Risk marker analysis of the cessation and persistence of wife assault.

This study evaluated the utility of specific risk markers of wife assault in understanding the cessation and persistence of violence against women over a 3-year period. Longitudinal data were used to identify violent men who ceased the violence for 2 years and violent men who persisted in using violence. A group of nonviolent men was used for comparison. Factor analysis indicated that marital conflict, socioeconomic status (SES), and witnessing violence in the family of origin were the most powerful discriminators of these groups. Moreover, it was found that high levels of marital conflict and low SES were associated not only with the occurrence of violence but also with the continuity of wife assaults over time. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Assault as a function of time and temperature: A moderator-variable time-series analysis.

The authors hypothesized that relations between temperature and assaults are stronger during evening hours than during other hours of the day and tested this hypothesis by obtaining 3-hr measures of assaults, temperature, and other weather variables for a 2-year interval. The hypothesis was confirmed by autoregression analyses that controlled for secular trends, seasonal differences, other weather variables, holidays, and other calendar events. In addition, as predicted by the negative affect escape model, assaults declined after reaching a peak at moderately high temperatures. The inverted U-shaped relation survived tests that controlled for secular trends, seasonality, autocorrelation, outliers, and heteroscedasticity. In addition, consistent with routine activity theory, moderator-variable regression analyses indicated that relations were strongest during evening hours and on weekends. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2011 APA, all rights reserved)     

基于机器学习的北京市PM2.5浓度预测模型及模拟分析

对北京市周边8个点多个压力高度的温度、湿度和风速数据, 以及北京市PM2.5污染数据进行了分析和归一化处理, 建立了反向传播神经网络(back propagation, BP)、卷积神经网络(convolutional neural network, CNN) 和长短期记忆模型(long short-term memory, LSTM) 对上述气象数据和污染数据进行训练, 训练结果表明: 反向传播神经网络模型和卷积神经网络模型对未来1 h的PM2.5污染等级的预测准确率较低, 而长短期记忆模型的准确率较高.使用长短期记忆模型预测未来1 h的PM2.5污染值与实际值十分接近, 表明北京市的PM2.5污染与其周边地区的气象条件关系密切.通过利用长短期记忆模型对不同压力高度的气象数据进行训练和对比, 得出在利用气象数据预测污染时, 仅使用近地面气象数据比使用多个高度上的气象数据更加准确.      

Ovarian aging and hormone replacement therapy. Hormonal levels, symptoms, and attitudes of African-American and white women

The purpose of the study was to identify psychiatric symptoms, neurological impairments, and situational factors associated with the emergence of violence and with its persistence. Psychiatric symptoms were assessed in newly admitted physically assaultive psychiatric patients and nonviolent controls. Patients were than evaluated for 4 weeks to determine the persistence or resolution of these physical assaults. Patients who showed marked resolution of assaults were classified as transiently violent (n = 41), and those who remained assaultive throughout were categorized as persistently violent (n = 34). At the end of 4 weeks, all patients received a comprehensive psychiatric and neurological assessment. Physical assaults were associated initially with prominent positive psychotic symptoms. Both transiently and persistently violent patients were more psychotic than the nonviolent controls; however transiently violent patients showed better resolution of these symptoms over the 4 weeks. They also evidenced less frontal lobe impairment on the neurological examination than the persistently violent patients. The two violent groups differed in their susceptibility to environmental influences: the surrounding ward agitation fostered physical assaults in transiently but not in persistently violent patients. This differentiation between transiently and persistently violent patients has major implications for the comprehensive treatment of violent behavior.     

Association between ozone and asthma emergency department visits in Saint John, New Brunswick, Canada

This study examines the relationship of asthma emergency department (ED) visits to daily concentrations of ozone and other air pollutants in Saint John, New Brunswick, Canada. Data on ED visits with a presenting complaint of asthma (n = 1987) were abstracted for the period 1984-1992 (May-September). Air pollution variables included ozone, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, sulfate, and total suspended particulate (TSP); weather variables included temperature, humidex, dewpoint, and relative humidity. Daily ED visit frequencies were filtered to remove day of the week and long wave trends, and filtered values were regressed on air pollution and weather variables for the same day and the 3 previous days. The mean daily 1-hr maximum ozone concentration during the study period was 41.6 ppb. A positive, statistically significant (p < 0.05) association was observed between ozone and asthma ED visits 2 days later, and the strength of the association was greater in nonlinear models. The frequency of asthma ED visits was 33% higher (95% CI, 10-56%) when the daily 1-hr maximum ozone concentration exceeded 75 ppb (the 95th percentile). The ozone effect was not significantly influenced by the addition of weather or other pollutant variables into the model or by the exclusion of repeat ED visits. However, given the limited number of sampling days for sulfate and TSP, a particulate effect could not be ruled out. We detected a significant association between ozone and asthma ED visits, despite the vast majority of sampling days being below current U.S. and Canadian standards.     

Estimating Reference Crop Evapotranspiration with ETgages

Three years of daily reference evapotranspiration measured by atmometers (ETg) were compared to the values computed from the ASCE standardized Penman–Monteith equation (ETr) using co-located meteorological measurements at 19 locations across North Carolina. The atmometers underestimated daily ETr by an average of 21% across the study area. Linear regression models between ETg and ETr had intercepts significantly different from zero and slopes different from one, but would generally yield a gauge error within 1?mm?day?1. The ETg-ETr relationship was found to be highly sensitive to precipitation and wind speed, but rather insensitive to humidity, radiation, and temperature. Although wind speed is generally low in the study area, the insensitivity of ETgages to wind caused severe underestimation in those periods when wind speed was high. Mean absolute error increased from 17% when wind speed was below 1?m?s?1 to 64% when wind speed was greater than 5?m?s?1. Precipitation can temporarily disrupt ETgage evaporation and cause underestimation of ETr. The linear relationship between ETg and ETr in rainy days was significantly different than that of the clear days. Analysis of the local relationships suggested that they are sensitive to their major surrounding physiographic environment and to the strictly local surface conditions, but not to the intermediate mesoscale surface environment. As a result, different linear regression equations were developed to adjust ETg to ETr in three land regions and in dry or wet conditions.     

Is the curve relating temperature to aggression linear or curvilinear? A response to Bell (2005) and to Cohn and Rotton (2005).

P. Bell (2005) recommended examining the relationship between temperature and assaults during the hottest times of day and during the hottest months of the year. The authors' analyses of these data show a linear rather than inverted U-shaped relationship between temperature and assault during the hottest times of day and in the hottest months of the year. E. Cohn and J. Rotton (2005) recommended analyzing the 6 hr with the highest assaults versus the 6 hr with the lowest assaults. During high assault periods, there is a strong positive linear relationship between temperature and assault. During low assault periods, there is no relationship between temperature and assaults. Assaults and other violent crimes might decrease when temperatures are very hot, but the Minneapolis data set does not allow for testing of this hypothesis because Minneapolis is too cold. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Homeostatic process and sleep spindles in patients with sleep-maintenance insomnia: effect of partial (21 h) sleep deprivation

Port Pirie is 230 km north of Adelaide, the capital of South Australia. The major industry in the city is a lead smelter owned by Pasminco. Fume, dust, and fugitive emissions from the smelter have been deposited in and around Port Pirie over the past 100 years. The results presented in this paper are from an air monitoring station situated at the southeast entrance of the smelter, approximately 600 m from the blast furnace. Measurements include total suspended particulate (TSP) and total suspended particulate lead (TSPL) reported as concentrations (microgram/m3). Data are available from 1986 to 1996 and consist of 548 measurements. Analysis of geometric mean concentration levels by wind direction showed that while for TSP there was little relationship with wind direction, TSPL increased substantially as the wind came from the direction of the smelter. An analysis of geometric mean concentration levels by wind speed showed that TSP was significantly correlated with wind speed for all wind sectors apart from winds coming from the smelter production area. The lack of correlation between TSP and wind speed when the wind blows from the direction of the smelter is probably due to the dilution effect of particulate from a point source as wind speed increases. TSPL was significantly correlated with wind speed for all wind sectors apart from winds coming from the city. As expected, both TSP and TSPL concentrations were significantly lower on days when rain fell. Both mean geometric TSP and TSPL concentrations were lower in the period 1993-1996 than in 1986-1992. Multiple linear regression analysis was used to demonstrate that this decline was statistically significant after adjusting for weather conditions. Wind directions were divided into four sectors: winds from the smelter production area; winds from the smelter nonproduction area; winds from the zinc wharf and east of the city; and winds from the city. Structural equation models for each sector were used to demonstrate that the decline in geometric mean TSPL concentrations over the two periods were of a similar order of magnitude for all four sectors. The relevance of this to the lead abatement programs that have been undertaken both within the city of Port Pirie and inside the smelter itself is discussed.     

Comparison of vancomycin and teicoplanin for prophylaxis of sepsis with coagulase negative staphylococci (CONS) in very low birth weight (VLBW) infants

The hourly flight periodicity of adults of the biting midge Culicoides impunctatus was sampled at a site in Western Scotland, using suction traps over 18 days in July/August 1994. In addition, meteorological conditions were logged continuously. Female but not male C. impunctatus had a bimodal pattern of activity, with peaks at dawn and dusk. The dawn peak (05.00-07.00 hours) was most distinct. Correlation analysis revealed significantly positive relationships between catches of female midges and both relative humidity and rainfall, and negative relationships with wind velocity. The calculation of partial correlation coefficients reinforced the influence of relative humidity on female activity, and highlighted a further positive relationship with air temperature. Male C.impunctatus activity was negatively correlated with air temperature, although the total male catch was relatively small (15% of total trap catches) and further data would be required to confirm this result. Overall, the results help to clarify previous confusion as to whether C.impunctatus has a circadian rhythm of activity, with the data matching closely predictions of a bimodal pattern. Clearly, this pattern will be damped by meteorological conditions, which may vary greatly on a local scale.     

Identification of murine p120 isoforms and heterogeneous expression of p120cas isoforms in human tumor cell lines

Heat stress is a common problem for cattle. General consequences of heat stress include increased body temperatures and reduced feed intakes. As a measure of heat stress, core body temperatures of unshaded feedlot steers (crossbred Bos taurus) were monitored from mid-June to early November in Nebraska using transmitters implanted in the peritoneum of 10 steers (initially 10 mo of age). Steers were fed at 0630 and 1430 using a finishing diet of 1.52 NEg Mcal/kg with 13% protein and 4% roughage per day and housed in two open lots with stocking densities of 15.2 or 19.3 m2/steer. Core body temperatures, ambient temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed were measured at 3-min intervals and mathematically filtered to produce 120 readings/ d. For 94 usable daily records, body temperature means (39.04 +/- .12 degrees C), maxima (39.89 +/- .21 degrees C at 1836 +/- .73 h), minima (38.33 +/- .29 degrees C at 0823 +/- .38 h), and patterns were similar among steers. As daily maximum ambient temperatures increased, minimum body temperatures decreased slightly (.04 degree C per 5 degrees C; P < .01). After daily maximum ambient temperatures reached a threshold of 25.6 degrees C, daily maximum body temperatures increased linearly with maximum ambient temperatures (.42 degree C per 5 degrees C; P < .01). Sharp peaks in body temperature were often seen in the late evening (approximately 2200) after ambient temperature had decreased to well below maximum values. These evening peaks occurred on an average of 25% of the days, had amplitudes ranging from .7 to 3.5 degrees C relative to mean daily temperatures and lasted for 1.5 h. From a practical standpoint, we suggest that producers monitor meteorological forecast of peak ambient temperatures and make special efforts, such as spraying animals, when exceptionally hot weather is predicted.     

Simplified Estimation of Reference Evapotranspiration from Pan Evaporation Data in California

Evaporation pan (Ep) data are often used to estimate reference evapotranspiration (ET0) for use in water resource planning and irrigation scheduling. This paper reviews equations to estimate ET0 from Ep and provides a simpler method to make this conversion for arid climatic conditions like in California. The new method accounts for fetch differences by first adjusting the Ep rates to values expected for 100?m of grass fetch. Then it relies on an empirical relationship between ET0 and the adjusted Ep to determine Kp values; thus, eliminating the need for relative humidity and wind speed data that are often unavailable. The method is conceptually simpler, easier to code into computer applications, and within California, it gave better results than methods based on relative humidity and wind speed. However, the method might require calibration in more humid or windier climates.     

The relationship between confidence and accuracy in clinical assessment of psychiatric patients' potential for violence

The authors studied the relationship between confidence and accuracy in clinical assessments of psychiatric patients' short-term risk of violence. At the time of entry to the hospital, physicians (N = 78) estimated the probability that each of 317 patients would physically attack other people during the first week of psychiatric hospitalization. The clinicians also indicated the degree of confidence they had in their estimates of violence potential. Nurses rated the occurrence of inpatient physical assaults with the Overt Aggression Scale. The results showed that when clinicians had a high degree of confidence, their evaluations of risk of violence were strongly associated with whether or not patients became violent. At moderate levels of confidence, clinicians' risk estimates had a lower, but still substantial relationship with the later occurrence of violence. However, when clinicians had low confidence, their assessments of potential for violence had little relationship to whether or not the patients became violent. The findings suggest that the level of confidence that clinicians have in their evaluations is an important moderator of the predictive validity of their assessments of patients' potential for violence.     

Stream Temperature Dynamics in Upland Agricultural Watersheds

A numerical model to compute the free-surface flow hydrodynamics and stream temperature dynamics by solving the depth-averaged, 1D unsteady flow and heat transport equations is presented. The hydrodynamics model considers the effects of arbitrary stream geometry, variable slopes, variable flow regimes, and unsteady boundary conditions. The thermal transport model accounts for the effects of solar radiation, air temperature, relative humidity, cloud cover, wind speed, heat conduction between water and streambed, subsurface flow, and shading by riparian vegetation. The model is verified with measurements in a stream in an upland agricultural watershed located in Indiana. Diurnal variations in the streamflow and stream temperatures are highly transient. The proposed model predicted well the streamflow and stream temperatures that were measured every 15 min over 25 days. The results of this study demonstrate that the solar (shortwave) radiation and subsurface inflow are the most significant contributors to the stream heat budget.     

Prediction of Ozone Formation Based on Neural Network

The atmospheric ozone concentration in Seoul was forecasted using an artificial neural network and spatiotemporal analysis. The artificial neural network was trained by using hourly pollutant and meteorological data that resulted in complex patterns of ozone formation. The finite-volume method was employed in the spatiotemporal analysis in order to take into account the effects of wind. Time horizons in the forecasts were 1–6 h and 16–21 h. The resulting predictions of ozone formation were compared to measured data. From the comparison, it was found that the neural network method gave reliable accuracy within a limited prediction horizon.     

Mortality and ambient fine particles in southwest Mexico City, 1993-1995

++Epidemiologic studies have focused attention on the health effects of fine particulate air pollutants <2.5 microm in diameter (PM2.5). To further characterize the potential effects of fine particles, we investigated the relationship of air pollution to mortality in Mexico City during 1993-1995. The concentration of PM2.5 was measured on a 24-hr integrated basis; concentrations of NO2 and ozone were measured hourly and reduced to 24-hr means. Daily mortality was determined from death registration records, and Poisson regression was used to model daily death counts as a function of air pollutant levels on the same and previous days, while controlling for temperature and periodic cycles. Without taking other air pollutants into account, a 10 microg/m3 increase in the level of PM2.5 was associated with a 1.4% increase in total mortality, both on the current day and 4 days after exposure [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.2-2.5]. An equivalent increase in PM2.5 was also associated with somewhat larger excesses of deaths among people over 65 years of age and from cardiovascular and respiratory causes, which occurred after a lag of 4 days. The mean concentration of ozone over a 2-day period was associated with a 1.8% increase in mortality from cardiovascular diseases. NO2 was not consistently related to mortality. Fine particles had an independent effect on mortality when modeled simultaneously with other pollutants, and the association of ozone with cardiovascular mortality was strengthened after adjusting for NO2 and PM2.5. These results support previous findings that urban air pollution at current levels leads to excess mortality and suggest that fine particles may play a causal role in producing that excess.     

Evaluation of early graft function by hepatic venous hemoglobin oxygen saturation following orthotopic liver transplantation in the rat

This study was designed to evaluate the use of hepatic venous oxygen saturation (Shvo2) as a predictor of early graft function after liver transplantation. We examined the levels of Shvo2 and serum ALT after transplantation using the isogeneic rat orthotopic liver transplant model. Shvo2 levels 2 hr after reperfusion in the 6-hr cold ischemia (nonviable allograft) group were significantly lower than those in the 1-hr and 3-hr cold ischemia (viable allograft) groups. However, there was no significant difference in ALT levels among these groups. These results suggest that decreased hepatic blood flow due to microcirculatory disturbances may occur in the nonviable allograft even in the early phase of reperfusion and may be responsible for ischemic damage to parenchymal cells. Therefore, Shvo2 could provide a simple index of the initial graft status and be useful for a rapid etiological diagnosis of early postoperative graft dysfunction and for estimating the graft outcome after liver transplantation.     

Value and limits of surgery in stage IIIB non-small-cell bronchial cancers

Storage of radon-producing material in two silos and two waste pits is one of the major environmental and occupational issues at a former uranium production facility, now a Superfund site. In addition, up to 100 metric tons of thorium is stored on the northeast side of the site. Concentrations of radium up to 17,600 Bq g(-1) (477,000 pCi g(-1)) or higher for silos and up to 45 Bq g(-1) (1,200 pCi g(-1)) for waste pits have been reported. This study was conducted to identify factors and climatic conditions that contribute to higher radon levels and to assess workers' exposure at the site. Data covering a 12-mo period were compiled from monitoring hourly real-time radon levels at indoor (within 3 buildings) and outdoor (at 14 on-site and 2 off-site monitoring stations) locations and from hourly site-specific meteorological information. The ranges of radon levels were as follows: 1.8-3,655 Bq m(-3) (0.05-98.8 pCi L(-1)) outdoor on-site, 3.7-329 Bq m(-3) (0.1-8.9 pCi L(-1)) outdoor off-site, and 1.8-111 Bq m(-3) (0.05-3.0 pCi L(-1)) indoor on-site. Only radon levels in the vicinity of the storage silos were significantly higher than levels off-site. Radon concentrations showed diurnal variations, with maximum levels occurring in the early morning and minimum levels in the afternoon. Seasonal variation was also observed, with radon levels higher during the summer through early fall and lower during the late winter through spring. Wind speed, relative humidity, and wind direction appeared to be the most significant predictors of radon concentration. The estimated radon dose to workers, calculated by using exposure models and annual average levels of radon in the work area, was below recommended exposure limits. These results suggest that the emission control methods at this site have been effective in maintaining environmental radon contamination and workers' exposure at acceptable levels.     

Temperature and aggression: Effects on quarterly, yearly, and city rates of violent and nonviolent crime.

The hypothesized relation between uncomfortably hot temperatures and aggressive behavior was examined in two studies of violent and nonviolent crime. Data on rates of murder, rape, assault, robbery, burglary, larceny-theft, and motor vehicle theft were gathered from archival sources. The first three crimes listed are violent; the latter four are less violent (labeled nonviolent). On the basis of previous research and theory (Anderson & Anderson, 1984), it was predicted that violent crimes would be more prevalent in the hotter quarters of the year and in hotter years. Furthermore, it was predicted that this temperature–crime relation would be stronger for violent than for nonviolent crime. Study 1 confirmed both predictions. Also, differences among cities in violent crime were predicted to be related to the hotness of cities; this effect was expected to be stronger for violent than for nonviolent crimes. Study 2 confirmed both predictions, even when effects of a variety of social, demographic, and economic variables were statistically removed. Theoretical and practical implications are discussed. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Elevated blood lead levels in children are associated with lower erythropoietin concentrations

PURPOSE: We investigated the incidence of well-directed violent behavior and suicide attempts in patients with temporal lobe epilepsy, with special attention to postictal psychosis. METHODS: We compared 57 episodes of postictal psychosis with 62 episodes of acute interictal (or alternative) psychosis and with 134 complex partial seizures. All patients were matched for age and for age at onset of seizures. RESULTS: The incidence of well-directed violent behavior against human beings was significantly higher (23%) during postictal psychotic episodes than during acute interictal episodes (5%) and postictal confusion (1%). Suicide attempts were also more frequent during postictal psychosis (7%) than during either acute interictal psychosis (2%) or postictal confusion (0%). CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed that well-directed violent and self-destructive behavior was not a feature of epileptic psychosis in general but a specific hallmark of postictal psychosis.     

Crime specialization, seriousness progression, and Markov chains.

Sequences of violent and nonviolent offenses by 300 male offenders (mean age 26.47 yrs) were subjected to log-linear analyses of the stabilities and magnitudes of their transition probabilities (TPs). Results show that all patterns resembled a Markov process wherein the TPs were stable. The relative magnitude of these TPs indicated that there was specialization in nonviolent offenses and little tendency toward consistently violent behavior. Seriousness progression from nonviolent to violent misconduct was infrequent; however, there was substantial retrogression from violent to nonviolent offenses. (11 ref) (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)