Design and implementation of CUSUM exceedance control charts for unknown location

Nonparametric control charts provide a robust alternative in practice when the form of the underlying distribution is unknown. Nonparametric CUSUM (NPCUSUM) charts blend the advantages of a CUSUM with that of a nonparametric chart in detecting small to moderate shifts. In this paper, we examine efficient design and implementation of Phase II NPCUSUM charts based on exceedance (EX) statistics, called the NPCUSUM-EX chart. We investigate the choice of the order statistic from the reference (Phase I) sample that defines the exceedance statistic. We see that choices other than the median, such as the 75th percentile, can yield improved performance of the chart in certain situations. Furthermore, observing certain shortcomings of the average run-length, we use the median run-length as the performance metric. The NPCUSUM-EX chart is compared with the NPCUSUM-Rank chart based on the popular Wilcoxon rank-sum statistic. We also study the choice of the reference value, k, of the CUSUM charts. An illustration with real data is provided.     

Effects of Parameter Estimation on the Multivariate Distribution‐free Phase II Sign EWMA Chart

Multivariate nonparametric control charts can be very useful in practice and have recently drawn a lot of interest in the literature. Phase II distribution‐free (nonparametric) control charts are used when the parameters of the underlying unknown continuous distribution are unknown and can be estimated from a sufficiently large Phase I reference sample. While a number of recent studies have examined the in‐control (IC) robustness question related to the size of the reference sample for both univariate and multivariate normal theory (parametric) charts, in this paper, we study the effect of parameter estimation on the performance of the multivariate nonparametric sign exponentially weighted moving average (MSEWMA) chart. The in‐control average run‐length (ICARL) robustness and the out‐of‐control shift detection performance are both examined. It is observed that the required amount of the Phase I data can be very (perhaps impractically) high if one wants to use the control limits given for the known parameter case and maintain a nominal ICARL, which can limit the implementation of these useful charts in practice. To remedy this situation, using simulations, we obtain the “corrected for estimation” control limits that achieve a desired nominal ICARL value when parameters are estimated for a given set of Phase I data. The out‐of‐control performance of the MSEWMA chart with the correct control limits is also studied. The use of the corrected control limits with specific amounts of available reference sample is recommended. Otherwise, the performance the MSEWMA chart may be seriously affected under parameter estimation. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An extended nonparametric homogeneously weighted moving average sign control chart

Parametric (or traditional) control charts are based on the assumption that the quality characteristic of interest follows a specific distribution. However, in many applications, there is a lack of knowledge about the underlying distribution. To this end, nonparametric (or distribution-free) control charts have been developed in recent years. In this article, a nonparametric double homogeneously weighted moving average (DHWMA) control chart based on the sign statistic is proposed for monitoring the location parameter of an unknown and continuous distribution. The performance of the proposed chart is measured through the run-length distribution and its associated characteristics by performing Monte Carlo simulations. The DHWMA sign chart is compared with other nonparametric sign charts, such as the homogeneously weighted moving average, generally weighted moving average (GWMA), double GWMA, and triple exponentially weighted moving average sign charts, as well as the traditional DHWMA chart. The results indicate that the proposed chart performs just as well as and in some cases better than its competitors, especially for small shifts. Finally, two examples are provided to show the application and implementation of the proposed chart.     

Comparisons of Shewhart-type rank based control charts for monitoring location parameters of univariate processes

The nonparametric (distribution-free) control charts are robust alternatives to the conventional parametric control charts when the form of underlying process distribution is unknown or complicated. In this paper, we consider two new nonparametric control charts based on the Hogg–Fisher–Randle (HFR) statistic and the Savage rank statistic. These are popular statistics for testing location shifts, especially in right-skewed densities. Nevertheless, the control charts based on these statistics are not studied in quality control literature. In the current context, we study phase-II Shewhart-type charts based on the HFR and Savage statistics. We compare these charts with the Wilcoxon rank-sum chart in terms of false alarm rate, out-of-control average run-length and other run length properties. Implementation procedures and some illustrations of these charts are also provided. Numerical results based on Monte Carlo analysis show that the new charts are superior to the Wilcoxon rank-sum chart for a class of non-normal distributions in detecting location shift. New charts also provide better control over false alarm when reference sample size is small.     

A double generally weighted moving average exceedance control chart

Since the inception of control charts by W. A. Shewhart in the 1920s, they have been increasingly applied in various fields. The recent literature witnessed the development of a number of nonparametric (distribution‐free) charts as they provide a robust and efficient alternative when there is a lack of knowledge about the underlying process distribution. In order to monitor the process location, information regarding the in‐control (IC) process median is typically required. However, in practice, this information might not be available due to various reasons. To this end, a generalized type of nonparametric time‐weighted control chart labeled as the double generally weighted moving average (DGWMA) based on the exceedance statistic (EX) is proposed. The DGWMA‐EX chart includes many of the well‐known existing time‐weighted control charts as special or limiting cases for detecting a shift in the unknown location parameter of a continuous distribution. The DGWMA‐EX chart combines the better shift detection properties of a DGWMA chart with the robust IC performance of a nonparametric chart, by using all the information from the start until the most recent sample to decide if a process is IC or out‐of‐control. An extensive simulation study reveals that the proposed DGWMA‐EX chart, in many cases, outperforms its counterparts.     

CUSUM charts with controlled conditional performance under estimated parameters

We study the effect of the Phase I estimation error on the cumulative sum (CUSUM) chart. Impractically large amounts of Phase I data are needed to sufficiently reduce the variation in the in-control average run lengths (ARL) between practitioners. To reduce the effect of estimation error on the chart's performance we design the CUSUM chart such that the in-control ARL exceeds a desired value with a specified probability. This is achieved by adjusting the control limits using a bootstrap-based design technique. Such approach does affect the out-of-control performance of the chart; however, we find that this effect is relatively small.     

A hybrid homogeneously weighted moving average control chart for process monitoring

Several modifications and enhancements to control charts in increasing the performance of small and moderate process shifts have been introduced in the quality control charting techniques. In this paper, a new hybrid control chart for monitoring process location is proposed by combining two homogeneously weighted moving average (HWMA) control charts. The hybrid homogeneously weighted moving average (HHWMA) statistic is derived using two smoothing constants λ₁ and λ₂ . The average run length (ARL) and the standard deviation of the run length (SDRL) values of the HHWMA control chart are obtained and compared with some existing control charts for monitoring small and moderate shifts in the process location. The results of study show that the HHWMA control chart outperforms the existing control charts in many situations. The application of the HHWMA chart is demonstrated using a simulated data.     

An Efficient Nonparametric EWMA Wilcoxon Signed‐Rank Chart for Monitoring Location

The statistical performance of traditional control charts for monitoring the process shifts is doubtful if the underlying process will not follow a normal distribution. So, in this situation, the use of a nonparametric control charts is considered to be an efficient alternative. In this paper, a nonparametric exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is developed based on Wilcoxon signed‐rank statistic using ranked set sampling. The average run length and some other associated characteristics were used as the performance evaluation of the proposed chart. A major advantage of the proposed nonparametric EWMA signed‐rank chart is the robustness of its in‐control run length distribution. Moreover, it has been observed that the proposed version of the EWMA signed‐rank chart using ranked set sampling shows better detection ability than some of the competing counterparts including EWMA sign chart, EWMA signed‐rank chart, and the usual EWMA control chart using simple random sampling scheme. An illustrative example is also provided for practical consideration. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Nonparametric Synthetic Control Charts for Process Variation

In this article, we propose nonparametric synthetic and side‐sensitive synthetic control charts for controlling fraction nonconforming due to increase in the process variation. Synthetic control chart is a combination of sign and conforming run length control charts. We compare performance of the proposed control charts with the Shewhart sign and S² charts. Our performance study shows that the proposed control charts have a higher power of detecting out‐of‐control signal. We also study the steady‐state behavior of a nonparametric synthetic control chart. We present a Markov chain model to evaluate the steady‐state average run length of the synthetic and side‐sensitive synthetic control charts. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A new nonparametric double exponentially weighted moving average control chart

There are many practical situations where the underlying distribution of the quality characteristic either deviates from normality or it is unknown. In such cases, practitioners often make use of the nonparametric control charts. In this paper, a new nonparametric double exponentially weighted moving average control chart on the basis of the signed-rank statistic is proposed for monitoring the process location. Monte Carlo simulations are carried out to obtain the run length characteristics of the proposed chart. The performance comparison of the proposed chart with the existing parametric and nonparametric control charts is made by using various performance metrics of the run length distribution. The comparison showed the superiority of the suggested chart over its existing parametric and nonparametric counterparts. An illustrative example for the practical implementation of the proposed chart is also provided by using the industrial data set.     

Distribution-free triple EWMA control chart for monitoring the process location using the Wilcoxon rank-sum statistic with fast initial response feature

The exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is a memory-type chart known to be more efficient in detecting small and moderate shifts in the process parameter. The double EWMA (DEWMA) chart is an extension of the EWMA chart that is more effective than the latter in the detection of small-to-moderate shifts. This paper proposes a new distribution-free (or nonparametric) triple EWMA (TEWMA) control chart based on the Wilcoxon rank-sum (W) statistic to improve the detection ability in the process location parameter. Moreover, a new fast initial response (FIR) feature is added to further improve the sensitivity of the new TEWMA chart. The performance of the proposed TEWMA chart with and without FIR features is compared to those of the existing EWMA and DEWMA W charts. It is observed that the TEWMA chart with and without FIR features is superior to the competing charts in most situations. A real-life illustration is provided to show the application and implementation of the new chart.     

Practitioner advice: ERLDAT–A web-based tool to design and analyze EWMA control charts

The performance of a control chart is completely characterized by its run length distribution. Quality practitioners usually do not have access to the run length distribution but rely on the average run length (ARL) to design and evaluate the performance of an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart. This article presents a web-based tool that provides users easy access to the Phase 2 (online or monitoring phase) run length distribution for a two-sided EWMA control chart with known parameters. The web-based tool calculates the run length distribution, percentiles of the run length distribution, as well as the mean (ARL) and variance (VRL) of the run length distribution. Additional functionality of the web-based tool includes plotting the run length distribution functions, building tables of the quantiles of the run length distribution, finding the smoothing parameter (λ) for an EWMA control chart for fixed control limit that satisfies ARL, VRL or percentile performance, and finding the control chart limit (k) for an EWMA control chart that satisfies ARL, VRL, or percentile performance. This tool and these techniques enable quality practitioners to better design and evaluate EWMA control charts.     

Optimal design of a distribution-free quality control scheme for cost-efficient monitoring of unknown location

Traditionally, a cost-efficient control chart for monitoring product quality characteristic is designed using prior knowledge regarding the process distribution. In practice, however, the functional form of the underlying process distribution is rarely known a priori. Therefore, the nonparametric (distribution-free) charts have gained more attention in the recent years. These nonparametric schemes are statistically designed either with a fixed in-control average run length or a fixed false alarm rate. Robust and cost-efficient designs of nonparametric control charts especially when the true process location parameter is unknown are not adequately addressed in literature. For this purpose, we develop an economically designed nonparametric control chart for monitoring unknown location parameter. This work is based on the Wilcoxon rank sum (hereafter WRS) statistic. Some exact and approximate procedures for evaluation of the optimal design parameters are extensively discussed. Simulation results show that overall performance of the exact procedure based on bootstrapping is highly encouraging and robust for various continuous distributions. An approximate and simplified procedure may be used in some situations. We offer some illustration and concluding remarks.     

Progressive Mean Control Chart for Monitoring Process Location Parameter

Control charts are widely used for process monitoring. They show whether the variation is due to common causes or whether some of the variation is due to special causes. To detect large shifts in the process, Shewhart‐type control charts are preferred. Cumulative sum (CUSUM) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts are generally used to detect small and moderate shifts. Shewhart‐type control charts (without additional tests) use only current information to detect special causes, whereas CUSUM and EWMA control charts also use past information. In this article, we proposed a control chart called progressive mean (PM) control chart, in which a PM is used as a plotting statistic. The proposed chart is designed such that it uses not only the current information but also the past information. Therefore, the proposed chart is a natural competitor for the classical CUSUM, the classical EWMA and some recent modifications of these two charts. The conclusion of this article is that the performance of the proposed PM chart is superior to the compared ones for small and moderate shifts, and its performance for large shifts is better (in terms of the average run length). Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Robust CUSUM Control Charting for Process Dispersion

Process monitoring through control charts is a quite popular practice in statistical process control. From a statistical point of view, a superior control chart is one that has an efficient design structure, but having resistance against unusual situations is of more practical importance. To have a compromise between the statistical and practical purposes, a natural desire is to have a control chart that can serve both purposes simultaneously in a good capacity. This study is planned for the same objective focusing on monitoring the dispersion parameter by using a Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) control chart scheme. We investigate the properties of the design structure of different control charts based on some already existing estimators as well as some new robust dispersion estimators. By evaluating the performance of these estimators‐based CUSUM control charts in terms of average run length, we identify those charts that are more capable to make a good compromise between the aforementioned purposes in terms of statistical and practical needs. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A nonparametric double generally weighted moving average signed-rank control chart for monitoring process location

Most control charts have been developed based on the actual distribution of the quality characteristic of interest. However, in many applications, there is a lack of knowledge about the process distribution. Therefore, in recent years, nonparametric (or distribution-free) control charts have been introduced for monitoring the process location or scale parameter. In this article, a nonparametric double generally weighted moving average control chart based on the signed-rank statistic (referred as DGWMA-SR chart) is proposed for monitoring the location parameter. We provide the exact approach to compute the run-length distribution, and through an extensive simulation study, we compare the performance of the proposed chart with existing nonparametric charts, such as the exponentially weighted moving average signed-rank (EWMA-SR), the generally weighted moving average signed-rank (GWMA-SR), the double exponentially weighted moving average signed-rank (DEWMA-SR), and the double generally weighted moving average sign (DGWMA-SN) charts, as well as the parametric DGWMA- $\overline{X}$ chart for subgroup averages. The simulation results show that the DGWMA-SR chart (with suitable parameters) is more sensitive than the other competing charts for small shifts in the location parameter and performs as well as the other nonparametric charts for larger shifts. Finally, two examples are given to illustrate the application of the proposed chart.     

An Evaluation of the Crosier's CUSUM Control Chart with Estimated Parameters

We evaluate the performance of the Crosier's cumulative sum (C‐CUSUM) control chart when the probability distribution parameters of the underlying quality characteristic are estimated from Phase I data. Because the average run length (ARL) under estimated parameters is a random variable, we study the estimation effect on the chart performance in terms of the expected value of the average run length (AARL) and the standard deviation of the average run length (SDARL). Previous evaluations of this control chart were conducted while assuming known process parameters. Using the Markov chain and simulation approaches, we evaluate the in‐control performance of the chart and provide some quantiles for its in‐control ARL distribution under estimated parameters. We also compare the performance of the C‐CUSUM chart to that of the ordinary CUSUM (O‐CUSUM) chart when the process parameters are unknown. Our results show that large number of Phase I samples are required to achieve a quite reasonable performance. Additionally, the performance of the C‐CUSUM chart is found to be superior to that of the O‐CUSUM chart. Finally, we recommend the use of a recently proposed bootstrap procedure in designing the C‐CUSUM chart to guarantee, at a certain probability, that the in‐control ARL will be of at least the desired value using the available amount of Phase I data. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Joint Monitoring of Process Mean and Variability with a Single Moving Average Control Chart

Memory based control charts are developed as alternatives to the Shewhart charts for the detection of small sustaining process shifts. Among the widely used memory control charts are the EWMA (Exponentially Weighted Moving Average), CUSUM (Cumulative Sum), and moving average schemes. Relative to the CUSUM chart, the EWMA and moving average charts are quite basic. The EWMA chart uses a weighted average as the chart statistic while the time-weighted moving average chart is based on unweighted moving average. The moving average statistic of width w is simply the average of the w most recent observations. In this article, the use of one moving average control chart to monitor both process mean and variability. This new moving average chart is efficient in detecting both increases and decreases in mean and/or variability.     

On the design of control charts with guaranteed conditional performance under estimated parameters

When designing control charts the in-control parameters are unknown, so the control limits have to be estimated using a Phase I reference sample. To evaluate the in-control performance of control charts in the monitoring phase (Phase II), two performance indicators are most commonly used: the average run length (ARL) or the false alarm rate (FAR). However, these quantities will vary across practitioners due to the use of different reference samples in Phase I. This variation is small only for very large amounts of Phase I data, even when the actual distribution of the data is known. In practice, we do not know the distribution of the data, and it has to be estimated, along with its parameters. This means that we have to deal with model error when parametric models are used and stochastic error because we have to estimate the parameters. With these issues in mind, choices have to be made in order to control the performance of control charts. In this paper, we discuss some results with respect to the in-control guaranteed conditional performance of control charts with estimated parameters for parametric and nonparametric methods. We focus on Shewhart, exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA), and cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts for monitoring the mean when parameters are estimated.     

A New Nonparametric EWMA Control Chart for Monitoring Process Variability

The exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is one of a potentially powerful process monitoring tool of the statistical process control. The EWMA chart has now been widely used because of its excellent ability to detect small to moderate shifts in the process parameter(s). In this study, we propose a new nonparametric/distribution‐free EWMA chart for efficiently monitoring the changes in the process variability. We use extensive Monte Carlo simulations to compute the run length profiles of the proposed EWMA chart. For a better performance comparison, the proposed EWMA chart is compared with a recent existing EWMA chart that has already shown to have better performance than the existing control charts. It turns out that the proposed EWMA chart performs substantially and uniformly better than the existing powerful EWMA chart. The working and implementation of the proposed and existing EWMA charts with the help of an illustrative example are also included in this study. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.