供应商管理库存的价格效应研究

通过建立数学模型,论证了VMI在供应链中收益的非负性;在此基础上还给出了供求均衡价格与订货成本比、库存成本比的函数关系,该公式说明当订货成本比与库存成本比相差比较大时,VMI可以有效降低均衡价格,否则均衡价格将会上升。     

竞争环境下新创企业的供应链管理模式选择——应急采购VS饥饿营销

考虑需求不确定下,新创企业和在位企业两条异质供应链竞争对供需匹配策略的影响,运用Bertrand模型比较新创企业供应链实施应急采购和饥饿营销两种策略下的均衡价格和均衡销量,以及供应链的期望利润随市场基本需求和产品替代系数的变化情况。研究发现,当实现的需求不确定性小时,饥饿营销策略下需求响应时间不会影响新创企业供应链的均衡价格和均衡销量;而当实现的需求不确定性大时,实施饥饿营销策略的新创企业供应链里零售商的最优定价会高于应急采购策略的均衡价格,而最终的销量会低于应急采购策略的均衡销量。即使应急采购的额外成本为零,新创企业供应链的期望利润在实施了饥饿营销策略之后,也会比应急采购策略下的期望利润大,并且期望利润的增加率随市场基本需求单调递增,随产品替代系数单调递减。这也意味着新创企业供应链可以有效实施饥饿营销策略。     

碳限额及交易下低碳补贴和低碳宣传成本分摊的双渠道供应链联合减排策略

为了研究碳限额及交易下考虑低碳补贴和零售商低碳宣传的双渠道供应链联合减排策略问题,构建由一个制造商和一个零售商组成双渠道供应链,分别建立碳减排补贴与低碳宣传的双渠道供应链集中式决策模型以及无碳减排补贴且无低碳宣传成本分摊、有碳减排补贴但无低碳宣传成本分摊、碳减排补贴且低碳宣传成本分摊的双渠道供应链分散式决策模型,分析其最优决策,并指出政府碳减排补贴、碳减排成本和低碳宣传成本分摊能够实现双渠道供应链协调。研究结果表明,在碳限额及交易下,最优碳减排率、最优低碳宣传水平和双渠道供应链利润与政府补贴比例、低碳偏好对需求的影响系数、低碳宣传对线上消费者需求的影响系数、低碳宣传对线下消费者需求的影响系数都成正向变化关系;最优碳减排率、最优低碳宣传水平和双渠道供应链利润与低碳宣传成本系数、最优碳减排成本系数成反向变化关系;最优碳减排率与碳排放交易价格成正向变化关系,而最优低碳宣传水平、双渠道供应链利润与碳排放交易价格成反向变化关系。     

潜在市场需求不确定下的风险厌恶供应链决策

考虑新产品投入市场时潜在市场需求不确定下的供应链风险厌恶,构造了一个考虑制造商和零售商的效用函数,建立了基于广告费用、服务水平以及销售价格的最优短期决策模型,分析了需求风险和供应链成员风险容忍水平对供应链最优短期决策的影响,采用数值仿真分析了供应链最优长期决策。研究结果表明：最优广告费用分别是需求风险和风险容忍水平的单调递增和递减函数,最优销售价格和服务水平则因行业等因素不同与需求风险和风险容忍水平呈U型或倒U型关系;当市场环境变化时,销售价格和服务水平在不同市场条件下应做出不同调整,而广告费用调整与市场特征无关;从长期来看制造商可以达到效用最大化,而零售商效用只能次优。a     

Value chain management for commodities: a case study from the chemical industry

We present a planning model for chemical commodities related to an industry case. Commodities are standard chemicals characterized by sales and supply volatility in volume and value. Increasing and volatile prices of crude oil-dependent raw materials require coordination of sales and supply decisions by volume and value throughout the value chain to ensure profitability. Contract and spot demand differentiation with volatile and uncertain spot prices, spot sales quantity flexibility, spot sales price–quantity functions and variable raw material consumption rates in production are problem specifics to be considered. Existing chemical industry planning models are limited to production and distribution decisions to minimize costs or makespan. Demand-oriented models focus on uncertainty in demand quantities not in prices. We develop an integrated model to optimize profit by coordinating sales quantity, price and supply decisions throughout the value chain. A two-phase optimization approach supports robust planning ensuring minimum profitability even in case of worst-case spot sales price scenarios. Model evaluations with industry case data demonstrate the impact of elasticities, variable raw material consumption rates and price uncertainties on planned profit and volumes.     

A closed-loop supply chain with stochastic product returns and worker experience under learning and forgetting

This paper addresses a single-manufacturer single-retailer closed-loop supply chain with stochastic product returns considering worker experience under learning and forgetting in production and inspection of returned items at the manufacturer. Customer demand is assumed to be dependent linearly on the retail price, and it is fulfilled by using both manufactured and remanufactured products. The manufacturer delivers the buyer’s order quantity in a number of equal-sized batches. The optimal number of shipments, the shipment size and the retail price are determined by maximising the average expected profit of the closed-loop supply chain. It is observed from the numerical study that high learning effects in production and inspection lead to high recovery rates of used products, which, besides an economic advantage, may have a positive effect on the environment. Even though forgetting has an adverse effect, the average expected profit of the closed-loop supply chain is much higher than that of the basic model which ignores worker learning.     

Production planning system for a combination of make-to-stock and make-to-order products

This paper deals with the problem of designing a production planning system for a combination of make-to-stock (MTS) and make-to-order (MTO) products where the production facility produces both types of products. Important management points in such production systems are to design an efficient production planning system which can shorten the manufacturing time of MTO products as well controlling the unfilled rate of MTS products to the market demand at a low level. A hierarchical production planning model is introduced in order to design the production planning system. The buffer capacity is set as a design variable for determining production capacity at a higher planning level, and the rule for allocating the production capacity to types of products is adopted as a design variable at a lower level. First, we analyse how these two design variables affect the unfilled rate of MTS products and the average manufacturing time of MTO products. Second, we clarify the relationship of the buffer capacity with the manufacturing time of MTO products and with the required buffer inventory level of MTS products which can maintain the unfilled rate of MTS products to the market demand within an acceptable limit. Third, we show an example of the range of design variables which can control the unfilled rate of MTS products and the manufacturing time of MTO products within their acceptable limits, if the individual limits of the performance measure is given to respond to customer orders quickly.     

不同碳排放政策下考虑碳减排投入的供应链协调

在考虑碳减排技术投入下,为了实现不同碳排放政策下的供应链协调,通过建立集中式和分散式决策下的供应链模型,根据供应链协调的条件,给出了供应链实现协调的契约形式及契约参数。为了确定不同碳排放政策下的最优订货量和最优碳减排率,通过对博弈模型进行优化,提出了具体的求解方法。数值计算结果表明：随着碳排放政策的变化,供应链的最优订货量、最优碳减排率和供应链的利润也将发生相应的变化,而生产成本、缺货损失、产品残值、销售价格、批发价格等参数变化不仅会影响最优订货量、最优碳减排率和供应链利润,还会影响收益共享比例、碳减排技术投入和碳排放成本的分摊比例。     

Lateral inventory transshipment problem in online-to-offline supply chain

Online-to-offline (OTO) is a new commercial model with enormous market potential. Online customer orders are forwarded to the offline brick-and-mortar store to fulfil, which is a combination of dual-channel supply chain. OTO overcomes many disadvantages of the traditional dual-channel supply chain, but still faces uncertain market demand. To reduce the inventory risk caused by demand uncertainty, lateral inventory transshipment is employed in this paper to pool inventory risk in OTO supply chain. We model centralised OTO and decentralised OTO with/without transshipment, and then analyse different scenarios. Our results demonstrate that there exists a unique Nash equilibrium of inventory order levels in dual channels and an optimal transshipment price to maximise the profit of the entire supply chain. Finally, we provide a numerical example of uniform demand distribution. Our analyses offer many managerial insights and show that transshipment always benefits the OTO supply chain.     

The value of updated information on future price behaviour

This paper studies the value of information on future price behaviour. We consider a one-period inventory modelling framework with random period length and two order opportunities. The selling price is determined dynamically and the demand is price-sensitive. The second ordering-pricing decision reflects the updated information on future price behaviour on supply chain flexibility. We consider three models with different levels of flexibility: the static model, the quantity flexible model and the combined quantity and timing (fully) flexible model. We compare between the values of three different features in the supply chain: updated information on price behaviour, dynamic pricing and supply flexibility. And we demonstrate the effect of holding cost and demand uncertainty on these three values. We also consider a specific condition with fixed selling prices. We give explicit analysis on the optimal order decisions, and analytically show the impact of information and quantity flexibility on the optimal order decisions.     

Pricing and ordering decisions in a supply chain with imperfect quality items and inspection under buyback of defective items

In this article, the economic production and inventory model in a three-layer supply chain including one distributor, one manufacturer and one retailer for a single-product and general demand functions under three scenarios is developed. We assume that during the production process, both healthy and defective items are generated. As the first scenario, we develop the first model, in which the defective items are not reworked and all considered as scrape, while in the second model, we assume that the defective items are reworked and are sold as perfect item. In the second scenario, we assume that defective item can be sold with lower price than the selling price. Moreover, raw materials with imperfect quality are sent back from a distributor to outside supplier under a lower price. Determining the order quantity of the distributor and the selling prices of the distributor and the manufacturer as well as the retailer was the goal of this article such that the total profit of each member is maximised. In order to solve the models, the Stackelberg approach is employed between the members, and the concavity of the profit functions is proved using several theorems. Then, closed form solutions are derived for the decision variables and a solution algorithm is proposed to determine the optimal solutions. Finally, a numerical example is presented to illustrate the applicability of the model.     

TPL主导下的生鲜电商三级供应链决策分析

研究由TPL、生鲜电商、生鲜产品供应商组成的三级供应链系统,其中生鲜农产品的市场需求受网上零售价格、安全追溯系统可用性、新鲜度的影响。在TPL主导下,运用Stackelberg博弈模型,分析生鲜电商、生鲜产品供应商不同领导权下的最优决策和最大利润,得出以下结论:生鲜产品供应商作为第二领导下的TPL利润、安全追溯系统可用性、保鲜水平、市场需求均大于其作为第三领导时的情形;不同领导权对供应链企业的利润也会产生影响,利润偏向于领导权大的一方。然而不管哪种决策模型,其供应链利润均小于集中决策下的情形。     

考虑随机市场需求和不同博弈地位的双渠道供应链策略分析

为研究供应链成员不同博弈地位下双渠道定价及随机库存问题,分别构建制造商主导、零售商主导及双方同等博弈地位的双渠道供应链博弈模型,考察随机市场需求对定价、库存及利润的影响,分析具有不同博弈地位的供应链策略差异,并通过数值仿真探讨最佳响应策略。结果表明,主导方凭借地位优势拥有更强的价格把控权及库存调配能力,获得更高收益;制造商主导型供应链具有更强的渠道整合能力,供应链的整体利润水平高于零售商主导型;同等博弈地位情形的博弈双方可根据共同市场信息及竞争对手策略更新自身策略,具有较低的库存风险,渠道定价越低,但双重边际效应降低了双方收益;市场需求波动越大,渠道定价、库存量及供应链利润均越大,此时主导方利润增幅大于追随者。     

弹性需求下一类国际供应链的最优价格契约

研究了在最终市场需求具有价格弹性的情况下,由单一制造商、单一零售商组成的国际供应链的最优价格折扣契约。首先建立了零售商和制造商在无折扣、有折扣时的利润模型：然后提出了求解最优价格折扣的算法;最后通过算例仿真,求出了在不同汇率下的最优价格折扣,对问题进行了实证研究。     

双渠道供应链的库存与定价策略研究

针对由传统零售渠道和网络直销渠道组成的双渠道供应链模型,考虑批发价格和传统零售价格确定情况下,同时市场需求随机且受价格影响时,对制造商在直销渠道上的最优定价和库存量决策,以及零售商在传统分销渠道上的最优订货量进行研究。通过模型分析和数值仿真说明：当需求分配比例处在一定范围内时,存在可行的直销价格。当加入直销价格不小于批发价格的约束条件后,在更小的需求分配比例范围内能够找到均衡解。且在此合理的区域内,传统零售渠道订货量减少,直销渠道库存量增大,但供应链总的销售量基本不变。零售商的期望收益有所增加,对于供应商,其来自于零售渠道的期望收益减少,来自于直销渠道的收益以及总收益增多。整个供应链的收益得到提高。     

Pricing decisions for three-echelon supply chain with advertising and quality effort-dependent fuzzy demand

Simultaneous influence of market power structure, advertising and quality efforts on the optimal pricing decisions and performance of a multi-echelon supply chain under uncertainty have received scant attention in the literature. We focus on this gap by examining a serial decentralised three-echelon supply chain consisting of a supplier, a manufacturer and a retailer. The uncertainty associated with customer demand, marginal production costs and effort costs is expressed as linguistic or fuzzy variables. We analyse centralised supply chain to obtain all benchmark parameters. We investigate four decentralised supply chain cases through fuzzy game theoretic approach. We compare among three Stackelberg games with various supply chain leaderships and a vertical Nash. Our key findings are as follows. First, the manufacturer puts least quality effort while retailer puts least advertising effort when they act as Stackelberg leader in a three-echelon supply chain. Second, supplier's per unit price is governed by the channel leadership in three-echelon supply chain while retail prices are less affected by the leadership. We investigate the impact of fuzzy degree of quality and advertising sensitivity on optimal profit distribution among agents. We present numerical analysis to illustrate the importance of the derived theoretical results and discuss additional managerial insights.     

The impact of delayed differentiation in make-to-order environments

To cope with the challenges of product proliferation, many firms are shifting their supply chain structures from make-to-stock (MTS) to make-to-order (MTO). An MTO strategy comes at a price however, as customers must wait longer for their configured products. Incorporating delayed differentiation (DD) in an MTO environment offers the potential of reducing the customer's waiting time, since the generic part/component of the products is made available before receiving customer orders. In this paper, we quantify the trade-offs involved in implementing DD in an MTO environment using both customer waiting time and system cost as performance metrics. We show that under common conditions, the introduction of DD results in shorter waiting times and higher cost over a pure MTO strategy. These results are as expected. However, we also derive conditions where DD results not only in shorter customer waiting time but also lower cost, thus dominating a pure MTO strategy. Through a simulation experiment, we test the robustness of our results for the case where the customer arrivals and production times are generally distributed. For firms with the capability of estimating the customer waiting cost, we derive the optimal base-stock level of the generic component to minimise the total cost.     

The impact of consumer price forecasting behaviour on the bullwhip effect

As prices fluctuate over time, a strategic consumer may buy more in advance to reduce his or her future needs in anticipation of higher prices in the future, or may choose to postpone a purchase in anticipation of lower prices in the future. We investigate the bullwhip effect from a consumer price forecasting behavioural perspective in the context of a simple two-level supply chain composed of a supplier and a retailer. We consider two different forms for the demand function – linear and iso-elastic demand functions, both depending on the prices in multiple periods. Assuming that the retailer employs an order-up-to inventory policy with exponential smoothing forecasting technology, we derive analytical expressions for the bullwhip effect under the two demand functions, and extend the results to the multiple-retailer case. We find that consumer forecasting behaviour can reduce the bullwhip effect, most significantly when the consumer sensitivity to price changes is medium (approximately 0.5) for both the demand forms. In addition, for iso-elastic demand, the mitigation of the bullwhip effect induced by consumer price forecasting behaviour becomes more significant as the product price sensitivity coefficient and standard deviation of the price decrease. These findings are applicable to the development of managerial strategies by supply chain members that are conducive to bullwhip effect reduction through customer behaviour.     

一类短生命周期产品的回购合同

在考虑短生命周期产品具有价格弹性的随机需求情况下,研究了基于供应链环境下的短生命周期产品回购合同策略,分别分析了零售商和供应商在没有协调情况下各自的最优决策以及在回购合同协调下双方的最优决策,推导出了在回购合同下零售商的最佳订货量和最优零售价,以及供应商的最优回购价格的取值范围,并通过数值分析,验证了在回购合同下双方的最优决策能使供应链的整体利润达到集中控制下的最优状态.     

基于网络服务水平的农产品供应链分销渠道模式选择

考虑网络服务水平对农产品供应链网络分销渠道模式选择的影响,提出了直销网店和代理网店两种供应链网络分销渠道,及分别构建了直销网店模式和代理网店销模式的博弈模型,得到了农业生产企业收益最大化角度下网络分销渠道模式选择策略,并对比分析了供应链收益最大化角度下网络分销渠道模式选择策略。研究发现, 当线上销售价格与线下销售价格的比值低于一定值时,无论网店的网络服务成本有多低,农业生产企业都不会开展线上销售业务; 当直销网店的网络服务成本系数适中时,农业生产企业收益最大化角度下分销渠道模式选择策略将不利于供应链整体效率的提升;网络分销渠道市场占潜在市场规模百分比能正向影响对直销网店模式的选择。