基于改进模糊聚类与ANFIS的高速公路事件检测

为了准确并及时地发现高速公路上的交通事故隐患,减少事故引发的交通延迟,提高高速公路运行安全性,结合减法聚类与模糊C均值（FCM）聚类算法对输入样本数据进行聚类,建成初始模糊推理系统,然后通过神经网络的自学习机制,训练模糊系统参数,确定模糊推理规则,建立最终模糊模型。通过仿真实验结果对比,验证了基于改进模糊聚类与自适应神经模糊推理系统（ANFIS）建模方法的有效性。     

基于减法聚类模糊推理系统的短期负荷预测

采用减法聚类辅助模糊推理系统进行电力系统短期负荷预测。首先用减法聚类建立T-S模糊模型,然后通过调整聚类半径优选模糊规则数,以取得具有良好泛化性能的模型,最后利用梯度下降混合最小二乘算法精调参数。利用某局网负荷数据对ANFIS网络模型进行训练和检测,然后用于负荷预测,所得结果表明该算法鲁棒性好,抗干扰能力强,并且预测时间较ANFIS大大减少。     

一种自适应神经模糊运动规划器设计

使用减法聚类和自适应神经模糊网络方法设计了一种水下机器人运动规划器。根据输入、输出数据的特性,用减法聚类算法,确定模糊系统的初始结构和参数,避免了模糊逻辑系统设计中隶属函数确定及模糊规则自动提取的盲目性和随机性。提出将神经模糊系统参数分解为非线性前提参数和线性结论参数并分开辨识。采用梯度下降算法和最小二乘算法分别进行自适应模糊推理系统前后件参数的优化。仿真结果表明:在相同的仿真环境下,所设计的自适应神经模糊运动规划器的规划效果要好于模糊运动规划器。     

基于模糊C均值改进算法和ANFIS的蓄电池SOC预测

蓄电池剩余电量预测作为蓄电池智能管理系统的核心部分,为合理控制蓄电池的充放电情况、延长蓄电池的使用寿命提供了判据。然而蓄电池剩余电量的影响因素复杂、预测难度较大。针对这一挑战性课题,提出一种基于改进的模糊C均值聚类和自适应模糊神经推理系统(ANFIS)的预测算法,采用减法聚类和加权模糊C均值聚类生成初始模糊推理系统,通过梯度下降法和最小二乘法混合算法对自适应模糊神经网络中的前件参数和后件参数进行训练,建立非线性预测模型。仿真结果表明,改进的聚类算法解决了传统模糊C均值聚类稳定性差以及对噪声点、错误点敏感的缺点,加快了收敛速度,在此基础上建立的蓄电池剩余电量预测模型也具有较高的预测精度。     

减法聚类-ANFIS在网络故障诊断的应用研究

提出了一种基于减法聚类-自适应模糊神经网络（ANFIS）的网络故障诊断建模方法。减法聚类算法生成初始模糊推理系统,ANFIS建立网络故障诊断原始模型,应用混合算法对模糊规则的参数进行训练并建立最终的模型。仿真实验表明基于减法聚类-ANFIS的建模方法是有效的;通过仿真结果比较,减法聚类-ANFIS的网络故障诊断能力及收敛速度均优于BP神经网络,更适合作为网络故障诊断模型。     

利用减法聚类的自适应模糊神经网络客观评定织物起皱等级

本文提出一种基于减法聚类的自适应模糊神经网络，用于织物起皱等级评定。首先利用减法聚类方法确定模糊神经网络的结构，再结合模糊推理系统进行模式识别，并详细介绍其基本原理和学习算法，最后引入四种起皱特征参数对真实织物进行验证，实验表明该方法是有效、可行的。     

基于改进型模糊聚类的模糊系统建模方法

结合减法聚类和模糊C均值聚类,提出了一种改进型聚类算法,加快了收敛速度．利用改进后的算法对模糊系统输入或输出的样本集聚类,对聚类结果采用Trust-Region法拟合高斯型和S型函数,以实现模糊系统输入、输出空间的划分和隶属度函数参数的确定．结合MATLAB的模糊和曲线拟合工具箱,详述了如何在标准算法上进行改进和模糊系统建模．通过对IRIS标准数据聚类实验以及在解决机械加工误差复映问题上的应用,验证了改进后算法和建模方法的有效性．     

基于FCM与模糊粗糙集理论的交通事件检测模型

为准确及时地发现高速公路上的事故隐患,有效地减少交通延误,保障道路安全,提出了一种新的基于模糊C均值（FCM）聚类和模糊粗糙集的交通事件自动检测模型。模型分为离散化、推理规则建立和模糊推理三个步骤。在属性离散化时,提出用常用的隶属度函数来拟合FCM聚类后的结果,并用此函数和参数来实现属性数据的离散化,避免了每次输入数据都必须通过聚类操作来进行离散化;采用了粗糙集理论建立推理规则,选择和交通事件密切相关属性并进行规则的约简,加速了模糊推理的速度;最后采用Max-Min模糊推理方法对交通事件进行检测。通过多种检测方法对比测试,结果表明了此模型在总体性能上优于传统的检测方法,验证了此模型的有效性,为交通事件的检测提供了一种新的思路。     

基于自适应神经模糊推理系统的视频烟雾检测

提出一种基于自适应神经模糊推理系统的视频烟雾检测算法。从视频图像中提取烟雾特征,采用减法聚类确定模糊规则数,建立初始模糊系统。通过神经网络的自学习机制调整前提参数和结论参数,确定模糊推理规则。实验结果表明,与传统BP神经网络算法及支持向量机算法相比,该算法具有较优的ROC曲线特性。     

改进的RBFNN在运动员竞技状态预测中的应用

提出了一种改进的径向基函数(RBF)神经网络,该神经网络以模糊系统模型为基础。首先利用减法聚类算法确定径向基函数的中心数,然后通过模糊C均值聚类算法优化基函数中心与宽度,最后依据样本数据的聚类结果设计RBF神经网络并进行训练。将该神经网络应用于网球队运动员的竞技状态的预测。仿真结果表明:该算法先进有效、具有较高的精度,用其建立的模型具有较强的实用性。     

基于模糊聚类分析的公路隧道短期交通量预测

公路隧道交通量具有高度的复杂性、模糊性和随机性,常规的方法难以对其准确预测。模糊聚类分析是一种模糊数据挖掘方法,使用该法对同一时段交通量的历史数据进行处理,建立模糊相似矩阵,获得它们的聚类模式,在此基础上判断被预测样本所属的聚类模式。由于同一模式的样本具有高度相似性,可以用它们的交通量数据来预测新值。分析和计算结果表明该方法容易实现,且具有较高的预测精度。     

Automatic determination of traffic accidents based on KMC-based attribute weighting

In this study, the traffic accidents recognizing risk factors related to the environmental (climatological) conditions that are associated with motor vehicles accidents on the Konya-Afyonkarahisar highway with the aid of Geographical Information Systems (GIS) have been determined using the combination of K-means clustering (KMC)-based attribute weighting (KMCAW) and classifier algorithms including artificial neural network (ANN) and adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). The dynamic segmentation process in ArcGIS9.0 from the traffic accident reports recorded by District Traffic Agency has identified the locations of the motor vehicle accidents. The attributes obtained from this system are day, temperature, humidity, weather conditions, and month of occurred traffic accidents. The traffic accident dataset comprises five attributes (day, temperature, humidity, weather conditions, and month of occurred traffic accidents) and 358 observations including 179 without accident and 179 with accident. The proposed comprises two stages. In the first stage, the all attributes of dataset have been weighted using KMCAW method. The aims of this weighting method are both to increase the classification performance of used classifier algorithm and to transform from linearly non-separable traffic accidents dataset to a linearly separable dataset. In the second stage, after weighting process, ANN and ANFIS classifier algorithms have been separately used to determine the case of traffic accidents as with accident or without accident. In order to evaluate the performance of proposed method, the classification accuracy, sensitivity, specificity and area under the ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) curves (AUC) values have been used. While ANN and ANFIS classifiers obtained the overall prediction accuracies of 53.93 and 38.76%, respectively, the combination of KMCAW and ANN and the combination of KMCAW and ANFIS achieved the overall prediction accuracies of 74.15 and 55.06% on the prediction of traffic accidents. The experimental results have demonstrated that the proposed attribute weighting method called KMCAW is a robust and effective data pre-processing method in the prediction of traffic accidents on Konya-Afyonkarahisar highway in Turkey.     

An improved long short-term memory networks with Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy for traffic speed prediction considering abnormal traffic situation

Traffic speed prediction is an emerging paradigm for achieving a better transportation system in smart cities and improving the heavy traffic management in the intelligent transportation system (ITS). The accurate traffic speed prediction is affected by many contextual factors such as abnormal traffic conditions, traffic incidents, lane closures due to construction or events, and traffic congestion. To overcome these problems, we propose a new method named fuzzy optimized long short-term memory (FOLSTM) neural network for long-term traffic speed prediction. FOLSTM technique is a hybrid method composed of computational intelligence (CI), machine learning (ML), and metaheuristic techniques, capable of predicting the speed for macroscopic traffic key parameters. First, the proposed hybrid unsupervised learning method, agglomerated hierarchical K-means (AHK) clustering, divides the input samples into a group of clusters. Second, based on parameters the Gaussian bell-shaped fuzzy membership function calculates the degree of membership (high, low, and medium) for each cluster using Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy rules. Finally, the whale optimization algorithm (WOA) is used in LSTM to optimize the parameters obtained by fuzzy rules and calculate the optimal weight value. FOLSTM evaluates the accurate traffic speed from the abnormal traffic data to overcome the nonlinear characteristics. Experimental results demonstrated that our proposed method outperforms the state-of-the-art approaches in terms of metrics such as mean square error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE).     

基于模糊神经网络的短时交通流预测方法研究

为满足交通控制和诱导系统的实时性需求,减少交通拥挤状况,降低交通事故突发频率,需要对短时交通流进行预测;当前的短时交通流预测方法是采用K-近邻的非参数回归对其进行预测,预测过程中没有将预测模型中关键因素对交通流的影响进行详细的说明,导致预测结果不准确,存在短时交通流预测误差较大的问题;为此,提出一种基于模糊神经网络的短时交通流预测方法;该方法首先以历史短时交通流数据样本序列为基础,将提取的关联维数作为短时交通流的混沌特征量,然后以该特征量为依据,对短时交通流数据进行聚类,使相同的短时交通流聚合类样本比不同的交通流聚合类样本更为贴近,采用高斯过程回归对短时交通流预测模型进行建设,建设过程中利用差分方法对短时交通流预测序列进行平稳化操作之后,对短时交通流预测模型进行训练,将GPR模型引入至短时交通流预测过程中,得到交通流预测方差估计值,并确定交通流预测值置信区间,由此实现短时交通流的预测;由此实现短时交通流的预测;实验结果证明,所提方法可以准确地预测交通运输系统的实时状况,为车辆行驶的最佳路线进行了有效引导,减少了自然影响方面和人为因素对短时交通流预测结果的干扰,为交通部门对交通路况的控制管理提供了依据。     

Long-term Traffic Volume Prediction Based on K-means Gaussian Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Sets

This paper uses Gaussian interval type-2 fuzzy set theory on historical traffic volume data processing to obtain a 24- hour prediction of traffic volume with high precision. A K-means clustering method is used in this paper to get 5 minutes traffic volume variation as input data for the Gaussian interval type-2 fuzzy sets which can reflect the distribution of historical traffic volume in one statistical period. Moreover, the cluster with the largest collection of data obtained by K-means clustering method is calculated to get the key parameters of type-2 fuzzy sets, mean and standard deviation of the Gaussian membership function. Using the range of data as the input of Gaussian interval type-2 fuzzy sets leads to the range of traffic volume forecasting output with the ability of describing the possible range of the traffic volume as well as the traffic volume prediction data with high accuracy. The simulation results show that the average relative error is reduced to 8% based on the combined K-means Gaussian interval type-2 fuzzy sets forecasting method. The fluctuation range in terms of an upper and a lower forecasting traffic volume completely envelopes the actual traffic volume and reproduces the fluctuation range of traffic flow.      

Classification and prediction of road traffic usingapplication-specific fuzzy clustering

In the field of road traffic management, fuzzy techniques have already been used for traffic control. In this paper, we use fuzzy methods for traffic data analysis. The results of the data analysis are classification and prediction systems. Our work is focused on fuzzy clustering methods. The known clustering models are extended to: constrained prototypes, the use of a mix of different prototypes for one data set, partial supervision of the clustering, and the estimation of the number of clusters by cluster merging. Two successful application examples are given. The first one is the classification of traffic jam on a German autobahn, and the second application is a long-term prediction of traffic volume     

基于FFCM聚类的城市交通拥堵判别研究

对城市道路交通拥堵状态判别的问题,提出了一种硬C均值(HCM)聚类与模糊C均值(FCM)聚类相结合的快速模糊C均值聚类(FFCM)算法。用硬聚类的结果对模糊聚类初始值的选取进行指导,以加速算法的收敛过程。将该算法用于城市交通流数据的聚类分析结果表明,该算法能够快速而有效地对城市交通流状况进行判别,为动态交通拥堵预警和交通疏导策略的制定提供依据。