基于故障树的贝叶斯网络建造方法与故障诊断应用

文章首先指出应用贝叶斯网络模型进行设备故障诊断具有的优势,提出了由常用的故障树模型建造贝叶斯网络的方法。然后详细比较了故障树与贝叶斯网络在诊断推理和模型表达方面的特点,并以实例进行说明。     

基于贝叶斯网络的威胁识别

对威胁进行准确识别是威胁评估的重要内容之一,它涉及到许多不确定性因素.贝叶斯网络是处理不确定性知识的有效工具.根据威胁识别与贝叶斯网络的特点,提出了基于贝叶斯网络的威胁识别方法.首先简单介绍了贝叶斯网络及其优点,然后根据一个具体的实例,建立了威胁识别的贝叶斯网络模型,并阐述了贝叶斯网络用于威胁识别的推理流程.通过对实例的计算结果表明,利用贝叶斯网络能够准确识别威胁,并能有效地处理不确定性信息.     

一种用于汽车发动机故障诊断的贝叶斯网络模型

在汽车发动机故障诊断领域,由于设备内部的复杂性和导致故障的不确定因素,使得解决不确定性问题成为目前发动机故障诊断的首要问题;文章提出了一种用于解决不确定性问题的贝叶斯网络模型,该模型的网络结构学习采用了基于簇的搜索算法;为了获得更高准确率的故障诊断结果,模型加入了对当前信息集的采用,进行结构和参数的在线学习,改进了网络结构,网络通过概率传播算法,推理出产生故障的原因节点;在实例中表明,该模型能准确有效地解决发动机故障诊断中存在的不确定性问题,并与专家系统故障诊断模型做出比较,验证了基于该算法的贝叶斯网络模型在信息不确定性条件下能够提高诊断的准确率。     

基于贝叶斯网络模型构造的汽车故障诊断研究

为了解决汽车故障诊断中的不确定性和建模问题,提出了一种基于贝叶斯网络模型构造的故障诊断融合系统架构,设计了基于贝叶斯网络构造的故障诊断算法.这种故障诊断方法利用贝叶斯网络的学习能力和概率推理来应对故障诊断中的不确定性问题的表示和推理,它能够有效地融合领域先验知识和实时传感数据的分布特征,实现故障诊断系统的自适应,并被成功地应用于汽车故障诊断.实验结果表明,新算法为故障诊断提供了准确和可靠的决策依据.     

贝叶斯网络推理的研究与分析

贝叶斯网络是人工智能中不确定知识表示和推理的有力工具。介绍了贝叶斯网络的概念,给出一个实例,分析了贝叶斯网络推理的方法和过程。     

基于贝叶斯网络的发动机可视化故障诊断

在研究发动机各类故障诊断的基础上,结合贝叶斯网络从数据中学习的方法,提出一种能够根据实际样本数据对发动机的各类故障进行可视化诊断的方法,其充分考虑了先验知识,且能够根据实际样本数据对先验知识进行修正。以发动机W P7的故障为例,通过因果关系建立贝叶斯网络的可视化模型,结合先验知识进行参数学习和推理,实例结果表明,该模型及分析方法很好地反应了各部件或子系统的故障对于整个系统故障的影响以及各部件或子系统之间的依赖关系及依赖程度,有助于找出系统的薄弱环节和提高系统可靠性的途径。     

基于信息融合的诊断贝叶斯网络研究

针对设备故障诊断技术中存在的固有不确定性问题,通过分析传统故障树模型存在的局限性以及传统贝叶斯网络建造困难的特性,提出了一种融合于故障树和传统贝叶斯网络的新方法--诊断贝叶斯网络,并阐述了故障树和贝叶斯网络的故障诊断策略优化方法的基本思想和具体算法.通过比较分析,综合考虑了故障树和贝叶斯网络在诊断推理和模型表达方面的特点及仿真结果,提出的新方法可以使二者优势充分发挥,在故障诊断领域中具有实际的应用价值.     

基于贝叶斯网络模型的电子装备故障诊断研究

针对电子装备故障的层次性、相关性、不确定性特点,结合贝叶斯网络在处理不确定性问题上的优点,提出了电子装备故障诊断的贝叶斯网络方法;研究了基于故障树分析和故障模式、影响、危害度信息的贝叶斯网络模型建立方法,分析了贝叶斯网络的故障预测和推理原理,确立了各底事件对故障诊断的重要度,形成了故障诊断的合理顺序,通过实例验证了上述方法的可行性和有效性;研究成果对复杂电子装备的故障诊断有借鉴意义。     

贝叶斯网络推理的研究与分析

贝叶斯网络是人工智能中不确定知识表示和推理的有力工具.介绍了贝叶斯网络的概念,给出一个实例,分析了贝叶斯网络推理的方法和过程.     

基于贝叶斯网络推理的起落架系统故障诊断技术研究

民机起落架系统结构复杂,是典型的故障多发系统,实际诊断过程主要依赖于排故手册流程和工程经验积累,存在诸多不确定性因素。贝叶斯网络是用有向无环图的形式表达变量间因果关联关系,可以充分利用专家知识和试验信息进行基于概率的统计推断,适于处理复杂系统的不确定性问题。通过深入分析某型民机起落架技术资料,建立了基于贝叶斯网络的起落架系统诊断架构,结合专家知识和维护经验提出了基于贝叶斯网络的起落架系统故障诊断方法,并给出了网络推理流程,提升了起落架系统故障诊断效率和精度。     

Probability based vehicle fault diagnosis: Bayesian network method

Fault diagnostics are increasingly important for ensuring vehicle safety and reliability. One of the issues in vehicle fault diagnosis is the difficulty of successful interpretation of failure symptoms to correctly diagnose the real root cause. This paper presents an innovative Bayesian Network based method for guiding off-line vehicle fault diagnosis. By using a vehicle infotainment system as a case study, a number of Bayesian diagnostic models have been established for fault cases with single and multiple symptoms. Particular considerations are given to the design of the Bayesian model structure, determination of prior probabilities of root causes, and diagnostic procedure. In order to unburden the computation, an object oriented model structure has been adopted to prevent the model from overly large. It is shown that the proposed method is capable of guiding vehicle diagnostics in a probabilistic manner. Furthermore, the method features a multiple-symptoms-orientated troubleshooting strategy, and is capable of diagnosing multiple symptoms optimally and simultaneously.     

一种基于贝叶斯网络的燃气轮机故障诊断方法

针对电厂中现役燃气轮机故障样本少,以往的故障诊断方法依赖于海量的带有故障标签的数据,无法在实际生产中取得预期的诊断效果的现象,本文将重点着眼于利用贝叶斯网络进行反事实推理,完成对燃气轮机故障原因的分析。本文首先介绍了贝叶斯网络的基本原理,其次将故障模式和影响分析及故障树技术用于贝叶斯网络的搭建,弥补了基于数据驱动的故障诊断方法缺少专业知识支撑的缺陷,最后通过实际案例分析,表明了这一方法用于燃气轮机的故障诊断时,可以根据燃气轮机在运行中出现的异常现象,分析出可能出现的故障,以及相应的故障原因,帮助运行及检修人员及时发现故障,及时排除故障。为实际生产中的燃气轮机的故障诊断技术提供了一种灵活,高效,可靠的方法。     

Intelligent fault inference for rotating flexible rotors using Bayesian belief network

Flexible rotor is a crucial mechanical component of a diverse range of rotating machineries and its condition monitoring and fault diagnosis are of particular importance to the modern industry. In this paper, Bayesian belief network (BBN) is applied to the fault inference for rotating flexible rotors with attempt to enhance the reasoning capacity under conditions of uncertainty. A generalized three-layer configuration of BBN for the fault inference of rotating machinery is developed by fully incorporating human experts’ knowledge, machine faults and fault symptoms as well as machine running conditions. Compared with the Naive diagnosis network, the proposed topological structure of causalities takes account of more practical and complete diagnostic information in fault diagnosis. The network tallies well with the practical thinking of field experts in the whole processes of machine fault diagnosis. The applications of the proposed BBN network in the uncertainty inference of rotating flexible rotors show good agreements with our knowledge and practical experience of diagnosis.     

A framework for the analysis of dynamic processes based on Bayesian networks and case-based reasoning

Bayesian networks are knowledge representation schemes that can capture probabilistic relationships among variables and perform probabilistic inference. Arrival of new evidence propagates through the network until all variables are updated. At the end of propagation, the network becomes a static snapshot representing the state of the domain for that particular time. This weakness in capturing temporal semantics has limited the use of Bayesian networks to domains in which time dependency is not a critical factor. This paper describes a framework that combines Bayesian networks and case-based reasoning to create a knowledge representation scheme capable of dealing with time-varying processes. Static Bayesian network topologies are learned from previously available raw data and from sets of constraints describing significant events. These constraints are defined as sets of variables assuming significant values. As new data are gathered, dynamic changes to the topology of a Bayesian network are assimilated using techniques that combine single-value decomposition and minimum distance length. The new topologies are capable of forecasting the occurrences of significant events given specific conditions and monitoring changes over time. Since environment problems are good examples of temporal variations, the problem of forecasting ozone levels in Mexico City was used to test this framework.     

Scaled conjugate gradient and Bayesian training of neural networks for fault identification in cylinders

This paper compares Bayesian training of neural networks using hybrid Monte Carlo to scaled conjugate gradient method for fault identification in cylinders using vibration data. From the measured data pseudo-modal energies and modal properties are calculated and the coordinate pseudo-modal energy assurance criterion (COMEAC) and the coordinate modal assurance criterion (COMAC) are computed respectively. The pseudo-modal energies, modal properties, COMEAC and COMAC are used to train four neural networks. On average, the pseudo-modal-energy-networks are more accurate than the modal-property-networks. The weighted averages of the pseudo-modal-energy- and modal-property-networks form a committee of networks. The committee method gives lower mean squared errors and better classification of faults than the individual methods. The Bayesian training is found to be more accurate and computationally expensive than the scaled conjugate gradient method and to give confidence levels.     

基于多层Bayes估计的战略协同网络供应链可靠性研究

对战略协同网络中供应链可靠性进行分析和判定.得到了可靠度计算公式,并以此为依据收集定时截尾数据.根据战略协同网络供应链可靠性统计特性,建立两种Bayes估计方法和一种多层Bayes估计方法,分别应用于样本供应链可靠性评估中.在估计供应链失效率的基础上,对供应链町靠度进行估计.仿真结果显示,应用多层Bayes估计方法效果较好.     

基于故障贝叶斯网的冷链物流系统可靠性分析

借鉴可靠性工程理论中系统可靠性的分析方法,将冷链物流系统运行故障这一抽象问题具体化处理,根据系统中各功能环节的运行特点及事件之间的因果关系,构建冷链物流系统的系统失效故障树;在此基础上生成贝叶斯网络,以综合评估冷链物流系统的运行可靠性,揭示系统故障产生的主要原因,为改进冷链物流系统的运行可靠性提供定量依据.将所提出方法用于某第三方冷链物流企业的运作管理中,取得了预期效果.     

基于模糊推理的SDG故障诊断新方法

针对纯定性的SDG推理方法忽略了SDG图中节点之间的影响程度不同导致诊断分辨率不高这一问题,提出了在纯定性SDG推理的基础上用模糊矩阵的形式加入节点间相互影响关系的定量信息的推理新方法,可对多潜在故障源划分优先级,从而提高SDG故障诊断的分辨率。相对于其他模糊SDG故障诊断方法,本方法勿需使用隶属函数,取而代之的是模糊矩阵,后者的获取易于前者,且采用矩阵的表示方法方便了计算机编程的实现。