Changes in academic attributes associated with establishment of departments of emergency medicine. Task Force on the Development of Emergency Medicine at Academic Medical Centers

Helicobacter pylori is a cause of gastric adenocarcinoma, but the role of H. pylori eradication in reducing cancer risk is unknown. We sought to estimate the benefits of a screening and treatment programme for H. pylori infection, aimed at reducing the incidence of gastric cancer in Australia. The impact of this programme on cancer incidence was evaluated in sensitivity analyses utilizing Western Australian Cancer Registry data and published data on the epidemiology of H. pylori and gastric cancer. The impact of variation in parameters used in the sensitivity analyses was substantial, ranging from a 38% reduction in lifetime risk of gastric cancer in a best-case to 3% in a worst-case scenario. In an intermediate-case scenario there is a 23% reduction in lifetime risk, but in real terms this reflects a fall in cumulative incidence from 0.7 to 0.5% for males or 0.3 to 0.2% for females. The projected cumulative lifetime incidence of gastric cancer in H. pylori-infected males is 2.2% and 0.9% for females; this contrasts with 0.4 and 0.2%, respectively, for those never infected. According to an intermediate-case scenario, to prevent one gastric cancer, screening with or without subsequent treatment would be required in 617 men or 1639 women. Furthermore, this programme may be less effective in reducing cancer incidence than would be achieved naturally over the next 15 years, providing the current annual decline in gastric cancer incidence continues. In conclusion, the benefits of a community based programme of H. pylori eradication in terms of cancer risk reduction remain unclear, related largely to uncertainties in the parameters used to calculate these benefits. In Australia, any benefits obtained are likely to be, at best, modest.     

An assay for selecting high risk population for gastric cancer by studying environmental factors

Gastric cancer mortality incidence data registered in two different areas of Eastern Transylvania (Roumania) were reported related to 325,000 inhabitants from the period of 1951-1972. The findings were compared to some geographical environmental factors deriving from an area of 13,300 km with 905,700 inhabitants. A 2-3.5 times larger incidence of gastric cancer (75-140 per 100,000/year) was found in some selected geographical areas of the intermontane depressions of Gheorgheni and Ciuc in comparison to hilly area of Transylvanian Tableland. The difference might be explained by some unknown environmental gastric cancer risk factors. Of the natural factors, the presence of magmatic substrata shows a significant degree of correlation. The main pedological factor seems to be badly drained pseudoglyied podzolic and peaty soils of low pH and high content of organic matter. Sofs drinking waters also may be involved as risk factor. High altitude, cold climate determining a restricted assortiment of cultivated plants, the successive production of vegetal and animal food on the same soil for livelong periods and several generations, especially in isolated rural areas, seem to represent gastric cancer risk factors. According to authors' opinion a survey of the high-risk population selected on the basis of the environmental factors, especially of the persons suffering from gastric disorders considered today possible precursors of gastric cancer, may offer some progress in detecting early gastric malignancy in the future.     

The prognosis of patients with gastric cancer possessing sex hormone receptors

Estrogen receptors (ER) and progesterone receptors (PgR) were immunohistologically investigated in 107 patients with gastric cancer who underwent curative resection. Both ER and PgR were detected only in the cancer cell nucleus. The ER positive rate was 27.7% for males and 31.0% for females, while the PgR positive rate was 9.2% for males and 11.9% for females. Clinicopathologically, the ER positive rate was slightly higher in young females and in cases of poorly differentiated gastric cancer. When cumulative survival rates were analyzed in relation to the presence or absence of receptors, the 10-year cumulative survival rate after surgery was significantly lower in the ER positive cases, being 15.7% cent, than in the ER negative cases, being 62.7%, and also significantly lower in the PgR positive cases, being 18.2%, than in the PgR negative cases, being 48.3%. The coexistence of ER and PgR in gastric cancer tissues suggests that the ER is physiologically active, or that ER positive gastric cancer is hormone-dependent. The poor prognosis of patients with receptor positive gastric cancer suggests that gastric cancer with these receptors is highly malignant.     

Age-specific incidence of cancer in Kingston and St. Andrew, Jamaica, 1988-1992

During the period 1988-1992, a total of 4,030 malignant neoplasms were recorded in Kingston and St. Andrew, Jamaica. These comprised 1,829 in males and 2,201 in females. Histological confirmation was obtained in 83.4%. The crude incidence rate for males was 128.5, and 136.2 for females. The age-standardized rates (ASR) were 179.9 for males and 166.1 for females. Age-specific rates by site, sex and age are tabulated. Attention is drawn to increased incidence for cancers of prostate, larynx, bronchus and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma in males. There was also an increase in female breast cancer (crude rate 36.0; ASR 47.1). Invasive cervix cancer has shown no significant change in incidence. Neoplasms of the body of the uterus have increased (crude rate 7.6; ASR 9.5). The rise in cancer of breast and body of uterus suggests that the influence of exogenous oestrogens should be considered.     

Age standardized incidence rates of oral cancer in South Africa, 1988-1991

While numbers of papers on oral cancer in South Africa have been published, there have been very few studies on standardized morbidity rates. This paper has developed data collected by the National Cancer Registry from the entire country for the four year period 1988-1991 to present frequency, age standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and life-time risk (LR) for histologically-diagnosed intra-oral cancers in female and male Asian, black, coloured and white South Africans. During this period 5396 cases of oral cancer were diagnosed in a total number of 157,307 cancer cases (3.4 per cent) excluding squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and basal cell carcinoma (BSC) of the skin. Intra-oral cancer in all South African females and males accounted, respectively, for 1.8 per cent and 5.0 per cent of all cancers. There was a male preponderance in black, coloured and white groups but females were affected more frequently than men among Asians. The incidence in Asian women (6.66) was higher than those of the women in any of the other population groups, whereas the lowest incidence was found in black women (1.75). The incidence rate in coloured men was particularly high (13.13) whereas the incidence in white males (8.06) was not substantially lower than among black males (9.05). Differences between the eight groups were not significant (X2 = 6.24, df = 3, p > 0.1). The Cumulative Life Time Risk (LR) of developing intra-oral cancer for males and females in the four population groups ranged from 1:65 in coloured males to 1:455 for black females. Gender differences in LR in both black and coloured groups, signals substantial differences in exposure to known carcinogens for this disease. It is disturbing to note that the incidence in the period 1988-1991 was higher in Indian women that it was in 1964-1966, and that educative preventive measures have failed. Similarly, the incidence of intra-oral cancer in coloured men of 13.13 is substantially higher than the figure of 8.8 reported in 1979. If this is an accurately reflected trend, then a major educative programme needs to be pursued in this direction if the relative risk of one in 65 is to be reduced.     

Physical activity and risk of colorectal cancer in men and women

We examined the association between self-reported occupational and recreational physical activity and the subsequent risk of colorectal cancer in a population-based cohort in Norway. During a mean follow-up time of 16.3 years for males and 15.5 years for females, 236 and 99 colon cancers and 170 and 58 rectal cancers were observed in males and females, respectively, among 53,242 males and 28,274 females who attended the screening between 1972 and 1978. Physical activity at a level equivalent to walking or bicycling for at least four hours a week during leisure-time was associated with decreased risk of colon cancer among females when compared with the sedentary group (RR = 0.62, 95% CI 0.40-0.97). Reduced risk of colon cancer was particularly marked in the proximal colon (RR = 0.51, 95% CI 0.28-0.93). This effect was not observed for occupational physical activity alone, probably due to a narrow range of self-reported physical activity at work among females. However, by combining occupational and recreational physical activity we observed an inverse dose-response effect as increasing total activity significantly reduced colon cancer risk (P for trend = 0.04). Among males 45 years or older at entry to the study, an inverse dose-response effect was observed between total physical activity and colon cancer risk (P for trend = 0.04). We also found in males a stronger preventive effect for physical activity in the proximal as compared to distal colon. In addition, we found a borderline significant decrease in colon cancer risk for occupational physical activity in males 45 years or older when compared to the sedentary group (RR = 0.74, 95% CI 0.53-1.04). All results were adjusted for age, body mass index, serum cholesterol and geographic region. No association between physical activity and rectal cancer was observed in males or females. The protective effect of physical activity on colon cancer risk is discussed in regard to energy balance, dietary factors, age, social class, body mass index and gastrointestinal transit time.     

Incorporating auxiliary variables into probability sampling designs

There have been few reports about the frequency of multiple sclerosis (MS) in Spain. We undertook a prevalence study in the province of Teruel, which is served by two hospitals as referral centres for a population of 143,680. We found a total of 46 patients who fulfilled Poser's criteria for clinically definite or probable MS with a prevalence rate of 32/100,000 [95% confidence interval (CI): 22.8-41.3]. The prevalence rates for males and females were 23.5 (95% CI: 12.3-34.7) and 40.6 (95% CI: 25.8-55.4) respectively. We found an incidence rate of 2.2/year per 100,000 in the last 5 years. The sex ratio (females/males) was 1.7. The mean age on prevalence day was 40.6 years (range: 15-76). The clinical course was relapsing-remitting in 82% of patients, progressive in 9% and secondary progressive in the other 9%. The mean EDSS score was 3.73 (range: 1-8.5). Our results confirm the hypothesis that Spain is an area at high risk for MS.     

Pancreas cancer as a second primary malignancy. A population-based study

BACKGROUND: The study of second primary malignancies may give clues to the etiology of various cancers. Little is known about risk factors for pancreatic carcinoma; therefore, its occurrence as a second primary malignancy was investigated. METHODS: Data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End-Results (SEER) program were used for the period from January 1, 1973 through December 31, 1990. Person-years of follow-up for various cancer sites were calculated, excluding the initial 6 months after diagnosis, and were multiplied times the age- and sex-specific incidence rates for pancreas cancer to calculate the expected number of second primary pancreas cancer cases. The observed number of cases was divided by the expected number to estimate the relative risk (RR) of pancreas cancer as a second primary cancer, and 95% confidence limits were calculated. RESULTS: The risk of second primary cancer was elevated after lung cancer for men (RR 1.3, 95% CI 1.0-1.6) and women (RR 2.5, 95% CI 1.9-3.2). An elevation in risk also was found after head and neck cancer in women (RR 1.8, 95% CI 1.2-2.5) and bladder cancer in women (RR 1.5, 95% CI 1.1-2.0), but not in men. Other significant elevations were found after prostate cancer (RR 1.2, 95% CI 1.1-1.3), and a decreased risk was found after lymphoma in men (RR 0.2, 95% CI 0.0-0.8). CONCLUSIONS: Second primary pancreas cancer is increased after tobacco-related malignancies, particularly in females, supporting the role of cigarette smoking as a risk factor for pancreas cancer and suggesting a stronger effect of cigarette smoking for women. The elevation in risk after prostate cancer and the decreased risk after lymphoma in males need to be confirmed in other data sets.     

Risk of death from malignant neoplasms among paper mill workers

A cohort study was designed to evaluate the risk of death from malignant neoplasms among pulp and paper workers. This paper presents the evaluation of death risk among workers engaged only in the production of paper, paperboard and paper products. The cohort study covered 1,322 males and 1,914 females employed for, at least, one year in a big pulp and paper mill during the period 1968-90. The study of exposure to harmful factors revealed that concentrations of paper and paperboard dusts in this mill exceeded hygienic standards. The analysis of death risk by causes and gender of those under study was based on standardized mortality rate (SMR) calculated using the method of person-year observation. The general population of Poland was used as reference. The results do not confirm excess mortality from lung, stomach and hematopoietic cancers in paper mill workers reported by other authors. However, an elevated risk of bladder cancer in males (SMR = 491, two deaths) and brain cancer in females (SMR = 353, two deaths) was observed. Both SMR values were not statistically significant. Because of small number of deaths, risk according to exposure and latency was not evaluated.     

Geography of lung cancer incidence among women and men of Upper Silesia in the years 1986-1990

During a five period (1986-1990) in Katowice province (Upper Silesia) there were 6,140 cases of lung cancer in males and 1,039 females recorded. The standardized (according to age structure of the world population) incidence of lung cancer in both groups, in 93 administrative units (45 cities, 48 communities) significantly vary and are geographically unevenly distributed. The incidence in selected areas in males can be compared with values characterizing regions of the world with highest indices (> 95 per 100,000); whereas in females the incidence of lung cancer is much lower. The prognosis for lung cancer incidence in the Upper Silesia, according to the regression analysis is pessimistic.     

Prostheses PORP and TORP prepared by the authors'' method

Although the incidence of gastric cancer varies widely between countries it is nonetheless a leading cause of cancer deaths worldwide. Migration studies indicate that dietary choices are an important exogenous factor. The United States has a very low incidence of gastric cancer, suggesting that exogenous etiological agents are at a minimum and providing a favorable setting for detecting important endogenous etiological factors. Dehydroepiandrosterone and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate are endogenous steroids produced in the adrenal gland. Epidemiological studies show that the risk of developing specific cancers is related to the serum or urinary levels of these steroids. In addition, dehydroepiandrosterone prevents a variety of spontaneous and chemically induced tumors when administered to laboratory animals. To examine the association between circulating levels of dehydroepiandrosterone and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate and the development of gastric cancer, we measured the serum levels of these steroids in 13 individuals who donated serum to the Washington County Maryland serum bank in 1974 and who subsequently developed gastric cancer and in 52 matched controls. Prediagnostic serum levels of dehydroepiandrosterone were 38% lower in cases as compared to controls (P = 0.09). The risk of developing gastric cancer increased with decreasing levels of both steroids. Adjustment for confounding factors such as smoking or the interval between blood donation and time to diagnosis did not alter the findings. These results suggest that there may be a role for this steroid in the prevention of gastric cancer.     

血浆D-二聚体水平与转移性胃癌患者生存期的关系

Objective: The principal purpose of this study was to determine the relationship between level of plasma D-dimer and survival time in metastatic gastric cancer patients. Methods: We retrospectively collected the data of plasma D-dimer in metastatic gastric cancer patients admitted in our Department (Department of Oncology, The Affiliated Changzheng Hospital, The Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China) from October 2006 to October 2008 and analyzed the relationship between level of plasma D-dimer and survival time along with other clinicopathologic parameters. Results: A total of 82 patients were studied in our research, 52 were males and 30 females, and the mean age was 57 years. The 48 cases had a normal plasma D-dimer level (< 300 μg/L) and 34 had a high plasma D-dimer level (≥ 300 μg/L). In the normal and high plasma D-dimer level groups, the mean survival times were 10.9 (95% CI: 9.8-12.2) months and 6.8 (95% CI: 4.4-7.6) months respectively, and the difference was statistically significant. Conclusion: Metastatic gastric cancer patients with high plasma D-dimer level had significantly shorter survival time than those with normal plasma D-dimer level. Level of plasma D-dimer can be referred as a potential predictor in metastatic gastric cancer patients.     

Prevalence and risk factors for posttraumatic stress disorder among chemically dependent adolescents

OBJECTIVE: This study ascertained the prevalence of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) among chemically dependent adolescents and identified factors that influence the risk of PTSD after a qualifying trauma. METHOD: The study group consisted of 297 adolescents aged 15-19 years who met the DSM-III-R criteria for dependence on alcohol or other drugs and who were receiving treatment in seven publicly funded Massachusetts facilities. PTSD and other axis I diagnoses were assessed by the Diagnostic Interview Schedule. Data on risk factors were collected by a specially constructed interview schedule. RESULTS: The lifetime prevalence of PTSD was 29.6% (24.3% for males and 45.3% for females), and the current prevalence was 19.2% (12.2% for males and 40.0% for females). These prevalences reflect a high occurrence of traumatic exposures and a high case rate among those who experienced trauma. The risk of PTSD varied with the nature of the trauma, the number of traumas experienced, psychiatric comorbidity, and familial characteristics. The higher rate of PTSD among females was due to a greater frequency of rape, which carries a high risk of PTSD development, and to a high rate of comorbid conditions. CONCLUSIONS: The lifetime prevalence of PTSD among these chemically dependent adolescents is five times that reported for a community sample of adolescents. This extremely high rate provides new understanding of the etiologic connection between PTSD and chemical dependence and has implications for their treatment.     

Cancer incidence of workers in the Swedish petroleum industry

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the risk of cancer due to occupational exposure to petroleum products in the Swedish transport and refinery industries. METHODS: In a retrospective cohort study the cancer incidence in 4128 men and 191 women, who had worked for at least one year in the petroleum industry, was compared with the incidence in the general population. The job titles and employment times for each person were found in personal files in the industries. The men had on average worked in jobs exposed to petroleum for 11.6 years at the end of the observation period. The cases of cancer were identified by record linkage with the Swedish cancer register. RESULTS: In total there were 146 cases of cancer v 157.6 expected (standardised mortality ratio (SMR) 0.93 90% confidence interval (90% CI) 0.80 to 1.1). Operators at refineries had an increased risk of leukaemia (6 cases v 1.7 expected, 90% CI of relative risk (RR) 1.5 to 7.0). Five of the six cases had started to work at the refineries in the 1950s or later. No other significantly increased risk of cancer was found. Distribution workers had a decreased incidence of lung cancer (no cases, 90% CI of RR 0 to 0.4). CONCLUSIONS: Operators at Swedish refineries had an increased risk of leukaemia. A possible cause is exposure to benzene. There was no increased risk of leukaemia in distribution workers. Distribution workers had a decreased risk of lung cancer.     

Cancer incidence in Alaska natives

A survey of cancer incidence among Alaska Natives for the 5-year period 1969-73 revealed fewer cancer cases overall than expected in relation to US rates, but significantly increased risk for certain cancer sites: the nasopharynx in both sexes (with excesses over 15-fold), the liver in males, and the salivary glands, gallbladder, kidney and thyroid in females. Compared with earlier reports, the observations suggest marked changes in cancer incidence among Alaska Natives over the past two decades, with declines in esophageal and invasive cervical cancers, and increases in cancers of the lung, colon and rectum.     

The epidemiology of osteoporotic fractures in a Mediterranean country

A population study was carried out over a period of 3 years (1987-1989) to determine the incidence of osteoporotic fractures. Fractures diagnosed in the two acute hospitals of the Maltese Islands were collected and classified according to the fracture site, age, sex, and patient's residence. Fractures in the Maltese Islands can only be diagnosed and adequately treated in these two general hospitals. A total of 8780 fractures were examined. Fracture of the neck of the femur was the most common fracture for which patients were admitted to the hospital. There were twice (1.96) as many females as males hospitalized for this fracture, giving an annual incidence of 262/100,000 females to 134/100,000 males over the age of 45. The fracture incidence was 2-3 times less than that found in North European countries, but was similar to the fracture rates obtained in Mediterranean studies. Fracture radius was the most frequent fracture treated on an outpatients basis. In over 45-year-olds, the female predominance persisted, giving a ratio of 3.65:1. This gave an annual incidence of 452/100,000 females to 150/100,000 males. Again, the fracture incidence obtained was significantly lower than that of Northern European countries. Other long bones showed a similar female to male (F:M) ratio in the cohort over 45 years of age. The bones showing this F:M ratio were the humerus (3.9:1), fibula (1.89:1), and tibia (1.6:1). Below 45 years of age males had more fractures than females for any bone studied.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

Obesity and cancer risk: a Danish record-linkage study

A cohort of 43,965 obese persons was accrued on the basis of discharge registrations from Danish hospitals, and incidence of cancer in the cohort was compared to that in the Danish population as a whole using indirect standardisation for age and period. Increased incidence was observed for cancer of the uterine corpus independently of age [114 cases, relative risk (RR) = 2.0, confidence interval 1.6-2.4], and for breast cancer in women above the age of 70 (133 cases, RR = 1.2). These findings are consistent with previous studies. In younger women, breast cancer occurred less frequently and ovarian cancer occurred more frequently than expected. Increased incidence was observed for cancers of the oesophagus (26 cases, RR = 1.9) and the liver (58 cases, RR = 1.9), probably reflecting an increased prevalence of excessive alcohol consumption in the cohort. Increased incidence was furthermore observed for cancers of the pancreas (101 cases, RR = 1.7), the prostate (96 cases, RR = 1.3) and the colon (195 cases, RR = 1.2), which may indicate the existence of risk factors which are common to obesity and to these cancers, for example, dietary habits. Kidney cancer was increased in women only. Overall, the incidence of cancer was increased by 16% in the cohort. The results were essentially unchanged by restriction to the subcohort of 8207 persons in whom obesity was the primary discharge diagnosis, and were also similar in the first year of follow-up after hospital discharge. Selection bias is, therefore, not likely to have influenced the results.     

Breast cancer epidemiology: summary and future directions

The most common cancer in US women and the 2nd leading cause of cancer death is breast cancer. Between 1980-1987 in the US. age-adjusted incidence rates of breast cancer rose rapidly. They are also rising rapidly in several Asian countries (e.g., in Japan) which have the lowest incidence rates. These rapid increases may mean that environmental factors are responsible. Incidence rates rise greatly with age until the late 40s. US women at highest risk of breast cancer are Jewish women, urban women, single women, and women living in the northern US. Women at lowest risk include Mormon and Seventh-Day Adventist women, Hispanic and Asian women, rural women, women living in the southern US, and married women. Factors that have a relative risk greater than 2 are mother and sister with history of breast cancer, especially if diagnoses at an early age; atypical epithelial cells in nipple aspirate fluid; nodular densities on the mammogram; history of cancer in 1 breast; mother or sister with history of breast cancer; biopsy-confirmed benign proliferative breast disease; hyperplastic epithelial cells without atypia in nipple aspirate fluid; and radiation to chest in moderate to high doses. Ovarian hormones appear to stimulate cell division in the breast, thus elevated levels may be risk factors. Exogenous hormones may also increase the risk. Women are exposed to these exogenous hormones through estrogen replacement therapy, progestin only pills, oral contraceptives, long-acting injectable contraceptives, and diethylstilbestrol. Postmenopausal obesity increases the risk while premenopausal obesity decreases the risk. A high fat diet in childhood and adolescence may increase the risk. Alcohol drinking may also increase the risk. Older, white, and nulliparous women are more likely to have estrogen receptor-positive cancers. Breast cancer in males tends to share the same risk factors as well as its own unique factors. Prevention of postmenopausal obesity is the only established primary prevention effort. Screening is the only secondary prevention means.