EWMA chart based on Bayes‐conditional pivotal quantity for Weibull percentiles under complete data and type‐II censoring

Bayes‐conditional control chart has been used for monitoring the Weibull percentiles with complete data and type‐II censoring. Firstly, the Weibull data are transformed to the smallest extreme value (SEV) distribution. Secondly, the posterior median of quantiles is used as a monitoring statistic. Finally, a pivotal quantity based on the monitoring statistic with its conditional distribution function is derived for obtaining the control limits. This control chart is denoted as Shewhart‐SEV‐ . In this study, we extend this work based on an exponential weighted moving average model named exponential weighted moving average‐SEV‐ for monitoring the Weibull percentiles. We provide the statistical properties of the monitoring statistic. The average run length and the standard deviation of run lengths, computed by the integral equation approach, are used as performance measures. The results indicate that the proposed chart performs better than the Shewhart‐SEV‐ . The breaking strength of carbon fibers is used to illustrate the application of the proposed control chart.     

New GWMA‐CUSUM control chart for monitoring the process dispersion

The cumulative sum (CUSUM) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts have been widely accepted because of their fantastic speed in identifying small‐to‐moderate unusual variations in the process parameter(s). Recently, a new CUSUM chart has been proposed that uses the EWMA statistic, called the CS‐EWMA chart, for monitoring the process variability. On similar lines, in order to further improve the detection ability of the CS‐EWMA chart, we propose a CUSUM chart using the generally weighted moving average (GWMA) statistic, named the GWMA‐CUSUM chart, for monitoring the process dispersion. Monte Carlo simulations are used to compute the run length profiles of the GWMA‐CUSUM chart. On the basis of the run length comparisons, it turns out that the GWMA‐CUSUM chart outperforms the CUSUM and CS‐EWMA charts when identifying small variations in the process variability. A simulated dataset is also used to explain the working and implementation of the CS‐EWMA and GWMA‐CUSUM charts.     

A New Cumulative Sum Quality Control Scheme for Monitoring the Process Mean

A control chart is a powerful statistical process monitoring tool that is frequently used in many industrial and service organizations to monitor in‐control and out‐of‐control performances of the manufacturing processes. Cumulative sum (CUSUM) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts have been recognized as potentially powerful tool in quality and management control. These control charts are sensitive to both small and moderate changes in the process. In this paper, we propose a new CUSUM (NCUSUM) quality control scheme for efficiently monitoring the process mean. It is shown that the classical CUSUM control chart is a special case of the proposed controlling scheme. The NCUSUM control chart is compared with some of the recently proposed control charts by using characteristics of the distribution of run length, i.e. average run length, median run length and standard deviation of run length. It is worth mentioning that the NCUSUM control chart detects the random shifts in the process mean substantially quicker than the classical CUSUM, fast initial response‐based CUSUM, adaptive CUSUM with EWMA‐based shift, adaptive EWMA and Shewhart–CUSUM control charts. An illustrative example is given to exemplify the implementation of the proposed quality control scheme. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Monitoring Weibull Quantiles by EWMA Charts Based on a Pivotal Quantity Conditioned on Ancillary Statistics

In this article, we study exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) charts for monitoring Weibull quantiles (percentiles) based on a monitoring statistic conditioned on ancillary statistics when samples may be Type II censored. The monitoring statistic has a distribution form that is intractable, but analytic forms of the density and distribution functions can be derived when it is conditioned on ancillary statistics. We use these results to develop EWMA control charts and, in certain cases, evaluate their average run length without resorting to simulations. We compare the average run length performance of the EWMA charts with those of probability‐limit charts, studied by the authors, and probability‐limit charts enhanced with Western Electric alarm rules. We apply the charts to the breaking strength of carbon fibers to detect shifts in a specific Weibull quantile. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A New Synthetic Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring Process Dispersion

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts have been widely recognized as a potentially powerful process monitoring tool of the statistical process control because of their excellent speed in detecting small to moderate shifts in the process parameters. Recently, new EWMA and synthetic control charts have been proposed based on the best linear unbiased estimator of the scale parameter using ordered ranked set sampling (ORSS) scheme, named EWMA‐ORSS and synthetic‐ORSS charts, respectively. In this paper, we extend the work and propose a new synthetic EWMA (SynEWMA) control chart for monitoring the process dispersion using ORSS, named SynEWMA‐ORSS chart. The SynEWMA‐ORSS chart is an integration of the EWMA‐ORSS chart and the conforming run length chart. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations are used to estimate the run length performances of the proposed control chart. A comprehensive comparison of the run length performances of the proposed and the existing powerful control charts reveals that the SynEWMA‐ORSS chart outperforms the synthetic‐R, synthetic‐S, synthetic‐D, synthetic‐ORSS, CUSUM‐R, CUSUM‐S, CUSUM‐ln S², EWMA‐ln S² and EWMA‐ORSS charts when detecting small shifts in the process dispersion. A similar trend is observed when the proposed control chart is constructed under imperfect rankings. An application to a real data is also provided to demonstrate the implementation and application of the proposed control chart. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An efficient adaptive EWMA control chart for monitoring the process mean

In recent years, the memory‐type control charts—exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) and cumulative sum (CUSUM)—along with the adaptive and dual control‐charting structures have received considerable attention because of their excellent ability in providing an overall good detection over a range of mean‐shift sizes. These adaptive memory‐type control charts include the adaptive exponentially weighted moving average (AEWMA), dual CUSUM, and adaptive CUSUM charts. In this paper, we propose a new AEWMA chart for efficiently monitoring the process mean. The idea is to first design an unbiased estimator of the mean shift using the EWMA statistic and then adaptively update the smoothing constant of the EWMA chart. The run length profiles of the proposed AEWMA chart are computed using extensive Monte Carlo simulations. Based on a comprehensive comparative study, it turns out that the proposed AEWMA chart performs better than the existing AEWMA, adaptive CUSUM, dual CUSUM, and Shewhart‐CUSUM charts, in terms of offering more balanced protection against mean shifts of different sizes. An example is also used to explain the working of the existing and proposed control charts.     

New Synthetic CUSUM and Synthetic EWMA Control Charts for Monitoring the Process Mean using Auxiliary Information

The cumulative sum (CUSUM) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts are potentially powerful process monitoring tool because of their excellent speed in detecting small to moderate shifts in the process parameters. These control charts can be further improved by integrating them with the conforming run length control chart, resulting in the synthetic CUSUM (SynCUSUM) and synthetic EWMA (SynEWMA) charts. In this paper, we enhance the detection abilities of the SynCUSUM and SynEWMA charts using the auxiliary information. With suitable assumptions, the proposed control charts encompass the existing SynCUSUM, SynEWMA, CUSUM, and EWMA charts. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations are used to study the run length profiles of the proposed control charts. It turns out that the proposed near‐optimal control charts with the auxiliary information perform uniformly and substantially better than the existing near‐optimal SynCUSUM, SynEWMA, CUSUM, and EWMA charts. The proposed and existing control charts are also illustrated with the help of an example. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Novel design of composite generally weighted moving average and cumulative sum charts

The cumulative sum (CUSUM) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) charts are popular statistical tools to improve the performance of the Shewhart chart in detecting small process shifts. In this study, we propose the mixed generally weighted moving average (GWMA)‐CUSUM chart and its reverse‐order CUSUM‐GWMA chart to enhance detection ability compared with existing counterparts. The simulation revealed that the mixed GWMA‐CUSUM and mixed CUSUM‐GWMA charts have the sensitivity to detect small process shifts and efficient structures compared with the mixed EWMA‐CUSUM and mixed CUSUM‐EWMA charts, respectively. Moreover, the mixed GWMA‐CUSUM chart with a large design parameter has robust performance, regardless of the high tail t distribution or right skewness gamma distribution.     

Cumulative Sum Control Charts for Monitoring Weibull‐distributed Time Between Events

The Weibull distribution can be used to effectively model many different failure mechanisms due to its inherent flexibility through the appropriate selection of a shape and a scale parameter. In this paper, we evaluate and compare the performance of three cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts to monitor Weibull‐distributed time‐between‐event observations. The first two methods are the Weibull CUSUM chart and the exponential CUSUM (ECUSUM) chart. The latter is considered in literature to be robust to the assumption of the exponential distribution when observations have a Weibull distribution. For the third CUSUM chart included in this study, an adjustment in the design of the ECUSUM chart is used to account for the true underlying time‐between‐event distribution. This adjustment allows for the adjusted ECUSUM chart to be directly comparable to the Weibull CUSUM chart. By comparing the zero‐state average run length and average time to signal performance of the three charts, the ECUSUM chart is shown to be much less robust to departures from the exponential distribution than was previously claimed in the literature. We demonstrate the advantages of using one of the other two charts, which show surprisingly similar performance. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The performance of EWMA median and CUSUM median control charts for a normal process with measurement errors

Measurement error is often occurred in statistical process control. The effect of a linearly covariate error model on the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) median and cumulative sum (CUSUM) median charts is investigated. The results indicate that the EWMA median and CUSUM median charts are significantly affected in the presence of measurement errors. We compared the performance of the EWMA median and CUSUM median charts by using Markov chain method in the average run length and the standard deviation of the run length. We concluded that the CUSUM median chart for small shifts and the EWMA median chart for larger shifts are recommended. Two examples are provided to illustrate the application of the EWMA and CUSUM median charts with measurement errors.     

A double exponentially weighted moving average chart based on likelihood ratio for monitoring an inflated Pareto process

In this paper, we present a new chart called a likelihood ratio based double exponentially weighted moving average (LR_DEWMA) chart to monitor the shape parameter of the inflated Pareto process. Three other control charts such as the Shewhart type, the classical cumulative sum (CUSUM), and the likelihood ratio based EWMA (LR_EWMA) charts are also investigated. The performance of the control charts is evaluated by the average run length (ARL) and standard deviation of run lengths (SDRL) computed through the Monte Carlo simulation approach. Moreover, the median run length (MRL) and some other run length (RL) percentiles are also considered in some cases. Different charts have shown the best performance in different cases. In detecting smaller shifts, while the LR_DEWMA chart outperformed the other charts in terms of ARL and MRL, the CUSUM chart has shown the best performance in terms of SDRL and IQR of RLs. The application of the proposed control charts is illustrated using a chromatography analyses data from the food industry.     

New Synthetic EWMA and Synthetic CUSUM Control Charts for Monitoring the Process Mean

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) and cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts are potentially powerful statistical process monitoring tools because of their excellent speed in detecting small to moderate persistent process shifts. Recently, synthetic EWMA (SynEWMA) and synthetic CUSUM (SynCUSUM) control charts have been proposed based on simple random sampling (SRS) by integrating the EWMA and CUSUM control charts with the conforming run length control chart, respectively. These synthetic control charts provide overall superior detection over a range of mean shift sizes. In this article, we propose new SynEWMA and SynCUSUM control charts based on ranked set sampling (RSS) and median RSS (MRSS) schemes, named SynEWMA‐RSS and SynEWMA‐MRSS charts, respectively, for monitoring the process mean. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations are used to estimate the run length characteristics of the proposed control charts. The run length performances of these control charts are compared with their existing powerful counterparts based on SRS, RSS and MRSS schemes. It turns out that the proposed charts perform uniformly better than the Shewhart, optimal synthetic, optimal EWMA, optimal CUSUM, near‐optimal SynEWMA, near‐optimal SynCUSUM control charts based on SRS, and combined Shewhart‐EWMA control charts based on RSS and MRSS schemes. A similar trend is observed when constructing the proposed control charts based on imperfect RSS schemes. An application to a real data is also provided to demonstrate the implementations of the proposed SynEWMA and SynCUSUM control charts. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Improving the Performance of Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Charts

A control chart is a graphical tool used for monitoring a production process and quality improvement. One such charting procedure is the Shewhart‐type control chart, which is sensitive mainly to the large shifts. For small shifts, the cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts were proposed. To further enhance the ability of the EWMA control chart to quickly detect wide range process changes, we have developed an EWMA control chart using the median ranked set sampling (RSS), median double RSS and the double median RSS. The findings show that the proposed median‐ranked sampling procedures substantially increase the sensitivities of EWMA control charts. The newly developed control charts dominate most of their existing counterparts, in terms of the run‐length properties, the Average Extra Quadratic Loss and the Performance Comparison Index. These include the classical EWMA, fast initial response EWMA, double and triple EWMA, runs‐rules EWMA, the max EWMA with mean‐squared deviation, the mixed EWMA‐CUSUM, the hybrid EWMA and the combined Shewhart–EWMA based on ranks. An application of the proposed schemes on real data sets is also given to illustrate the implementation and procedural details of the proposed methodology. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A comparative study of memory‐type control charts under normal and contaminated normal environments

Cumulative sum (CUSUM) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts are commonly used to detect small changes in the parameters of production processes. Recently, a new control structure was introduced, named as mixed EWMA–CUSUM control chart, which combined both charts. The current study provides a detailed comparison of these three types of control charts when the process parameters are unknown under normal and contaminated normal environments. Performance measures average run length and different percentiles of run length distribution are used for comparison purposes. We investigate six different location estimators with the structures of the three memory charts and study their robustness properties. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A Note on the Lower-Sided Synthetic Chart for Exponentials

The synthetic control chart for exponential data is discussed and an expression is derived for its average run length, as well as its design parameters. The synthetic control chart for exponentials is shown analytically to be a two-in-a-row rule. This chart is compared with the Shewhart chart for individuals and with the worst-case, lower-sided exponential EWMA and CUSUM charts. While the synthetic control chart for exponentials outperforms the Shewhart chart for individuals, the EWMA and CUSUM charts are shown to be far superior in detecting decreases in the exponential mean.     

Conditional mean- and median-based cumulative sum control charts for Weibull data

This article deals with the monitoring of censored data using the cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts for Weibull lifetimes under type-I censoring. To develop an efficient CUSUM structure for censored data, we use the conditional expected value (CEV) and conditional median (CM) approaches. In particular, we focus on the detection of shifts in the mean of Weibull lifetimes assuming censored data. In addition to fixed/known parameter values, the effect of estimation is assessed on the detection power of control charts. The performance of the proposed charts is evaluated by the average run length (ARL). Furthermore, the ARL performance of CUSUM charts is compared with CEV- and CM-based exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts. Besides an extensive simulation study, the significance of the current work is illustrated by a data set on the response time of a thermostat experiment.     

A New Hybrid Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring Process Mean

Cumulative sum (CUSUM) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts are commonly used for monitoring the process mean. In this paper, a new hybrid EWMA (HEWMA) control chart is proposed by mixing two EWMA control charts. An interesting feature of the proposed control chart is that the traditional Shewhart and EWMA control charts are its special cases. Average run lengths are used to evaluate the performances of each of the control charts. It is worth mentioning that the proposed HEWMA control chart detects smaller shifts substantially quicker than the classical CUSUM, classical EWMA and mixed EWMA–CUSUM control charts. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Practitioner advice: ERLDAT–A web-based tool to design and analyze EWMA control charts

The performance of a control chart is completely characterized by its run length distribution. Quality practitioners usually do not have access to the run length distribution but rely on the average run length (ARL) to design and evaluate the performance of an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart. This article presents a web-based tool that provides users easy access to the Phase 2 (online or monitoring phase) run length distribution for a two-sided EWMA control chart with known parameters. The web-based tool calculates the run length distribution, percentiles of the run length distribution, as well as the mean (ARL) and variance (VRL) of the run length distribution. Additional functionality of the web-based tool includes plotting the run length distribution functions, building tables of the quantiles of the run length distribution, finding the smoothing parameter (λ) for an EWMA control chart for fixed control limit that satisfies ARL, VRL or percentile performance, and finding the control chart limit (k) for an EWMA control chart that satisfies ARL, VRL, or percentile performance. This tool and these techniques enable quality practitioners to better design and evaluate EWMA control charts.     

A Multivariate Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart

A multivariate extension of the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is presented, and guidelines given for designing this easy-to-implement multivariate procedure. A comparison shows that the average run length (ARL) performance of this chart is similar to that of multivariate cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts in detecting a shift in the mean vector of a multivariate normal distribution. As with the Hotelling's χ² and multivariate CUSUM charts, the ARL performance of the multivariate EWMA chart depends on the underlying mean vector and covariance matrix only through the value of the noncentrality parameter. Worst-case scenarios show that Hotelling's χ² charts should always be used in conjunction with multivariate CUSUM and EWMA charts to avoid potential inertia problems. Examples are given to illustrate the use of the proposed procedure.     

An Efficient Nonparametric EWMA Wilcoxon Signed‐Rank Chart for Monitoring Location

The statistical performance of traditional control charts for monitoring the process shifts is doubtful if the underlying process will not follow a normal distribution. So, in this situation, the use of a nonparametric control charts is considered to be an efficient alternative. In this paper, a nonparametric exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is developed based on Wilcoxon signed‐rank statistic using ranked set sampling. The average run length and some other associated characteristics were used as the performance evaluation of the proposed chart. A major advantage of the proposed nonparametric EWMA signed‐rank chart is the robustness of its in‐control run length distribution. Moreover, it has been observed that the proposed version of the EWMA signed‐rank chart using ranked set sampling shows better detection ability than some of the competing counterparts including EWMA sign chart, EWMA signed‐rank chart, and the usual EWMA control chart using simple random sampling scheme. An illustrative example is also provided for practical consideration. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.