共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 0 毫秒
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We propose a new type of periodogram for identifying hidden frequencies and providing a better understanding of the frequency behaviour. The quantile periodogram by Li ( 2012 ) provides richer information on the frequency of signal than a single estimation of the mean frequency does. However, it is difficult to find a specific quantile that identifies hidden frequencies. In this study, we consider a weighted linear combination of quantile periodograms, termed 'composite quantile periodogram'. It is completely data adaptive and does not require prior knowledge of the signal. Simulation results and real‐data example demonstrate significant improvement in the quality of the periodogram. 相似文献
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Moritz Jirak 《时间序列分析杂志》2016,37(6):825-836
Given a stationary sequence , we are interested in the rate of convergence in the central limit theorem of the empirical quantiles and the empirical distribution function. Under a general notion of weak dependence, we show a Berry–Esseen result with optimal rate n?1/2. The setup includes many prominent time series models, such as functions of ARMA or (augmented) GARCH processes. In this context, optimal Berry–Esseen rates for empirical quantiles appear to be novel. 相似文献
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Ovidijus Stauskas 《时间序列分析杂志》2020,41(6):892-898
In this article, we re-visit a recent idea of Phillips and Lee (2015. Econometric Reviews 34: 1035 - 1056). They examine an empirically relevant situation when two time series exhibit different degrees of non-stationarity and one need to learn whether their persistence properties are the same. By bridging the asymptotic theory of local to unity and mildly explosive processes, they construct a Wald test for the commonality of the long-run behavior of the series. However, inference is complicated by the fact that their statistic does not converge in distribution under the null and diverges under the alternative. This is true if the parameters of the data generating process are known and a re-normalizing function can be constructed. If the parameters are unknown, which will be the case in practice, the test statistic may be divergent even under the null. We solve this problem by converting the original setting of vector time series into a panel setting with N individual vector series. We show that the proposed panel Wald test statistics converge to chi-squared distribution which is free of nuisance parameters under the null hypothesis of common local to unity behavior. The result is an extreme example of simplified asymptotics brought about by panel data. 相似文献
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Javier Hidalgo 《时间序列分析杂志》2007,28(3):307-349
Abstract. We examine a test for the hypothesis of weak dependence against strong cyclical components. We show that the limiting distribution of the test is a Gumbel distribution, denoted G(·). However, since G(·) may be a poor approximation to the finite sample distribution, being the rate of the convergence logarithmic [see Hall Journal of Applied Probability (1979) , Vol. 16, pp. 433–439], inferences based on G(·) may not be very reliable for moderate sample sizes. On the other hand, in a related context, Hall [Probability Theory and Related Fields (1991) , Vol. 89, pp. 447–455] showed that the level of accuracy of the bootstrap is significantly better. For that reason, we describe an approach to bootstrapping the test based on Efron's [Annals of Statistics (1979) , Vol. 7, pp. 1–26] resampling scheme of the data. We show that the bootstrap principle is consistent under very mild regularity conditions. 相似文献
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Melvin J. Hinich 《时间序列分析杂志》1982,3(3):169-176
Abstract. Stable autoregressive (AR) and autoregressive moving average (ARMA) processes belong to the class of stationary linear time series. A linear time series { } is Gaussian if the distribution of the independent innovations {ε( t )} is normal. Assuming that E ε( t ) = 0, some of the third-order cumulants cxxx = Ex ( t ) x ( t + m ) x ( t + n ) will be non-zero if the ε( t ) are not normal and E ε3 ( t )≠O. If the relationship between { x ( t )} and {ε( t )} is non-linear, then { x ( t )} is non-Gaussian even if the ε( t ) are normal. This paper presents a simple estimator of the bispectrum, the Fourier transform of { c xxx ( m, n )}. This sample bispectrum is used to construct a statistic to test whether the bispectrum of { x ( t )} is non-zero. A rejection of the null hypothesis implies a rejection of the hypothesis that { x ( t )} is Gaussian. Another test statistic is presented for testing the hypothesis that { x ( t )} is linear. The asymptotic properties of the sample bispectrum are incorporated in these test statistics. The tests are consistent as the sample size N →-∞ 相似文献
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In this article, we revisit a time series model introduced by MCElroy and Politis (2007a) and generalize it in several ways to encompass a wider class of stationary, nonlinear, heavy‐tailed time series with long memory. The joint asymptotic distribution for the sample mean and sample variance under the extended model is derived; the associated convergence rates are found to depend crucially on the tail thickness and long memory parameter. A self‐normalized sample mean that concurrently captures the tail and memory behaviour, is defined. Its asymptotic distribution is approximated by subsampling without the knowledge of tail or/and memory parameters; a result of independent interest regarding subsampling consistency for certain long‐range dependent processes is provided. The subsampling‐based confidence intervals for the process mean are shown to have good empirical coverage rates in a simulation study. The influence of block size on the coverage and the performance of a data‐driven rule for block size selection are assessed. The methodology is further applied to the series of packet‐counts from ethernet traffic traces. 相似文献
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Gabriel Montes‐Rojas 《时间序列分析杂志》2019,40(5):739-752
A reduced form multivariate quantile autoregressive model is developed to study heterogeneity in the effects of macroeconomic shocks. This framework is used for forecasting and for constructing quantile impulse response functions that explore dynamic heterogeneity in the response of endogenous variables to different shocks. The methodology allows evaluating different quantile paths, defined as the dynamic effects for a fix collection of quantile indexes. The model is applied to study monetary shocks in a three‐variable macroeconomic model (output gap, inflation, Fed Funds rate) for the USA for the period 1980q1–2010q1. 相似文献
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U. Holst 《Sequential Analysis》2013,32(3):219-237
Recursive estimation of quantiles may be obained via adaptive stochastic approximation approximation theorms can be used to obtained the asympotic properties when the obervation are independent. for dependent sequences matingale theory cannot be applied straight forwardly as the tool for asympototic analysis.In this paper we consider both the case when the observation are i.i.d. and when they form a stationary and strongly regular process.the main result is sufficient condition for almost sure convergence in the strongly regular case. 相似文献
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Yuzo Hosoya 《时间序列分析杂志》2005,26(3):463-486
Abstract. The paper presents a central limit theorem and an allied invariance theorem related to what Marinucci and Robinson [Journal of Statistics, Planning and Inference (1999) Vol. 21, pp. 111–122] termed type II fractional Brownian motion. To widen the applicability, their independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) assumption for the innovation process is relaxed, allowing it to be mildly conditionally heteroscedastic and requiring the Martingale‐difference property only asymptotically. Additionally, the paper presents, for contrast, the weak convergence of the conventional partial sum process in a related set‐up. 相似文献
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D. R. Cox 《时间序列分析杂志》1991,12(4):329-335
Abstract. A rather general class of stationary processes with long-range dependence is introduced by mixing independent processes with short-range dependence. The class is used to study the relation between non-linearity and time irreversibility of the long-range dependence process and the corresponding features of the component processes. 相似文献
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Adaptive genetic programming for steady-state process modeling 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
Genetic programming is one of the computer algorithms in the family of evolutionary-computational methods, which have been shown to provide reliable solutions to complex optimization problems. The genetic programming under discussion in this work relies on tree-like building blocks, and thus supports process modeling with varying structure. This paper, which describes an improved GP to facilitate the generation of steady-state nonlinear empirical models for process analysis and optimization, is an evolution of several works in the field. The key feature of the method is its ability to adjust the complexity of the required model to accurately predict the true process behavior. The improved GP code incorporates a novel fitness calculation, the optimal creation of new generations, and parameter allocation. The advantages of these modifications are tested against the more commonly used approaches. 相似文献
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The dielectric properties of materials are defined, and the nature of their dependence on moisture content, frequency of the applied electric field, temperature of the material, and density of particulate materials is discussed. Dielectric properties of liquid water are summarized. The influence of moisture content, frequency, temperature, and density on the values of the dielectric constant and loss factor, real and imaginary parts of the relative complex permittivity, respectively, are illustrated for several different kinds of materials. Examples include dielectric properties for the cereal grains corn and wheat, pecans, and pulverized coal. Techniques for the measurement of dielectric properties of materials at high frequencies and microwave frequencies useful for dielectric heating and drying applications are discussed briefly, and numerous publications describing these methods in greater detail are cited for reference. 相似文献
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We study inference and diagnostics for count time series regression models that include a feedback mechanism. In particular, we are interested in negative binomial processes for count time series. We study probabilistic properties and quasi‐likelihood estimation for this class of processes. We show that the resulting estimators are consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. These facts enable us to construct probability integral transformation plots for assessing any assumed distributional assumptions. The key observation in developing the theory is a mean parameterized form of the negative binomial distribution. For transactions data, it is seen that the negative binomial distribution offers a better fit than the Poisson distribution. This is an immediate consequence of the fact that transactions can be represented as a collection of individual activities that correspond to different trading strategies. 相似文献
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Abstract. ARMA processes with non-normal residuals have applications in surface metrology and have recently been shown by Nelson and Granger (1979) to occur in modelling economic time series. In this paper we obtain the theoretical relationship between the skewness and kurtosis of an ARMA process and the corresponding parameters of its generating noise series and consider some of the implications of these results. Simulation methods for any ARMA process with given skewness and kurtosis, using Johnson transformations are briefly discussed. 相似文献
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Abstract. We prove uniform convergence results for the integrated periodogram of a weakly dependent time series, namely a strong law of large numbers and a central limit theorem. These results are applied to Whittle's parametric estimation. Under general weak‐dependence assumptions, the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of Whittle's estimate are established for a large class of models. For instance, the causal θ‐weak dependence property allows a new and unified proof of those results for autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic (ARCH)(∞) and bilinear processes. Non‐causal η‐weak dependence yields the same limit theorems for two‐sided linear (with dependent inputs) or Volterra processes. 相似文献
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M. Hejjo Al Rifai M. Christophersen S. Ottow J. Carstensen H. Föll 《Journal of Porous Materials》2000,7(1-3):33-36
Applying an anodic bias on a silicon HF contact and illuminating the backside of a n-type silicon wafer allows to create macropores. The formation of random macropores is studied in this paper by determination of the influences of the potential, the temperature and the doping level. A statistical approach is used to evaluate the micrographs. The formation of the macroporous layer consists of two phases. Beginning with a plane surface and homogeneous dissolution of silicon, first pores occur after some time. In this nucleation phase the thickness of the homogeneously dissolved Si depends strongly on the doping level and the temperature but only weakly on the applied bias. In a second phase of stable pore growth the density of pores is investigated as a function of temperature and anodic potential. For low doped material we find a strong stabilisation influence of the deep space charge region (SCR) in the nucleation as well as in the stable pore growth phase. Thus an increased anodic bias decreases the density of pores. For highly doped silicon no stabilisation influence of the SCR is found. The pore growth is dominated by the electrochemical dissolution rate, i.e. increasing the potential increases the density of the macropores. 相似文献
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Xianglin Li James Perkins Ramon Collazo Robert J. Nemanich Zlatko Sitar 《Diamond and Related Materials》2006,15(11-12):1784
The influence of total gas pressure (50–125 Torr) and methane concentration (0.75%–10%) on diamond growth by microwave plasma chemical vapor deposition (MPCVD) was investigated. Within the regimes studied, the growth rate was proportional to the methane concentration in the source gas while it exhibited a super-linear dependence on total pressure. For a fixed methane concentration, characterization by Raman spectroscopy, scanning electron microscopy and X-ray diffraction indicated there was a minimum pressure required for the growth of large grain diamond, and conversely, for a fixed pressure, there was a maximum methane concentration that yielded diamond deposition. Higher pressures and higher carbon concentrations yielded diamond growth rates more than 10 times higher than achieved by the conventional low pressure MPCVD process. 相似文献