具有随机多丢包的ARMA信号最优线性估计

研究网络环境下具有随机丢包的自回归滑动平均(ARMA)信号的估计问题,其中丢包现象通过一个满足Bernoulli分布的随机变量描述.通过ARMA模型与状态空间模型的转化,将具有丢包的ARMA信号估计问题转化为具有丢包的状态空间模型的状态和白噪声估计问题.利用射影理论分别给出线性最小方差最优线性状态估值器和白噪声估值器,进而获得ARMA信号估值器.仿真结果表明,当存在数据丢失时,所提出的算法与以往基于完整数据的最优估计算法相比具有最优性和有效性.     

具有一步随机滞后和多丢包的网络系统的最优线性估计

研究了具有随机时滞和丢包的网络系统的最优线性估计问题.本文通过两个满足 Bernoulli分布的随机变量来描述网络数据传输中可能存在的一步随机滞后和多丢包现象. 并基于新息分析方法,提出了线性最小方差下的最优线性状态滤波器、预报器和平滑器. 它们通过解一个Riccati方程和一个Lyapunov方程得到.最后,给出了稳态估值器存在的一个充分条件. 并通过仿真例子验证其有效性.     

带多丢包和滞后随机不确定系统的最优线性估计

研究了带多丢包和滞后网络化随机不确定系统的最优线性估计问题. 通过白色乘性噪声来描述系统参数的随机不确定性. 通过一组满足Bernoulli分布的随机变量来描述数据传输过程中发生的丢包和滞后现象. 应用新息分析方法, 设计了线性最小方差意义下的最优线性估值器, 包括滤波器, 预报器和平滑器. 给出了稳态估值器存在的一个充分条件. 仿真例子验证了其有效性.     

具有数据包丢失的离散随机不确定系统的线性最优满阶估值器

研究了具有数据包丢失和随机不确定性离散随机线性系统的状态估计问题.其中数据包丢失是随机的,且满足Bernoulli分布,系统矩阵中的随机不确定性由一个白色乘性噪声来描述.首先,通过配方方法,提出了最小均方意义下的无偏最优线性递推满阶滤波器.所提出的滤波器用到了当前时刻和最近时刻接收到的观测来保证线性最优性.与多项式滤波和增广滤波器相比,本文的滤波器具有较小的计算负担.然后,基于所获得的线性滤波器推导了线性最优预报器和平滑器.进一步研究了线性最优估值器的渐近稳定性,给出了稳态特性存在的一个充分条件.最后,通过两个仿真例子验证了所提估计算法的优越性.     

基于Kalman滤波的通用和统一的白噪声估计方法

用射影理论,基于Kalman滤波提出了通用和统一的白噪声估计方法,可统一解决带非零均值相关噪声的线性离散时变随机控制系统的白噪声滤波、平滑和预报问题.提出了输入白噪声估值器和观测白噪声估值器,最优和稳态白噪声估值器,固定点、固定滞后和固定区间白噪声平滑器,白噪声新息滤波器和Wiener滤波器.它可应用于石油地震勘探信号处理和状态估计,为解决信号和状态估计问题,提供了新的途径和工具.关于Bernoulli-Gaussian白噪声估值器的仿真例子说明了其有效性.     

极点配置广义稳态Kalman估值器

应用时域上的现代时间序列分析方法,基于自回归滑动平均(ARMA)新息模型和白噪 声估值器,应用控制理论中的极点配置原理,对线性离散时间广义随机系统提出了极点配置广义 稳态Kalman估值器.它们具有全局渐近稳定性,且通过配置估值器的极点可按指数衰减速率使 初始状态估值的影响快速消失.它们可在统一框架下处理滤波、平滑和预报问题.它们避免了Riccati 方程和最优初始状态估值的计算,因而可减小计算负担.一个仿真例子说明了它们的有效性.     

广义系统稳态Kalman估值器

用现代时间序列分析方法,提出了广义离散线性随机系统稳态Kalman滤波、平滑 和预报的一种统一格式,给出了稳态Kalman估值器增益新算法,避免了求解Riccati方程.为 保证估值器的渐近稳定性,给出了选择初始估值的公式.仿真例子说明了所提出的结果的有 效性.     

带白色和有色观测噪声系统解耦Wiener状态估值器

基于经典稳态Kalman滤波理论, 对带白色和有色观测噪声系统提出了设计最优Wiener状态估值器的新方法. 通过稳态Kalman滤波器建立ARMA新息模型, 由稳态最优非递推Kalman状态估值器的递推变形引出Wiener状态估值器, 可统一处理滤波、预报和平滑问题, 它们具有状态解耦的ARMA递推形式, 且具有渐近稳定性和最优性, 仿真结果表明了算法的有效性.     

网络化不确定系统集中式融合鲁棒稳态估值器

对于一类在状态转移阵和系统观测阵中带相同的状态依赖乘性噪声、带噪声依赖乘性噪声、一步随机观测滞后、丢包和不确定噪声方差的多传感器网络化系统,文章研究其鲁棒集中式融合稳态滤波问题.应用增广方法将系统转换为带随机参数矩阵、相同过程和观测噪声的集中式融合系统.应用去随机化方法和虚拟噪声技术,系统进一步转化为仅带不确定噪声方差的集中式融合系统.根据极大极小鲁棒估计原理,本文提出了鲁棒集中式融合稳态Kalman估值器(预报器、滤波器和平滑器),证明了所提出的集中式融合估值器的鲁棒性,给出了鲁棒局部与集中式融合估值器之间的精度关系.本文提出了应用于多传感器多通道滑动平均(MA)信号估计的一个实例,给出了相应的鲁棒局部和集中式融合信号估值器.仿真实验验证了所提出方法的有效性和正确性.     

时变系统的统一和通用的最优白噪声估值器

对带相关噪声的时变系统,基于Kalman滤波提出了统一和通用的最优白噪声估值器,它包括观测白噪声估值器和输入白噪声估值器两者.提出了统一的固定点和固定区间最优白噪声平滑器.特别对时不变系统提出了统一的稳态白噪声估值器.它们为解决状态或信号估计和反卷积问题提供了新的途径和工具,且可应用于石油地震勘探数据处理.一个Bernoulli_Gaussian白噪声的仿真例子说明了它们的有效性.     

Optimal linear estimator for discrete-time systems with random delays

In this paper,optimal estimation for discrete-time linear time-varying systems with randomly state and measurement delays is considered.By introducing a set of binary random variables,the system is con...     

Centralized filtering and smoothing algorithms from outputs with random parameter matrices transmitted through uncertain communication channels

The least-squares linear centralized estimation problem is addressed for discrete-time signals from measured outputs whose disturbances are modeled by random parameter matrices and correlated noises. These measurements, coming from different sensors, are sent to a processing center to obtain the estimators and, due to random transmission failures, some of the data packet processed for the estimation may either contain only noise (uncertain observations), be delayed (sensor delays) or even be definitely lost (packet dropouts). Different sequences of Bernoulli random variables with known probabilities are employed to describe the multiple random transmission uncertainties of the different sensors. Using the last observation that successfully arrived when a packet is lost, the optimal linear centralized fusion estimators, including filter, multi-step predictors and fixed-point smoothers, are obtained via an innovation approach; this approach is a general and useful tool to find easily implementable recursive algorithms for the optimal linear estimators under the least-squares optimality criterion. The proposed algorithms are obtained without requiring the evolution model of the signal process, but using only the first and second-order moments of the processes involved in the measurement model.     

Optimal linear estimators for systems with multiple random measurement delays and packet dropouts

This article is concerned with the optimal linear estimation problem for linear discrete-time stochastic systems with possible multiple random measurement delays and packet dropouts, where the largest random delay is limited within a known bound and packet dropouts can be infinite. A new model is constructed to describe the phenomena of multiple random delays and packet dropouts by employing some random variables of Bernoulli distribution. By state augmentation, the system with random delays and packet dropouts is transferred to a system with random parameters. Based on the new model, the least mean square optimal linear estimators including filter, predictor and smoother are easily obtained via an innovation analysis approach. The estimators are recursively computed in terms of the solutions of a Riccati difference equation and a Lyapunov difference equation. A sufficient condition for the existence of the steady-state estimators is given. An example shows the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms.     

Empirical Bayes estimators of the random intercept in multilevel analysis: Performance of the classical, Morris and Rao version

For a linear multilevel model with 2 levels, with equal numbers of level-1 units per level-2 unit and a random intercept only, different empirical Bayes estimators of the random intercept are examined. Studied are the classical empirical Bayes estimator, the Morris version of the empirical Bayes estimator and Rao's estimator. It is unclear which of these estimators performs best in terms of Bayes risk. Of these three, the Rao estimator is optimal in case the covariance matrix of random coefficients may be negative definite. However, in the multilevel model this matrix is restricted to be positive semi-definite. The Morris version, replaces the weights of the empirical Bayes estimator by unbiased estimates. This correction, however, is based on known level-1 variances, which in many empirical settings are unknown. A fourth estimator is proposed, a variant of Rao's estimator which restricts the estimated covariance matrix of random coefficients to be positive semi-definite. Since there are no closed-form expressions for estimators involved in the empirical Bayes estimators (except for the Rao estimator), Monte Carlo simulations are done to evaluate the performance of these different empirical Bayes estimators. Only for small sample sizes there are clear differences between these estimators. As a consequence, for larger sample sizes the formula for the Bayes risk of the Rao estimator can be used to calculate the Bayes risk for the other estimators proposed.     

Simple resampling methods of approximating the distribution of LAD estimators for doubly censored regression models

Recently, least absolute deviation (LAD) estimator for median regression models with doubly censored data was proposed and the asymptotic normality of the estimator was established, and the methods based on bootstrap and random weighting were proposed respectively to approximate the distribution of the LAD estimators. But the calculation of the estimators requires solving a non-convex and non-smooth minimization problem, resulting in high computational costs in implementing the bootstrap or random weighting method directly. In this paper, computationally simple resampling methods are proposed to approximate the distribution of the doubly censored LAD estimators. The objective functions in the resampling stage of the new methods are piece-wise linear and convex, and their minimizer can be obtained by the linear programming in the same way as that for the case of uncensored median regression.     

Optimal linear estimators for systems with random measurement delays

This paper is concerned with the optimal linear estimation problem for linear discrete-time stochastic systems with random measurement delays. A new model that describes the random delays is constructed where possible the largest delay is bounded. Based on this new model, the optimal linear estimators including filter, predictor and smoother are developed via an innovation analysis approach. The estimators are recursively computed in terms of the solutions of a Riccati difference equation and a Lyapunov difference equation. The steady-state estimators are also investigated. A sufficient condition for the convergence of the optimal linear estimators is given. A simulation example shows the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms.