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杨锡运;刘晗;陈文进;彭琰;陈菁伟;王晨旭 《太阳能学报》2024,45(3):496-505
持续功率曲线能反映长时间波动特性规律,通过研究已建设光伏集群持续功率曲线,建立预测模型揭示不同规模集群的汇聚演化规律,最终得到待建光伏集群的持续功率曲线。首先,利用层次聚类算法确定光伏集群汇聚规模的分层顺序,得到装机容量逐层递增的光伏集群,并提出汇聚效应指标验证顺序的有效性;其次,为了更好地判断和预测光伏持续功率曲线的变化趋势,对持续功率曲线进行出力场景划分;最后,为避免单一模型预测偏差,在各出力场景下,通过改进的信息熵组合预测模型掌握汇聚过程中规模演变规律,完成规划待建设集群持续功率曲线的预测。利用河北某地区实测数据仿真结果表明:验证聚类方法得到的集群分层顺序更能体现汇聚效应,并有效提高预测精度;出力场景划分准确刻画集群持续功率曲线汇聚趋势;通过模型对比表明分场景下改进信息熵组合预测模型更能精确完成待建光伏集群持续功率特性的量化分析。 相似文献
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C. Darras M. Muselli P. Poggi C. Voyant J.-C. Hoguet F. Montignac 《International Journal of Hydrogen Energy》2012
The MYRTE platform is one of the PEPITE project applications included in the PAN-H program of the French Research National Agency, under the reference ANR-07-PANH-012. This platform consists of a photovoltaic array, a fuel cell, an electrolyzer, tanks (H2, O2 and H2O), a thermal management system and electricity converters associated to various sub-systems. 相似文献
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The tilt angle influences the amount of energy collected by a photovoltaic module. However, representations of these effects on the energy yield and the performance of the PV system are commonly based on the theoretical calculations, whereas there is a lack of experimental investigations. To verify the calculations, an experimental setup has been installed at the Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Tehran. Some results of this test station, from March, 1999 to January, 2000 are represented in this paper. 相似文献
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The paper presents the concept and design behind the thin film flexible floating PV (T3F-PV) array, aimed at offshore large scale generation. The development of such an array comprises of non-conventional application of thin film PV panels. There are some issues envisaged, primarily the electrical reliability of the panels were they are prone to water absorption. Also the presence of the water could lead to cooling which would be an advantage of the system. Analysis of these issues and a first stage towards the development of the concept was through the manufacturing and operation of a small scale prototype in an enclosed water body in Sudbury, Canada. The data gathered from a small scale prototype leads to an estimated 0.5% decrease in electrical efficiency after the 45 day testing period mainly due to sediment occlusion on the PV panels. The cooling effect of the water could be calculated to an averaged electrical improvement of 5% through a 3 day comparison test (conducted when the floating PV had been exposed to their water conditions for almost 3 months). Also a significant variation in electrical output could be noted if the floating panels were allowed to go just below the waterline or if they were designed to stay on top of it. Some changes to the design were discussed to improve the concept and lead it onto the next step in the development, with a larger scale installation operating in the open sea with harsher environments to be dealt with. 相似文献
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频率是电力系统运行特性评估中最重要的参数之一。传统频率测量算法存在不同程度的误差,而它所带来的频谱泄露则影响谐波测量的精度。提出基于离散傅里叶变换(DFT)的改进测频算法,该算法利用相隔半个周波的3组信号数据求取2个修正系数,分别对相邻两个周波的相角进行修正,再通过其相角差求得实际频率。在此基础上,通过实时修正采样频率实现同步采样,从而精确进行谐波分析。4种不同情况的仿真实验结果表明算法具有较好的频率跟踪效果和谐波测量精度。 相似文献
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Masakazu Ito Kazuhiko Kato Hiroyuki Sugihara Tetsuo Kichimi Jinsoo Song Kosuke Kurokawa 《Solar Energy Materials & Solar Cells》2003,75(3-4):507-517
A 100 MW very large-scale photovoltaic power generation (VLS-PV) system is designed assuming that it will be installed in the Gobi desert, which is one of the major deserts in the world. Array arrangement, array support, foundation, wiring, and so on are designed in detail. Then energy payback time (EPT), life-cycle CO2 emission rate and generation cost of the system are estimated based on the methodology of life-cycle analysis. As a result of the estimation, 1.7 year of EPT and 12 g C/kWh of CO2 emission rate are obtained. These show that VLS-PV in the Gobi desert would be very promising for the global energy and environmental issues. The generation cost is calculated at 8.6 cent/kWh assuming that PV module price is one US $/W and system lifetime is 30 years. 相似文献
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A design aid expert system for solar photovoltaic (PV) power supplies corresponding to Indian region is developed. The knowledge base is evolved from the climatological data of 14 stations in Indian region. The approach involves combining both the site and array characteristics in a single parameter referred to as equivalent unit array output and expressing the composite parameter as a function of geographical co-ordinates. The resultant expert system is envisioned to provide general users the power of an expert, in the matter of design considerations. It will also be easily adaptable to a change of design conditions. It considers two modes of system operation; with battery storage and without battery storage. It enables the determination of size of PV array and battery bank, which meet the demand of load throughout the year allowing the battery to be discharged up to a minimum acceptable level. 相似文献
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The application of PV systems in Iran has started since 1982, when a 1710 Watt power generator was installed in Fars (south east of Iran) to supply a telecommunication site by AEG. Till 1993 more than one hundred PV systems with various capacity and purpose of use have been installed over the country. In 1993 a production line for multicrystalline silicon solar cells and modules was installed in Tehran by the ministry of Post, Telegraph and Telephone (PTT). Since then the application of photovoltaic energy is spreading in various fields in Iran. In this paper the present and future state of photovoltaic plants, solar cell fabrication technology and optimization in system design and power conditioning are reported. 相似文献
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Kholid Akhmad Hiroaki Okamoto Akio Kitamura Hiromu Matsuda Fumio Yamamoto Yoshihiro Hamakawa 《Solar Energy Materials & Solar Cells》1997,47(1-4)
The experiments investigated phenomena related to direct contact between the DC output of a PV array and the AC power from the utility grid. The results show that the DC power flows through the distribution transformers (DC-injection) saturating their magnetic circuits. The saturation of magnetic circuits makes peak currents, incorporating a large portion of even harmonics, flow through the high-voltage side of the distribution transformer, adding the level of harmonic distortion of its exciting current. With the increase of injecting DC-current to the utility grid, peak currents at the primary side of distribution transformer increases the most, and even among the same effective (rms) values, the increase of primary side current is larger than that of the secondary side current. 相似文献
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Hiroshi Nagayoshi Kosuke Kurokawa Yoshiyuki Ohashi Kei Nishida Takashi Deguchi 《Solar Energy Materials & Solar Cells》2001,67(1-4)
The grid connected 100 kW PV and 345 kWh battery combined system introduced in 1998 at Shonan Institute of Technology has been investigated. The system, equipped with PV and large battery, has a peak cut function against the big surge in electric power consumption in summer as well as working as an emergency electric power source. The daily peak of power consumption during summer occurs at 2:00 p.m. This time does not coincide with the time of peak power generation. The use of the PV/battery combined peak cut function effectively cuts consumption by 7% during the peak consumption period. 相似文献
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Day-ahead electricity price forecasting using wavelet transform combined with ARIMA and GARCH models
This paper proposes a novel price forecasting method based on wavelet transform combined with ARIMA and GARCH models. By wavelet transform, the historical price series is decomposed and reconstructed into one approximation series and some detail series. Then each subseries can be separately predicted by a suitable time series model. The final forecast is obtained by composing the forecasted results of each subseries. This proposed method is examined on Spanish and PJM electricity markets and compared with some other forecasting methods. 相似文献
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Kosuke Kurokawa Takumi Takashima Tatsuo Hirasawa Tetsuo Kichimi Teruo Imura Tetsu Nishioka Hisao Iitsuka Naoto Tashiro 《Solar Energy Materials & Solar Cells》1997,47(1-4)
To show the huge potential of PV systems, the authors have been studying the feasibility of large-scale PV plants. If a PV module cost is assumed to be 100¥/W, it gives the electricity at a cost of 7.70−13.12 ¥/kWh for a 100 MW plant size located at 6 desert sites around the world, considering the site irradiation,local labor cost, etc. for each site. In spite of the fixed, flat plate, the cost can reach a fairly low level. The station will be composed of 20 sub-units × 10 units of 500 kW optimum size sub-units. 相似文献
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The performance of a photovoltaic (PV) panel is affected by its orientation and its tilt angle with the horizontal plane. This is because both of these parameters change the amount of solar energy received by the surface of the PV panel. A mathematical model was used to estimate the total solar radiation on the tilted PV surface, and to determine optimum tilt angles for a PV panel installed in Sanliurfa, Turkey. The optimum tilt angles were determined by searching for the values of angles for which the total radiation on the PV surface was maximum for the period studied. The study also investigated the effect of two-axis solar tracking on energy gain compared to a fixed PV panel. This study determined that the monthly optimum tilt angle for a PV panel changes throughout the year with its minimum value as 13° in June and maximum value as 61° in December. The results showed that the gains in the amount of solar radiation throughout the year received by the PV panel mounted at monthly optimum tilt angles with respect to seasonal optimum angles and tilt angel equal to latitude were 1.1% and 3.9%, respectively. Furthermore, daily average of 29.3% gain in total solar radiation results in an daily average of 34.6% gain in generated power with two-axis solar tracking compared to a south facing PV panel fixed at 14° tilt angle on a particular day in July in Sanliurfa, Turkey. 相似文献
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A procedure using the concept of the utilizability function for estimating the long-term performance of direct-coupled photovoltaic water-pumping systems is presented. A modified utilizability function, based on radiation statistics, is developed, and the monthly-averaged daily amount of water is simply estimated. 相似文献
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《International Journal of Hydrogen Energy》2022,47(16):9719-9734
An improved fuzzy-based energy management strategy (EMS) is proposed for a tourist ship used hybrid power system with multiple power sources consisting of fuel cell(FC)/photovoltaic cell(PV)/battery(BAT)/super-capacitor(SC). The power demand from propeller and user terminal is afforded by the power sources connecting to power converters. To obtain more superior performance of the power system, the maximum power point tracking (MPPT) algorithm is employed to optimize the PV. Meanwhile, the improved fuzzy logic control based on dynamic programming (DP) associated with wavelet analysis and PI control are employed to achieve the output power optimal distribution and online control. In particular, the MPPT algorithm can improve the utilization of solar energy, and the SC can well absorb the high frequency power and reduce the fluctuation of the battery and FC that exhibits the potential of their lifetime extension. The FC outputs the high and stable power satisfying the ship's power demand even under the extreme work conditions. The developed model is able to illustrate well in the operation process of the hybrid power system governed by the proposed EMS. In addition, compared with the rule-based strategy, the improved fuzzy-based EMS can reduce 14.39% hydrogen consumption and keep the consistency of battery SOC. 相似文献