Body weight change and carotid artery wall thickness. The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

The impact of weight change in adulthood on cardiovascular disease is controversial. This study examined the association of change in body weight, from young adulthood to middle age, with average carotid artery intimal-medial wall thickness by B-mode ultrasound measured in middle age. Participants were 13,282 men and women aged 45-64 years from the baseline examination of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study (1987-1989). Weight change was calculated as the difference between weight at the baseline examination and self-reported weight at age 25. White men gained a mean of 9.7 kg; black men, 10.1 kg; white women, 12.0 kg; and black women, 20.8 kg. Weight change was positively, albeit modestly, associated with intimal-medial thickness in black men and white men and in white women, but not in black women. Adjusted for age, examination center, smoking, education, sports activity level, height, and body mass index at age 25, the differences in intimal-medial thickness associated with a 10-kg increment in weight change were 0.016 (95% confidence interval 0.010 to 0.022) mm in white men, 0.008 (95% confidence interval 0.001 to 0.015) mm in black men, 0.013 (95% confidence interval 0.009 to 0.017) mm in white women, and 0.002 (95% confidence interval -0.002 to 0.006) mm in black women. These findings support the hypothesis that weight gain in adulthood promotes atherosclerotic changes in white men and women and in black men.     

A metabolic syndrome in whites and African-Americans. The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities baseline study

The efficacy of microspheres made of polylactic acid polyglycolic acid copolymer mixed with blood clot as a delivery system for recombinant human bone morphogenetic protein-2 (rhBMP-2) was evaluated and the long term behaviour of rhBMP-2 in rats was studied. Twenty micro grams of rhBMP-2 in 200 microliter carrier (blood coagulum and polylactic acid polyglycolic acid porous microspheres) were implanted subcutaneously over both sides of the chest muscles in 40 5-week-old male Long Evans rats. The control group were implanted with carrier alone. Specimens were retrieved after 3 days and weekly for 9 weeks. Outcome was measured by signs of bone formation on low power radiographs, and signs of bony growth on histological examination. There were no signs of foreign body or inflammatory reactions to the carrier in either group. In the experimental group signs of bone formation had started to appear by the end of the first week, and there was a gradual increase in both radio-opacity and size during the observation period. Histologically the bony growth was beginning to mature by 4 weeks and was fully mature by 7-9 weeks. In contrast there was no sign of cartilage or bone formation in the control group and the carrier had resorbed by 4-6 weeks. It is concluded that rhBMP-2 implanted in a carrier consisting of blood clot and porous microspheres made of polylactic acid polyglycolic acid induces rapid proliferation of mesenchymal cells that lead to formation of cartilage and bone by 7 days which had matured by 9 weeks. rhBMP-2 in this carrier may be useful clinically because of its capacity to induce early formation of bone.     

Lack of association between ferritin level and measures of LDL oxidation: the ARIC study. Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities

The neprilysin gene is composed of three distinct 5' noncoding exons which can be joined to the first coding exon to generate multiple mRNA species, all encoding the same protein. Genomic fragments containing upstream sequences of each of these three noncoding exons from the rat neprilysin gene were subcloned in the promoterless vector pXp1, which contains the luciferase reporter gene. Expression was compared between a neprilysin positive human spinal cord cell line, HSC-2, and neprilysin negative lines MCF-7, a human breast adenocarcinoma cell line and Hep G2, a human liver carcinoma cell line. The first and second promoter regions showed high activity in the positive cell line, but low activity in the negative cell lines. An analysis of the exon 1 promoter region showed that the proximal 85 nucleotides exhibited basal promoter activity. An enhancer-like sequence was found to be located within a 22-bp fragment located at -136 to -115. Scanning mutagenesis of a 29-bp fragment containing the enhancer-like sequence showed that changes in each 5- or 6-bp segment throughout this fragment decreased activity; however, mutations of the segment encompassing positions 19 to 24 eliminated >98% of the promoter activity. Binding of nuclear proteins from HSC-2 cells to this 29-bp fragment was observed by gel shift analysis. The ability of mutations within the 29-bp fragment to affect enhancer activity correlated with the ability of these mutant oligonucleotides to compete for the wild-type sequence in gel shift assays.     

Relations of intimal-medial thickness among sites within the carotid artery as evaluated by B-mode ultrasound. ARIC Investigators. Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: B-mode ultrasound is a widely used technique for the clinical and epidemiological assessment of carotid atherosclerosis. This article describes the relation between arterial intimal-medial thickness (IMT) at different sites within the extracranial carotid artery. METHODS: IMT was measured by B-mode real-time ultrasound as an index of atherosclerotic involvement in the extracranial carotid arteries as part of the population-based Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. The relation between IMT at different sites was described by correlation coefficients and percentile regression techniques based on between 4034 and 9386 pairs of measurements (variation in sample size depending on the paired sites). RESULTS: Increased IMT at one site was associated with increased IMT at other sites. The correlation between right and left IMT at the same anatomic location in the carotid artery ranged from .34 to .49; the correlation at different anatomic locations in the carotid artery on the same side ranged from .25 to .43. The distribution of IMT, described by the percentiles of IMT at the inference site as a function of IMT at the index site, showed constricted percentiles of IMT at the inference site for small IMT at the index site and an increase in the spread of percentiles with increasing IMT. CONCLUSIONS: Although increased carotid IMT at one site is positively associated with thickened walls at other carotid sites, the ability to accurately predict wall thickness at a site given the wall thickness at other sites is modest. The general association between sites supports the systemic nature of atherosclerosis, while the lack of tight agreement between sites supports the focal nature of the atherosclerotic process.     

Does the association of risk factors and atherosclerosis change with age? An analysis of the combined ARIC and CHS cohorts. The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) and Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) investigators

INTRODUCTION: A decrease in the estimated relative risk of cerebrovascular and cardiovascular diseases associated with known disease risk factors has been observed among elderly cohorts, perhaps suggesting that continued risk factor management in the elderly may not be as efficacious as with younger age groups. In this paper, the differential magnitude of the association of risk factors with atherosclerosis across the age spectrum from 45 years to older than 75 years is presented. METHODS: Subclinical atherosclerosis as measured by carotid ultrasonography and risk factor prevalence were assessed using similar methods among participants aged 45 to 64 years in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and among participants 65 years and older in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). Pooling these two cohorts provided data on the relationship of risk factors and atherosclerosis on nearly 19,000 participants over a broad age range. Regression analyses were used to assess the consistency of the magnitude of the association of risk factors with atherosclerosis across the age spectrum separately for black and white participants in cross-sectional analyses. RESULTS: As expected, each of the risk factors was globally (across all ages) associated with increased atherosclerosis. However, the magnitude of the association did not differ across the age spectrum for hypertension, low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c), fibrinogen, or body mass index (BMI). For whites, there was a significantly greater impact of smoking and HDL-C among older age strata but a smaller impact of diabetes. For black women, the impact of HDL-C decreased among the older age strata. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that most risk factors continue to be associated with increased atherosclerosis at older ages, possibly suggesting a continued value in investigation of strategies to reduce atherosclerosis by controlling risk factors at older ages.     

Demographic and anthropometric correlates of maximum inspiratory pressure: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Maximum inspiratory pressure (MIP), an indicator of inspiratory muscle strength, is reported on 13,005 African-American and white participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. Sex-specific associations between MIP and age, anthropometric measures, physical activity, health status, smoking status, and education level are presented. In this cohort of subjects 47 to 68 yr of age, MIP decreased 0.93 cm H2O (p 相似文献   

Associations of serum and dietary magnesium with cardiovascular disease, hypertension, diabetes, insulin, and carotid arterial wall thickness: the ARIC study. Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

The objective of this study was to examine the relationships of serum and dietary magnesium (Mg) with prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD), hypertension, diabetes mellitus, fasting insulin, and average carotid intimal-medial wall thickness measured by B-mode ultrasound. A cross-sectional design was used. The setting was the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study in four US communities. A total of 15,248 participants took part, male and female, black and white, aged 45-64 years. Fasting serum Mg, lipids, fasting glucose and insulin were measured; as was usual dietary intake by food frequency questionnaire and carotid intima-media thickness by standardized B-mode ultrasound methods. The results showed that serum Mg levels and dietary Mg intake were both lower in blacks than whites. Mean serum Mg levels were significantly lower in participants with prevalent CVD, hypertension, and diabetes than in those free of these diseases. In participants without CVD, serum Mg levels were also inversely associated with fasting serum insulin, glucose, systolic blood pressure and smoking. Dietary Mg intake was inversely associated with fasting serum insulin, plasma high density lipoprotein-cholesterol, systolic and diastolic blood pressure. Adjusted for age, race, body mass index, smoking, hypertension, Low density lipoprotein-cholesterol, and field center, mean carotid wall thickness increased in women by 0.0118 mm (p = 0.006) in diuretic users and 0.0048 mm (p = 0.017) in nonusers for each 0.1 mmol/l decrease in serum Mg level; the multivariate association in men was not significant. In conclusion, low serum and dietary Mg may be related to the etiologies of CVD, hypertension, diabetes, and atherosclerosis.     

Association of coronary heart disease incidence with carotid arterial wall thickness and major risk factors: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study, 1987-1993

Few studies have determined whether greater carotid artery intima-media thickness (IMT) in asymptomatic individuals is associated prospectively with increased risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). In the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, carotid IMT, an index of generalized atherosclerosis, was defined as the mean of IMT measurements at six sites of the carotid arteries using B-mode ultrasound. The authors assessed its relation to CHD incidence over 4-7 years of follow-up (1987-1993) in four US communities (Forsyth County, North Carolina; Jackson, Mississippi; Minneapolis, Minnesota; and Washington County, Maryland) from samples of 7,289 women and 5,552 men aged 45-64 years who were free of clinical CHD at baseline. There were 96 incident events for women and 194 for men. In sex-specific Cox proportional hazards models adjusted only for age, race, and center, the hazard rate ratio comparing extreme mean IMT (> or = 1 mm) to not extreme (< 1 mm) was 5.07 for women (95% confidence interval 3.08-8.36) and 1.85 for men (95% confidence interval 1.28-2.69). The relation was graded (monotonic), and models with cubic splines indicated significant nonlinearity. The strength of the association was reduced by including major CHD risk factors, but remained elevated at higher IMT. Up to 1 mm mean IMT, women had lower adjusted annual event rates than did men, but above 1 mm their event rate was closer to that of men. Thus, mean carotid IMT is a noninvasive predictor of future CHD incidence.     

Provitamin A carotenoid intake and carotid artery plaques: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Clara cell protein is a 16-17 kDa protein (CC16) secreted by Clara cells in the bronchiolar lining fluid of the lung. In order to investigate the potential of this protein as a pulmonary marker in animals, CC16 was isolated from rat bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) and a sensitive latex immunoassay applicable to both rat and mouse CC16 was developed. The pattern of CC16 concentrations in rat biological fluids determined by the immunoassay was consistent with the hypothesis of a passive diffusion of the protein across the bronchoalveolar/blood barriers showing a difference of more than 5,000 fold between the concentration in the epithelial lining fluid (mean, 140 mg x L(-1)) and that in serum (20 microg x L(-1)) or urine (3 microg x L(-1)). In BALF, the CC16 concentration averaged 5,500 microg x L(-1) and was of the same magnitude as that determined on lung and trachea homogenates. CC16 was also detectable in amniotic fluid with a mean value of 800 microg x L(-1) before delivery. Damage of Clara cells produced by methylcyclopentadienyl manganese tricarbonyl resulted in a significant decrease of CC16 in BALF but did not affect the serum levels of the protein. The nephrotoxicant sodium chromate by contrast had no influence on the CC16 content of BALF but markedly increased CC16 levels in both serum and urine as a result of impaired glomerular filtration and tubular reabsorption, respectively. In conclusion, mouse or rat Clara cell protein of 16-17 kDa can easily be quantified, not only in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid, but also in extrapulmonary fluids such as serum or urine. Thus, in rodents, Clara cell protein of 16-17 kDa follows the same metabolic pathway as in humans, diffusing from the respiratory tract into serum where it is eliminated by the kidneys. This serum Clara cell protein of 16-17 kDa may be useful as a peripheral marker of events taking place in the respiratory tract.     

Risk factors associated with alterations in carotid intima-media thickness in hypertension: baseline data from the European Lacidipine Study on Atherosclerosis

BACKGROUND: The possibility that calcium antagonists exert an anti-atherosclerotic action at least partly independently of the blood-pressure-lowering effect is supported by results of a large number of experimental studies and can now be investigated by quantitative B-mode ultrasound imagining of the carotid artery walls. DESIGN: The European Lacidipine Study on Atherosclerosis (ELSA) is a prospective, randomized, double-blind, multinational trial comparing effects of 4-year treatment based on the long-acting, highly lipophilic calcium antagonist lacidipine with those of treatment based on the beta-blocker atenolol on the development of carotid artery wall alterations in patients (aged 45-75 years) with mild-to-moderate hypertension (systolic blood pressure 150-210 mmHg and diastolic blood pressure 95-115 mmHg). While the intervention study is progressing, this article summarizes baseline data obtained from the whole cohort of 2259 patients randomly allocated to treatment. METHODS: Baseline ultrasound data were obtained from two replicate examinations performed shortly before random allocation to treatment by certified sonographers at 23 referral centres and read at the ultrasound coordinating centre at the Wake Forest University School of Medicine. Intima-media thickness was measured at up to 12 different sites in the carotid artery tree and expressed as the mean of the maxima at these sites (Mmax), the mean of the maxima at four sites in the distal common carotid artery and bifurcation (CBMmax) and the maximum intima-media thickness (Tmax). Baseline demographic and clinical measurements were performed by investigators in 410 peripheral clinical units and 24 h ambulatory blood pressure monitorings read and validated by members of a centralized unit at the University of Milan. The statistical analysis centre at the Technische Universit?t München received and analysed all baseline data, by calculating means +/- SD, medians and ranges and performing correlation (Spearman correlation coefficients) and multiple regression analyses. RESULTS: Prevalence of carotid artery wall alterations among the hypertensive patients randomly allocated to treatment in the ELSA was very high: 82% had Tmax > or = 1.3 mm ('plaques' according to protocol) and 17% had Tmax > or = 1.0 and < 1.3 mm ('thickening'), with a median of two plaques per patient. We found significant correlations between ultrasound measurements and the following demographic and clinical variables: age, sex, systolic blood pressure and pulse pressure (both clinic and ambulatory), concentrations of total, high-density lipoprotein and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and triglycerides, smoking habit and duration of hypertension. We found no significant correlation to diastolic blood pressure and glucose concentration. A multiple regression analysis indicated significant variables in the following rank order: age, 24 h ambulatory pulse pressure, sex, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol concentration, triglyceride concentration, smoking and clinic systolic blood pressure. CONCLUSIONS: Analysis of baseline data from the ELSA has shown that there is an extremely marked prevalence of carotid artery wall alterations among mild-to-moderate, middle-aged hypertensive patients. In addition to age, systolic blood pressure and pulse pressure, particularly if they are accurately measured by ambulatory monitoring, play a major role, somewhat greater than those of sex, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol concentration and smoking, in influencing intima-media thickness.     

Estimation of body fat in caucasian and Polynesian women from anthropometric measurements

Girth measurements provide a simple method for estimation of total body fat that can be used over a wide range of percentage body fat (%BF). Well-established equations for determining %BF from girth measurements were applied to 42 Caucasian and 40 Polynesian women. %BF was determined from total body water measurement using oxygen-18 dilution. The relationship between the criterion measurement of %BF and that calculated from girth measurements differed significantly between the two ethnic groups. Assessment of body fat using girth measurements should use ethnicity-specific equations.     

Fasting hyperinsulinemia and cardiovascular disease risk factors in nondiabetic adults: stronger associations in lean versus obese subjects. Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study Investigators

The association between hyperinsulinemia and atherogenic risk factors has not been well studied in blacks and may be different for obese versus lean individuals. To investigate this possibility and to confirm the associations of hyperinsulinemia with cardiovascular disease risk factors in blacks and whites, we analyzed the joint associations of fasting serum insulin and obesity with risk factors in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study (1,293 black men, 4,797 white men, 2,033 black women, and 5,445 white women). Insulin values > or = 90th percentile (> or = 21 microU/mL) constituted hyperinsulinemia; body mass index (BMI) values > or = 27.3 kg/m2 for women and > or = 27.8 for men constituted obesity. Participants with hyperinsulinemia in all four race-sex groups had more atherogenic levels of most risk factors studied than those with normoinsulinemia. Among black men and women, mean levels of triglycerides, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), apolipoprotein (apo) B, glucose, and fibrinogen (men only) were higher in hyperinsulinemic lean participants as compared with the normoinsulinemic obese group. Furthermore, most associations between insulin level and risk factors were stronger among lean versus obese subjects. For example, among lean black men, the difference in mean triglyceride concentration between those with hyperinsulinemia and those with normoinsulinemia was 147 - 99 = 48 mg/dL; among obese black men, the difference was 155 - 121 = 34 mg/dL (P < .05 for the interaction). Generally, similar negative interactions between BMI and insulin concentration were also observed among whites.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

Quality of life in relation to overweight and body fat distribution

OBJECTIVES: This study quantified the impairment of quality of life attributable to body fatness by using the standardized SF-36 Health Survey. METHODS: Tertiles of waist circumference and body mass index (BMI) in 1885 men and 2156 women aged 20 to 59 years in the Netherlands in 1995 were compared. RESULTS: The odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals of subjects with the largest waist circumferences, compared with those in the lowest tertile, were 1.8 (1.3, 2.4) in men and 2.2 (1.7, 2.9) in women with difficulties in bending, kneeling, or stooping; 2.2 (1.4, 3.7) in men and 1.7 (1.2, 2.6) in women with difficulties in walking 500 m; and 1.3 (1.0, 1.9) in men and 1.5 (1.1, 1.9) in women with difficulties in lifting or carrying groceries. Anthropometric measures were less strongly associated with social functioning, role limitations due to physical or emotional problems, mental health, vitality, pain, or health change in 1 year. The relationship between quality of life measures and BMI were similar to those between quality of life measures and waist circumference. CONCLUSIONS: Large waist circumferences and high BMIs are more likely to be associated with impaired quality of life and disability affecting basic activities of daily living.     

Clinical results of the Verapamil inHypertension and Atherosclerosis Study. VHAS Investigators

OBJECTIVE: The Verapamil in Hypertension and Atherosclerosis Study (VHAS) is a prospective randomized study the objective of which was to compare the long-term effects of verapamil and chlorthalidone on the blood pressure, clinical safety, and the progression/regression of carotid wall lesions in members of a large population of hypertensive patients. DESIGN: After a 3-week placebo run-in period, 1414 hypertensive patients [692 men and 722 women, aged 53.2 +/- 7 years, blood pressure 168.9 +/- 10.5/ 102.2 +/- 5.0 mmHg (means +/- SD)] were assigned randomly to be administered either 240 mg sustained-release verapamil (n = 707) or 25 mg chlorthalidone (n = 707) once a day for 2 years. The study design was double blind for the first 6 months and open thereafter. 25-50 mg/day captopril were added to the treatment of non-responding patients; subsequently, patients not responding to combined therapy were switched to any therapy chosen by the treating doctors (free therapy). The blood pressure of the sitting subject, heart rate, and a standard clinical safety profile (electrocardiogram, laboratory tests, adverse events, cardiovascular events, and deaths) were assessed regularly throughout the study. RESULTS: After 2 years the systolic and diastolic blood pressures were reduced significantly in members of both treatment groups (by 16.3/16.6% with verapamil and by 16.9/16.2% with chlorthalidone, both by analysis of variance, P < 0.0001). The patients for whom we added captopril treatment constituted 22.6% of the verapamil and 26.2% of the chlorthalidone group; while 11.6 and 12.2% of patients in these groups, respectively, were administered free therapy. Normalization of the diastolic blood pressure (to < or = 90 mmHg or to < or = 95 mmHg with a > or = 10% decrease) was achieved for 69.3% of the verapamil and 66.9% of the chlorthalidone group. A decrease in heart rate (by 5.8%) occurred in members of the verapamil group only. A decrease in total serum cholesterol (from 223.6 to 216.9 mg/dl, P < 0.01) and in the total cholesterol: high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (from 4.9 to 4.5, P < 0.01) was noted for the verapamil group only, whereas significantly greater rates of hyperuricemia (plasma urate > 7.0 mg/dl; 10.8 versus 3.9%) and hypokalemia (serum K < 3.5 mmol/l; 24.6 versus 4.4%) were observed for the chlorthalidone group (P < 0.01, versus verapamil for both). Adverse events were reported by 32.5% of patients treated with verapamil and by 33.4% of those treated with chlorthalidone. The most frequent adverse events were constipation in members of the verapamil group (13.7%) and asthenia in members of the chlorthalidone group (8.5%). In total 315 dropped out (153 from the verapamil and 162 from the chlorthalidone group). The occurrence of cardiovascular events was similar for both treatments (42 events for verapamil and 43 for chlorthalidone, NS). CONCLUSION: Similar antihypertensive efficacies, tolerabilities and cardiovascular event rates were observed with verapamil and with chlorthalidone. However, treatment with chlorthalidone was associated with significantly higher incidences of hyperuricemia and hypokalemia than was treatment with verapamil.     

Body mass index, waist/hip ratio, and coronary heart disease incidence in African Americans and whites. Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study Investigators

To study the relation of the amount and distribution of body fat with incident coronary heart disease in two ethnic groups, the authors analyzed prospective data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. Among 14,040 participants aged 45-64 years and free of coronary disease at baseline in 1987-1989, we identified 398 events through 1994, an average of 6.2 years of follow-up. Among African-American women, the multivariable-adjusted relative risks of coronary heart disease across quartiles of body mass index were 1.0, 1.91. 1.54, and 2.15 (p for trend=0.27), and those for waist/hip ratio were 1.0, 2.07, 2.33, and 4.22 (p for trend=0.02). Among African-American men, these respective relative risks were 1.0, 1.03, 0.83, and 1.20 (p for trend=0.76) for body mass index and 1.0, 1.08, 1.87, and 1.68 (p for trend=0.06) for waist/hip ratio. Relative risks for whites were generally similar to those for African Americans. Relative risks were stronger for never smokers than for the overall cohort. Unlike some previous studies, our results suggest that Africa Americans, like whites, are not spared from the coronary heart disease risks accompanying obesity.     

Body fat distribution and risk of non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus in women. The Nurses' Health Study

Obesity is an established risk factor for non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM). Anthropometric measures of overall and central obesity as predictors of NIDDM risk have not been as well studied, especially in women. Among 43,581 women enrolled in the Nurses' Health Study who in 1986 provided waist, hip, and weight information and who were initially free from diabetes and other major chronic diseases, NIDDM incidence was followed from 1986 to 1994. After adjustment for age, family history of diabetes, smoking, exercise, and several dietary factors, the relative risk of NIDDM for the 90th percentile of body mass index (BMI) (weight (kg)/height (m)2) (BMI = 29.9) versus the 10th percentile (BMI = 20.1) was 11.2 (95% confidence interval (CI) 7.9-15.9). Controlling for BMI and other potentially confounding factors, the relative risk for the 90th percentile of waist: hip ratio (WHR) (WHR = 0.86) versus the 10th percentile (WHR = 0.70) was 3.1 (95% CI 2.3-4.1), and the relative risk for the 90th percentile of waist circumference (36.2 inches or 92 cm) versus the 10th percentile (26.2 inches or 67 cm) was 5.1 (95% CI 2.9-8.9). BMI, WHR, and waist circumference are powerful independent predictors of NIDDM in US women. Measurement of BMI and waist circumference (with or without hip circumference) are potentially useful tools for clinicians in counseling patients regarding NIDDM risk and risk reduction.