基于支持向量机回归的抗癌药物活性研究

采用支持向量机回归(SVR)方法研究了40个抗癌化合物-二取代[(吖啶-4-酰胺基)丙基]甲胺类衍生物的定量构效关系,基于留一法交叉验证的结果,其平均相对误差是6.56％.结果表明,所建SVR模型的精度高于逆传播人工神经网络(BPANN)、多元线性回归(MLR)和偏最小二乘法(PLS)所得的结果.     

基于支持向量机回归的麻醉药毒性的QSPR研究

采用支持向量机回归(SVR)方法研究了39个麻醉药毒性的定量构效关系,基于留一法交叉验证的结果,模型的相关系数为0.970。结果表明,所建SVR模型的精度高于逆传播人工神经网络(BPANN)、多元线性回归(MLR)和偏最小二乘法(PLS)所得的结果。     

基于智能遗传算法与支持向量回归的人口预测

要建立一个有效的支持向量回归(SVR)模型,支持向量回归的3个参数C,!,"必须预先设定。提出一种新型的遗传算法——智能遗传算法(IGA)对支持向量回归进行参数调节,以达到寻找最优参数的目的,然后和支持向量回归结合得到一种新的IGASVR模型,并应用于城市人口预测。最后,将提出的方法与标准SVR模型和BP神经网络模型进行比较,所得结果表明,该模型训练速度快,并且有较高预测精度,是一种有效的人口预测方法。     

基于SVR的机动目标跟踪

本文研究了支持向量回归（SVR）在机动目标跟踪中的应用，并与传统回归方法最小二乘法（LS）进行了比较。实验结果表明，利用支持向量回归可以以很高的精度对机动目标进行跟踪，并且有着很强的适应能力，是一种有潜力的跟踪方法。     

基于混沌粒子群SVR的烟气轮机状态预测

研究烟气轮机状态测试,为了保证安全,克服当前烟气轮机状态预测精度低的问题,结合混沌粒子群与支持向量回归模型(SVR)的特点,提出一种烟气轮机状态预测的新方法,混沌粒子群能克服粒子群优化算法容易陷入局部最优且收敛速度较慢等缺点,以获得高预测性能的支持向量回归模型.在分析支持向量回归算法和混沌粒子群算法基础上,采用混沌粒子群算法选取合适的支持向量回归模型,并利用训练集建立混沌粒子群SVR烟气轮机状态预测模型.以某烟气轮机机组作为应用对象测试方法在机电状态预测中的效果.实验结果表明,与粒子群SVR相比,混沌粒子群SVR的预测精度有了较大幅度提高,证明适合烟气轮机状态预测.     

基于混合SVR-PLS方法的丙烯腈收率软测量建模

为了更有效地处理过程非线性、多输入和数据共线性等复杂特性,提高模型的推广能力和精度,提出了混合支持向量回归机-偏最小二乘法(SVR—PLS)方法．该方法兼具SVR和PLS的优点．用PLS进行特征提取．用SVR建立PLS的内部模型．对工业丙烯腈生产过程丙烯腈收率软测量建模的应用表明．采用该方法建立的软测量模型．在模型精度、推广能力等方面明显优于一些传统软测量建模方法．满足工业应用要求．     

基于PSO-SVR的下水道可燃气体分析

针对下水道可燃气体传感器非线性、选择性差和交叉敏感的特点,建立了一种基于粒子群算法(PSO)支持向量回归机(SVR)的下水道可燃气体分析预测模型.该模型通过引入粒子群算法对支持向量回归机的重要参数进行优化,从而实现了支持向量回归机的参数自动判定,用于下水道可燃气体的定量分析.仿真结果表明:基于粒子群的支持向量回归机下水道可燃气体分析预测模型优于SVR模型,具有较好的泛化性能和较高的预测精度.     

基于ADQPSO-SVR的锅炉飞灰含碳量预测研究

针对锅炉飞灰含碳量的预测问题,提出了自适应扰动量子粒子群优化的支持向量回归机方法(ADQPSO-SVR),即在量子粒子群优化算法(QPSO)的基础上加入自适应扰动,克服了支持向量回归机(SVR)经验选择学习参数的弊端。用此改进算法对SVR的学习参数进行寻优,经过实例研究表明,ADQPSO算法的寻优能力较强,利用ADQPSO算法得到的SVR模型有较高的预测精度,同时与GA-BP算法和GA-RBF算法相比,ADQPSO-SVR能够提高锅炉飞灰含碳量预测的准确性及稳定性。     

基于支持向量回归的年电力需求预测方法

建立在统计学习理论（SLT）和结构风险最小化（SRM）准则基础上的支持向量机（SVM）在理论上能够很好地平衡学习精度和泛化能力之间的矛盾,支持向量机回归（SVR）是处理小样本数据回归建模的有利工具。文中提出应用SVR求解年电力需求预测问题,给出了求解问题的具体过程和方法,并对比研究了SVR和BP网络预测方法。预测结果表明应用SVR预测年电力需求,不仅易于实现,而且精度较高,性能明显优于BP网络方法。     

用于回归的临近支持向量机

将临近支持向量分类杌应用在回归问题上,提出临近支持向量回归机,给出线性与非线性情况下的回归函数,该方法比支持向量回归机(svR)问题减少了参数和一半变量,比最小二乘支持向量回归机(LSSVMR)求解公式更加简单,且核函数不需要满足Mercer条件.数值实验结果表明,与SVR和LSSVMR相比,该方法的学习速度更快,且泛化能力较之不相上下.     

Preliminary cost estimates for thin-film transistor liquid–crystal display inspection and repair equipment: A hybrid hierarchical approach

The thin-film transistor liquid–crystal display (TFT-LCD) industry has developed rapidly in recent years. Because TFT-LCD manufacturing is highly complex and requires different tools for different products, accurately estimating the cost of manufacturing TFT-LCD equipment is essential. Conventional cost estimation models include linear regression (LR), artificial neural networks (ANNs), and support vector regression (SVR). Nevertheless, in accordance with recent evidence that a hierarchical structure outperforms a flat structure, this study proposes a hierarchical classification and regression (HCR) approach for improving the accuracy of cost predictions for TFT-LCD inspection and repair equipment. Specifically, first-level analyses by HCR classify new unknown cases into specific classes. The cases are then inputted into the corresponding prediction models for the final output. In this study, experimental results based on a real world dataset containing data for TFT-LCD equipment development projects performed by a leading Taiwan provider show that three prediction models based on HCR approach are generally comparable or better than three conventional flat models (LR, ANN, and SVR) in terms of prediction accuracy. In particular, the 4-class and 5-class support vector machines in the first-level HCR combined with individual SVR obtain the lowest root mean square error (RMSE) and mean average percentage error (MAPE) rates, respectively.     

Improving prediction of exchange rates using Differential EMD

Volatility is a key parameter when measuring the size of errors made in modelling returns and other financial variables such as exchanged rates. The autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) model is a linear process in time series; whilst in the nonlinear system, the generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) and Markov switching GARCH (MS-GARCH) have been widely applied. In statistical learning theory, support vector regression (SVR) plays an important role in predicting nonlinear and nonstationary time series variables. In this paper, we propose a new algorithm, differential Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) for improving prediction of exchange rates under support vector regression (SVR). The new algorithm of Differential EMD has the capability of smoothing and reducing the noise, whereas the SVR model with the filtered dataset improves predicting the exchange rates. Simulations results consisting of the Differential EMD and SVR model show that our model outperforms simulations by a state-of-the-art MS-GARCH and Markov switching regression (MSR) models.     

基于CS-SVR模型的短期风电功率预测

为了提高短期风电功率预测精度,提出一种布谷鸟搜索算法(Cuckoo Search Algorithm, CS)优化支持向量回归(Support Vector Regression, SVR)机的预测方法,该方法首先根据上截断点和下截断点对输入数据进行预处理,剔除异常数据,之后以输入数据中的风速、平均风速、风机状态等属性数据作为SVR算法模型的输入,以风电功率数据作为SVR算法模型的输出,建立短期风电功率的SVR预测模型,针对SVR算法存在难以选择最优参数的缺点,提出采用布谷鸟算法优化SVR参数的方法,建立短期风电功率的CS-SVR预测模型。通过与SVR、PSO-SVR预测模型进行了对比仿真实验,实验结果表明,CS-SVR预测模型具有较高的预测精度。     

Simulation and prediction of hydrological processes based on firefly algorithm with deep learning and support vector for regression

ABSTRACT

Hydrological processes are hard to accurately simulate and predict because of various natural and human influences. In order to improve the simulation and prediction accuracy of the hydrological process, the firefly algorithm with deep learning (DLFA) was used in this study to optimise the parameters of support vector for regression (SVR) automatically, and a prediction model was established based on DLFA and SVR. The hydrological process of Huangfuchuan in Fugu County, Shanxi Province was taken as the research object to verify the performance of the prediction model, and the results were compared with those by the other six prediction models. The experimental results showed that the proposed prediction model achieved improved prediction performance compared with the other six models.     

A comparative study of fault density prediction in aspect-oriented systems using MLP,RBF, KNN,RT, DENFIS and SVR models

This paper investigates and empirically evaluates and compares six popular computational intelligence models in the context of fault density prediction in aspect-oriented systems. These models are multi-layer perceptron (MLP), radial basis function (RBF), k-nearest neighbor (KNN), regression tree (RT), dynamic evolving neuro-fuzzy inference system (DENFIS), and support vector regression (SVR). The models were trained and tested, using leave-one-out procedure, on a dataset that consists of twelve aspect-level metrics (explanatory variables) that measure different structural properties of an aspect. It was observed that the DENFIS, SVR, and RT models were more accurate in predicting fault density compared to the MLP, RBF, and KNN models. The MLP model was the worst model, and all the other models were significantly better than it.     

基于SVR的混沌时间序列预测

支持向量机是一种基于统计学习理论的新颖的机器学习方法,由于其出色的学习性能,该技术已成为当前国际机器学习界的研究热点。这种方法已广泛用于解决分类和回归问题。论文介绍了支持向量回归算法的各种版本,同时将它们应用到混沌时间序列预测中,并且比较了它们的预测性能,为实际应用合理选择模型提供一定的依据。     

基于ARIMA和LSTM混合模型的时间序列预测

由于现实中的时间序列通常同时具有线性和非线性特征,传统ARIMA模型在时间序列建模中常表现出一定局限性.对此,提出基于ARIMA和LSTM混合模型进行时间序列预测.应用线性ARIMA模型进行时间序列预测,用支持向量回归(SVR)模型对误差序列进行预测,采用深度LSTM模型对ARIMA模型和SVR模型的预测结果组合,并将...     

支持向量机与神经网络相结合的板带凸度预测

为提高热轧生产过程中板带凸度的预测精度,提出了一种将粒子群优化算法(particle swarm optimization, PSO)、支持向量回归(support vector regression, SVR)和BP神经网络(back propagation neural network, BPNN)相结合的板带凸度预测模型。采用PSO算法优化SVR模型的参数,建立了PSO-SVR板带凸度预测模型,提出采用BPNN建立板带凸度偏差模型与PSO-SVR板带凸度模型相结合的方法对板带凸度进行预测。采用现场数据对模型的预测精度进行验证,并采用统计指标评价模型的综合性能。仿真结果表明,与PSO-SVR、SVR、BPNN和GA-SVR模型进行比较,PSO-SVR+BPNN模型具有较高的学习能力和泛化能力,并且比GA-SVR模型运算时间短。     

基于模糊近似支持向量回归的股价预测研究

股价预测是投资策略形成和风险管理模型发展的基础。为了降低股价变化趋势中的噪声信息和投资者关于两种股价预测误差的不同偏好对股价预测的影响,提出了基于信噪比的模糊近似支持向量回归(FPSVR)的股价预测模型。首先构建信噪比输入变量,然后引入模糊隶属度和双边权重测量方法对支持向量回归(SVR)模型进行改进,最后借助沪深300成份股2008至2019年的股票时间序列日数据,按照股市的波动情况将其分为三个阶段(牛市、熊市、震荡市),并建立三个基准模型进行对比分析。研究结果表明:与三个基准模型相比,所提出的股价预测模型的预测误差最低;与原有的SVR模型相比,FPSVR模型可以更好地对处于牛市和震荡市阶段的股票时间序列进行股价预测。