does total energy consumption, on CO₂ emission increase in Taiwan. It is also important to decouple the energy consumption and production to reduce the impacts of CO₂ on economic growth. Furthermore, most of the sectors examined had increased CO₂ emissions, except for machinery and road transportation. For high energy intensive and CO₂ intensive industries, governmental policies for CO₂ mitigation should be directed towards low carbon fuels as well as towards enhancement of the demand side management mechanism, without loss of the nation's competitiveness.     

Market penetration analysis of hydrogen vehicles in Norwegian passenger transport towards 2050

The Norwegian energy system is characterized by high dependency on electricity, mainly hydro power. If the national targets to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases should be met, a substantial reduction of CO₂ emissions has to be obtained from the transport sector. This paper presents the results of the analyses of three Norwegian regions with the energy system model MARKAL during the period 2005–2050. The MARKAL models were used in connection with an infrastructure model H2INVEST. The analyses show that a transition to a hydrogen fuelled transportation sector could be feasible in the long run, and indicate that with substantial hydrogen distribution efforts, fuel cell cars can become competitive compared to other technologies both in urban (2025) and rural areas (2030). In addition, the result shows the importance of the availability of local energy resources for hydrogen production, like the advantages of location close to chemical industry or surplus of renewable electricity.     

Dealing with fuel contaminants in biogas-fed solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) and molten carbonate fuel cell (MCFC) plants: Degradation of catalytic and electro-catalytic active surfaces and related gas purification methods

Fuel cell and hydrogen technologies are re-gaining momentum in a number of sectors including industrial, tertiary and residential ones. Integrated biogas fuel cell plants in wastewater treatment plants and other bioenergy recovery plants are nowadays on the verge of becoming a clear opportunity for the market entry of high-temperature fuel cells in distributed generation (power production from a few kW to the MW scale).High-temperature fuel cell technologies like molten carbonate fuel cells (MCFCs) and solid oxide fuel cells (SOFCs) are especially fit to operate with carbon fuels due to their (direct or indirect) internal reforming capability. Especially, systems based on SOFC technology show the highest conversion efficiency of gaseous carbon fuels (e.g., natural gas, digester gas, and biomass-derived syngas) into electricity when compared to engines or gas turbines. Also, lower CO₂ emissions and ultra-low emissions of atmospheric contaminants (SO_X, CO, VOC, especially NO_X) are generated per unit of electricity output. Nonetheless, stringent requirements apply regarding fuel purity. The presence of contaminants within the anode fuel stream, even at trace levels (sometimes ppb levels) can reduce the lifetime of key components like the fuel cell stack and reformer. In this work, we review the complex matrix (typology and amount) of different contaminants that is found in different biogas types (anaerobic digestion gas and landfill gas). We analyze the impact of contaminants on the fuel reformer and the SOFC stack to identify the threshold limits of the fuel cell system towards specific contaminants. Finally, technological solutions and related adsorbent materials to remove contaminants in a dedicated clean-up unit upstream of the fuel cell plant are also reviewed.     

CO2-free hydrogen production via microwave-driven methane pyrolysis

Hydrogen will play an integral role in achieving net-zero emissions by 2050. Many studies have been focusing on green hydrogen, but this method is highly electricity intensive. Alternatively, methane pyrolysis can produce hydrogen without direct CO₂ emissions and with modest electricity inputs, serving as a bridge from fossil fuels to renewable energies. Microwaves are an efficient method of adding the required energy for this endothermic reaction. This study introduces a new method of CO₂-free hydrogen production via non-plasma methane pyrolysis using microwaves and carbon products of this process. Carbon particles in the fluidized bed absorb microwave energy and create a hot medium (>1200 °C) in contact with flowing methane. As a result, methane decomposes into hydrogen and solid carbon achieving over 90% hydrogen selectivity with ∼500 cumulative hours of experiments This modular pyrolysis system can be built anywhere with access to natural gas and electricity, enabling distributed hydrogen production.     

CO2 emissions from electricity generation in seven Asia-Pacific and North American countries: A decomposition analysis

The Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) method of complete decomposition is used to examine the role of three factors (electricity production, electricity generation structure and energy intensity of electricity generation) affecting the evolution of CO₂ emissions from electricity generation in seven countries. These seven countries together generated 58% of global electricity and they are responsible for more than two-thirds of global CO₂ emissions from electricity generation in 2005. The analysis shows production effect as the major factor responsible for rise in CO₂ emissions during the period 1990–2005. The generation structure effect also contributed in CO₂ emissions increase, although at a slower rate. In contrary, the energy intensity effect is responsible for modest reduction in CO₂ emissions during this period. Over the 2005–2030 period, production effect remains the key factor responsible for increase in emissions and energy intensity effect is responsible for decrease in emissions. Unlike in the past, generation structure effect contributes significant decrease in emissions. However, the degree of influence of these factors affecting changes in CO₂ emissions vary from country to country. The analysis also shows that there is a potential of efficiency improvement of fossil-fuel-fired power plants and its associated co-benefits among these countries.