基于仿射聚类、高斯过程和贝叶斯决策的多模型软测量建模

Presented is a multiple model soft sensing method based on Affinity Propagation(AP),Gaussian process(GP) and Bayesian committee machine(BCM).AP clustering arithmetic is used to cluster training samples according to their operating points.Then,the sub-models are estimated by Gaussian Process Regression(GPR).Finally,in order to get a global probabilistic prediction,Bayesian committee machine is used to combine the outputs of the sub-estimators.The proposed method has been applied to predict the light naphtha end point in hydrocracker fractionators.Practical applications indicate that it is useful for the online prediction of quality monitoring in chemical processes.     

Fault Diagnosis in Chemical Process Based on Self-organizing Map Integrated with Fisher Discriminant Analysis

Fault diagnosis and monitoring are very important for complex chemical process. There are numerous methods that have been studied in this field, in which the effective visualization method is still challenging. In order to get a better visualization effect, a novel fault diagnosis method which combines self-organizing map （SOM） with Fisher discriminant analysis （FDA） is proposed. FDA can reduce the dimension of the data in terms of maximizing the separability of the classes. After feature extraction by FDA, SOM can distinguish the different states on the output map clearly and it can also be employed to monitor abnormal states. Tennessee Eastman （TE） process is em- ployed to illustrate the fault diagnosis and monitoring performance of the proposed method. The result shows that the SOM integrated with FDA method is efficient and capable for real-time monitoring and fault diagnosis in complex chemical process.     

基于符号有向图与定性趋势分析的化工过程故障诊断方法(英文)

In the past 30 years, signed directed graph (SDG), one of the qualitative simulation technologies, has been widely applied for chemical fault diagnosis. However, SDG based fault diagnosis, as any other qualitative method, has poor diagnostic resolution. In this paper, a new method that combines SDG with qualitative trend analysis (QTA) is presented to improve the resolution. In the method, a bidirectional inference algorithm based on assumption and verification is used to find all the possible fault causes and their corresponding consistent paths in the SDG model. Then an improved QTA algorithm is used to extract and analyze the trends of nodes on the consistent paths found in the previous step. New consistency rules based on qualitative trends are used to find the real causes from the candidate causes. The resolution can be improved. This method combines the completeness feature of SDG with the good diagnostic resolution feature of QTA. The implementation of SDG-QTA based fault diagnosis is done using the integrated SDG modeling, inference and post-processing software platform. Its application is illustrated on an atmospheric distillation tower unit of a simulation platform. The result shows its good applicability and efficiency.     

基于ERT传感器和数据挖掘技术的空气水两相流空隙率测量(英文)

Based on an electrical resistance tomography(ERT) sensor and the data mining technology,a new voidage measurement method is proposed for air-water two-phase flow.The data mining technology used in this work is a least squares support vector machine(LS-SVM) algorithm together with the feature extraction method,and three feature extraction methods are tested:principal component analysis(PCA),partial least squares(PLS) and independent component analysis(ICA).In the practical voidage measurement process,the flow pattern is firstly identified directly from the conductance values obtained by the ERT sensor.Then,the appropriate voidage measurement model is selected according to the flow pattern identification result.Finally,the voidage is calculated.Experimental results show that the proposed method can measure the voidage effectively,and the measurement accuracy and speed are satisfactory.Compared with the conventional voidage measurement methods based on ERT,the proposed method doesn’t need any image reconstruction process,so it has the advantage of good real-time performance.Due to the introduction of flow pattern identification,the influence of flow pattern on the voidage measurement is overcome.Besides,it is demonstrated that the LS-SVM method with PLS feature extraction presents the best measurement performance among the tested methods.     

基于FCMISVM的自适应软测量建模算法及其在PX吸附分离过程中的应用

To overcome the problem that soft sensor models cannot be updated with the process changes, a soft sensor modeling algorithm based on hybrid fuzzy c-means (FCM) algorithm and incremental support vector machines (ISVM) is proposed. This hybrid algorithm FCMISVM includes three parts: samples clustering based on FCM algorithm, learning algorithm based on ISVM, and heuristic sample displacement method. In the training process, the training samples are first clustered by the FCM algorithm, and then by training each clustering with the SVM algorithm, a sub-model is built to each clustering. In the predicting process, when an incremental sample that represents new operation information is introduced in the model, the fuzzy membership function of the sample to each clustering is first computed by the FCM algorithm. Then, a corresponding SVM sub-model of the clustering with the largest fuzzy membership function is used to predict and perform incremental learning so the model can be updated on-line. An old sample chosen by heuristic sample displacement method is then discarded from the sub-model to control the size of the working set. The proposed method is applied to predict the p-xylene (PX) purity in the adsorption separation process. Simulation results indicate that the proposed method actually increases the model’s adaptive abilities to various operation conditions and improves its generalization capability.     

基于改进的GSO算法和BP神经网络的氨合成塔出口氨含量软测量模型(英文)

The ammonia synthesis reactor is the core unit in the whole ammonia synthesis production. The ammonia concentration at the ammonia converter outlet is a significant process variable, which reflects directly the production efficiency. However, it is hard to be measured reliably online in real applications. In this paper, a soft sensor based on BP neural network (BPNN) is applied to estimate the ammonia concentration. A modified group search optimization with nearest neighborhood (GSO-NH) is proposed to optimize the weights and thresholds of BPNN. GSO-NH is integrated with BPNN to build a soft sensor model. Finally, the soft sensor model based on BPNN and GSO-NH (GSO-NH-NN) is used to infer the outlet ammonia concentration in a real-world application. Three other modeling methods are applied for comparison with GSO-NH-NN. The results show that the soft sensor based on GSO-NH-NN has a good prediction performance with high accuracy. Moreover, the GSO-NH-NN also provides good generalization ability to other modeling problems in ammonia synthesis production.     

含反应节点过程数据校正的扩展独立物流法

Among the techniques developed for bilinear data reconciliation problems, the method based on independent flows is well known in terms of both accuracy and efficiency. However, the independent flow method is not effective when reactor units are present in the process. In this paper, an extended independent flow method is proposed for the data reconciliation of the process with chemical reaction. By the new method, the independent flows finding algorithm is adjusted to avoid the difficulties caused by the reactors in the process, and the reaction constraints are introduced into the objective function of data reconciliation. As a result, the new method can be applied to the process with chemical reaction while retaining high solution accuracy. To test the performance, the new method and the most typical Crowe‘s projection method are used in the data reconciliation of a typical industrial process. The results show that the new method can effectively accomplish the data reconciliation of the muhicomponent process with chemical reaction and gives more accurate estimates than the Crowe‘s method.     

一种新颖的鲁棒动态数据校正方法

Outlier in one variable will smear the estimation of other measurements in data reconciliation （DR）. In this article, a novel robust method is proposed for nonlinear dynamic data reconciliation, to reduce the influence of outliers on the result of DR. This method introduces a penalty function matrix in a conventional least-square objective function, to assign small weights for outliers and large weights for normal measurements. To avoid the loss of data information, element-wise Mahalanobis distance is proposed, as an improvement on vector-wise distance, to construct a penalty function matrix. The correlation of measurement error is also considered in this article. The method introduces the robust statistical theory into conventional least square estimator by constructing the penalty weight matrix and gets not only good robustness but also simple calculation. Simulation of a continuous stirred tank reactor, verifies the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.     

带有切换控制器的闭环单输入单输出系统的数据集信息充足特性分析(英文)

Closed-loop identification is important and necessary to various model-based advanced process control strategies, whose performance depends greatly on the informative property of the data set. Switching control is an important method in process control. Therefore, this paper studies the informative property of a data set in a single-input single-output (SISO) closed-loop system with a switching controller. It is proved that this data set is informative if the controller switches among at least two modes (i.e., feedback laws). Our result does not require any assumption on the way of switch and removes the constraints on the switching manner required in some classical literature. Finally, simulation case studies based on a continuous stirred-tank reactor (CSTR) process are given to validate the results.     

Industrial melt index prediction with the ensemble anti‐outlier just‐in‐time Gaussian process regression modeling method

Several data‐driven soft sensors have been applied for online quality prediction in polymerization processes. However, industrial data samples often follow a non‐Gaussian distribution and contain some outliers. Additionally, a single model is insufficient to capture all of the characteristics in multiple grades. In this study, the support vector clustering (SVC)‐based outlier detection method was first used to better handle the nonlinearity and non‐Gaussianity in data samples. Then, SVC was integrated into the just‐in‐time Gaussian process regression (JGPR) modeling method to enhance the prediction reliability. A similar data set with fewer outliers was constructed to build a more reliable local SVC–JGPR prediction model. Moreover, an ensemble strategy was proposed to combine several local SVC–JGPR models with the prediction uncertainty. Finally, the historical data set was updated repetitively in a reasonable way. The prediction results in the industrial polymerization process show the superiority of the proposed method in terms of prediction accuracy and reliability. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. J. Appl. Polym. Sci. 2015 , 132, 41958.     

基于局部重构融合流形聚类的多模型软测量建模

针对单模型描述复杂非线性对象时估计精度低、泛化能力差的问题,提出了一种基于局部重构融合流形聚类的多模型软测量建模方法。该方法将样本集拆分为多个互不相交的样本子簇,克服异常样本点对聚类结果的影响;以各样本子簇重构线性流形面,将属于同一流形面且相距较近的样本子簇进行融合;采用支持向量机为各个子类建立回归子模型,得到一个基于多个子模型的软测量组合模型。在双酚A生产过程质量指标的软测量建模仿真中验证了该方法的有效性。     

Mixture robust L1 probabilistic principal component regression and soft sensor application

In this paper, the multivariate Laplace distribution (also called L1 distribution) is adopted to construct a robust probabilistic principal component regression model (MRPPCR-L1) under multiple operating modes. In the practical industrial chemistry process, outliers exist due to incorrect recording, disturbances, and process noises and might result in modelling distortion. To address this problem, Laplace distribution, instead of the Gaussian distribution in traditional methods, is introduced to reduce the negative influence of outliers. Moreover, probabilistic principal component regression is employed for dealing with the mixture modelling problem owing to its probabilistic property to determine the operating modes. The formulation of this approach is derived with the expectation maximum algorithm and the soft sensing model is also developed for prediction. Compared to the conventional method, a numerical example and the Tennessee Eastman process are used to demonstrate the robust modelling performance of the proposed method.     

Ensemble Correntropy‐Based Mooney Viscosity Prediction Model for an Industrial Rubber Mixing Process

The development of accurate soft sensors for online prediction of Mooney viscosities in industrial rubber mixing processes is a difficult task because the modeling dataset often contains various outliers. A correntropy kernel learning (CKL) method for robust soft sensor modeling of nonlinear industrial processes with outlier samples is proposed. Simultaneously, the candidate outliers can be identified once the CKL‐based soft sensor model is built. An index for describing the uncertainty of the CKL model is designed. Furthermore, to obtain more robust and accurate predictions, an ensemble CKL (ECKL) method is formulated by introducing the simple bagging strategy. Consequently, by detecting the outliers in a sequential manner, the database becomes more reliable for long‐term use. The application results for the industrial rubber mixing process demonstrate the superiority of ECKL in terms of better prediction performance.     

基于高斯过程和贝叶斯决策的组合模型软测量

为了提高化工生产过程中软测量建模的估计精度,提出了一种基于高斯过程和贝叶斯决策的组合模型建模方法。该方法在对原始数据进行分类的基础上,利用高斯过程对每个子类建立软测量子模型,通过贝叶斯决策方法实现模型的联合估计输出。将该建模方法应用于某双酚A装置的软测量建模中,仿真结果表明,相比于传统的开关切换或加权组合多模型,该组合模型能在实际生产中充分利用样本信息,使得具有更高的估计精度和更强的泛化性能。     

基于工况识别的注塑过程产品质量预测方法

针对多工况注塑过程的在线质量预测问题,考虑了过程数据高维、耦合、非线性等特点,采用拉普拉斯特征映射(LE)方法实现过程数据的非线性降维;在低维特征空间中采用Mean Shift聚类算法完成样本的工况聚类,以便注塑过程的工况分析和知识挖掘;同时运用Mean Shift原理,提出一种新样本的在线工况识别方法;最后应用基于混合粒子群(PSO)参数寻优的偏最小二乘支持向量机(PLS-LSSVM)方法,建立了多工况注塑过程的产品质量软测量模型。实验结果表明,相较于PLS-LSSVM方法,本文方法的预测精度和泛化性能均有明显提高,可为实际注塑企业提供一种效果良好的多工况产品质量在线预测方法。     

基于改进的快速搜索聚类算法和高斯过程回归的催化重整脱氯前氢气纯度多模型建模方法

氢气是催化重整反应的重要副产物之一,建立氢气纯度软测量模型有助于指导生产。针对催化重整过程工况复杂多变、单一软测量模型难以满足精度要求,提出了一种基于改进的快速搜索聚类算法和高斯过程回归的多模型软测量建模方法。首先,针对快速搜索聚类算法中截断距离是由人为设定的问题,提出了一种截断距离确定方法。并用该改进算法对历史数据进行自动分类,建立各个数据子集的高斯过程回归模型,使各子模型在最大程度上反映不同工况点。然后,针对聚类后得到的带有类别标签的历史数据,建立类别辨识模型,与各子模型相结合,形成开关模式的组合模型。最后,将该建模方法应用于连续催化重整装置,建立了脱氯前氢气纯度的在线计算模型。结果表明,该多模型建模方法具有较高的预测精度,优于传统的单一模型,有一定的实用价值。     

A novel unified correlation model using ensemble support vector regression for prediction of flooding velocity in randomly packed towers

Traditional empirical correlations and models have found insufficient to predict the flooding velocity accurately mainly because there are many kinds of random packings which exhibit different characteristics. In this work, a novel data-driven modeling method, i.e. ensemble least squares support vector regression (ELSSVR), is proposed to construct a unified correlation for prediction of the flooding velocity for packed towers with random packings. The flooding data are first clustered into several classes by the fuzzy c-means clustering algorithm. Then, several single LSSVR models can be trained using each sub-class of samples to capture the special characteristics. Moreover, a weighted least squares approach is adopted to integrate these single LSSVR models. Consequently, the ELSSVR model can extract the feature information of flooding data effectively and improve the prediction performance. The proposed ELSSVR method is applied to construct a unified correlation for prediction of the flooding velocity in randomly packed towers. The obtained results for several kinds of random packings demonstrate that the ELSSVR-based correlation can obtain better prediction performance, compared with the traditional semi-empirical correlations and artificial neural networks-based models. Finally, a database containing the modeling information of flooding velocity in randomly packed towers of China is provided for academic research.     

基于深度集成支持向量机的工业过程软测量方法

基于支持向量机（SVM）的软测量建模方法已经在工业过程控制领域得到广泛应用,然而传统支持向量机直接针对原始测量变量建立模型,未能充分挖掘数据的内在特征信息以提高预测精度。针对该问题,本文提出一种基于深度集成支持向量机（DESVM）的软测量建模方法。该方法首先利用深度置信网络（DBN）来对数据进行深层次的信息挖掘,提取出数据的内在特征,然后引入基于Bagging算法的集成学习策略,构建基于深度数据特征的集成支持向量机模型,以提升软测量预测模型的泛化能力。最后通过数值系统和真实工业数据对方法进行应用分析,结果表明本文提出的方法能够有效提升支持向量机软测量模型的预测精度,能够更好地预测过程质量指标的变化。     

基于加权模糊聚类方法的多模型建模

针对化工过程软测量模型的多样性,提出基于一种加权模糊聚类方法的多模型建模方法。将输入向量与输出的相关性作为加权系数,构建加权模糊聚类算法,对样本空间的输入数据进行聚类,然后用与输入变量对应的子模型进行输出估计,子模型输出作为系统模型的最终输出。该方法能够实现对输入数据更加合理的划分,提高软测量模型的精度。将该方法应用于双酚A生产过程的质量指标软测量建模,仿真结果表明了该方法的可行性和有效性。