西安脉冲堆概率安全分析技术要点及分析框架研究

针对西安脉冲堆（XAPR）自身设计特点及安全特性,研究了XAPR概率安全分析（PSA）的技术特殊要点,提出了XAPR PSA分析框架及技术要素具体实施方法。最后以XAPR堆水池中破口失水事故为始发事件,验证了XAPR PSA研究思路。分析表明:以始发事件为起点、事件序列为主干、放射性释放类为终点的一体化事件树结构分析框架适合于XAPR PSA。      

核电厂大LOCA始发严重事故下氢气源项的敏感性分析

采用MELCOR程序,以600MW级核电厂为研究对象,在以大破口失水事故为始发事件的严重事故中,针对不同的破口尺寸及破口位置对堆芯内锆-水反应及堆腔内熔融堆芯与堆腔混凝土之间的相互作用(MCCI)中氢气源项的影响进行敏感性分析.结果表明,在大破口始发的严重事故中,不同的破口尺寸对氢气源项的影响不大;而在破口尺寸相同的情况下,破口发生在主管道热段时,产氢速率的峰值最大;破口发生在主管道冷段时,累积的总产氢量最大.     

基于热工水力分析确定LOCA破口尺寸及CDF定量化

论文以30万千瓦压水堆核电机组为对象,基于热工水力分析确定了大、中、小LOCA的破口尺寸范围,并根据尺寸范围确定LOCA始发频率。与概率安全评价(PSA)常用的NUREG/CR-6928通用数据相比较,小LOCA破口尺寸范围更宽因而始发频率更高,中LOCA的下限尺寸更大故始发频率更低,大LOCA则与通用数据接近。通过事件树对堆芯损伤频率(CDF)进行定量化分析。结果表明,与直接采用通用数据的始发频率相比较,LOCA的CDF降低明显。基于热工水力分析确定LOCA破口尺寸及CDF定量化可更现实的评估LOCA风险。     

多堆厂址始发事件分析探讨

多堆厂址一级概率安全评价（PSA）研究中，机组数目的增加使得建模工作量剧增，给整个核电厂的风险评估带来困难。结合已有基础，本文研究了多堆厂址始发事件分析的筛选方法，提出利用堆芯损伤频率（CDF）上下限值评估方法，分析厂址内不同机组数对厂址CDF的影响。结果表明，双机组厂址适合优先进行具体分析。针对双机组核电站，对多堆厂址内各始发事件进行筛选。结果表明，丧失厂外电、丧失热阱等事件适合建模分析，并对其他筛选结果给出后续分析建议，为多堆厂址一级PSA后续事故序列建模工作提供了重要基础。     

XAPR中破口失水事故下堆芯自然循环冷却能力的功能可靠性研究

功能失效是导致自然循环系统运行失效的重要因素,需在其可靠性分析中予以考虑。针对多维不确定性参数及小功能失效概率问题,提出了一种将改进响应面法及重要抽样子集模拟法相结合的功能可靠性分析方法。以西安脉冲堆(XAPR)堆池水自然循环冷却为例,结合中破口失水事故,考虑输入参数及模型的不确定性,对其进行了功能可靠性评估和灵敏度分析。结果表明:XAPR堆芯自然循环功能失效概率为3.796×10~(-3),需充分考虑系统功能的可靠性。本文方法具有较高的计算效率,同时又能保证很高的计算精度,对XAPR堆芯自然循环非线性功能函数具有很强的适应性。     

大事件树法船用核动力装置中小破口失水事故评价

分析了满功率工况下船用核动力中小破口失水事故后安全功能需求、系统响应和操纵人员干预对堆芯损毁的影响,在对前沿系统和支持系统分析和简化的基础上,采用大事件树/小故障树方法建立了事故序列化模型.通过量化分析,找出了始发事件下导致堆芯损毁的支配性序列、支配性题头事件,提出了系统改进的建议.     

西安脉冲反应堆超设计基准事故动态特性分析

为填补以往西安脉冲反应堆(脉冲堆)超设计基准事故研究的不足,利用RELAP5/SCDAP/MOD3.4程序对脉冲堆系统进行了建模计算,给出了脉冲堆在断电ATWS事故和大破口失水ATWS事故下的瞬态响应特性。计算结果表明:发生断电ATWS事故后,在无人为干涉情况下,反应堆部分燃料可能熔毁;发生大破口失水ATWS事故后,破口位置和尺寸对事故后果的严重程度有重要影响,破口位置在堆池底部时,燃料最高温度低于1 800℃,而破口位置高于堆芯下栅板时,将导致燃料元件熔毁。根据脉冲堆在超设计基准事故下的动态响应,针对两种事故工况分别提出了相应的缓解措施。     

脉冲堆失水事故计算程序的开发和应用

由于西安脉冲堆的特点，致使国际上通用的瞬时堆芯裸露模型不能使用。中国核动力研究设计院建立了反映西安脉冲堆失水事故机理和过程的真实真芯裸露模型，开发了相应的计算机程序，用于分析和评价西安脉冲堆的安全特性。分析结果表明，真实堆芯裸露模型具有广泛的实用性，可用于计算全部侧面破口和底部破口的失水事故。在破口直径相同的条件下，西安脉冲堆侧面破口失水事故后果比底部破口失水事故严重。在目前的设计条件下，即使发生失水事故，西安脉冲堆也能满足安全准则的要求。     

严重事故下氢气风险及氢气控制系统的初步分析

采用一体化严重事故分析工具,对600MWe压水堆核电厂严重事故下氢气风险及拟定的氢气控制系统进行分析。结果表明：相对于小破口失水始发事故和全厂断电始发事故工况,大破口失水始发严重事故堆芯快速熔化,在考虑100%锆 水反应产氢量的条件下,大破口失水始发事故氢气风险较大,有可能发生氢气快速燃烧;在氢气控制系统作用下,发生大破口失水始发严重事故时,安全壳内平均氢气浓度和隔间内氢气浓度低于10%,未达到氢气快速燃烧和爆炸的条件,满足美国联邦法规10CFR中关于氢气控制和风险分析的准则,认为该氢气控制系统是可行、有效的。     

大破口始发应急工况预测方法研究

本文针对M310反应堆建立了大破口失水事故(LBLOCA)始发应急工况进程预测方法。根据事故特点将复杂的一回路进行合理简化,对质量守恒与能量守恒方程进行近似求解,使用经典公式预测应急工况进程。将堆芯活性区划分成4个径向环和10个轴向层,即40个栅元。使用实验关联式计算堆芯换热,得到包壳温度,然后根据包壳温度判断堆芯工况。基于本文建立的方法,可以开发大破口始发应急工况进程预测程序。     

Fundamental safety strategy against severe accidents on prototype sodium-cooled fast reactor

The accident categories of severe accidents (SAs) for prototype sodium-cooled fast reactor (SFR) which need proper measures were investigated through the internal event probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) and event tree analysis for the external event and six accident categories, unprotected loss of flow (ULOF), unprotected transient over power (UTOP), unprotected loss of heat sink (ULOHS), loss of reactor sodium level (LORL), protected loss of heat sink (PLOHS) and station blackout (SBO), were identified. Fundamental safety strategy against these accidents is studied and clearly stated considering the characteristics and existing accident measures of prototype SFR, and concrete measures based on this safety strategy are investigated and organized. The sufficiency of these SA measures is confirmed by comparing the evaluated core damage frequency (CDF) and containment failure frequency (CFF) to the target value, 1×10^?5 and 1×10^?6 per plant operating year, respectively, which were selected based on the IAEA's safety target. However, the target value of CDF and CFF should be satisfied considering all the SAs caused by both internal and external events. External event PRA for prototype SFR is now under evaluation and we set out to satisfy the target value of CDF and CFF considering both internal and external events.     

非能动先进压水堆核电厂SGTR事故概率安全评价

蒸汽发生器传热管破裂(Steam Generator Tube Rupture,SGTR)事故是核电厂的重要事故之一,并具有其自身的特点。该事故的研究和评价对核电站安全具有较大意义。选取典型非能动先进压水堆核电厂AP1000的SGTR事故进行一级概率安全评价(Probabilistic Safety Assessment,PSA),采用事件树分析方法得到电厂事件发生后系统、设备和人员不同响应所产生的事故序列,然后建立相关系统的故障树模型进行可靠性分析。借助Risk Spectrum软件,计算SGTR事故导致AP1000核电厂的堆芯损伤频率(Core Damage Probability,CDF),并进行堆芯损伤的最小割集分析及重要度和敏感性分析。通过一系列分析得到导致堆芯损伤的重要基本事件,从而找到系统存在的薄弱环节。     

基于PSA的压水堆LBLOCA不确定性分析

为了结合确定论与概率论分析开展更加真实的核反应堆事故工况安全分析,提出了一种结合概率安全分析（PSA）和最佳估算加不确定性（BEPU）分析的方法,并以典型三环路压水堆冷管段双端断裂大破口失水事故（LBLOCA）的极限事故为对象,首先基于PSA开展了应急堆芯冷却系统的事故失效分析,而后结合BEPU分析评估了事件树中各事故序列的包壳峰值温度（PCT）分布及条件堆芯损坏概率（CCDP）,最终确定了压水堆在该事故工况中的堆芯损坏频率（CDF）。分析结果表明,压水堆在冷管段双端断裂工况中应急堆芯冷却系统能够保证反应堆的安全,且一列低压安注系统足以排出堆芯余热及保证反应堆安全。      

Study on construction of loss of component cooling water system initiating event fault tree for fire event PSA

ABSTRACT

In this study, the construction of the loss of component cooling water system (LOCCWS) initiating event (IE) fault tree (FT) for an actual fire event probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) model of the Korean reference nuclear power plant considering only IE initiators was validated. The quantification results of the LOCCWS accident sequences obtained using an LOCCWS IE FT model with only initiators are similar to that with initiators and enabling events. This confirmed that the LOCCWS IE FT for an actual fire event PSA model could be constructed by considering only IE initiators. In addition, the same LOCCWS accident sequences were quantified assuming that fire triggering only the LOCCWS IE leads to reactor shutdown. Compared with the quantification result obtained based on the assumption that any fire included in the fire event PSA leads to reactor shutdown, the core damage frequency (CDF) can be reduced. Thus, it can be concluded that there is a possibility of underestimation of CDF when the LOCCWS IE FT model with only initiators is used and the assumption that fire triggering only the LOCCWS IE results in reactor shutdown is employed for the quantification of LOCCWS accident sequences.     

西安脉冲堆反应性引入事故瞬态安全特性分析

为研究西安脉冲堆（XAPR）在意外引入反应性且停堆系统失效事故下的瞬态安全特性,本文基于XAPR的结构和运行特点,建立了适用于XAPR的瞬态热工水力分析模型,并开发了用于XAPR安全特性分析的瞬态热工水力程序TSAC-XAPR。利用TSAC-XAPR程序对反应性引入事故进行模拟计算,结果表明：当XAPR在额定功率范围内运行时,发生反应性引入事故后,堆芯能依靠自身的固有反馈机制使脉冲堆重新达到稳定运行状态;当运行功率过高尤其是超过临界值时,反应性引入事故将导致脉冲堆关键热工水力参数发生振荡,无法再次达到稳态。此外,不同反应性引入方式将影响堆芯参数在反应性引入过程中的变化趋势,但并不影响其最终稳态值。     

Transient Safety Characteristic Analysis of Xi’an Pulsed Reactor during Reactivity Insertion Accident

In order to study the transient safety characteristics of Xi’an Pulsed Reactor (XAPR) when unexpected reactivity insertion accident happened and shutdown system failed, the main mathematical models were established based on the specific core structure and operation conditions of XAPR. Meanwhile, a transient thermal-hydraulic code called TSAC-XAPR was developed to analyze the safety characteristics of XAPR. The TSAC-XAPR code was then used to simulate the reactivity insertion accident of XAPR. The calculation results indicate that when XAPR operating under rated power, reactor can reach a new steady state for reactivity insertion accident, depending on its inherent feedback mechanism. When XAPR operating under high power, especially above the critical power, key thermal-hydraulic parameters of reactor will tend to oscillate and can’t reach a steady state again for reactivity insertion accident. Besides, it is also found that different reactivity insertion modes will only affect the variation trend during the phase of reactivity insertion instead of the final value at steady state.     

液态金属反应堆湿式燃料贮存桶内部事件概率安全分析

液态金属冷却剂在给反应堆带来运行安全与热效率优势的同时,也给反应堆带来了复杂的换料系统,其中大型液态金属反应堆采用的湿式乏燃料贮存桶是乏燃料卸料过程的核心设备,临时装载了大量的乏燃料组件,具备一定的安全风险。本文采用概率安全分析（PSA）方法对乏燃料贮存桶进行风险评价,通过运行状态分析、始发事件分析、事故序列分析以及简单的定量化,初步获得其导致乏燃料组件发生损伤的事故序列和最小割集,识别了关键系统与设备。结果表明,相对于反应堆本身的风险,乏燃料贮存桶本身风险虽低但依然不可忽略,且风险评价结果对反应堆的运行方式以及清洗系统的可靠性较为敏感。此外还对该系统的设计改进与安全优化进行了讨论。     

中压安注对RRA连接模式下严重事故进程影响分析

针对中国改进型百万千瓦级压水堆（CPR1000）核电机组在中间停堆反应堆余热排出系统（RRA）连接模式下失去高低压安注和喷淋的冷却剂丧失事故（LOCA）,采用MAAP5程序对参考机组的反应堆堆芯、反应堆冷却剂系统以及安全壳系统进行模拟计算,同时结合计算结果分析中压安注系统对该严重事故序列进程的影响,并研究其对事故的缓解作用。分析结果表明,在RRA连接模式下出现LOCA导致的堆芯裸露和升温过程中,中压安注的及时注入能有效地限制堆芯的升温行为,并可对严重事故进程起到重要的缓解作用,甚至为事故工况下失去高低压安注和喷淋时避免堆芯完整性遭到破坏提供可能。最后,根据分析结果针对现行核电机组的运行规程提出改进建议:对于中压安注箱的行政隔离行为,只对其电气开关做相应的隔离操作,而对安全壳厂房内的阀门就地部分做挂牌警示,不做现场挂锁的操作,这样不仅可避免在正常运行工况下中压安注箱误注入行为的发生,同时能够在RRA连接模式下发生LOCA时有效地保障堆芯的完整性,在保证电厂正常安全运行的同时,提高了机组在该模式下发生严重事故的缓解能力。      

Application of PSA Methodology to Design Improvement of JAERI Passive Safety Reactor (JPSR)

A probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) technique was applied to the design of JAERI Passive Safety Reactor (JPSR). A PSA was performed to clarify safety features and identify vulnerabilities of the original design. Based on the PSA results and considering thermal-hydraulic analyses and experiments, the JPSR design was improved to enhance plant safety. The improved design was re-evaluated with the PSA. Initiating events selected in this study were: large-break LOCA, medium- and small-break LOCAs, SGTR, main steam line break, loss of offsite power, loss of feed water, and other transients. Fault tree analyses were used to evaluate the system unavailabilities. The total core damage frequency due to internal events was estimated to be less than 10^?7/RY. The contribution of high frequency non-LOCA events could be significantly reduced by the design modification. The dominant initiating event was the small break LOCA and the dominant sequence was the failure of residual heat removal system. The present study indicated that the improved JPSR design has sufficient safety margin and the PSA methodology is very effective to improve reactor safety systems in a conceptual design phase.