基于后悔理论的灰色随机多准则决策方法

针对准则值和状态概率均为区间灰数的灰色随机多准则决策问题,在考虑决策者的风险态度及心理行为的情境下,给出一种基于后悔理论的决策方法.首先将原始准则值转化为标准灰数, 同时进行规范化处理, 得到各状态下的标准灰色风险决策矩阵;然后依据后悔理论,定义灰色感知效用函数,构造决策者对方案集的灰色综合感知效用最大化的多目标优化模型,并解出最优权重向量,得到各方案的最优灰色感知效用值且排序;最后,通过实例验证所提出方法的可行性和有效性.     

基于Hurwicz的概率不确定的灰色随机多准则决策方法

首先定义了扩展灰数的可能度和距离公式;然后针对方案准则值为扩展灰数的不确定多准则决策问题,提出一种基于Hurwicz的概率不确定的灰色随机多准则决策方法。该方法通过使用扩展灰数的可能度和Hurwicz准则求得各方案在各准则下的评价值,经规范化后得到标准效用值决策矩阵;利用扩展灰数的距离和TODIM思想计算决策者对每个方案的损益感知价值及方案优势度,进而计算各方案总体感知价值大小以对方案进行排序。最后,通过算例验证了所提出方法的可行性和有效性。     

基于期望值的灰色随机多准则决策方法

定义了离散型灰色随机变量及其期望值和标准差.针对准则权重已知而方案的准则值为灰色随机变量的多准则问题,提出一种灰色随机多准则决策方法.该方法通过求得各方案在各准则下评价值的期望值和标准差,得到标准期望值决策矩阵;利用各准则权重和规范化矩阵计算出各方案的综合评价区间,采用区间灰数可能度的方法构建方案综合评价区间的评判矩阵,进而得到各方案的排序.最后通过算例表明了该方法的可行性和有效性.

     

基于期望值-混合熵的区间概率模糊随机多准则决策方法

定义了区间概率模糊随机变量及其期望值和混合熵.针对准则权重确知并且准则值为区间概率模糊随机变量的多准则决策问题,提出一种基于期望值-混合熵的决策方法.该方法首先给出了区间概率模糊随机变量的期望值-混合熵度量;然后基于此度量建立优化模型,通过计算得到各方案的期望值-混合熵区间;再采用可能度的方法得到方案集的排序.最后通过实例说明了该方法的有效性和可行性.     

基于区间粗糙算子的粗糙随机多准则决策方法

定义了区间粗糙随机变量、区间粗糙数的运算法则以及期望值和区间粗糙集结算子（WIRDAA）.针对准则权重信息不完全,准则值为区间粗糙随机变量的粗糙随机多准则决策问题,提出一种基于WIRDAA算子的决策方法.该方法首先计算出变量的期望值矩阵,利用距离最小化建立模型求解出准则权重;然后利用WIRDAA算子求出各方案的综合评价值,通过比较得到方案集的排序;最后通过实例表明了所提出方法的有效性和可行性.     

基于扩展灰数Hausdorff 距离的随机多准则决策方法

针对准则值为扩展灰数形式的风险型多准则决策问题,提出一种基于扩展灰数Hausdorff距离的随机多准则决策方法.首先定义了离散型扩展灰色随机变量及期望值和标准差,并在Hausdorff距离的基础上提出了扩展灰数的Hausdorff距离公式;然后计算每个方案在各准则下的期望值,得到期望值决策矩阵;再根据传统TOPSIS方法的思想,提出一种基于TOPSIS的灰色随机多准则决策方法.最后,通过实例验证了所提出方法的合理性和可行性.     

基于记分函数的直觉随机多准则决策方法

针对准则权系数不完全确定,方案的准则值为区间直觉模糊数的随机多准则决策问题,提出一种基于记分函数的直觉随机多准则决策方法.首先定义离散型区间直觉随机变量、记分函数以及记分期望值和记分标准差;然后构造方案的记分期望值的最优线性规划模型,得出最优权向量,进而求得方案的联合直觉随机变量分布和综合记分标准期望区间值,再利用可能度方法确定方案排序;最后,算例分析结果表明了该方法的可行性和合理性.     

基于最大隶属度的区间概率灰色随机多准则决策方法

定义了一种灰色隶属函数.针对概率为区间数、准则值为区间灰数的灰色随机多准则决策问题,提出一种基于最大隶属度的决策方法.首先,运用区间数可能度排序向量将区间概率转化为点概率,并将其转化为无风险决策问题;然后,计算各方案在负理想方案到正理想方案上的灰色隶属度,并计算各方案准则值的相对灰度,进而根据灰色隶属度和相对灰度大小对方案进行排序;最后,通过算例验证了该方法的可行性和有效性.     

一种新的灰色多属性决策方法

针对模糊群体多属性决策问题,提出一种新的灰色多属性决策方法.该方法依据一般的灰色关联分析方法的基本思路,将灰色关联度和欧氏距离有机结合,构造出一种平均相似度对方案进行评价.平均相似度同时反映了方案与正负理想方案之间的位置和数据曲线的相似性差异,其物理意义更加明确.最后通过算例表明了所提出方法的可行性和有效性.     

基于集对分析的区间概率随机多准则决策方法

定义了区间概率空间以及区间概率随机变量．针对准则权重确知且准则值为区间概率随机变量的多准则决策问题,提出一种基于集对分析的决策方法．该方法首先根据离差最大化,确定各随机变量的概率,将区间型概率问题转化为经典的确定型概率问题;然后利用集对分析建立规划模型,将区间状态值用联系数表示,并根据集对势序准则对方案进行排序;最后通过实例说明该方法的有效性和可行性．     

模糊多准则决策方法研究综述

模糊多准则决策是当前决策领域的一个研究热点,在实际决策中有着广泛的应用.为此,介绍了基于模糊数、直觉模糊集和Vague集的多准则决策方法和语言多准则决策方法的研究现状,定义了直觉梯形模糊数和区间直觉梯形模糊数,扩展了模糊数和直觉模糊集.最后探讨了目前模糊多准则决策要解决的问题和发展方向.     

基于前景理论的灰色多指标风险型决策方法

考虑决策者风险态度对多指标决策的影响,针对决策信息为区间数的多指标风险型决策问题,提出一种基于前景理论的灰色多指标风险型决策方法。首先利用“奖优罚劣”的[[-1,?1]]线性变换算子对指标为区间数的原始信息进行规范化处理,得到正负靶心。根据前景理论和灰靶理论定义区间数的价值函数和概率权重函数,并以此求解方案的综合前景值,构造决策树并根据前景值最大化思想进行剪枝确定最优方案。通过一个投资实例说明了该模型的有效性和可行性。     

An outranking approach for multi-criteria decision-making problems with simplified neutrosophic sets

In this paper, a new outranking approach for multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) problems is developed in the context of a simplified neutrosophic environment, where the truth-membership degree, indeterminacy-membership degree and falsity-membership degree for each element are singleton subsets in [0,1]. Firstly, the novel operations of simplified neutrosophic sets (SNSs) and relational properties are developed. Then some outranking relations for simplified neutrosophic number (SNNs) are defined, based on ELECTRE, and the properties within the outranking relations are further discussed in detail. Additionally, based on the outranking relations of SNNs, a ranking approach is developed in order to solve MCDM problems. Finally, two practical examples are provided to illustrate the practicality and effectiveness of the proposed approach. Moreover, a comparison analysis based on the same example is also conducted.     

基于前景理论和统计推断的区间数多准则决策方法

针对准则权重不完全确定且准则值为区间数的多准则群决策问题,提出一种基于前景理论的多准则决策方法。基于统计推断原理,以各准则下的方案值为样本推断其发生的概率,进而确定期望值参考点。基于区间数可能度确定价值函数,以方案区分度最大为目标构建非线性优化模型并确定方案排序。最后,通过实例分析表明了所提出方法的有效性和可行性。     

Intelligent multi-criteria fuzzy group decision-making for situation assessments

Organizational decisions and situation assessment are often made in groups, and decision and assessment processes involve various uncertain factors. To increase efficiently group decision-making, this study presents a new rational–political model as a systematic means of supporting group decision-making in an uncertain environment. The model takes advantage of both rational and political models and can handle inconsistent assessment, incomplete information and inaccurate opinions in deriving the best solution for the group decision under a sequential framework. The model particularly identifies three uncertain factors involved in a group decision-making process: decision makers’ roles, preferences for alternatives, and judgments for assessment-criteria. Based on this model, an intelligent multi-criteria fuzzy group decision-making method is proposed to deal with the three uncertain factors described by linguistic terms. The proposed method uses general fuzzy numbers and aggregates these factors into a group satisfactory decision that is in a most acceptable degree of the group. Inference rules are particularly introduced into the method for checking the consistence of individual preferences. Finally, a real case-study on a business situation assessment is illustrated by the proposed method.     

An extended outranking approach for multi-criteria decision-making problems with linguistic intuitionistic fuzzy numbers

Linguistic intuitionistic fuzzy numbers (LIFNs), characterized by a linguistic membership degree, linguistic non-membership degree, and linguistic indeterminacy degree, represent a helpful tool for depicting uncertain information under complex environments. This paper focuses on developing an innovative method to address multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) problems with LIFNs in which the weight information is completely unknown. First, the distance of LIFNs is defined with the aid of linguistic scale functions (LSFs). Second, some extended outranking relationships between each pair of LIFNs are proposed based on the elicitation of the classic relation models. Moreover, a ranking method is constructed to deal with MCDM problems according to the proposed outranking relationships of LIFNs. Finally, an illustrative example concerning coal mine safety evaluation is provided to demonstrate the proposed method, and its feasibility and validity are further verified by a sensitivity analysis and comparison with other existing methods.